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Where did all the doomers go?

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby holmes » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 16:55:54

The weird part is that I really am a contrarian. I cant stand the eco tourism types with their anti bush suv stickers yet I have zero ability to relate to the industrial sportsman types and redneck inbred religious cult members. actually industrial sportsman can include both types equally. Just different. I also relate more with the artists as my girlfriend is one and I am also one (not typical art stuff tho). However she is more conservative as well. But we consider conservative to be the true meaning. CONSERVE on all fronts. Which requires a respect for the planet and the natural resources that are required to conserve and to enjoy life.
Its jsut wierd becuase in my world everyone would have an ecological pradigm with which they would live in. Not now thats been programmed out of most.
But if I was going to have to choose between them Id be more left leaning. They at least have wider spectrum of thinking. even if much of it is absolutely illogical and species. Whatever happend to living simply and free?
"To crush the Cornucopians, see them driven before you, and to hear the lamentation of their women."
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby johnmarkos » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 17:11:39

Hey I'm gone too, and I'm an optimist.

It's not just here, either. I've stopped posting on Peak Oil Debunked, too.

At some point, I just realized that the argument (doomer vs. cornucopian) was just not worth having. I don't think there is a good way to talk about peak oil "across the aisle." The premises are so far away that it's like we're speaking a different language.

Too bad -- I learned a lot here. But there were at least points against my continued frequent participation in these forums.

1. I'm an optimist and thus by definition in the (defensive) minority. I just can't carry on like that.
2. I realized that PO is just a small facet of the larger problem (sustainability or ecological footprint).
3. I think these problems need to be approached from a different angle and I'm still trying to figure out what that is.

Maybe I'll post again when I figure out #3, if only to point you all to that essay on my blog once I've written it. :)
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby TheTurtle » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 17:44:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PolestaR', ' ')If refugees have shown us anything, no matter where they come from, they try and get to a better place. You act like walking is some skill you need to invest MORE time on other than your lifetime spent walking to be good at it.

Most people won't like walking, they'll hate it, but they can do it, regardless of how many Big Macs they have eaten in the last year. You've never been in a survival situation to know the desperation. Most won't be able to walk more than a 100 miles maybe without supplements along the way, but there will be supplements. Retreats like yours placed at a distance you thought no one would walk to. :lol:


Were you sleeping during Hurricane Katrina? :?

The refugees didn't walk out of NOLA trying to get to a better place. They made their way to the Superdome where they sat and waited to be rescued. Had relief taken longer to get there, I suspect most of them would have perished while waiting for someone to save them.

As AgentR has suggested, there is a big difference between spending ones lifetime walking to and from the refrigerator and walking for hours at a time over rough terrain. The first does not qualify one to effectively accomplish the second.
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby Bas » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 19:10:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('johnmarkos', 'H')ey I'm gone too, and I'm an optimist.

It's not just here, either. I've stopped posting on Peak Oil Debunked, too.

At some point, I just realized that the argument (doomer vs. cornucopian) was just not worth having. I don't think there is a good way to talk about peak oil "across the aisle." The premises are so far away that it's like we're speaking a different language.

Too bad -- I learned a lot here. But there were at least points against my continued frequent participation in these forums.

1. I'm an optimist and thus by definition in the (defensive) minority. I just can't carry on like that.
2. I realized that PO is just a small facet of the larger problem (sustainability or ecological footprint).
3. I think these problems need to be approached from a different angle and I'm still trying to figure out what that is.

Maybe I'll post again when I figure out #3, if only to point you all to that essay on my blog once I've written it. :)


That's exactly where I am John, though I still very much enjoy the multitude and variety of topics and viewpoints on this forum.
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby Jack » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 19:18:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('johnmarkos', '
')1. I'm an optimist and thus by definition in the (defensive) minority. I just can't carry on like that.
2. I realized that PO is just a small facet of the larger problem (sustainability or ecological footprint).
3. I think these problems need to be approached from a different angle and I'm still trying to figure out what that is.


1) I, too, am an optimist. I think I can go through several years of the dieoff before I become a casualty.

2) True. There are way too many people. The global population needs to be pruned to under one billion. Not to worry - that's coming.

3) Yes, there is a different approach. However, people get all huffy when I start talking about the joy of Iodine-131.

8)
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby Bas » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 19:29:29

I'm sure we will regret how we have went about business over the last 50 years or so for centuries to come, that's the only thing I can say with certainty. If it's not for a big dieoff then it will be for climate change or something else or, more likely, a combination of issues.
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby PolestaR » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 22:15:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheTurtle', 'W')ere you sleeping during Hurricane Katrina? :?

The refugees didn't walk out of NOLA trying to get to a better place. They made their way to the Superdome where they sat and waited to be rescued. Had relief taken longer to get there, I suspect most of them would have perished while waiting for someone to save them.

As AgentR has suggested, there is a big difference between spending ones lifetime walking to and from the refrigerator and walking for hours at a time over rough terrain. The first does not qualify one to effectively accomplish the second.


Sorry but you did not read my further post which explained this (another skill lacking with hypothesizing). Katrina showed people (outside of it anyhow) that in a major crisis you might not be rescued, at least SOON. Either way going into Katrina people didn't think that no one would help them at all, and they were right, eventually the govt saved them. They had ways to survive provided by the govt which kept them from their own ideas. Why would most people start being violent and walking somewhere better when they know someone will fly in with a helicopter and take them to WALMART?

Even if you formulate that 80% of the population is unfit, that means 20% is fit and could easily walk great distances. I just find it hilarious how your lack of cognitive ability allows you to think of the average american/westernite as some 300lb slob that could barely walk 1 mile before they collapsed from a heart attack. I'd sure love to have you leading -MY- retreat....... "Well you see guys.. the reason we died was because I assumed only the odd person would leave Los Angeles".

WHEN people know there is NO hope and NO saviour they will quickly start thinking for themselves again, and formulate their own ideas. Like some in Katrina did, regardless of fitness. A lot will die in the city centers, I never proposed otherwise. However to think a great horde of people won't leave cities (it might only be 20-40% max, which when the base is 2 million makes it a horde) is ludicrous. I sure hope you place your retreat <100 miles from a city center along with AgentR here, we could do to wipe out a few more cornucopians. ;)
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby Lighthouse » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 22:55:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Bas', 'p')s I did think his post here was quite funny :) But if he argues that PO won't come because it hasn't already, he's wrong. Same goes for calling someone a cornucopian...it's not an argument.


Duh! He argues PO arrived last year and there are no effects yet.


Well, he is a ... (fill in the blank). Just look at the effect in Australia. The National Accounts, released yesterday, show Australia's GDP grew by just 0.3 per cent in the September quarter, taking the annual growth rate to 2.2 per cent.

Half of Australia's states and territories suffered negative economic growth (nice way of saying a SHRINKING economy) in the quarter.We have a record foreign debt which is around half the size of our GDP. Inflation is still not under control.

This has RECESSION written all over it.

And PolstaR, again, a man with your talents, skills an attitude is more than welcome on my block of land.
I am a sarcastic cynic. Some say I'm an asshole. Now that we have that out of the way ...
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby TheTurtle » Thu 07 Dec 2006, 17:40:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PolestaR', 'I')'d sure love to have you leading -MY- retreat.......
I sure hope you place your retreat <100 miles from a city center along with AgentR here, we could do to wipe out a few more cornucopians. ;)


A few things:

1. I am willing to entertain the notion that when people get desperate, some of them might wander away from urban centers looking for food. Some of those might even cover a little distance. A very few of those might even become highly successful scavenging marauders.
2. A "retreat" is not part of even my most pessimistic plans.
3. Are you calling ME a cornucopian? 8O Or am I misunderstanding that line?
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby Ludi » Thu 07 Dec 2006, 18:30:57

What is considered the appropriate response to the Zombie Horde threat, Polestar?

8O

I wonder what sort of food they expect to find in "the country"......
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby JohnnyMac » Thu 07 Dec 2006, 21:13:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnnyMac', ' ') I don't mean wind & solar panels - the world needs to create new forms of energy with something like nanotechnology.


Energy cannot be created. 1st Law.


I didn't mean that:

http://smalley.rice.edu/
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby ReserveGrowthRulz » Thu 07 Dec 2006, 21:21:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnnyMac', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnnyMac', ' ') I don't mean wind & solar panels - the world needs to create new forms of energy with something like nanotechnology.


Energy cannot be created. 1st Law.


I didn't mean that:



When Monte responds to people with one of his simple answer quotes, that is usually the case.
So....heading into our 3rd year post peak and I'm still getting caught in traffic jams!! DieOff already!
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby jeezlouise » Thu 07 Dec 2006, 21:28:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'W')hat is considered the appropriate response to the Zombie Horde threat, Polestar?

8O

I wonder what sort of food they expect to find in "the country"......


"The country" in most large cities is just endless tracks of suburbia.. plenty of WalMarts and such to loot before the real country begins, where we're talking about miles between houses. The human cost of venturing into those areas would far outweigh the meager benefits, if they came at all, and I think even a zombie would realize that before too long. Why wander out into the wilderness on vague hopes of food when there's a virgin dumpster right in front of me?

Roving gangs with trucks and stolen gas, maybe. Shoeless zombie hordes just walking and eating and killing? I'm sorry, but I just don't see it happening.
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby JohnnyMac » Thu 07 Dec 2006, 21:39:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jeezlouise', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'R')oving gangs with trucks and stolen gas, maybe. Shoeless zombie hordes just walking and eating and killing? I'm sorry, but I just don't see it happening.


Will we still have Wal-Mart? Not sure which is worse. :-D
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby JohnnyMac » Thu 07 Dec 2006, 22:08:34

http://business.guardian.co.uk/story/0,,1957692,00.html

"How mirrors can light up the world"
Scientists say the global energy crisis can be solved by using the desert sun

Ashley Seager
Monday November 27, 2006

Two German scientists, Dr Gerhard Knies and Dr Franz Trieb, calculate that covering just 0.5% of the world's hot deserts with a technology called concentrated solar power (CSP) would provide the world's entire electricity needs, with the technology also providing desalinated water to desert regions as a valuable byproduct, as well as air conditioning for nearby cities.
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby PolestaR » Fri 08 Dec 2006, 00:19:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'W')hat is considered the appropriate response to the Zombie Horde threat, Polestar?


The minimum would be some place to defend and attack form (like a retreat) in a fairly remote location. With enough people to defend and attack with, depending upon the circumstances.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I') wonder what sort of food they expect to find in "the country"......


Well like most americans you probably don't know that Big Macs come from these animals called cows. These animal type things are typically on land far from urban centers, land which is cheap and plentiful. You can kill these animals and actually eat them. :lol:

Also grain stockpiles, crops and other various things which make up your Big Mac and fries, Ludi, come from the country. They don't magically regenerate like oil does in the core of the earth in the cornucopian world.
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby PolestaR » Fri 08 Dec 2006, 00:23:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheTurtle', 'A') few things:

1. I am willing to entertain the notion that when people get desperate, some of them might wander away from urban centers looking for food. Some of those might even cover a little distance. A very few of those might even become highly successful scavenging marauders.
2. A "retreat" is not part of even my most pessimistic plans.
3. Are you calling ME a cornucopian? 8O Or am I misunderstanding that line?


1. I am willing to entertain the notion that you have an optimistic viewpoint and maybe you think just because you want a soft landing, or a cosy ride, that it will happen. Don't worry you aren't alone, you are the majority.
2. Ok.
3. Yes.
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby seahorse » Fri 08 Dec 2006, 00:23:42

Polestar, next your going to tell me that brown cows don't make chocolate milk, or that, even cows have horns.

Where do chicken nuggets come from?
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby PolestaR » Fri 08 Dec 2006, 00:27:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seahorse', 'P')olestar, next your going to tell me that brown cows don't make chocolate milk, or that, even cows have horns.

Where do chicken nuggets come from?


:lol:

Chicken nuggets come from special chickens that KFC own the patent on. Basically instead of eggs they plop out nuggets ready to be microwaved. It's that kind of crazy thinking which might just save us. 8O
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Re: Where did all the doomers go?

Postby Benzin » Fri 08 Dec 2006, 01:29:04

Wait a minute, I thought the idea of Peak Oil was the availability of cheap and accessible oil? Some appear to be of the opinion that, we'll be chugging along right now as we are then POOF, all oil is gone. I think it's safe to say oil will be around for awhile, but how cheap or plentiful it will be is anyone's guess.

Would it not be logical to assume that things like money and the economy will get tighter before everything falters? Could it not be conceivable that "zombie hordes" could roam before everything goes to hell? Surely there would be enough to pillage for the time being.
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