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THE Hezbollah Thread (merged)

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Re: Hezbollah Broke Israeli Codes

Postby rwwff » Thu 14 Sep 2006, 13:18:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Miki', 'Y')ou created this war. You even trained and funded Al Qaeda. Now reap what you sow, or DO SOMETHING for your government to stop helping the terrorists recruit followers.


Something to go along with Specops note... Has Al Qaeda killed more Arabs, et al, or Americans?

Maybe training them was a good bargain afterall?
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Re: Hezbollah Broke Israeli Codes

Postby Dreamtwister » Thu 14 Sep 2006, 13:41:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('strider3700', 'H')ow do you jam an anti missle system? do our ships really require outside communications to know that there is a missle coming in and to target it? Or is this a case of confusing the system with some form of counter measures?


It depends on the system. The Barak point defense system (the one mentioned in the article) is RADAR guided. RADAR jamming has been around for almost as long as RADAR has. All you have to do is broadcast an electronic interference signal at the same frequency at which the RADAR system operates. Contrary to what the article seems to imply, it's not all that sophisticated. You can build a jammer with about 300 dollars worth of readily available electronics. The only difference between a home-built model and an actual military grade one is power output. But even a several hundred megawatt jammer is easily within the capabilities of an organization as well funded as Hezbollah.
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Re: Hezbollah Broke Israeli Codes

Postby rwwff » Thu 14 Sep 2006, 13:46:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dreamtwister', 'w')orth of readily available electronics. The only difference between a home-built model and an actual military grade one is power output. But even a several hundred megawatt jammer is easily within the capabilities of an organization as well funded as Hezbollah.


This gets back to sanctuary. Without sanctuary, such a device is a huge self-illuminating practice target; especially in the restricted area Hezb had to opperate in. With sanctuary, it was entirely adequate to shut down the Israeli system.

I don't think we've seen even the full first act of this particular production; I doubt sanctuary will be included in Act 3.
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Re: Hezbollah Broke Israeli Codes

Postby Dreamtwister » Thu 14 Sep 2006, 13:58:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rwwff', 'T')his gets back to sanctuary. Without sanctuary, such a device is a huge self-illuminating practice target; especially in the restricted area Hezb had to opperate in. With sanctuary, it was entirely adequate to shut down the Israeli system.

I don't think we've seen even the full first act of this particular production; I doubt sanctuary will be included in Act 3.


You don't need sanctuary to operate a jammer. Sure, it makes life easier, but a 50MW base jammer can run off of a car battery and fit in the trunk. Maybe 50 years ago, when electronics were run off of vaccuum tubes and punch cards sanctuary would have been necessary, but those days are long gone. These days, all you need is a 12v power source, a 12" parabolic dish, an amplifier and a soldering iron.
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Re: Hezbollah Broke Israeli Codes

Postby rwwff » Thu 14 Sep 2006, 14:05:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dreamtwister', 'Y')ou don't need sanctuary to operate a jammer. Sure, it makes life easier, but a 50MW base jammer can run off of a car battery and fit in the trunk. Maybe 50 years ago, when electronics were run off of vaccuum tubes and punch cards sanctuary would have been necessary, but those days are long gone. These days, all you need is a 12v power source, a 12" satellite dish, an amplifier and a soldering iron.


You don't need it to operate it. You need sanctuary to keep from getting blown up over the course of a multiweek engagement. Especially in a space as small as Lebanon.

This does notably provide a perfectly reasonable military rationale for destroying lots of roads and bridges. Restrict the movements of the car-jammer, isolate, and destroy via HARM strike, or cluster munition if deamed necessary.
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Re: Hezbollah Broke Israeli Codes

Postby Dreamtwister » Thu 14 Sep 2006, 14:36:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rwwff', 'Y')ou don't need it to operate it. You need sanctuary to keep from getting blown up over the course of a multiweek engagement. Especially in a space as small as Lebanon.


This is true. But it's also pretty hard to hit a moving target that looks just like every other beat up Austin Mini. Your only viable alternatives are to either a) wait for the car to stop and the driver to hold the dish out the window, hoping he's still there by the time you fire, or b) flatten every car in Lebenon.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rwwff', 'T')his does notably provide a perfectly reasonable military rationale for destroying lots of roads and bridges. Restrict the movements of the car-jammer, isolate, and destroy via HARM strike, or cluster munition if deamed necessary.


Since when is more rationale needed though? Disrupting supply lines by destroying roads and bridges has been a prudent and obvious tactic since the dawn of warfare. I don't think anyone, even Miki was suggesting otherwise.

The problem came when the Israelis would say "OK we're going to bomb x target in 2 hours. If you're a civilian, you better get out", and then when the civilians *do* try to leave, they find all of the roadways destroyed, and then for the Israelis to open fire on the traffic jams. That's not good tactics, that's sadism.
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Re: Hezbollah Broke Israeli Codes

Postby rwwff » Thu 14 Sep 2006, 14:41:30

I don't disagree concerning the morality of the way the fight was executed.

I'm only refering to the ease with which such a target can be eliminated by use of AGM-88 HARMs or cluster munitions.

You don't need to see it or ID it to kill it. You just have to "hear" the thing whining. The HARM will do the rest.

That is, unless the target is in an area that has been granted sanctuary by the attacking force; and there were several such havens on the battlefield.
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Re: Hezbollah Broke Israeli Codes

Postby Dreamtwister » Thu 14 Sep 2006, 14:56:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rwwff', 'I')'m only refering to the ease with which such a target can be eliminated by use of AGM-88 HARMs or cluster munitions.

You don't need to see it or ID it to kill it. You just have to "hear" the thing whining. The HARM will do the rest.


I don't know. It seems that "shoot and scoot" might be a good way to run a mobile jammer. You get 3 or 4 cars driving around, they stop for a minute, fire up the jammer, then shut it down and move on. You don't need 100% jamming to disable the RADAR, you only need a few seconds. Remember, an Exocet (just an example. To my knowledge, Hezbollah has no such munitions in thier arsenal) can cover a hundred miles in about 7 minutes. You only need to jam the anti-missle RADAR long enough to get the munitions in the air and on-target. You don't even need to jam for the entire flight time, just long enough that the rocket or missle can close the distance to target in less time than it takes reaction systems to lock on.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rwwff', 'T')hat is, unless the target is in an area that has been granted sanctuary by the attacking force; and there were several such havens on the battlefield.


Well, that's a whole different kettle of fish.
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Re: Hezbollah Broke Israeli Codes

Postby rwwff » Thu 14 Sep 2006, 15:08:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dreamtwister', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rwwff', 'I')'m only refering to the ease with which such a target can be eliminated by use of AGM-88 HARMs or cluster munitions.

You don't need to see it or ID it to kill it. You just have to "hear" the thing whining. The HARM will do the rest.


I don't know. It seems that "shoot and scoot" might be a good way to run a mobile jammer. You get 3 or 4 cars driving around, they stop for a minute, fire up the jammer, then shut it down and move on. You don't need 100% jamming to disable the RADAR, you only need a few seconds. Remember, an Exocet (just an example. To my knowledge, Hezbollah has no such munitions in thier arsenal) can cover a hundred miles in about 7 minutes. You only need to jam the anti-missle RADAR long enough to get the munitions in the air and on-target. You don't even need to jam for the entire flight time, just long enough that the rocket or missle can close the distance to target in less time than it takes reaction systems to lock on.


I don't disagree with the tactic, I just think it would have a fairly short lifespan when the real push occurs. Not that they won't sink a few boats/ships in the process; that should be expected and is an acceptable loss, but it won't have any impact on the integrity of a Naval blockade of Lebanese ports; just as it didn't have any impact on the blockade this time around.

My point simply is, that in this particular engagement, Hezb had sanctuary for such gear, and could use it with impunity because the Israelis basically told them they could.

And, um, an Exocet is way beyond the capabilities of the Hezb's to manage. If there's Exocets or Silkworms involved next time around, the Iranians are undoubtedly pulling the triggers.
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Re: Hezbollah Broke Israeli Codes

Postby Dreamtwister » Thu 14 Sep 2006, 16:11:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rwwff', 'I') don't disagree with the tactic, I just think it would have a fairly short lifespan when the real push occurs. Not that they won't sink a few boats/ships in the process; that should be expected and is an acceptable loss, but it won't have any impact on the integrity of a Naval blockade of Lebanese ports; just as it didn't have any impact on the blockade this time around.


Probably true, but I get the distinct impression that the Israelis don't have the stomach for a protracted, high-casualty engagement. Against US forces, I'd say you were 100% on, but with the Israelis, despite thier desire for regional expansion and hatred of thier neighbors, the sight of jewish blood still makes them hold back. Sinking a US destroyer would only harden the navy's resolve, but sinking an Israeli destroyer *might* do sufficient morale damage to force the Israelis to withdraw. Again.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rwwff', 'A')nd, um, an Exocet is way beyond the capabilities of the Hezb's to manage. If there's Exocets or Silkworms involved next time around, the Iranians are undoubtedly pulling the triggers.


I'm aware of that. In fact, I specifically mentioned that I did not believe Hezbollah had such capabilities. I only used the Exocet as an example because they are so widespread and commonly known. They could *theoretically* aquire and use them under the right circumstances. If I had said "Katyusha" or "Ra'ad", everyone would have had to look it up to understand what I was talking about. But by saying "Exocet", everyone immediately grasps the concept.
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Re: Hezbollah Broke Israeli Codes

Postby rwwff » Thu 14 Sep 2006, 16:49:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dreamtwister', 'P')robably true, but I get the distinct impression that the Israelis don't have the stomach for a protracted, high-casualty engagement.


I'm not sure of this as a general statement. As applied to the current government in Israel, I agree completely. As a result, I suspect them to lose badly in the next election, and a government with more willingness to engage hard to take its place.

Parliaments are so wierd.... :x

ps: I understand what you're saying about the Exocet reference.
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Re: Hezbollah Broke Israeli Codes

Postby Lawmage » Sun 17 Sep 2006, 18:34:18

Interesting discussion. For what its worth, the recent Israeli conflict with Hizballah was not what many in the media would have us believe. It was curious in that it did not run according to what many thought was the conventional wisdom but upon deeper examination it ran as one should have expected.

One would do well to understand some key things about the current Israeli leadership and its national security strategies. Olmert is a protege of Peres, a point that ought not to be overlooked. Peres presided over the 2000 withdrawal of IDF forces from southern Lebanon. Peres was unwilling to accept the trickle of IDF casualties from the the Hizballah insurgency for what were at best minor Israeli interests. Frankly, apart from preventing Hizballah attacks on Israel, Israel has no real interests in Lebanon. With that in mind, it is hardly surprising that Olmert would be disinclined to wage a counterinsurgency campaign in Lebanon. As such, he went with the Air Force's plan for an air campaign. Arguably, Israel never had any intention of repeating its occupation of Lebanon.

From the Israeli perspective, an air campaign with a limited ground incursion was the rational course to take. Of course, one can argue (as I have elsewhere) that the Israelis failed to properly consider the consequences fo leaving the Hizballah with intact military formations. I speak of psychological consequences not just for the IDF and the Israeli people but also for the broader Arab world. The IDF's aura of invincibility was sorely diminished by its failure to destroy Hizballah, which was never a realistic possibility in the first place.

I am not so sure about NordicHero's opening post though. With all due respect to Mr Sale, I have seen nothing to suggest that Hizballah was able to "hack into" Israeli operational communications or to spoof its electronic systems or the like. This is remarkable given my line of work. As for an Israeli "failure" to jam opposition communications systems, I would not read too much into that. Some systems are simply not readily jammed. While I don't claim to know the exact communications systems used at the Iranian embassy, I see no reason not to suspect they were land linked to external transmitters or burst capable or frequency hopping. The Iranians are hardly a bunch of incompetent fools...nor are their Lebanese students.
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Hezbollah prepares for Victory Rally!

Postby qwerty » Fri 22 Sep 2006, 10:33:44

"Hundreds of thousands of Hezbollah supporters are expected in Beirut for a rally to celebrate the group's "divine victory" over Israel. The rally on Friday, called for by the group's leader Hassan Nasrallah ..."

Hezbollah leader Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah has arrived at a victory rally in south Beirut in his first public appearance since July 12, when Israel's offensive in Lebanon began.

Nasrallah joined hundreds of thousands of Hezbollah supporters who filled the devastated southern suburbs of Beirut on Friday with a sea of yellow flags to celebrate "divine victory" in their month-long war against Israel.

"However much we lost in terms of martyrs and destruction of houses, we remain steadfast"

- Ali Shalghub,
Hezbollah supporter


"Let us renew our covenant and declare our joy at the divine victory to the whole world."

LINK

{thread moved from Current Energy News by Shannymara}
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Re: Hezbollah prepares for Victory Rally!

Postby budeone » Fri 22 Sep 2006, 10:39:31

This is not over and never was. If he won.. boy I would hate to have seen it if he lost.
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Re: Hezbollah prepares for Victory Rally!

Postby mekrob » Fri 22 Sep 2006, 11:08:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('budeone', 'T')his is not over and never was. If he won.. boy I would hate to have seen it if he lost.


You're thinking of Lebanon. They are not the same as Hizbullah. Hizbullah did not have that many casualties. The vast majority of those 1,000 dead were civilians, not Hizbullah. In fact, Hizbullah and the IDF had fairly similar casualties amounts despite IDF having 10 times as many troops and much more advanced weapons.
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Re: Hezbollah prepares for Victory Rally!

Postby budeone » Fri 22 Sep 2006, 11:22:12

I agree, but how many troops really were in there?

They were just getting ready to invade when they called off the war. If they would have had a chance to go in.. what would have happened. I think Israel would have lost MANY more then they thought when they had it on paper..

They should have been given the chance to go in and just take care of this mess.

All that happened is they had crumbs on the table and brushed them on the floor.
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