Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Economics - Science or Religion?

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby Zentric » Tue 21 Feb 2006, 19:19:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zentric', 'S')o, what I'm saying, as shown by what Jaws is saying, is that Economics is a religion, practiced by robots, who are unable to hone in on a point, and who blame others for their screw ups, yet will always gladly cash their paychecks and collect their pensions.


No, I think that Jaws was saying is that there is a One True Religion called Economics, but there are many heresies abound today, for various reasons, such as bumping up against reality various false prophets have manipulated the message and come up with false doctrines. One day the true prophet will descend and will reveal the true message again.


Hi Roger,

I think Jaws was saying a couple things. On one hand he said what you just said. On the other, he said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')e would never have achieved the level of wealth we have today (and that many people on this forum fear a collapse from) had the laws of economics not been researched and applied in the 19th century. The problem was that it was still an emerging science ... Thus began the decline of economics from hard science to the total confusion it exists in today.


He also said this:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he experiments in socialism, despite being responsible for the calamity that befell Europe and subsequently the rest of the world in the mid-20th century, had to be somehow explained away as legitimate by the mainstream economics profession (most of whom were directly or indirectly employed by socialist governments). This was done by substituting voodoo for economics, which is what Keynes' General Theory provided, and then substituting math for economics [...]


Well, which is it? Based on the above, is economics a science or a religion? Are its "laws" presentable in terms of mathematics symbols (like a science), or in fuzzy-human terms (like a religion)? Or is economics -you know, the good 19th-century version that Jaws spoke of- just a voodoo-science after all?

Heck, forget about my above question. Let's assume that the 19th century economic model was great, and that Marx was just belly-aching, and the proles at that same moment in history had had a swarm of bugs flying up their collective butts, the question I really want you to answer is, when the "true prophet" of economics does descend back down upon us, will his aim be to create as much wealth for as many people as possible, or just a relative few? Will he help to alleviate human suffering everywhere? Will he be concerned about animal welfare? Will he prevent the need for us to fight wars and give us the reason and the will to look after the planet and one another? In other words, will this economic god be relevant?

Jaws' statements seem to cancel each other out. What has he really said except for nothing at all?
User avatar
Zentric
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 709
Joined: Mon 14 Mar 2005, 04:00:00

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby Zentric » Tue 21 Feb 2006, 19:31:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zentric', 'S')o, what I'm saying, as shown by what Jaws is saying, is that Economics is a religion, practiced by robots, who are unable to hone in on a point, and who blame others for their screw ups, yet will always gladly cash their paychecks and collect their pensions.

No, that's not quite right. You can't just label "economics" as everything that people claim is economics today. There are different schools who have different theories. The economists that you read in the paper and press reports are obviously paid to say what they're saying, so don't assume they're saying the truth. That doesn't mean there is no such thing as truth in economics.


Fair enough, Jaws. But until you tell me where the "truth in economics" is hiding, and that this truth is relevant for solving larger-societal problems, I'm sticking to my robot statement.
User avatar
Zentric
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 709
Joined: Mon 14 Mar 2005, 04:00:00
Top

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby rogerhb » Tue 21 Feb 2006, 19:34:56

My definition of an economist is "someone who knows the price of everything but the value of nothing".
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
User avatar
rogerhb
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4727
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Smalltown New Zealand

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby jaws » Tue 21 Feb 2006, 20:16:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zentric', 'W')ell, which is it? Based on the above, is economics a science or a religion? Are its "laws" presentable in terms of mathematics symbols (like a science), or in fuzzy-human terms (like a religion)? Or is economics -you know, the good 19th-century version that Jaws spoke of- just a voodoo-science after all?

Math is not the same thing as science. Science is understanding. Math is a language used to express science, but is not necessarily applicable to every field.

Economics has a lot in common with math, in that it is a logical science based on deduction of a priori knowledge. Many theorems of economics can be illustrated in math to make them easier to understand, but for many purposes math is actually a hindrance. This is why contemporary neoclassical economics is so confused. They have locked themselves in math and have forced themselves to ignore any issue that cannot be expressed with math.

Truth in economics has to be derived logically. If the assumptions are a priori true and no errors in logic have been made in the deductions then the conclusions are necessarily true as well. Reformulating them with mathematics is not only pointless, it fails Occam's Razor and makes the science worse.
User avatar
jaws
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1228
Joined: Sun 24 Apr 2005, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby jaws » Tue 21 Feb 2006, 20:17:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', 'M')y definition of an economist is "someone who knows the price of everything but the value of nothing".

That is actually a fundamental axiom of economics. Value is subjective to every person. I cannot know the value that other people attach to goods, only what value I attach to goods. That makes prices necessary to intermediate value between people.
User avatar
jaws
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1228
Joined: Sun 24 Apr 2005, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby rogerhb » Tue 21 Feb 2006, 20:31:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', 'M')y definition of an economist is "someone who knows the price of everything but the value of nothing".

That is actually a fundamental axiom of economics. Value is subjective to every person. I cannot know the value that other people attach to goods, only what value I attach to goods. That makes prices necessary to intermediate value between people.


So:

1. Asking what is the state of the economy is irrelevent to the real world.

2. Asking if last years GDP is better than the previous is impossible, all you can do is tell the difference.

3. Its pointless asking economist an opinion on what would be a good policy to follow for the benefit of a country, because they can't put a price on it.
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
User avatar
rogerhb
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4727
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Smalltown New Zealand
Top

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby Zentric » Tue 21 Feb 2006, 21:03:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zentric', 'W')ell, which is it? Based on the above, is economics a science or a religion? Are its "laws" presentable in terms of mathematics symbols (like a science), or in fuzzy-human terms (like a religion)? Or is economics -you know, the good 19th-century version that Jaws spoke of- just a voodoo-science after all?

Math is not the same thing as science. Science is understanding. Math is a language used to express science, but is not necessarily applicable to every field.

Economics has a lot in common with math, in that it is a logical science based on deduction of a priori knowledge. Many theorems of economics can be illustrated in math to make them easier to understand, but for many purposes math is actually a hindrance. This is why contemporary neoclassical economics is so confused. They have locked themselves in math and have forced themselves to ignore any issue that cannot be expressed with math.

Truth in economics has to be derived logically. If the assumptions are a priori true and no errors in logic have been made in the deductions then the conclusions are necessarily true as well. Reformulating them with mathematics is not only pointless, it fails Occam's Razor and makes the science worse.


Your arguments are ridiculous. Someone out there has programmed you to use words like math, science, logic and truth, but did not take the time to teach you how to use these words correctly. If your argument is that economics has been bastardized, then point taken. On the other hand, if you claim that true economics flows from immutable laws or "a priori" truths, as you say, then you are so far from making a convincing argument, it's tragic.

Please, turn us on to the pure, pristine and inviolate economic laws that will mend our souls and heal the world.

Otherwise, do you have an "off" switch?
User avatar
Zentric
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 709
Joined: Mon 14 Mar 2005, 04:00:00
Top

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby jaws » Tue 21 Feb 2006, 21:18:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', '1'). Asking what is the state of the economy is irrelevent to the real world.

2. Asking if last years GDP is better than the previous is impossible, all you can do is tell the difference.

3. Its pointless asking economist an opinion on what would be a good policy to follow for the benefit of a country, because they can't put a price on it.

I agree on all points, except the third must be clarified. It is pointless asking an economist what is a "good" policy since he could just as well tell you what is good for himself. (Make me the dictator is a good policy I say!) However, what you can ask an economist is what the consequences of a policy are going to be.

To paraphrase Mises, the first task of the economist is to tell the rulers what they cannot do.
User avatar
jaws
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1228
Joined: Sun 24 Apr 2005, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby jaws » Tue 21 Feb 2006, 21:25:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zentric', 'Y')our arguments are ridiculous. Someone out there has programmed you to use words like math, science, logic and truth, but did not take the time to teach you how to use these words correctly. If your argument is that economics has been bastardized, then point taken. On the other hand, if you claim that true economics flows from immutable laws or "a priori" truths, as you say, then you are so far from making a convincing argument, it's tragic.

Please, turn us on to the pure, pristine and inviolate economic laws that will mend our souls and heal the world.

Otherwise, do you have an "off" switch?

This kind of reply is pathetic. You have no refutable counter-argument to provide, therefore you try to get away from the discussion by making a personal attack.

It is okay not to understand economics. It is a specialized discipline that many consider to be a dismal science, and most people find boring to no end. However it is wrong to pretend to know better when you have no understanding of the issues in question. You do not know economics. You cannot even begin to argue against it, and haven't. You are in fact the same as the people who attack the theory of evolution because life is too complex. Your superstitions make you wary of knowledge that can challenge everything you've always believed about the world.
User avatar
jaws
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1228
Joined: Sun 24 Apr 2005, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby Zentric » Wed 22 Feb 2006, 01:47:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zentric', 'Y')our arguments are ridiculous. Someone out there has programmed you to use words like math, science, logic and truth, but did not take the time to teach you how to use these words correctly. If your argument is that economics has been bastardized, then point taken. On the other hand, if you claim that true economics flows from immutable laws or "a priori" truths, as you say, then you are so far from making a convincing argument, it's tragic.

Please, turn us on to the pure, pristine and inviolate economic laws that will mend our souls and heal the world.

Otherwise, do you have an "off" switch?

This kind of reply is pathetic. You have no refutable counter-argument to provide, therefore you try to get away from the discussion by making a personal attack.

It is okay not to understand economics. It is a specialized discipline that many consider to be a dismal science, and most people find boring to no end. However it is wrong to pretend to know better when you have no understanding of the issues in question. You do not know economics. You cannot even begin to argue against it, and haven't. You are in fact the same as the people who attack the theory of evolution because life is too complex. Your superstitions make you wary of knowledge that can challenge everything you've always believed about the world.


Jaws, what I'm trying to say is that you are dogmatic, robotic and, your explanations are dense and rarely make sense. I'll give you the benefit of the doubt that you're here for a purpose other than to obfuscate or to share with others how to think and express one's self in riddles, in regards to your "dismal science."
User avatar
Zentric
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 709
Joined: Mon 14 Mar 2005, 04:00:00
Top

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby rogerhb » Wed 22 Feb 2006, 03:57:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zentric', 'J')aws, what I'm trying to say is that you are dogmatic, robotic and, your explanations are dense and rarely make sense.


In defence m'lud, dogmatic and consistent yes, normally they make sense, and you often find a sense of humour as you would with any James Bond villain.
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
User avatar
rogerhb
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4727
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Smalltown New Zealand
Top

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby MrBill » Wed 22 Feb 2006, 04:25:04

Green Paper on European Energy Security

The problem is not economics and that economists do not know what to do, but that a) they are being asked to solve several problems simulataneously, and b) no one like the taste of their medicine.

A few examples.

Whereas the Japanese have realized since the first oil shocks in the 1970's that their economy is totally exposed to higher energy prices and surity of supply the U.S. has yet to comprehend this in their policies despite rhetoric coming from the President which is too little, too late. The Japanese use 2/3rds the G7 average energy input per unit of output. They have focussed on both the supply and demand sides of the equation by diversifying suppliers of energy, sources of energy and reducing demand.

The US on the otherhand, refuses to acklowedge the need to save energy, so they have (almost) (publicy) ignored the demand side of the equation and focussed (almost) soley on the supply side. Finding and developing new sources of traditional oil & gas as evidenced by the last Energy Budget, which was long on tax breaks for oil companies and short on new initiatives for alternative energy or conservation. As a matter of fact subsidies for energy saving investments have been reduced.

Classic economics calls for higher prices when supply exceeds demand. No one wants to listen to that advice. The only way to curb demand is to raise prices. Tax consumption. Use that revenue to invest in alternatives like public transport. Do not use those taxes to fund road building. Tax vehicles by weight and engine size. Implement road pricing which reflect actual use. Do not punish the worker who buys a more expensive, smaller apartment closer to their work, so that they can use public transportation, and then use their taxes so some selfish idiot can live 30-miles for his job and commute to work everyday in his own auto made possible by taxes to build freeways.

People deride economists because they do not want higher taxes to pay for public spending, so they blame economists when they spend too much and then find they are in trouble and reducing spending and increasing saving would mean a) a reduced standard of living, and b) a recesssion. Once again, economists are being asked to solve two problems at the sametime. If you prefer lower taxes then insist on less government spending. Oh, I know, I have no idea.

If you want to slow the economy and therefore reduce consumption and balance your trade deficit, you need restrictive monetary policies. That means higher interest rates to choke consumption. The medicine is bitter. No one wants it. You may as well blame the doctor who prescribes chemotherapy as being hopelessly out of touch with reality, as we know chemotherapy has side effects and can make your hair fallout, and it has in any case less than a 100% chance of success of saving the patient.

So you consume and consume and over spend to fund your consumption at unsustainable levels and then you look around for someone to blame. I think part of the problem, aside from intellectual laziness, is that you're simply too wealthy and the laws of economics are therefore blunted for you. In otherwords you can afford to be uneconomical. I did the poor a disservice by implying they did not understand economics. I think I was mistaken. I think when you have no wealth cushion you know very well about the basics of economics because their supply of labor is the only thing that keeps food on their table.

And yet another day goes by and we are no closer to alleviating the economic pain of the transition to post-peak oil because we have spend so much time just covering the basics, but we can always blame that on a) the government, b) big business, c) the banks, d) economists, and e) the other guy.
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
User avatar
MrBill
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5630
Joined: Thu 15 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Eurasia

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby Zentric » Wed 22 Feb 2006, 04:36:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zentric', 'J')aws, what I'm trying to say is that you are dogmatic, robotic and, your explanations are dense and rarely make sense.


In defence m'lud, dogmatic and consistent yes, normally they make sense, and you often find a sense of humour as you would with any James Bond villain.


Uh-oh.:? Then maybe I misunderstood. Not knowing about the Bond angle, do you think I now face an untimely debt?
User avatar
Zentric
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 709
Joined: Mon 14 Mar 2005, 04:00:00
Top

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby rogerhb » Wed 22 Feb 2006, 04:41:22

Thanks MrBill. :)

That list of scapegoats just keeps getting bigger.....
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
User avatar
rogerhb
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4727
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Smalltown New Zealand

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby rogerhb » Wed 22 Feb 2006, 04:44:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zentric', 'N')ot knowing about the Bond angle, do you think I now face an untimely debt?


Beware of men with strange laughs and an unatural fondness for cats.
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
User avatar
rogerhb
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4727
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Smalltown New Zealand
Top

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby Liamj » Wed 22 Feb 2006, 07:11:18

I found Mr Bill & Jaws modestly convincing in their defence of economics, but still think no claim to hard science can be made. Which doesn't mean its a religion, they'd need to borrow a trick from the catholics (colour) first. That its not a hard science is no slur, neither are humour or systems ecology and we'd be completely sunk without them.

Assuming econ. is the sorely misused and ignored seer that aforementioned argue, then i think its time economists went on strike in defence of their reputations. Pull no more levels in the service of Voldemort! Standing in the trough whilst muttering 'but this isn't how its supposed to work' lacks credibility.
User avatar
Liamj
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 864
Joined: Wed 08 Dec 2004, 04:00:00
Location: 145'2"E 37'46"S

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby MrBill » Wed 22 Feb 2006, 08:42:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Liamj', 'I') found Mr Bill & Jaws modestly convincing in their defence of economics, but still think no claim to hard science can be made. Which doesn't mean its a religion, they'd need to borrow a trick from the catholics (colour) first. That its not a hard science is no slur, neither are humour or systems ecology and we'd be completely sunk without them.

Assuming econ. is the sorely misused and ignored seer that aforementioned argue, then i think its time economists went on strike in defence of their reputations. Pull no more levels in the service of Voldemort! Standing in the trough whilst muttering 'but this isn't how its supposed to work' lacks credibility.


Or become really cynical and stop talking about these issues. The preaching to the believers and trying to convert the non-believers. And just go about the business of making money for your own profit. That is another alternative I guess? ; - )

A classic, the timing is perfect. Reuters headline: Carlyle Group to Boost Investment in Renewable Energy. Talking about getting their while the getting is good.
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
User avatar
MrBill
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5630
Joined: Thu 15 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Eurasia
Top

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby Liamj » Wed 22 Feb 2006, 16:21:16

That is another option of course, but then don't be surprised when a mob comes knocking, wishing to renegotiate your social contract.

If economics were a religion, the Carlyle Group would be its (slick & well-spun) satanic mass.
http://www.informationclearinghouse.inf ... le3995.htm
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carlyle_Group#Controversy

Is war profiteering a market failure or just capitalism inevitably feeding off stupidity?
User avatar
Liamj
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 864
Joined: Wed 08 Dec 2004, 04:00:00
Location: 145'2"E 37'46"S

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby jaws » Wed 22 Feb 2006, 17:04:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Liamj', 'I')s war profiteering a market failure or just capitalism inevitably feeding off stupidity?
It's political corruption, nothing more. See the following on Halliburton: http://www.mises.org/story/1643

If you don't like corruption, you have to abolish politics.
User avatar
jaws
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1228
Joined: Sun 24 Apr 2005, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Economics - Science or Religion?

Postby rogerhb » Wed 22 Feb 2006, 17:59:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Liamj', 'I')s war profiteering a market failure or just capitalism inevitably feeding off stupidity?


Standard war profiteering is just capitalism in action. If you make a profit during war when others are at the front risking their lives that is war profiteering.

Have a look at how Rolls Royce ended up with Frank Whittles jet engine.

The Haliburton etc no-bids contracts is simple corruption.
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
User avatar
rogerhb
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4727
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Smalltown New Zealand
Top

PreviousNext

Return to Economics & Finance

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 52 guests