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THE Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Thread (merged)

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Postby Jack » Fri 14 Jan 2005, 18:30:40

Interesting document. It hints at Peak, but skirts the issue.

I wonder what's being floated on the non-public documents - the ones we'll never see? 8)
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Postby Aaron » Fri 14 Jan 2005, 18:45:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd the other energy sources will be - what?


Dogs

Dogs are renewable, and burn nicely. Representing a virtually untapped energy resource, K9 power has a mild ecologic footprint, and except for the heart wrenching yelps of pain, have almost no downside.

Wait a minute... I guess I mean Turkey Power.

I mean dogs are cute and sympathetic, while Turkeys are ugly and offensive after all.

Yeah that's it... let's crush up a few million Turkeys and keep driving around feeling important.

Maybe when we reach peak turkey, we can implement the dog idea.

Heck, there are lots of species out there... Let's just kill em all, so Amy's mom can keep driving to soccer practice and her dad's portfolio goes up a quarter point.

They are here for us to mash up anyway right?

If we can keep dog diesel going long enough, maybe mankind will discover new extraterrestrial species we can mash up!

Be a shame if our species mashing ways ended here on Earth, without sharing our gift with the Universe.
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Postby BabyPeanut » Fri 14 Jan 2005, 19:26:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he International Energy Agency assesses that with substantial investment in new capacity, overall energy supplies will be sufficient to meet growing global demand.

all it ever takes is more drilling, honest!!!
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Postby Tyler_JC » Fri 14 Jan 2005, 19:45:28

Perhaps we should drill into the skull of some of these Congressmen and search for a brain...

[smilie=qleft5.gif] [smilie=glasses7.gif]
(it's the closest thing I could find to a Congressman)
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Postby Madpaddy » Fri 14 Jan 2005, 20:00:20

The other main energy source will be lighting your own farts.

While sitting down you could have a special apparatus you could sit in and while you fart away contentedly you could be providing the power to run your tv set or some other low wattage appliance.

Precautions would have to be taken to avoid burning of the rectal area but hey folks we invented the digital watch - WE CAN DO ANYTHING
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Postby eastbay » Fri 14 Jan 2005, 23:09:09

The International Energy Agency assesses that with substantial investment in new capacity, overall energy supplies will be sufficient to meet growing global demand. Continued limited access of the international oil companies to major fields could restrain this investment, however, and many of the areas—the Caspian Sea, Venezuela, West Africa and South China Sea—that are being counted on to provide increased output involve substantial political or economic risk. Traditional suppliers in the Middle East are also increasingly unstable. Thus sharper demand-driven competition for resources, perhaps accompanied by a major disruption of oil supplies, is among the key uncertainties.

.... a major disruption of oil supplies my foot. A major disruption is happening right now and it's called 'running out'. It's impossible to avoid it. This report is a bunch of nonsense because it's based 100% on a supply of oil adequate to meet 100% of the worlds demand. And that supply isn't there. Without a full supply of oil (enough to meet future increaded demand) there's no way for modern industrial civilization to continue functioning in the manner we now know. But most of us here already know that. :shock:

This report is to make us feel-good. Nothing more.

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Postby 0mar » Fri 14 Jan 2005, 23:30:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd the other energy sources will be - what?


Dogs

Dogs are renewable, and burn nicely. Representing a virtually untapped energy resource, K9 power has a mild ecologic footprint, and except for the heart wrenching yelps of pain, have almost no downside.

Wait a minute... I guess I mean Turkey Power.

I mean dogs are cute and sympathetic, while Turkeys are ugly and offensive after all.

Yeah that's it... let's crush up a few million Turkeys and keep driving around feeling important.

Maybe when we reach peak turkey, we can implement the dog idea.

Heck, there are lots of species out there... Let's just kill em all, so Amy's mom can keep driving to soccer practice and her dad's portfolio goes up a quarter point.

They are here for us to mash up anyway right?

If we can keep dog diesel going long enough, maybe mankind will discover new extraterrestrial species we can mash up!

Be a shame if our species mashing ways ended here on Earth, without sharing our gift with the Universe.


Aaron is definately onto something here!

But what about PEAK DOG ?!
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Postby smallpoxgirl » Fri 14 Jan 2005, 23:41:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', 'D')ogs are renewable, and burn nicely.


Before they burn well, you have to dry them out. That takes energy. Please try to remember EROEI. [smilie=profe.gif]

Besides, let people get a little hungry, and those dogs will be a delicacy. [smilie=laughing4.gif]
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The CIA Understatement

Postby No-Oil » Mon 31 Jan 2005, 11:55:57

Well there have been numerous pointers to the CIA World Fact Book, but the interesting thing are under the World rather than individual countries.

Here are a couple of snippets;-

Natural resources:
The rapid depletion of nonrenewable mineral resources, the depletion of forest areas and wetlands, the extinction of animal and plant species, and the deterioration in air and water quality (especially in Eastern Europe, the former USSR, and China) pose serious long-term problems that governments and peoples are only beginning to address

Now there's an understatement !

Environment - current issues:
Large areas subject to overpopulation, industrial disasters, pollution (air, water, acid rain, toxic substances), loss of vegetation (overgrazing, deforestation, desertification), loss of wildlife, soil degradation, soil depletion, erosion

Ah progress, don't ya just love it !?

The whole deal can be viewed here;-
http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/

Enjoy :)
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THE Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Thread (merged)

Postby stu » Thu 17 Feb 2005, 10:06:39

CIA's list of potentially unstable countries in 2005. What no Middle East countries? :roll:
link

Mexico? :? The way he's talking you'd think half of Latin America was going to descend into chaos.
Last edited by Ferretlover on Sat 14 Mar 2009, 23:33:05, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Merge thread.
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Postby smiley » Thu 17 Feb 2005, 11:01:52

And what about the USA?
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Postby JayHMorrison » Thu 17 Feb 2005, 11:50:21

I would say that the EU is far more unstable than the USA. The economic and demographic time bomb of the social welfare states of Europe is far more destabalizing than anything in the USA currently.
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Postby lorenzo » Thu 17 Feb 2005, 18:31:00

The US is a living timebomb, ready to explode at any time (see the LA riots).
Massive hidden unemployment, ghettos, millions of people without health care, education below world average, generalized crime, a totally artificial economy (every single American is in horrible personal debt), a housing bubble of gigantic proportions, a sh!tty dollar, mega deficit, etc... etc...

Europe is world leader in social cohesion, with the best education, social protection and health care on the planet, available to all citizens, with the cleanest and most secure environment on the planet (being jobless is in Europe means still having all these benefits - in the US, you end up like a dog in the streets). Europe is the world's strongest and best armed society on the planet when it comes to economic or social shocks. Its entire essence is based on social cohesion, while America's is entirely based on the opposite and is rapidly evolving towards a two track society.

America can explode any time now. (In fact, if OPEC decides to go €uro tomorrow, America is completely dead the day after).
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Postby lorenzo » Thu 17 Feb 2005, 18:34:19

Iraq will be potentially stable in 2005.
Last edited by lorenzo on Thu 17 Feb 2005, 18:49:38, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby lorenzo » Thu 17 Feb 2005, 18:48:51

On a more serious note, though, let's not forget that these countries are only a threat because of the US's dirty politics of interference:

-Colombia: America is currently occupying it, with the intention of punching Venezuela in the back and launching a classic CIA terror campaign (like the one in Guatemala, Ecuador, Nicaragua, etc....) Nothing new here. Ordinary American state terrorism. The elections might indeed delay the CIA's terror campaign. It might just as well be an opportunity.
-Venezuela: the American fascist government can't stand that a man of the people used purely democratic means to help the poor and to get rid of nazi-capitalist exploitation; the hidden agenda of the American fascists is getting its terrorist hand on Venezuela's oil, of course. So nothing new here. Terror as usual.
Will the CIA attempt a new coup d'état against the democratically elected President Chavez? Of course they will. Nothing new here. Democracy is America's biggest enemy.
-Haiti: if America and the CIA loses its grip on the cocaine trade (because of newly elected leaders who want a piece of the pie), an important source of revenue will disappear; so the CIA might organize another civil war or an uprising if others interfere in its drug business. Nothing new here.
-Cuba: the Cuban-American fascists have been dreaming about re-colonizing Cuba forever now; but they're forgetting that Castro's genes are here to stay. Nothing new here.
-Mexico: the socialists are leading in the polls. Knowing that the US hates democracy, it may want to cause an ordinary civil war if the fascists lose the elections. Business as usual.
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Postby JayHMorrison » Thu 17 Feb 2005, 23:45:04

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Postby GD » Fri 18 Feb 2005, 06:31:56

For you JayH:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '')€¦the neoliberals who promote unregulated global capitalism tell us is that there is no conflict between the whims of the wealthy and the needs of the wretched. The Economist magazine, for example, argues that the more freedom you give the rich, the better off the poor will be. Without restraints the rich have a more powerful incentive to generate global growth, and this growth becomes "the rising tide that lifts all boats". Countries that intervene in the market with "punitive taxes, grandiose programmes of public spending, and all the other apparatus of applied economic justice" condemn their people to remain poor. A zeal for justice does "nothing but harm".

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'L')et us compare the United Kingdom a pioneer of neoliberalism and Sweden, one of the last outposts of distributionism. And let us make use of a set of statistics the Economist is unlikely to dispute: those contained within its own publication, the 2005 World in Figures

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he first surprise, for anyone who has swallowed the stories about Britain's unrivalled economic dynamism, is that, in terms of gross domestic product, Sweden has done as well as the UK has. In 2002 its GDP per capita was $27,310, and the UK's was $26,240. This is no blip. In only seven years between 1960 and 2001 did Sweden's per capita GDP fall behind the UK's.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')ore surprisingly still Sweden has a current account surplus of $10bn and the UK a deficit of $26bn. Even by the neoliberals' favourite measures, Sweden wins: it has a lower inflation rate than the UK, higher "global competitiveness" and a higher ranking for "business creativity and research".

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n terms of human welfare there is no competition. According to the quality of life measure published by the Economist (the "human development index") Sweden ranks third in the world, the UK 11th. Sweden has the world's third highest life expectancy, the UK the 29th.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he reason for these differences is straightforward. During most of the 20th century Sweden has pursued, in the words of a recent pamphlet published by the Catalyst Forum, "policies designed to narrow the inequality of condition between social classes". These include what the Economist calls "punitive taxes" and "grandiose programmes of public spending", which, remember, do "nothing but harm". These policies in fact appear to have enhanced the country's economic competitiveness, while ensuring that the poor obtain a higher proportion of total national income. In Sweden, according to the UN, the richest 10% earn 6.2 times as much money as the poorest 10%. In the UK the ratio is 13.8.
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Postby jaakkeli » Fri 18 Feb 2005, 07:53:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JayHMorrison', 'I') would say that the EU is far more unstable than the USA. The economic and demographic time bomb of the social welfare states of Europe is far more destabalizing than anything in the USA currently.


Dude, what "economic timebomb"? :-o The Finnish economy (the uberest of the uber welfare states! more socialist than Sweden!) looks far healthier in the long term than the American economy. If you think there's something seriously wrong with it, you've been listening to too much Reaganite propaganda.

As for demographics, there's one demographical factor above all others that contributes to political unstability: the youth of the population. If you look at the most unstable countries in the world, you'll see that ALL of them have very young populations, while all the most stable countries in the world have old populations. Pensioners can be at most brought to the streets to demonstrate; they won't be contributing to violent unstability. The US is worse off than Europe with this, but not in as bad trouble as most developing countries.

Look at something like Japan - the aged population might be a factor in its chronic economical problems, but it's a good guard against <i>political</i> instability. It's also a society with a tradition of incredible social cohesion under stress (like Finland is; most European countries are less cohesive, though), totally unlike the US, where anything destabilizing brings out the
culture wars.
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Postby stu » Fri 18 Feb 2005, 09:38:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JayHMorrison', 'I') would say that the EU is far more unstable than the USA. The economic and demographic time bomb of the social welfare states of Europe is far more destabalizing than anything in the USA currently.


Care to elaborate Jay.

The impression I get is that things are worse on your side of the pond.

You're correct that demographically there is a timebomb waiting to go off in both regions with a massive amount of baby boomers set to retire in the next few years.

Economically though I thought that you're country was in more trouble than the EU what with your record budget/trade deficits and weak dollar.

Then again the EU is almost in recession. [smilie=eusa_think.gif]
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Postby JayHMorrison » Sat 19 Feb 2005, 09:21:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lorenzo', '
')Europe is world leader in social cohesion,


Sounds great. Once you guys got rid of that "jewish question" I suppose social cohesion was much easier to achieve.
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