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THE Honda Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Honda Shows Its Lack of Reality

Unread postby baldwincng » Sat 05 Nov 2005, 06:44:17

The world is awash with natural gas, no sign of any shortage other than were planning prevents imports, eg US. in the same way there is a shortage of nuclear power in US, but not in France.

Do a google search on LNG and you will see that the world is full of it.

There is going to be a HUGE oversupply in UK by 2007 as a result of 3 new LNG importation projects + 3 new big pipeline projects. UK will have 50% more supply than it needs - big problem for energy efficiency as prices expected to tumble. Take a look at

http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/publicatio ... report.pdf

Natural gas is still being made - everytime you mow the lawn, go to the loo, put out potato peelings, die - all this will decay into natural gas (which is 20 times worse than CO2 as global warming). Capture this, save the planet, put off natural gas shortage, maybe for 100 years (time to do something else for energy - eg nuclear).

Do a google search on bio-gas + Sweden, again lots going on.

Home-fill is a great idea (compared to electric or h2) as it has MUCH LOWER well to wheel emissions. However, you can't beat CNG filling stations - Germany has built 675 in last 3 years, new GM Zafira on CNG to be launched Q1 2006 will be great, as is the new Mercedes E Class on CNG.

By the way, CNG also a great way of storing night time electricity as you fill at night on cheap elec. Cheaper than a battery or h2!!!!

There are now 1 million cng cars in Brazil and Argentina, all Delhi public transport on CNG, all 18000 Beijing buses to be CNG by 2008 olympics.

Countries in the Middle East are switching the fuel for vehicle transportation from petroleum to natural gas.

CNG is very easy to do, solves air quality problems (as in Iran), no need to build refineries to make petrol/diesel to serve growing populations. In addition, producing more natural gas brings with it more condensate which has no OPEC quota. And, of course, not wasting valuable petroleum to run cars, buses and trucks means that even oil can be exported! No downsides at all. All cars, buses, trucks can run merrily on natural gas, no technical issues at all. Low emissions on NOX and particulates, 25 % lower CO2 than gasoline.

In 20 years time, Iran will have clean, almost free energy for transportation.....US may be on fuel cells but the hydrogen will be made, you guessed it, from Middle East oil and gas!

Middle East countries are using a fraction of the hundreds of billions of dollars of extra income they are gaining from >$50/bbl oil to fund the development of fuel cells to maintain the US dependence on the fossil fuels found within 500 miles of Mecca! Must be the best strategic thinking coming from that part of the world since Alexander the Great.

Keep oil for a valuable use, do not waste it on vehicle transportation.

To see how real hydrogen is go to:

http://www.greencarcongress.com/2005/10 ... cks_c.html

A company called Ballard has messed about for years with fuel cells, check out that share price!

Whilst on Greencar congress, take a look at CNG, loads of stuff on there.
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Re: Honda Shows Its Lack of Reality

Unread postby Starvid » Sat 05 Nov 2005, 09:54:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('omo', 'H')ello friends!

Forgive me if my thoughts are a little lame as I'm new to this whole Peak Oil subject.

I believe I'm seeing some signs of, in my opinion, positive changes here in Europe. I'm not sure what plans our governments have for long term developement, but I tend to think that in general we heading in the right direction and what comes out of it could make our future brighter then some of you predict.

I'm talking nuclear. Here, in Finland, we are building a new nuclear power station. Sweds are pushing for fight against energy crisis. There are serious talks of building nuclear plants in the Baltic states. We already have highly developed and advanced public transport infrastructure here in Scandinavia and in Europe in gerneral and I believe we are going to shift more and more into using electrical power - trams, underground networks, electricity powered trains, heating, etc. Taking into account use of a highly advanced communication technologies I think we have very good chances to go through the peak and post peak periods a lot smoother then some of us might think. My thinking is that the less oil/gas we use the more time we have to udjust our technlogies, economics and politics for the new era. The rest of Europe is watching and will probably follow if the whole thing works as I tend to think it will and our oil consumption drops substantialy in some areas.

Thank you for the oprotunity to express my view.

In spite of being new to the subject, you have managed to find the most obvious and best alternatives rather quickly. :)
Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
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Re: Honda Shows Its Lack of Reality

Unread postby karina » Sat 05 Nov 2005, 11:17:17

European seemed to move out of their anti-nuclear policies.

Europe: A declaration stating that nuclear energy should play an increasingly central role in the global fight against climate change has been signed by 25 Members of the European Parliament (MEPs). The declaration calls for EU leaders to recognise nuclear's contribution in reducing CO2 emissions, and calls on politicians and decision-makers to back investment in low carbon energy technologies, including nuclear power. The declaration also argues that nuclear energy's role in combating climate change should not be singled out because of purely ideological or political beliefs. (EUPolitix.com, 19 October; Nuclear Market Review, 21 October)
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Re: Honda Shows Its Lack of Reality

Unread postby BabyPeanut » Sat 05 Nov 2005, 12:50:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('karina', 'E')uropean seemed to move out of their anti-nuclear policies.

Europe: A declaration stating that nuclear energy should play an increasingly central role in the global fight against climate change has been signed by 25 Members of the European Parliament (MEPs).

So are they willing to put nuclear waste repositories in their area now too?
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Honda solar cells - non-silicon

Unread postby Devil » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 07:18:02

http://world.honda.com/news/2005/c051219.html

This may be interesting, although the projected production is but a drop in the ocean.

Gallium and indium are horrendously expensive, selenium is very toxic. I'd like to see projected production costing figures.
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Re: Honda solar cells - non-silicon

Unread postby mekrob » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 09:13:00

Sorry, there's already a thread on this.
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Re: Honda solar cells - non-silicon

Unread postby Slowpoke » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 11:07:27

Devil, you forgot the fact that nearly all the copper is already earmarked for microprocessor manufacture and Chinese/Indian buildings electrical wiring.
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Re: Honda solar cells - non-silicon

Unread postby foodnotlawns » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 12:00:03

I want a sailboat with photovoltaic sails!
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Re: Honda solar cells - non-silicon

Unread postby basil_hayden » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 18:11:25

I want a sphere of this stuff in orbit that we can detonate fusion bombs in and collect a portion of the energy to send back to earth, like a mini Dyson sphere, at least until we figure out fusion plants.

I'm not sure what the point of producing these new fangled PV cells, the long term environmental impact will clearly outweigh the short term energy impact.

Why can't they just build a solar-powered plant to build silicon solar cells?
Wouldn't that improve the mythical EROEI?
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Re: Honda solar cells - non-silicon

Unread postby SolarDave » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 18:55:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('basil_hayden', 'I') want a sphere of this stuff in orbit that we can detonate fusion bombs in and collect a portion of the energy to send back to earth, like a mini Dyson sphere, at least until we figure out fusion plants.

I'm not sure what the point of producing these new fangled PV cells, the long term environmental impact will clearly outweigh the short term energy impact.

Why can't they just build a solar-powered plant to build silicon solar cells?
Wouldn't that improve the mythical EROEI?


It's been done many, many times.

Photovoltaics was born in the United States...

"In 1982, Solarex Corporation made a most significant commitment to PV in buildings by powering their new manufacturing plant with their own solar modules."

That's the first significant one I know of.

I don't know of any modern ones, but the idea has merit - especially if the energy source was from "rejects" or "seconds" that were not acceptable for sale.
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Re: Honda solar cells - non-silicon

Unread postby gnm » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 19:00:10

And did they mine, process and grow thier own silcon crystal ingots there with solar power?
How about the Aluminum for the module frames. Or the glass...

I seriously doubt it.

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Re: Honda solar cells - non-silicon

Unread postby SolarDave » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 20:21:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', 'A')nd did they mine, process and grow thier own silcon crystal ingots there with solar power?
How about the Aluminum for the module frames. Or the glass...

I seriously doubt it.

-G


Oh, sorry if I implied they were digging up silicon and bauxite there and taking it all the way through! It was 1982 - I am sure it was "assembly" energy, not "processing raw materials" energy.

BTW - aluminum is not required for solar panel frames. I use wood, and almost all modules are available as "frameless" units...

Architectural Solar Panels

The trend is towards "building integrated solar" which REPLACES other building materials - making the "energy cost" of these panels much lower. compared to panels "added on" to existing structures.
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Re: Honda solar cells - non-silicon

Unread postby Seadragon » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 21:52:06

Interesting link...
Exporting oil is an act of treason"-- Heitor Manoel Pereira, president of AEPET in Brazil, January 06, 2006
come see me sometime... http://www.sonofchaos.blogspot.com/
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Re: Honda solar cells - non-silicon

Unread postby EnergySpin » Wed 21 Dec 2005, 06:52:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Devil', 'h')ttp://world.honda.com/news/2005/c051219.html

This may be interesting, although the projected production is but a drop in the ocean.

Gallium and indium are horrendously expensive, selenium is very toxic. I'd like to see projected production costing figures.

50% reduction in energy cost, puts the ROI close to 1-2 years (it is 4 for the current generation of photovoltaics).
But IIRC, Gallium is being used in 64bit processors ... do nto expect these babies to be cheap if they have to compete against the IT industry.
In anycase, Honda is not alone in this game.
Check out the following link by NASA:
http://www.grc.nasa.gov/WWW/RT1999/5000/5410hepp.html
and the corresponding page at NREL:
http://www.nrel.gov/ncpv/thin_film/pn_t ... enide.html
Obviously the second page has many more details and features links to peer reviewed publications.
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Re: Honda solar cells - non-silicon

Unread postby EnergySpin » Wed 21 Dec 2005, 07:31:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Slowpoke', '[')b]Devil, you forgot the fact that nearly all the copper is already earmarked for microprocessor manufacture and Chinese/Indian buildings electrical wiring.

Hm not that fast.
NREL has addressed the material's supply issue a long time ago.
Cu is not a limit :)
http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy04osti/35098.pdf

Look at Table 1 (8th row).
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Re: Honda solar cells - non-silicon

Unread postby clv101 » Wed 21 Dec 2005, 07:57:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Devil', 'h')ttp://world.honda.com/news/2005/c051219.html

This may be interesting, although the projected production is but a drop in the ocean.

Gallium and indium are horrendously expensive, selenium is very toxic. I'd like to see projected production costing figures.


Copper Indium Gallium Diselenide cells are pretty new idea, theoretically looking good since materials are widely available and manufacturing should be cheap... I’ve head $1 per watt mentioned. There’s plenty of copper, indium is as I understand it a by product of smelting lead and zinc, selenium is similar to sulphur and can be recovered from flue dust from processing sulphide ores with high purity Se costing ~$4/oz and gallium a by product of aluminium smelting. Elemental Se isn’t toxic but many of it’s compounds are. It would seem that CIGS cells are a by product as business as usual making any true stand alone analysis very hard. What would the material costs be without the other fossil fuel subsidised industries?

Efficiency has been seen in the lab as high as 18.9% although actual products are more likely 10-13% due to the challenges of scaling up both the structure and manufacturing process. Without the Ga the band gap is only 1.0eV, the Ga extends this past 1.1eV, closer to the peak solar spectrum improving efficiency. Cell voltage can be as high as 0.68V. Long term performance is also better than Si cells.

If this plant can get anywhere close to $1/W then this is pretty good news.
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Re: Honda solar cells - non-silicon

Unread postby Devil » Wed 21 Dec 2005, 08:19:32

I would be very surprised if 64 bit CPUs were made from gallium as the hole mobility is lower than that of silicon. OTOH, gallium arsenide is the main semiconductor for a host of applications, exclusively because its electron mobility is nearly 6 times faster. This makes it ideal for many photo-electric applications, also the Gunn diode which makes very low-cost oscillators in the GHz range possible, hence they are widely used in mobile telephony. Certainly, it is probable that 95%++ of gallium is used in the semiconductor industry, but there is a world of difference between a 50 cents LED using a tiny piece 0.8 x 0.8 x 0.05 mm, weighing in the µg range, or smaller, and even as just a dopant for copper-selenide PV cells covering many m².
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Re: Honda solar cells - non-silicon

Unread postby EnergySpin » Wed 21 Dec 2005, 08:48:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Devil', 'I') would be very surprised if 64 bit CPUs were made from gallium as the hole mobility is lower than that of silicon. OTOH, gallium arsenide is the main semiconductor for a host of applications, exclusively because its electron mobility is nearly 6 times faster. This makes it ideal for many photo-electric applications, also the Gunn diode which makes very low-cost oscillators in the GHz range possible, hence they are widely used in mobile telephony. Certainly, it is probable that 95%++ of gallium is used in the semiconductor industry, but there is a world of difference between a 50 cents LED using a tiny piece 0.8 x 0.8 x 0.05 mm, weighing in the µg range, or smaller, and even as just a dopant for copper-selenide PV cells covering many m².

I meant to say GaAs ... even though the processors are really small, there seems to be a supply bottleneck (or this is what the CPU manufacturers have been saying) which is the reason that GaAs will not take off till the later part of this decade. GaAs has been touted as the next best thing in CPU speed (till they figure out how to make processors out of optoelectronics/quantum dots), and is one of the mat sci developments that will make ambient intelligence environments a reality. GaAs is expected to reduce RAM access time to picoseconds => I will have less time to browse PO.com while I execute DB searches.
Anyway the point I was trying to make, is that eventhough these photovoltaics will cost less (take a peak at the first PPT at the NREL site, lots of interesting info), there will be a competion with other sectors for the same material. If you check the PDF in my second post, you will see that even though GaAs (and hence Ga) finds its way in small stuff e.g. processors , DVD players etc we are producing so many of them that the amount of Ga is insane :)
So in order to produce 20GW/yr we will need 70 Metric Tons of Ga (or 47% of current world production). This is way Indium might be a better material to toy with.
In any case ... it is very likely that solar will be the only sensible power generation technology and technological breakthroughs are in no short supply. But since the year is 2005 , we should get back to reality and acknowledge that nuclear is our best bet :)
PS If anyone is interested in projected cost figures, check slide 29 of this presentation $2/W in 2020 (residential installations), $1.1 W (commercial systems).
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Re: Honda solar cells - non-silicon

Unread postby SolarDave » Thu 22 Dec 2005, 00:48:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergySpin', 'I')f anyone is interested in projected cost figures, check slide 29 of this presentation $2/W in 2020 (residential installations), $1.1 W (commercial systems).

Slide 10 mentions the same Architectural Panels I referenced in the link above.

The cost is listed as "varies" - because it is harder to compute, I suspect.

I think worst-case costs for photovoltaics are exhibited by "traditional" installations - dedicated land, single use (not a parking lot for example), framed panels, dedicated electric service, etc, etc, etc. In other words, doing things the way Utilities have always done them.

Best case is probably closer to the Building Integrated approach I mentioned: No new costs for land, no new costs for electric service, and the panels are a SUBSTITUTE for other contruction materials, whose costs must be subtracted from the "solar panel" costs to arrive at the true cost figure.

As panels become more "building integration friendly" you will see more of this. There is no reason to have a roof or wall covered with panels. The panels can be the roof or wall.

Latest developments in residential panels include triangular "filler" panels to enable the array to "fill in" the whole roof pitch - that is just one engineer's daydream from BEING the roof, instead of covering it.

If one wants to make a case against photovoltaics, one would compare alternatives such as traditional power generation (which will never replace parts of a building) to the worst-case photovoltaic scenario outlined above - the best case scenario is the direction the marketplace is headed.
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Re: Honda solar cells - non-silicon

Unread postby grabby » Thu 22 Dec 2005, 01:55:39

Solar is ok, but there is a risk. look up PUMPED BELT and van allem and Electro magnetic burst"The solar panels will not function, after an EMburst. that is a lot of money to loose.

Small wound alternators with open circuits (not running at the time) will survive, and like water wheels or windmills if they are not operating at the time. There is a lot to read on it, but to put your retirement money into solar panels, this is a great risk.

Panels are maximally exposed to light and thus radiation. They are the highest risk kind of circuits.here is a little web site.

after the EMS burst test in atmosphere in 1964 , satellites were damaged until 1970. All died because of solar panel destruction. Military satellites are plutonium driven with no panels. Solar panels promptly and immediately degrade with a gigapulse bersut from What I understand.

If there is a conflict over oil (Ya think)

the nucular option that WILL be used is a high pulse since this doesnt KILL people and the attacking country could be sort of justified in doing it.

EMS pulse WILL happen. the question is what will survive it. Not slar panels.Gasoline generators runing on ethanol is a great way to get power for short spurts.you can make ethanl anywhere. sOme people may make it and the burn candles and drink it instead.


read this site it is an interesting one:

www.eisenhowerinstitute.org/programs/gl ... tnerships/ fos/newfrontier/Papadopoulos-presentation.pdf

this is the EISENHOWER INSTITUE

now yo tell me what they are up to spending money on these kind of tests,


Ya think?
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