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High Oil prices: Recriminations, etc

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

High Oil prices: Recriminations, etc

Postby Twilight » Sat 05 May 2007, 12:00:11

The hate, scapegoating and recriminations are arriving at last.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('some_guy282', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Twilight', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', 'T')his summer is going to be the first massive hit of PO.

Except it won't be because of peak, it'll be the Mexican government being pilloried for pulling an Enron on US consumers. I would be surprised if the word "peak" passes Bush's lips before he leaves.

I have to agree. I have long thought that when the crunch comes we'll have an endless parade of scape goats instead of a rational analysis of what is actually causing the problems. Blaming Mexico is going to be very easy. I can see it now... "Incompetent management," "failed government," etc etc.
http://www.peakoil.com/fortopic28138.html

We were right. So here it is, EXCLUSIVE from CNN: high gasoline prices are caused by foreigners. My comments in bold italics.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CNN', '[')b]Where gasoline is cheap

And why places like Saudi Arabia, Iran, China and Russia are making it more expensive for you.

These absurdly low prices are a direct result of massive government subsidies. While these numbers are not adjusted for cost of living, it's fair to say that drivers in those countries are getting a good deal.

But it's straining government budgets. More importantly, it's not allowing the free market to do its job. (ie price the producing countries out of the market) Higher prices on the open market are not leading to a drop in demand, which is keeping the cost of oil high for everyone else. (For us, not the billions of people we are about to talk about a few paragraphs lower).

Source: CNN


Internal demand growth is listed as:

US: 2.5%

China: 7.5%
Saudi Arabia: 5.6%
Iran: 3.3%

Russia, Egypt, India, Venezuela and Brazil are also given an honourable mention.

If only there was some way of making oil exporters use less oil, so "everyone else" (not the 3bn people listed) got a fair deal... [smilie=icon_rolleyes.gif]

I close with this pearl of wisdom:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CNN', '&')quot;A subsidy tells consumers they don't need to adjust their behavior," said Spector.


Intriguing. And in your house, high prices don't either, mhmm?

How deliciously apt.
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Re: It has begun

Postby thuja » Sat 05 May 2007, 12:04:26

Yes the scapegoating will be relentless- Foreigner's poor managment of their oil fields will be a very big one. Here is how it could go in the future- "Those Arabs don't know how to produce oil from their wells. They're just letting it sit there. We need to invade them so our engineers can pump out the oil better!"

Another will be foreign governments nationalizing and/or heavily subsidizing their domestic oil.

Another will be ists blowing up oil fields.

Actual geologic constraints? That will be hard to find amidst the fracas of backbiting and scapegoating.
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Re: It has begun

Postby joewp » Sat 05 May 2007, 12:34:13

Sometime in the middle of last week, a NYC radio call-in talk show host, John Gambling on WABC was talking about oil and gasoline prices and remarked "What if the Saudis decided they're not going to sell us oil anymore? We'd have to go in there and invade, we might even have to use nukes". I waited for anybody to call in a tell him something like "Wouldn't that be stealing" or "That's not what America does".

The callers agreed with him... :cry:

I'm very afraid of what my fellow Americans are capable of doing when oil production starts to decline.
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"Only when the last tree is cut; only when the last river is polluted; only when the last fish is caught; only then will they realize that you cannot eat money." - Cree Indian Proverb
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Re: It has begun

Postby joewp » Sat 05 May 2007, 12:46:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shannymara', 'P')eople will lie down and be executed, for the most part. They are well trained.


I find that oddly comforting in a perverse sort of way. [smilie=eusa_think.gif]
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Re: It has begun

Postby shortonoil » Sat 05 May 2007, 12:53:08

joewp said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')'m very afraid of what my fellow Americans are capable of doing when oil production starts to decline.


What they will do is call into talk radio shows and complain about the foreigners and how we may have to invade. Oil production is declining, and the empire is loosing its teeth. They will quit calling talk radio shows, when the reality has finally settled in.
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Re: It has begun

Postby vision-master » Sat 05 May 2007, 13:08:29

Here is the reply I got off another forum today. A PO thread.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')I am sure the environmental impact of all those batteries and how to dispose of them had absolutley no impact on that technology at all.

I can only imagine the bitching you left wing bitches would be parading around when 200 million people start disposing of those batteries in landfills. The environmental impact of that would eclipse the impact of burning fossil fuels ten fold.

Try checking out BMW's 7-series hyrdogen/gasoline hybrid that is switchable on the fly between fuel types and doesn't rely on fuel cell technolgy for its hydrogen use. Still gets over 400 HP and spits out water at the ass end.

Then come back in here and tell us about how future technology is being stifled by big oil. Lets not even get into how all those hybrid/electric cars look like shit and how their styling is about even with a turd with wheels.

When the demand for that tech outweighs the demand for gasoline is when you'll start seeing it out there. Right now, that demand just isn't there.

Battery powered, electric cars are a farce.
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Re: It has begun

Postby KevO » Sat 05 May 2007, 13:27:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shannymara', 'F')*x News was on at the gym this morning. .


you gym?
:)
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Re: It has begun

Postby DantesPeak » Sat 05 May 2007, 18:05:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('joewp', 'W')e'd have to go in there and invade, we might even have to use nukes".

I'm very afraid of what my fellow Americans are capable of doing when oil production starts to decline.


Who said that we want we won't have nuclear powered cars in the future? After nuking SA and Iran, we'll have lots of radioactive oil.

More seriously, some state we could 'nuke' countries without contaminating the oil. I don't agree, but if so, I suppose above ground we could get robots to work the oil fields, refineries, and pipelines, so everything will just work out fine.
It's already over, now it's just a matter of adjusting.
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Re: It has begun

Postby vision-master » Sat 05 May 2007, 21:22:52

Things are heating up over here.
http://venturerider.org/forum/showthread.php?t=9618

I'm trying to educate em, but I'm sure it ain't gonna sink in.
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Re: It has begun

Postby roccman » Sat 05 May 2007, 21:29:55

guys stroking guys over pictures of motorcycles....pretty sad.
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Re: It has begun

Postby joewp » Sat 05 May 2007, 21:53:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', '
')More seriously, some state we could 'nuke' countries without contaminating the oil. I don't agree, but if so, I suppose above ground we could get robots to work the oil fields, refineries, and pipelines, so everything will just work out fine.


Sure we could, but don't we have enough low-income types to entice into cleaning up the radioactive waste much cheaper than building robots? $12/hour and offering them free medical care in a VA hospital should anything go "wrong" should be enough to compensate them, right? </sarcasm>

You might know Gambling, he's no "shock-jock". It's a serious concern that he even suggested stealing Saudi oil. I'd bail really soon if I were you. I'm planning on bugging out this summer. NJ isn't going to be a pleasant place when TSHTF.

Sorry, I just came back from a neighborhood party, and the comments I heard there only helped pin my doomer meter harder on 11. (Doomer meter designed by Spinal Tap).
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Re: It has begun

Postby Valdemar » Sat 05 May 2007, 21:58:25

Poor whiddle bikers, having to pay proper prices for petrol like everyone else.

Guess the American dream had to end one day.
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Re: It has begun

Postby Lore » Sat 05 May 2007, 22:04:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Valdemar', 'P')oor whiddle bikers, having to pay proper prices for petrol like everyone else.

Guess the American dream had to end one day.


Just reality setting in. As we say, they an't seen nothing yet!
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt
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Re: It has begun

Postby shortonoil » Sat 05 May 2007, 22:07:03

vision-master thanks for the link; it is a very interesting read. These folks are better informed, in general, than I would have anticipated. A little confused on some issues, but they are discussing the various essential elements of the problem, and some of them even have a working knowledge of the subject.

Like I commented in another post here (somewhere?) increasing gasoline prices and shortages may do more for the PO movement than all the authoring we can ever scribe. Even though our gasoline situation is only indirectly associated with PO, I think it could be used as a vehicle to get the message across. Training the public is very much like training a mule, first you have to get his attention; a doubled handed 2X across the head usually works. Gasoline shortages may be a reasonable facsimile of a nice oak 2X4.
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Re: It has begun

Postby Lore » Sat 05 May 2007, 22:19:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonoil', 'T')raining the public is very much like training a mule, first you have to get his attention; a doubled handed 2X across the head usually works. Gasoline shortages may be a reasonable facsimile of a nice oak 2X4.


Or, then like Patton, you eventually have to shoot the mules and hurl them off the bridge to get the convoy going.
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
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Re: It has begun

Postby Revi » Sat 05 May 2007, 22:43:08

This will just panic the mule. There are very few alternatives for the average person out there, and the government isn't helping anybody find them. How about the bicycle? Or the woodstove? Or the solar hot water system? LED lighting, insulation, etc, etc. All of these could make a big difference in one's individual situation, and could be promoted to ameliorate the problems that are coming. We need leadership to get their heads out of their butts long enough to get us mules heading in the right direction. We need this soon!
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Re: It has begun

Postby thuja » Sat 05 May 2007, 22:57:30

Here's another nice scapegoating article from msnbc....

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/18505675/site/newsweek/

Incompetent Venezuelans fouling things up so we can't get their oil!!
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Re: It has begun

Postby shortonoil » Sat 05 May 2007, 22:57:36

Revi said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'a')nd the government isn't helping anybody find them.


Your faith that the government can fix anything is touching; but misplaced, a good government (another oxymoron of our time) is one that follows, or just gets the hell out of the way.
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Re: It has begun

Postby NoLogos » Sat 05 May 2007, 23:38:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Revi', 'T')here are very few alternatives for the average person out there, and the government isn't helping anybody find them.


Neither the gov't or the MSM is publicising alternatives, but you are. Keep 'em coming!
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Re: It has begun

Postby vision-master » Sun 06 May 2007, 00:00:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonoil', '[')b]vision-master thanks for the link; it is a very interesting read. These folks are better informed, in general, than I would have anticipated. A little confused on some issues, but they are discussing the various essential elements of the problem, and some of them even have a working knowledge of the subject.

Like I commented in another post here (somewhere?) increasing gasoline prices and shortages may do more for the PO movement than all the authoring we can ever scribe. Even though our gasoline situation is only indirectly associated with PO, I think it could be used as a vehicle to get the message across. Training the public is very much like training a mule, first you have to get his attention; a doubled handed 2X across the head usually works. Gasoline shortages may be a reasonable facsimile of a nice oak 2X4.


They seem interested to find out what's really going on (average age is 50's or 60's). I'm filling em in.

More than I can say for the younger generation. They just cut me off at the knees.
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