Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Don't Tell People About Peak Oil

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Re: Don't Tell People About Peak Oil

Unread postby crapattack » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 11:46:05

Doly wrote:

Option 1: Convince yourself that you'll be fine. Go for the available treatment with all the faith in the world, and refuse to contemplate the possibility of dying.

Option 2: Convince yourself that you're going to die anyway, whatever you do. Refuse all treatment on that grounds. Prepare your will and leave your business in order for when you die.

Option 3: Hope for the best, prepare for the worst. Go for all the available treatment, even stuff that only mitigates symptoms. At the same time, prepare your will and leave your business in order in case you die anyway.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')ost people will agree that option 3 is the most reasonable.


I'm sure a lot of people would find #1 darn tempting. Really.

Doly wrote again:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')t the same time, prepare your will and leave your business in order in case you die anyway.


blech blech blech blech blech! Too orderly, girl, you gotta get a new dress too!

and again:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')ow, can you tell me why it isn't the most reasonable when you're talking about a society/culture/civilization instead of an individual?


I already said:

Me:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') think the point is that mitigation that has no chance of succeeding actually is harmful in that it gives people a false hope and may mean that they don't act on their own behalf. I think much of the mitigation, and I agree with Matt on this point, is pointless if not irresponsible misallocation of resources. Much of the PO bickering back and forth is arguing whether this or that technology is viable and going save us. People will continue to dispute the facts if they think there is a slim chance this or that could save them and instead they'd be far better off preparing in the more than likey case that mitigation will fail.


but ok ok, hmmm. Looking at the pretty sunset prevents them from building their snow shelter and they freeze to death. I'd rather tell people the sunset isn't worth looking at so they build their darn snow shelter. (sorry it's a bad analogy but it's the best I could think of).
"Ninety percent of everything is crap."
-Theodore Sturgeon

Stay low and run in a random pattern.

List of Civilian Nuclear Accidents
User avatar
crapattack
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 646
Joined: Sat 03 Dec 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Vancouver, BC

Re: Don't Tell People About Peak Oil

Unread postby Wrencher » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 12:39:58

I guess that mitigation is fine, once the herd realizes that things are going to change - and that they have no options as to keeping the status quo and had darn well better come up with 'Plan B'. It will be good to have had the 'experts' crank all the numbers and be able to have a path for the polititians to follow. But unitl that time there won't be much in the way of action except individually. I would like to blame the polititians as much as I can, but really the problem is that there is no public support for any real change - even as small as better EPA milage ratings. I can think of no better way of getting into a fight out here (Utah) than suggesting that in a year or two gas might be $5 gallon, and that it would be better for us all if it became more expensive sooner than later. Yikes!! We don't have to keep Peak Oil information from the vast majority of people - they won't see it coming until the roof collapses onto them. And they won't because they don't want to belive it. And, like CA says, they have hope and belive that the 'experts' will have a painless way out of this.

In the mean time - the time that really matters individually, and to our families - well, I think that we are pretty much on our own to craft our own mitigation plans. And if by our actions, a few more people will stop and listen, then so much the better.

So besides a fireplace insert, and bolstering the food storage, I am planing to put up a solar hot air collector and a solar greehouse this year. Sort of my NY resolutions. And hopefully this activity will spark some questions and give me an opening to tell a littlle of this amazing story when a sincere question is asked.
All the best,

Wrencher

***********
Seize the Day - It is all that we have.
Wrencher
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 28
Joined: Thu 17 Nov 2005, 04:00:00
Location: On the Edge of No-where, Utah

Re: Don't Tell People About Peak Oil

Unread postby abbcampbell » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 14:36:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('crapattack', ']')

I wasn't aware you needed to be an expert to have an option on a forum such as this abbcampbell. I have a graduate level degree in Psychology, and I'm learning all I can about PO, but I don't know if you would consider me an expert on this topic. I doubt it and I don't feel like one in any case.


No, of course you don't need to be an expert to have an opinion. Most folks have opinions. Many very brilliant people, however, suffer from "smart persons' disease." They are quite knowledgable in one subject, and recognize the fact that many people are not particularly knowledgable in any. This can lead them to a false sense of certainty about all subjects. I see it all the time. For instance, an aquaintance who is a leading authority on raptors assuming he can rewire his office... Fortunately it only took an electrican, and not the fire department, to undo what he did.

Of course, experts can also be wrong within their subject. As a non-expert, though, my best bet is to listen to those who are, and do my best to judge from there.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')nce you see the full context I think you'll agree it is quite clear I was stating my own opinion.



Yep. Never thought you weren't.

As for Jevon's Paradox, I'm reasonably familiar with it. I honestly don't feel it applies here, though. Jevon's Paradox just points to efficiency in coal use causing greater use of coal. No problems there. I could see that applying to oil as well in certain circumstances... On the other hand, Jevons' observations were not of a people intentionally trying to conserve a resource.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'K')unstler is indeed a journalist, he's written several books, "The Long Emergency" was one. From what I've seen I imagine he would most strongly disagree with you that he advocates new-urbanism. But a lot of your other observations were close if not bang on.


You may be right. I haven't yet read any of Kunstler's books,...just a few articles here and there. At least if I'm wrong, I'm not alone, though. Here's a quote about him from This Article on New Urbanism.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut Kunstler argues that the New Urbanist model for living is not only preferable, but will be made inevitable by economic pressures, beginning with rising and unstable oil prices.
Unless someone, like you,
cares a whole awful lot,
nothing is going to get better.
It's not.
User avatar
abbcampbell
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 52
Joined: Fri 14 Oct 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Deep in the heart of Darkest America
Top

Re: Don't Tell People About Peak Oil

Unread postby Wrencher » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 15:15:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AmericanEmpire', ' ')If it really all falls apart in the next couple of years there's not really that much chance that people are gonna be able to become self sufficient in that amount of time.


Well, none of us will probably ever be totally self sufficient, but you can make a heck of a lot of progress if you have two years to prepare and you use them well. It is really frustrating, sad, and may well be tragic that we (as a people ) live in such denial.
All the best,

Wrencher

***********
Seize the Day - It is all that we have.
Wrencher
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 28
Joined: Thu 17 Nov 2005, 04:00:00
Location: On the Edge of No-where, Utah
Top

Re: Don't Tell People About Peak Oil

Unread postby AmericanEmpire » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 15:15:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd they won't because they don't want to belive it.


And they don't want to believe it because they realize if its true then their ass is most likely toast.

Don't most of us agree that a large portion of us can't in fact make it because we have to get down to carrying capacity? Stands to reason most of us will die. And if thats the case most people would be better off enjoying the time they got left on this planet before everything goes to shit.

And even if its not most people would rather die than go back to back breaking manual labor. I have told peak oil to several people who have said that if thats really true they would just rather die than have to go back to living like that. 8O

If it really all falls apart in the next couple of years there's not really that much chance that people are gonna be able to become self sufficient in that amount of time. When it all comes down I don't see myself being self sufficient enough to make it. If things get bad enough I will commit suicide before starving to death.

What is it like 1% of the population feeds the other 99% as things stand right now. You got whole generations of people who never learned anything about food growing cause its always been at the grocery store. A good portion of the people that new the old ways are dead and gone. You got people now that have been supported by machines their whole life.
Last edited by AmericanEmpire on Tue 20 Dec 2005, 15:24:53, edited 1 time in total.
AmericanEmpire
Coal
Coal
 
Posts: 452
Joined: Thu 14 Jul 2005, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Don't Tell People About Peak Oil

Unread postby abbcampbell » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 15:31:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AmericanEmpire', ' ') A good portion of the people that new the old ways are dead and gone. You got people now that have been supported by machines their whole life.



You might want to hook up with some mediaeval reinactment folks. There are some of them who can key you in to certain old skills...weaving, rope-making, glass blowing, candle-making, beekeeping, soap making, charcoal-burning, smithy, siege engineering...all kinds of fun stuff.

Heck, I have a trebuchet in my basement. Built it to entertain the kids, and as a simple lesson in simple machines. Won't do a whole lot of good in and of itself unless I can get prey/enemies to stand *real* still while a large rock is being lobbed at them, but some of the principles would be easily adjusted to make some useful machines.
Unless someone, like you,
cares a whole awful lot,
nothing is going to get better.
It's not.
User avatar
abbcampbell
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 52
Joined: Fri 14 Oct 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Deep in the heart of Darkest America
Top

Re: Don't Tell People About Peak Oil

Unread postby Mesuge » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 15:53:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AmericanEmpire', ' ') I have told peak oil to several people who have said that if thats really true they would just rather die than have to go back to living like that.


That's what gives me hope that after PO plateau some freaks will use this attitude either for launching wars or massive suicide cults or even causing big scale ecodoomsday havoc. Because all of these options are scoring high on solving the excess population issue.

On the other hand I presented numerous accounts that people are going to survive on a sip of water and few grams of rice almost indefinately. So without further presure people won't just evaporate from the earth surface.

In any case a good cave hiden at secret location is worth the extra efforts..
DOOMerotron: at all-time high [8.3] out of 10..
User avatar
Mesuge
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1500
Joined: Tue 01 Nov 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Euro high horse bastard on the run
Top

Re: Don't Tell People About Peak Oil

Unread postby crapattack » Tue 20 Dec 2005, 21:02:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')mericanEmpire wrote:
I have told peak oil to several people who have said that if thats really true they would just rather die than have to go back to living like that.


But the old days weren't all that bad were they? I mean, if you have some good land and a barter systems going. People did survive and live for centuries that way and we're here aren't we?
"Ninety percent of everything is crap."
-Theodore Sturgeon

Stay low and run in a random pattern.

List of Civilian Nuclear Accidents
User avatar
crapattack
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 646
Joined: Sat 03 Dec 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Vancouver, BC
Top

Re: Don't Tell People About Peak Oil

Unread postby Jake_old » Wed 21 Dec 2005, 04:33:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('crapattack', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')mericanEmpire wrote:
I have told peak oil to several people who have said that if thats really true they would just rather die than have to go back to living like that.


But the old days weren't all that bad were they? I mean, if you have some good land and a barter systems going. People did survive and live for centuries that way and we're here aren't we?


Yes

When you look at it, the ratio of happy to miserable people is pretty similar from rich to poor nation. I've not documented this, its just the way it seems to me, if anything poorer nations have a larger proportion of happy people, but like I said its just from how it seems to me.(I'm only talking about poorer nations where there is a functioning economy of sorts btw, I've never seen real poverty).

I think people imagine hard work will be hellish, but once it is normal it won't be so bad and people will enjoy their free time more.
Jake_old
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 689
Joined: Fri 25 Feb 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Luton, England
Top

Re: Don't Tell People About Peak Oil

Unread postby Doly » Wed 21 Dec 2005, 05:18:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('RedJake', '
')When you look at it, the ratio of happy to miserable people is pretty similar from rich to poor nation.


This is a consequence of a known psychological fact: It isn't our current situation what makes us happy or unhappy, it's the transitions. If we feel like our situation is improving, we are happy. If we feel it's worsening, we are unhappy. If it's stable, we are content (unless it's stable and not providing our basic needs).

The transition to a post peak oil is going to make a whole lot of people very unhappy.
User avatar
Doly
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 4370
Joined: Fri 03 Dec 2004, 04:00:00
Top

Re: Don't Tell People About Peak Oil

Unread postby Jake_old » Wed 21 Dec 2005, 06:01:50

yes that was me, don't know what happened there!

Edit: erm...below that is.
Jake_old
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 689
Joined: Fri 25 Feb 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Luton, England

Re: Don't Tell People About Peak Oil

Unread postby RedJake_gst1 » Wed 21 Dec 2005, 06:06:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Doly', '
')
This is a consequence of a known psychological fact: It isn't our current situation what makes us happy or unhappy, it's the transitions. If we feel like our situation is improving, we are happy. If we feel it's worsening, we are unhappy. If it's stable, we are content (unless it's stable and not providing our basic needs).

The transition to a post peak oil is going to make a whole lot of people very unhappy.


Thats very interesting, wouldn't seeing a light at the end of a tunnel contribute to a sense that things could be improving? People get more exercise and so feel healthier, seasonal food being eaten, seeing actual results come out of our endeavours (like producing food or building a fence) could be one aspect which might make things seem better.

I agree about a lot of people being very unhappy, but I also have a feeling that the reasons for decline may not be known by the majority of people.

I also know some pretty unhappy people right now, even though they earn a lot of money and have big houses and swanky cars and clothes.

I think your outlook is similar to mine sometimes. Othertimes not.
RedJake_gst1
 
Top

Re: Don't Tell People About Peak Oil

Unread postby crapattack » Wed 21 Dec 2005, 06:35:20

I read somewhere that this idea of happiness is actually pretty new. Back in the day they didn't even have a concept for it. I guess you got up in the morning and that was just your day whatever came. People must have felt happy or sad, but maybe they didn't have an idea of their life as being one thing or another. Now we have this expectation that we should be happy, and if we're not something is wrong.
"Ninety percent of everything is crap."
-Theodore Sturgeon

Stay low and run in a random pattern.

List of Civilian Nuclear Accidents
User avatar
crapattack
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 646
Joined: Sat 03 Dec 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Vancouver, BC

Re: Don't Tell People About Peak Oil

Unread postby Wrencher » Wed 21 Dec 2005, 10:44:29

I don't know if this actually has to do with being happy - probably - but I have found a lot of applicability in Abraham Maslow's Hierarchy of Needs. When I was unemployeed, I really, really wanted a job - any job.... then I wanted one that was not so dirty, then one more interesting..... and so it goes. By knocking us all down a few pegs on the hierarchy of needs list, we might learn to be happier on a different level - more Waldenesque if you will.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maslow's_h ... y_of_needs
All the best,

Wrencher

***********
Seize the Day - It is all that we have.
Wrencher
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 28
Joined: Thu 17 Nov 2005, 04:00:00
Location: On the Edge of No-where, Utah

Previous

Return to Medical Issues Forum

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests

cron