by oil_rocks » Wed 31 Jan 2007, 05:20:05
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Prince', 'A')s for the original poster, oil_rocks, perhaps the moderators need to make him the lead guitarist on the peakoil.com BANNED!
Close this thread already.
Its amazing to me how so many people want this thread banned simply because someone is stating an opinion that is different from the majority. For all there talk of tolerance, its interesting to note that its really the left that has cornered the market on intolerance.
I'll try stating my position in a different way and notice that my theory is based on science and common sense and historical trends, and not simply unbridled passion like so many on this forum.
If we look at the peak oil crisis theory, i can honestly say that i believe in it, or at least a version of it. And i can also say that i believe that oil is a finite resource that will run out some day. The only difference i have with all of you is the timeline and the amount of shock that will hit our society as a result of it. And i'm quite certain i'm right about this. let me explain:
If we look at how this theory will play its self out, some people believe in the hardcore, far-left version of the theory which basically considers that all the worlds oil reserves are currently tapped and being drilled. they will soon follow the hubbert curve and begin running out which will cause total devastation to our economy. probably half of you on this forum believe in this version of the peak oil crisis.
Now others believe that peak may be delayed some x number of years because of various factors... new technology, finding new deposits, conservation, new fuels etc. Note, i am not saying that these new discoveries will prevent the oil crisis, but merely push it back a couple of years.
Now, my view is closer to the far right extreme view of the theory. which simply means that i believe there will be enough of the factors listed above to push it back many years. possibly dozens of years. maybe even, dare i say hundreds of years.
for those who believe the total societal collapse is imminent, i see those as the truely radical ones because it means they are on the far, far extreme left fringe of the theory. The ONLY way you could believe that is if you believe:
1) No new technologies will ever be invented
2) No new deposits will ever be found
3) No existing but untapped fields will ever be tapped
4) No country will ever be able to conserve even 1 barrel of oil
AND... and
5) No new forms of fuel will ever be found.
to me that's radical thinking!