by Tanada » Sat 28 Jul 2007, 13:50:30
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cyrus', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', 'O')MG Uranium prices have crashed! (down to $120.00/lbs) How can this be! Was the Uranium shortage nothing but Hype????
How will M_B_S be able to cope?
Just a guess, but, maybe due to Japan's largest reactor being used under limited-utilization, some ammount of demand was destroyed?
Any articles about the price decline, Tanada?
Here are some news links for you to peruse, these are from the company that determines the international average selling price because unlike Petroleum or Copper, Uranium does not have a distinct marketing set up with brokers and speculators and such.
Price chart 2007Market Watch Report$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('UXC reports', 'U')xC Market Watch for July 19, 2007
DOE Issues RFQ to Sell 200 MTU UF6
On July 18, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) issued a solicitation for proposals related to the sale of up to 200 MTU of UF6 (containing about 520,000 pounds U3O8) in 8 separate lots: one of 100 MTU, two of 30 MTUs each, and 5 lots of 7.7 MTU (containing 20,000 pounds U3O8) each. Bid proposals are due August 17, 2007, with DOE expecting to award contracts by August 31. Payments are due by September 21, 2007, which means that they will fall within DOE’s current fiscal year that ends September 30, 2007.
DOE is selling this material in order to fund the clean-up of its remaining technetium-contaminated inventories. The sale of DOE inventory for this purpose was originally authorized by Section 314 of the FY 2006 Energy and Water Development Appropriations Act, which allowed DOE to barter, transfer or sell uranium in any form or assay to generate funds to pay for remediation of contaminated DOE uranium inventories. DOE’s authority to sell uranium to pay for remediation of contaminated uranium was continued into Fiscal Year 2007 by the 2007 Revised Continuing Appropriations Act. DOE uranium activities under this section are not bound by the limitations or requirements of the USEC Privatization Act, including the requirement for a Secretarial Determination.
DOE has made clear that it will determine how much uranium it will sell based upon the specific bids for each lot that it receives. The lot sizes were designed to give the DOE a better ability to match the revenues from the sales with the amount of money they need for the clean-up. The smaller lot sizes may also make the uranium more appealing to a wider range of buyers who could not afford larger lots due to the dollar amounts involved. Any monies collected above what is needed for contaminated inventory remediation will be returned to the U.S. Treasury.
DOE is offering the material in a market that is already subject to downward pressure, where supply availability outstrips near-term demand, especially when it comes to UF6. Auction-like offerings for UF6 and U3O8 were conducted last month where the sellers withdrew the material when bids apparently did not meet expectations. It is expected that material from these earlier offerings will be put on the market at later date when demand might be stronger. Another auction-like UF6 offering was made earlier this month; results of this offering are not known, but it appears that this offering received a lukewarm response as well.
Over the past ten years, when DOE has auctioned material, it has received prices that were at a premium to the then existing market prices. DOE may be hard pressed to repeat that performance this time because U3O8 prices have been under downward pressure and UF6 has been selling at a discount to component prices. Also, it appears that DOE needs to complete the transaction by the end of the fiscal year, so its sale is not necessarily discretionary like that of other sellers. In any case, DOE results this time will certainly be a barometer as to where the UF6 market is going.
Also note that this is the second decline in a month, three weeks ago was the first decline announced around the 4th of July IIRC.