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Polishing the Brass on the Titanic

How to save energy through both societal and individual actions.

Re: Polishing the Brass on the Titanic

Postby clv101 » Sun 02 Apr 2006, 15:22:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('clv101', 'I') was kind of expecting that... but it's not lack of algebraic comprehension or a solid understanding of the exponential function.

So why is conservation not good? Or infact actually bad? Can you elaborate?


Yes I can...

http://depletion.blogspot.com/2005/12/v ... jevon.html


No Aaron, that just talks about classical Jevons paradox - I doubt anyone disagrees with that. But my point is that Jevons paradox breaks down in an environment where energy supply is constrained and reducing.
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Re: Polishing the Brass on the Titanic

Postby Ludi » Sun 02 Apr 2006, 15:34:31

Nah, being a frugal lazybones doesn't hurt Society more than some other action I could take, like being a hardworking spendthrift who gets sick, can't work, and has to go on public assistance.

I prefer my way, selfish though it may be.

Tough on y'all. You can go work and consume your way into Heaven if you want to.

Whatever.
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Re: Polishing the Brass on the Titanic

Postby coyote » Sun 02 Apr 2006, 15:40:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('clv101', 'P')ersonally I think Jevons paradox (sometimes called rebound effect) breaks down in a world where net available energy supply is reducing. If conservation of energy doesn't increase your wealth (since energy price has gone up) and/or if conservation doesn't reduce the price of energy (since energy total supply has fallen by at least as much as you conserved) then Jevons paradox simply doesn't apply post peak.

No, I think Aaron's right about that. Markets are fluid systems, and prices are relative. Think of it this way: conservation will always make the price of a commodity lower than it would have been otherwise. Which affects how it's traded, what the spread against the currency and other commodities looks like -- and how much is consumed, by whomever can afford it. Including, in this case, the other end-products of oil as well as the stuff itself. Jevon's Paradox changes a little after the peak, but still applies. There will be less oil available in ten years than there is now. We're pretty sure of that, right? Currently, Jevon's Paradox says that we as a society will always consume all that we want, even if some people conserve. Post-peak, Jevon's Paradox says that we will always consume all that is available, even if some people conserve. Given the current paradigm, of course. I agree with Aaron's assessment of Jevon's Paradox, just not with his conclusion that attempting a change is pointless and harmful.
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Re: Polishing the Brass on the Titanic

Postby Aaron » Sun 02 Apr 2006, 15:42:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'l')ower than it would have been otherwise.


And we have a winner...
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: Polishing the Brass on the Titanic

Postby pilferage » Sun 02 Apr 2006, 16:39:19

The common tragedy yes yes yes... ;)

But in all seriousness Aaron, you seem to be basing your post on an assumption that hasn't been shown to be true, i.e. infinite growth.
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Re: Polishing the Brass on the Titanic

Postby Aaron » Sun 02 Apr 2006, 17:16:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'A')aron your argument is economic. The study of evolution, ethology, and human psychology suggest that maternalism and its group corollary altruism are genetically predisposed. The same mechanism that promotes self-sacrifice allows conservation to succeed, regardless of what market mechanism you believe controls human nature and behavior.


And just what "self-sacrifice" are you demonstrating by adopting the Eco-fairy paradigm?

Seems to me you are doing that for your own personal benefit.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut in all seriousness Aaron, you seem to be basing your post on an assumption that hasn't been shown to be true, i.e. infinite growth.


Quite correct... infinite growth is an impossibility.

Despite the Eco-terrorists who insist on keeping the ball rolling at any cost.

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The fault dear Brutus, lies not within our stars... but within ourselves.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 's')elf-sacrifice allows conservation to succeed


For your little tribe it does... at the expense of the everyone else.
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: Polishing the Brass on the Titanic

Postby Texas_T » Sun 02 Apr 2006, 18:53:36

Jevons paradox is fundamentally flawed for a simple reason....it is virtually impossible to define "conservation". Conservation as it applies to energy really means an increase in efficiency...and efficiency is a relative not an absolute term.

Let me illustrate:

Say that you and I live next door to each other in identical houses with identical heating systems. We each keep our thermostats set at 72 degrees all winter, nice and toasty. Now, I become a misguided "greenie" and decide to keep my thermostat at 68 degrees to "conserve".....of course we all agree that this is a TERRIBLE thing because it will simply hasten our collective demise. So you can stay smug, knowing that you have not made any miguided attempts to "conserve".....

But wait a minute...you are actually "conserving" as well....BS you say, I have my thermostat at a toasty 72 degrees....well you COULD set it higher than that, say at 80 or 90 degrees, and if you get too warm just open some windows. But since you have chosen a relatively "efficient" setpoint of 72 degrees, you are just as guilty of evil "conservation" efforts as am I.

Or, lets say that we both drive big SUV's that get an average of 15 miles per gallon. In my misguided greenie zeal, I trade mine in on a hybrid, which gets 60 miles to the gallon. I am only killing us off faster, you say? Well, you are too....the reason being that you COULD own and drive an SUV that gets even lower mileage, say 10 miles to the gallon....therefore again you have made the choice to conserve by driving a vehicle that is RELATIVELY efficient.

Efficiency is a continuum....whatever you do, chances are there are more efficient ways to do it and less efficient ways.
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Re: Polishing the Brass on the Titanic

Postby Jack » Sun 02 Apr 2006, 19:48:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jack', '
')As for me, I consume and shall continue to do so. I will prepare as best I can. And in the end, when the starving hordes come to take what they can, I shall give them a memorable welcome.

[smilie=qright5.gif]
Didn't your granny ever tell you that sharing was fun and good for you? Of course stupid cornucopean scams like biomass, switchgrass, and shuttles to Jupiter are idiotic. Like duh. But conservation? conservative?
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Answers.com', '
') 1. To protect from loss or harm; preserve: calls to conserve our national heritage in the face of bewildering change.
2. To use carefully or sparingly, avoiding waste: kept the thermostat lower to conserve energy.
2. To keep (a quantity) constant through physical or chemical reactions or evolutionary changes.
3. To preserve (fruits) with sugar.

I guess that makes you a liberal?


There are a few who have tried to present the altruistic (i.e., sharing) argument to me. They have failed utterly to persuade me. Sharing is not fun, nor is it "good for me." Rather, it diminishes my resources to the benefit of another. Now, if that other is a potential competitor, I have created a future disaster.

Some will argue that I might have helped a potential ally; but this is not sharing; rather, it is bribery and manipulation at its finest.

As for conservation - so long as I conserve supplies and resources for my future use, then conservation is all very well. The trouble is in conserving resources that I don't control - for then I benefit others, with no advantage to myself. Thus, I am neither liberal nor conservative. My political viewpoint is simplicity itself - those who advance my agenda are good. Those who inhibit my agenda are the enemy. Those who do neither are irrelevant.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '
')What you don't understand is something called "enlightened self-interest." Sure my conservation by itself doesn't amount to a hill of beans, but like you said, it makes me feel lordy over all the screw-ups.


Enlightened self-interest? What I hear is that you have a risk-reward algorithm that specifies a certain level of resources risked in exchange for some degree of benefit. So we simply have different values assigned to our parameters.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '
')Plus I already live in a small town of like-minded people. And have a community of people I can rely on because we are not too aggressive and pushy and selfish.


So you believe. Whether this paradigm will continue into the future is open to question. How aggressive will they become? How aggressive will you become? Hunger is remarkably transforming. Will they, or you, be immune?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '
') Plus I save money. Plus I can look the kids in the eye and say, I am not f@cking your future. Plus I am learning everyday how to live on less, need less, demand less, and look like less so the hordes won't bother me.


Saving money can be good.

I, too, can look kids in the eye and say "I am not f@cking your future." Of course, when I say it, I'm lying; saying it with a gentle smile and deluding them as to the actuality of my attitudes makes the lie all the more delicious.

Do not be so sure that the hordes won't bother you. There may come a time when 1200 calories a day will represent wealth beyond the dreams of those hordes you mention.



$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '
')And just so you don't go on believing that nice folks can't shoot the eye out of a squirrel from 100 yards, I'll show you my NRA pro-marksman patch sometimes :twisted:

I have no doubt of your technical skills. But that isn't the problem, is it? Given your views, you may need to use your skills against something other than a squirrel. It is then you will face the realities within yourself; you will decide whether you are a ruthless predator capable of doing anything to survive - or, you will decide that you are not willing to do what is needed to survive.

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Re: Polishing the Brass on the Titanic

Postby Jack » Mon 03 Apr 2006, 00:35:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'Y')ou obviously did not read my last post. There has been a sea-change in our understanding of evolutionary behavior: we are programmed to be friends with other people. The rest is propaganda used to wage endless war. I am sorry that this is not taught today but then it would destroy the system as effectively as oil depletion will.


Ahh, but I did read it. Quite carefully.

You suggest a change in the understanding of evolutionary behavior; yes, I am aware that some are proponents of that idea. I remain unconvinced.

Take away people's toys, their security - add some fear - inflict some hunger - and you will witness a wondrous transformation. The meek, self-effacing, gentle-person will suddenly become a ravening merciless beast.

Perhaps you will witness it in others; or, perhaps you will discover it within yourself. But make no mistake, the beast is part of us; it lives, just below the surface. Nor will it be denied for long.
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Re: Polishing the Brass on the Titanic

Postby pilferage » Mon 03 Apr 2006, 01:11:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut in all seriousness Aaron, you seem to be basing your post on an assumption that hasn't been shown to be true, i.e. infinite growth.


Quite correct... infinite growth is an impossibility.

Despite the Eco-terrorists who insist on keeping the ball rolling at any cost.


Well, no. Infinite growth isn't impossible either. Unless you have some convincing proof otherwise, God. ;)
Anyway, I'm not sure I'm grasping the point of this thread. Will we continue to expand? Sure, so long as there's profit to be had. Technological advancements aside, I think you have a bigger bone to pick with capitalism and corruption than some unsubstantiated human belief in an infinite manifest destiny.
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Re: Polishing the Brass on the Titanic

Postby Ayoob » Mon 03 Apr 2006, 02:02:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jack', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'Y')ou obviously did not read my last post. There has been a sea-change in our understanding of evolutionary behavior: we are programmed to be friends with other people. The rest is propaganda used to wage endless war. I am sorry that this is not taught today but then it would destroy the system as effectively as oil depletion will.


Ahh, but I did read it. Quite carefully.

You suggest a change in the understanding of evolutionary behavior; yes, I am aware that some are proponents of that idea. I remain unconvinced.

Take away people's toys, their security - add some fear - inflict some hunger - and you will witness a wondrous transformation. The meek, self-effacing, gentle-person will suddenly become a ravening merciless beast.

Perhaps you will witness it in others; or, perhaps you will discover it within yourself. But make no mistake, the beast is part of us; it lives, just below the surface. Nor will it be denied for long.


Yessssss! Yesssssss! Come to the Dark Side, Jack, and unleash your Inner Chimp! Set him free! I knew somebody other than me had it in him. What's next, Jack, what's on the menu for you? I'm heading for Canada where the sheep are fatter and dumber. What do you think?
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Re: Polishing the Brass on the Titanic

Postby Ludi » Mon 03 Apr 2006, 08:32:44

Personally, I think cooperation is learned behavior and not genetic, but *shrug*
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Re: Polishing the Brass on the Titanic

Postby Doly » Mon 03 Apr 2006, 09:05:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'P')ersonally, I think cooperation is learned behavior and not genetic, but *shrug*


We have strong genetic instincts to cooperate with certain people, specifically our family and friends. We don't have any instincts to cooperate with strangers, and if we do, that's learned behaviour. The problem is that two people may view their relationship in very different ways, ie you think I'm a friend while I think you are a stranger and I don't care about taking advantage of you.
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Re: Polishing the Brass on the Titanic

Postby Raxozanne » Mon 03 Apr 2006, 11:26:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jack', '
')
Ahh, but I did read it. Quite carefully.

You suggest a change in the understanding of evolutionary behavior; yes, I am aware that some are proponents of that idea. I remain unconvinced.

Take away people's toys, their security - add some fear - inflict some hunger - and you will witness a wondrous transformation. The meek, self-effacing, gentle-person will suddenly become a ravening merciless beast.

Perhaps you will witness it in others; or, perhaps you will discover it within yourself. But make no mistake, the beast is part of us; it lives, just below the surface. Nor will it be denied for long.


They say that is what happened to the Ik of Uganda.
A deteriorating environment didn't bring about a culture of 'everyone pulling together' rather 'everyman, women and child above 3 for themselves' approach.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '
')You obviously did not read my last post. There has been a sea-change in our understanding of evolutionary behavior: we are programmed to be friends with other people. The rest is propaganda used to wage endless war.


Seriously if we are so predisposed to altruism, being friends and sharing why didn't we achieve world peace ages ago?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '
')Yes. We are a warrior society by tradition and hard, repetitive,and constant training complements of the advertising industry. We are anxious, striving, brash, pushy, macho, mean, loud, and opinionated. This is our worldview. We are aggressive demanding consumptive people and I do not buy into the training. I resist it.


Ages ago Aborigine tribes in Australia/Malaysia/Hawaii were knocking the crap out of each other and they didn't have any advertising to encourage them. It's what they had to do just to survive against other tribes looking for any opportunity to expand or exploit, to gain advantage and proliferate their genes further.
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