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Where did all the doomers go?

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Unread postby ReserveGrowthRulz » Tue 05 Dec 2006, 23:54:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Bas', 'p')s I did think his post here was quite funny :) But if he argues that PO won't come because it hasn't already, he's wrong. Same goes for calling someone a cornucopian...it's not an argument.


Duh! He argues PO arrived last year and there are no effects yet.


I do not argue much of anything, I simply point at a respected member of the scientific community and his peak oil date last thanksgiving, which has to present not been refuted.

And then I ask a simple question which seems to flummox the very concept.
So....heading into our 3rd year post peak and I'm still getting caught in traffic jams!! DieOff already!
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Unread postby seahorse » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 00:06:20

RGR,

Move to Iraq, Afghanistan, Nigeria, Mexico, and tell me what it looks like one year post peak. Try a closer look maybe at Detroit with all the out of work car employees, or go live with Ayoob in East L.A. for awhile and give us a report. Or, you can keep your head in the sand, move in with Bill Gates and you'll never see anything.

I vote that we wait to form any judgment until 2012, which is the date that most pessimist would agree PO will occur, plus or minus. So, if you are right, and PO happened a year ago and no big deal, we can say, no big deal. Otherwise, we wait and see how things develope until 2012. On January 1, 2007, you and I, RGR, will reassess the condition of the world we live in. I'm sure Bill Gates will be doing fine, so we'll exclude him.
Last edited by seahorse on Wed 06 Dec 2006, 00:20:49, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Unread postby mekrob » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 00:12:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')t is also possible that more than a year post peak now, and with nobody really noticing, and the "deathburbs" Laughing Laughing Laughing still going strong,


True. But everything was oh so dandy in the US in 1970 for a few more years. But that came to a screeching halt with the embargo and then the American people had to deal with just some of the effects of a regional peak. Supposing that the peak was over a year ago, that doesn't mean that we should be starving today. All it takes is another "embargo" to set us straight.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 't')he world needs to create new forms of energy with something like nanotechnology.


The cells in your legs are awfully tiny. I'm not sure of their size, but they should be on the scale of nanometers or so. Anyway, the point of this is that our legs are fine vehicles of movement, whether they are used to walk on feet or for peddling bikes. No wind, no solar, no fossil fuels. Just good ol' food. Only exhaust is some sweat and very low, natural amounts of CO[sub]2[/sub].
I want to put out the fires of Hell, and burn down the rewards of Paradise. They block the way to God. I do not want to worship from fear of punishment or for the promise of reward, but simply for the love of God. - Rabia
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Unread postby MonteQuest » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 00:49:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnnyMac', ' ') I don't mean wind & solar panels - the world needs to create new forms of energy with something like nanotechnology.


Energy cannot be created. 1st Law.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Unread postby PolestaR » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 01:15:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Bas', 'A')bout six months ago I thought this place was sinking under their weight but now it seems the knowledgable intellectuals have come back to dominate the board, what's up with that?


I think more cornucopians come out when the gas price goes up if anything. I won't speak for all doomers, but I think that we are pretty much born this way and it's something we can't change. Once someone activates those doom genes, there is no going back.

The rush of cornucopians when gas rises is them somehow thinking maybe the doomers they heard speak before had it right. They go as soon as the immediate "danger" is gone, doomers don't do that. Cornucopians are mostly sheep looking to be led, this is why they come and go like the tide. Don't label your concucopian brethren as doomers, it does us a disservice.
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Unread postby ReserveGrowthRulz » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 01:29:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seahorse', 'R')GR,

Move to Iraq, Afghanistan, Nigeria, Mexico, and tell me what it looks like one year post peak. Try a closer look maybe at Detroit with all the out of work car employees, or go live with Ayoob in East L.A. for awhile and give us a report. Or, you can keep your head in the sand, move in with Bill Gates and you'll never see anything.


What were the statistics released just today? 2% of the population has half the wealth of the planet?

I made plans long ago to be something other than a "barely hanging on" kinda guy. If I can make just the top 2%, that would apparently be a good thing. And I promise, I won't have gotten there by keeping my head in the sand. Quite the contrary.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seahorse', '
')
I vote that we wait to form any judgment until 2012, which is the date that most pessimist would agree PO will occur, plus or minus. So, if you are right, and PO happened a year ago and no big deal, we can say, no big deal. Otherwise, we wait and see how things develope until 2012. On January 1, 2007, you and I, RGR, will reassess the condition of the world we live in. I'm sure Bill Gates will be doing fine, so we'll exclude him.


Because I don't subscribe to any Peak date other than the most current, non disproved one, I can wait another month to see how things are going, I can wait another 5 years. The beauty of this game is I won't lose out in either case. If it isn't Peak, I will continue my work until we come round to this discussion again, whenever that might be, and if the plateau/decline/depression starts, someone will throw buckets of money at me to find more of it.
So....heading into our 3rd year post peak and I'm still getting caught in traffic jams!! DieOff already!
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Unread postby ReserveGrowthRulz » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 01:30:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mekrob', ' ') All it takes is another "embargo" to set us straight.



Then the sooner we get straight, the better.
So....heading into our 3rd year post peak and I'm still getting caught in traffic jams!! DieOff already!
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Unread postby Benzin » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 02:28:25

I've never understood the whole survivalist thing, but I guess I don't understand a lot of things.

What makes one think, in the face of the worse of the worse, when the TSHTF that they'll be safe in their log cabin away from the "suburban zombie hordes?" I don't think anyone would have enough rounds to take 'em all out, if they think guns and ammo can save them.

Anyways, we do what we can to prepare but is it not mostly a waste of time? Again, people with gardens and goats whilst civilization blowing up around them? May you live in interesting times indeed! I think what people need to understand is that no matter what we do, any and all of us could be part of the "herd" that is culled. Something I had to accept after the shock of learning about all this mess.

Now I can't say I know squat about anything, but I can say this much: car culture, consumerism, this whole paradigm of infinite growth indeed must change because it simply will not last. Life here in the US will certainly change, how bad it will get or exactly what the effects will be, I don't need to speculate. I'm not Miss Cleo. Though I think it is safe to say money will become increasingly tight and inflated as we march on our fiat debt based banking system. Even if PO was a fluke, there's too many other things that just ain't working in this world. I can't help but wonder where in the hell did we as a species go wrong?

But until whatever happens, if TSHTF is inevitable, why shall we not enjoy the oil party as long as possible? Live within one's means, but damn make the best out of what we DO have right here and now. I for one have a much deeper appreciation now being cognizant of the situation.
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Unread postby Ayoob » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 02:34:16

You know, RGR, I am starting to like you. I think you have the right attitude. I think your attitude is All for me, and fuck everybody else. Which has pretty much become my attitude. And I think it's OK to just be absolutely selfish and be kind of up front about it. If you want me to do something, make sure it's in my best interest and sell me on it and I'll freely choose to go along.

You don't really care when the peak hits because you have a skill that becomes more and more in demand the more expensive oil gets. So cool, let oil production peak, you aren't going to end up with a rifle in your hand in a desert somewhere shooting at some kid with a bomb in his diaper so it's all good for you.

You can sit back and talk shit to the doomers and thumb your nose at everybody, you're the one that's going to be counting the money.

Good for you.

I think it's good advice to everyone that posts here to take a look at this guy and see what he says and watch what he does. He's advocating for his own personal best interest and confessing his selfish motives for whatever he does. Know that without any kind of sarcasm at all, I think he's got an outstanding strategy for being successful postpeak. RGR may even have my plan beat, and I thought I had the best one going.

I used to wonder what was going through your head when you posted your inane drivel but I think I've got it now. You don't participate here to be cooperative and help, you just talk shit and laugh when people try to be reasonable and figure out how to handle this thing.

I laugh at the idiots who think we're all going to dance around in a fuzzy bunny circle and be nice to each other while we watch our kids get skinny and our retirements evaporate and we see our elderly people tossed out of their apartments and sit on the sidewalk. Fuck 'em. Make yourselves valuable! WTF are you waiting for! Learn some petroleum geology and get in on a MAJOR oil boom that's coming along. If you can't think of anything better to do.

What's funny is I'm actually serious about this. If you're hanging on to your job at the Video Mart, thinking that swiping a bar code is a profession worthy of food and a roof... Isn't it better for all concerned for all of us to make ourselves more worthwhile?

Just for fun, I'm going to take a couple classes in welding this spring and summer. You never know, maybe having two trades is better than just having one.
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Unread postby BorneoRagnarok » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 02:34:18

Uh.. I have not posted for maybe half a year. BTW I am from Borneo here. Here more and more people involved in agricultural sector as cities (only 4 of them) life get more violent. You want the truth RGR let's come to Borneo. Let us chopped your head off and put on top of our totem poles.

Growing food and prepared land for the future.
Finally, no more electronic crap except the notebook I type on here.
Finally able to grow vegetable and rear enough fish to feed 1 person. The next step is scale up in order to feed a family. After trying for 2 years.

No more time to debate endlessly here about the peak oil.
Let me see, I am Zero Point Energy fan previously. Even if Lutec, ZPE, N machine, magnetic motors, Johnson motors or Star Trek aliens give us some radiant energy or orgone energy machines, the economic will still faced the D before rise to the sky again.

My current plan is grow enough food for a family. If someone invent free energy machines, I will expand my farm to 1,000,000 hectares and become the Borneo agriculture tycoon.. When you heard your beloved one said "Son,hubby,daddy,mommy I am hungry". You will better off dead than alive.
When all the rivers run dry, all the forests have been cleared, all the food has been eaten, tell me the value of your money
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Unread postby Benzin » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 02:42:41

So does that mean if I buy 100 barrels of crude right now around $62ish USD, that I'll triple my investment by 2015?

Can an average person even BUY crude oil like that? Methinks no.
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Unread postby AgentR » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 02:46:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('stungmaster', 'I') don't think anyone would have enough rounds to take 'em all out, if they think guns and ammo can save them.


Distance is what saves you from the horde. The ammo is just the coup de grac.

How many urban people have ever taken a trip, on foot, of over a hundred miles? How many even have the slightest idea about what is required, and what is silly, when attempting to survive such a trip?

If they've not done it in completely comfortable, luxurious America, what makes people think that most will try it when a crunch comes, and survive it in such a way that a six year old with a rock at the destination couldn't put them out of their misery.

No. There will be no horde. Rural folks will have other problems to deal with of course; but a rampaging horde of fleeing suburbanites isn't one of them.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')ow I can't say I know squat about anything, but I can say this much: car culture, consumerism, this whole paradigm of infinite growth indeed must change because it simply will not last.


It will last till it goes splat. After it goes splat, it will be too late to do anything about it.
Yes, we are. As we are.
And so shall we remain; Until the end.
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Unread postby Benzin » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 02:55:08

Point taken. We're saved from the horde, but what about the rest? In the end it's all a big crap shoot and a gamble.
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Unread postby PolestaR » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 03:00:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR', 'H')ow many urban people have ever taken a trip, on foot, of over a hundred miles? How many even have the slightest idea about what is required, and what is silly, when attempting to survive such a trip?

If they've not done it in completely comfortable, luxurious America, what makes people think that most will try it when a crunch comes, and survive it in such a way that a six year old with a rock at the destination couldn't put them out of their misery.

No. There will be no horde. Rural folks will have other problems to deal with of course; but a rampaging horde of fleeing suburbanites isn't one of them.


I call BS rwwff. If refugees have shown us anything, no matter where they come from, they try and get to a better place. You act like walking is some skill you need to invest MORE time on other than your lifetime spent walking to be good at it.

Most people won't like walking, they'll hate it, but they can do it, regardless of how many Big Macs they have eaten in the last year. You've never been in a survival situation to know the desperation. Most won't be able to walk more than a 100 miles maybe without supplements along the way, but there will be supplements. Retreats like yours placed at a distance you thought no one would walk to. :lol:
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Unread postby seldom_seen » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 03:20:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'T')he woods do not look like packaged steaks. Ponds do not look like fish sticks.

heh! (but at the same time scary, that in just a few generations the majority of people have been usurped and cutoff from their native environment. "It's icky and muddy! are there snakes?")
But how the world turns. One day, cock of the walk. Next, a feather duster.
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Unread postby PolestaR » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 03:23:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'G')otta go with Agentr (roof?) on this one.

People in the cities and suburbs will not look to the country for help. It would not occur to people raised on lattes and shopping malls to consider a soybean or wheat field as food. It does not look like food. The woods do not look like packaged steaks. Ponds do not look like fish sticks.

If anything the bored angry masses will go to the money. They will head for 5th Avenue. Rodeo Drive. The Mall.


I think maybe you are losing touch with "common people". Every person I have asked "What would you do if all the food dried up?" the answer they gave was "I'd go to the country" ie the source. These are non peak oil aware people.

I find your conclusions hilarious though, so if you have any more....
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