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THE Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) Thread (merged)

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Drill in ANWR?

Poll ended at Mon 13 Sep 2004, 18:58:32

Yes, we now have the technology to do it cleanly
4
No votes
Yes, we need the oil, and nobody goes there anyway
3
No votes
Yes, it will rape the land but we need the oil
4
No votes
No, if ANWR opens up, all the national parks are at risk
1
No votes
No, this is one of the last great wildernesses
9
No votes
No, bring on peak oil
8
No votes
 
Total votes : 29

Re: U.S. Senate endorses oil drilling in Alaska wildlife ref

Postby fecteau » Fri 04 Nov 2005, 12:34:51

I beg to disagree with Hawkcreek and woodcutter. The Pruhoe Bay oil fields and the Trans_Alaskan Pipeline have suffered and average of 400 oil spills annually since 1995. The development boundary has grown from the original estimate of 12,000 acres to 640,00 acres.
You have to have your head down in the sand (may be in the permafrost in this case) to think the this is a benign environmental impact.
You could argue that with global warming the entire Alaska is environmentally doom anyway. I could not disagree with that.

Much more than stopping the ANWR drilling is required to
save this planet from rapid climate changes that will make this summer hurricanes
looks like mild summer showers in comparison.
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Re: U.S. Senate endorses oil drilling in Alaska wildlife ref

Postby dunewalker » Fri 04 Nov 2005, 12:40:20

Sorry, fecteau, but you mis-interpreted my sentiments. I sincerely believe that opening ANWR to exploitation is one of America's great tragedies, both for the environmental damage that will ensue and for the precedent set. My only hope is that the provision proposed by Ron Wyden and passed overwhelmingly by the senate will somehow discourage the oil companies from bidding, as it will no doubt be less profitable to ship the oil to the US than to ship it to Asia.
(sorry, for the glitch--edited to clean up)
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Re: U.S. Senate endorses oil drilling in Alaska wildlife ref

Postby Specop_007 » Fri 04 Nov 2005, 13:08:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('fecteau', 'I') beg to disagree with Hawkcreek and woodcutter. The Pruhoe Bay oil fields and the Trans_Alaskan Pipeline have suffered and average of 400 oil spills annually since
1995. The development boundary has grown from the original estimate of 12,000 acres to 640,00 acres.

Of which provisions exist to clean up those spills. Additionally, laws are in place to ensure the facilities are safe, clean and operate in a safe manner. Now, whether or not those provisions are met.....Whole new argument.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')ou have to have your head down in the sand (may be in the permafrost in this case) to think the this is a benign environmental impact.

Would you prefer to live in a mudhut and lead goats around all day? Sacrafices MUST be made. Either to your standard of living, or to the environment. I certainly wont say what we do is not at all harmless to the environment. As I've said, we need to minimize our impact while maximizing our product. But to think you could have zero impact certainly is a bit optimistic.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')ou could argue that with global warming the entire Alaska is environmentally doom anyway. I could not disagree with that.

Seems to have survived the previous millions of years of climate change. So while the current conditions may be doomed, I think we've not much to fear in the long run.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b] Much more than stopping the ANWR drilling is required to
save this planet from rapid climate changes that will make this summer hurricanes looks like mild summer showers in comparison.

Save the planet? You propose we stop climate change? Thats flat out impossible to do.
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Re: U.S. Senate endorses oil drilling in Alaska wildlife ref

Postby MonteQuest » Fri 04 Nov 2005, 13:20:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('UIUCstudent01', ' ')Anyways. I wonder if any environmental groups even had a chance to protest in their protest boxes (that are nicely hidden away from view and won't distract the sheeple... succesfully marginalizing and silencing the dissent... ).

Drilling proponents used the Federal Budget bill as a smokescreen to advance their agenda. They snuck anticipated revenues from Arctic drilling into the Budget Resolution in order to circumvent the established voting process.
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Re: U.S. Senate endorses oil drilling in Alaska wildlife ref

Postby MonteQuest » Fri 04 Nov 2005, 13:29:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('frankthetank', 'I')S Amt of recoverable oil in this area even known? .

Bush says 10 billion barrels. 1.4 MBPD at max capacity.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Montequest', 'T')he only way ANWR could produce enough oil to have any affect is if we drilled enough to run the Alaskan pipeline at full capacity 24X7. Even if that were possible, in order to extract enough oil to run the pipeline at full tilt, we would have to utilize a scorched earth approach and drill in an environmentally unsound way. The problem is that such an approach would have the disadvantage of draining the reserves even faster. Depending on where oil is discovered on the coastal plain of ANWR, it will take 35-40 miles of pipeline over sensitive environment to reach the Prudhoe Bay infrastructure. The existing trans-Alaska oil pipeline would be used to transport oil from ANWR, and has a maximum capacity of 2 million barrels per day. Today, just under a million barrels of oil are transported from current oil fields. It will be only feasible to ship 1 million barrels a day from ANWR. Not much oil for the hungry maw of a world starved for energy. Not much oil to try and bring down prices. Just not much oil, period.

It would run America for about 1 hour each day. The rest would have to be imported.
Read this thread from the top. Lots of info.
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Re: Arctic National Wildlife Refuge; The Last Nail in the Co

Postby killJOY » Fri 04 Nov 2005, 16:03:30

Drilling ANWR is the final "F-you" to future American generations.

Instead of severe cutbacks, mass transport, recycling, etc., we're essentially saying, "Yes, oil is important, but we're taking it all for us, NOW."

Why save it for later when Jesus is coming soon anyhow? :twisted: :roll: :twisted:
Peak oil = comet Kohoutek.
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Re: Arctic National Wildlife Refuge; The Last Nail in the Co

Postby Eli » Fri 04 Nov 2005, 16:32:05

This oil will not even begin to come on line for another 7-8 years at which time what will the price of oil be per barre? 100 200 ?

By that time Jesus coming back will probably sound pretty nice to a lot of people.
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Re: Arctic National Wildlife Refuge; The Last Nail in the Co

Postby fecteau » Fri 04 Nov 2005, 18:08:03

Specop_007
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Would you prefer to live in a mudhut and lead goats around all day? Sacrafices MUST be made. Either to your standard of living, or to the environment.

In the past 5 years, I have become vegetarian (almost vegan), started driving a Prius and reduced our house energy
consumption significantly.

I think my standard of living has actually increased.
It's really not a choice between standard of living and the
environment.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Seems to have survived the previous millions of years of climate change. So while the current conditions may be doomed, I think we've not much to fear in the long run.

The real issue is what impact will the changes in the Arctic have on our lives.
I think we are heading toward a rapid climate change that will result in much misery if people do not start preparing for it.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')You propose we stop climate change? Thats flat out impossible to do.

But we should do everything we can to slowdown the process
and give us (and the bio-diversity) as much time to adjust as possible.
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Re: Arctic National Wildlife Refuge; The Last Nail in the Co

Postby rockdoc123 » Fri 04 Nov 2005, 19:32:08

oops.....came to this thread late. But I think I can add something here. Specop is correct (crap now I'm agreeing with that hillbilly crazy again :oops: ). Oil and gas exploration in most areas where it has been conducted with care has had zero influence and in some cases has actually increased habitat. Let me offer up some examples that I have experience with:

- onshore in the heavily forested mountains of Alberta and British Colombia oil companies are required to handcut seismic lines. Although this might seem problematic (ie. a 2 foot wide section where the timber has been cleared for several kilometres long) in actual fact it has opened up the roaming territory of ungulates and of course their respective predators. Bottom line they now have a greater area of occupancy and that particular zone can handle a greater number of critters without overstressing the flora.
- offshore jackup rigs offer an artificial environment for coral growth and subsequent other aquatic species. I've been on a multitude of jackups around the world and am always astounded by the abundance of sea life around them. Many of the fish feed on the treated effluent and you get the knock on effect of larger fish feeding on them. I remember seeing two 10 - 12 foot sharks cruising around one of the jackups I was on in the Red Sea simply because food was plentiful. If New Orleans ever gets back on its feet please go and visit the Aquarium...it has a fantastic display in a tank the size of an auditorium where they put the legs from an old jackup inside. Coral has grown on the legs and the whole idea of the display is to show how rigs can provide habitat. Regardless of whether you want to believe this it is worth the trip just to see the Tiger sharks, Manta rays, Whale shark and the largest damn tarpin I have ever seen careening around in a tank with a couple of sea turtles.
- an oil company I was once involved with had a drilling operation in an extemely sensitive Tundra environment which was also a Mountain goat preserve. They were very worried about the effect on the goat habitiat and went to great lengths to monitor it (observers pretty much constently). Bottom line was the goats were not put off by the activity but actually every day cruised up to the cliff overlooking the rig and hung out observing the activity, grazing on the alpine grasses....perhaps a version of goat TV.

Yes it would be great if all the world could be left untouched ....except for the little place where I live :wink: Unfortunately there are several billion other people who have similar ideas. Sustained development has to be the way we look at things. To this end the more professional environmental scientists (not environmentalists) involved in any of these projects the better. Does ANWR offer the solution to our problems...of course not. But by the same token if we suddenly stopped access to all those areas we thought were possible environmental problems from the perspective of energy extraction it wouldn't be long before we had a world where the remaining people were living like cavemen...albeit with pristine wildlands all around them...unfortunately they just wouldn't be able to appreciate them simply because there would be no way to get there.
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Re: Arctic National Wildlife Refuge; The Last Nail in the Co

Postby Hawkcreek » Fri 04 Nov 2005, 20:44:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')pecop is correct (crap now I'm agreeing with that hillbilly crazy again ).

Yeah, I hate it when that happens.
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Re: Arctic National Wildlife Refuge; The Last Nail in the Co

Postby fecteau » Fri 04 Nov 2005, 20:50:45

From woodcutter:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')orry, fecteau, but you mis-interpreted my sentiments.


Woodcutter, I have to apologize. When I reread my original post, I noticed
I had pasted the wrong names. I met to say:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') beg to disagree with Hawkcreek and Specop_007...


Sorry about that.
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Re: Arctic National Wildlife Refuge; The Last Nail in the Co

Postby MonteQuest » Sat 05 Nov 2005, 01:17:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Bush', 'I')ncreasing our domestic energy supply will help lower gasoline prices and utility bills.


Oh yeah? Let’s do the math!

The first lease sales will not be issued until 2007, followed by development seven to 10 years later.

This puts it in the realm of 2014-2017 when USA demand is projected to be 40% higher at 29.4 mbpd with about 80 percent of the increase expected in fuel use for transportation. ANWR can only produce and deliver via the Alaskan pipeline approximately 1 mbpd as the 2 mbpd pipeline is running about half full ( 908 thousand barrels per day) with Prudhoe Bay oil. Depletion of the oil resource base in the North Slope, NPR-A, and southern Alaska oil fields is expected to lead to a decline in the State’s total production to about 610,000 barrels per day in 2025.

An EIA analysis projects that if drilling were allowed in ANWR, production would start 10 years later and reach 900,000 barrels per day in 2025 if the area contains the mean level of resources (10.4 billion barrels) estimated by the U.S. Geological Survey.

In the EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook 2005 with Projections to 2025, released in January 2005, they estimated that lower 48 production would not drop until after 2009, and then it would be from 5.4 mbpd to 4.1 mbpd in 2025! 5.4 mbpd was the total USA production at the end of 2004.

Factoring in oil prices, they projected total USA production from high world oil prices at 5.2 mbpd, and at low world oil price, 4.5 mbpd in 2025. And average of about 4.9 mbpd.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/gas.html

Current total USA crude oil production is a little over 4 mbpd, down from 5.4 mbpd in August, 2005. Much of this drop can obviously be attributed to the hurricane damage.

http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/hist/wcrfpus2w.htm

Conclusion:

1 mbpd is a little over 3% of projected US oil consumption in 2019. Not only will it not lower gasoline prices, I doubt it will even offset domestic decline, much less increase it. :roll:

43 minutes of oil supply per day is the bottom line.
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Re: Arctic National Wildlife Refuge; The Last Nail in the Co

Postby pip » Sat 05 Nov 2005, 18:00:03

I live about 250 yards from an oil well and within about 1/2 mile from about 4 wells. I've never been impressed with the environmental arguement. Other than a road there's not any real impact.

Anybody here from the Kilgore,TX area? That east Texas oilfield was one of the biggest ever found and was developed by oilmen that didn't give two shits for the environment. I've never seen any leftover damage driving through the area.
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Re: Arctic National Wildlife Refuge; The Last Nail in the Co

Postby UIUCstudent01 » Sat 05 Nov 2005, 18:10:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pip', 'I') live about 250 yards from an oil well and within about 1/2 mile from about 4 wells. I've never been impressed with the environmental arguement. Other than a road there's not any real impact. Anybody here from the Kilgore,TX area? That east Texas oilfield was one of the biggest ever found and was developed by oilmen that didn't give two shits for the environment. I've never seen any leftover damage driving through the area.

Oh? you've seen the area before it was developed?
(Seriously, things grow back.. but not what may have originally been there... you can put a layer of dirt and put up some grass for very little money and 'restore' it. But you may not have certain species and you may turn it into a grassland, but it may originally been something else. But I know, it's all aesthetically the same. Whatever.)
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Re: Arctic National Wildlife Refuge; The Last Nail in the Co

Postby Tanada » Mon 07 Nov 2005, 06:30:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pip', 'I') live about 250 yards from an oil well and within about 1/2 mile from about 4 wells. I've never been impressed with the environmental arguement. Other than a road there's not any real impact. Anybody here from the Kilgore,TX area? That east Texas oilfield was one of the biggest ever found and was developed by oilmen that didn't give two shits for the environment. I've never seen any leftover damage driving through the area.

Try looking at a quarry, or an open pit mine, or even an old collapsed drift mine if you want to see environmental damage. Wells are nothing compared to almost every other form of mineral extraction, but some people are natural luddites and want everyone else to go back to living in caves.
What is beautiful about a beaver dam built by beavers to make the life of a beaver easier and yet ugly about a human dam built by humans to make human life easier? Either they are both ugly, or they are both beautiful, you can't have it both ways.
That doesn't mean I want a dam every where the water flows, but by the same token a resevoir is just as much an environment for wildlife as a river is, the pattern is different but natural selection still fills all the availible niches.
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To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
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No drilling in ANWR

Postby Leanan » Wed 09 Nov 2005, 23:24:57

At least for now. A revolt among Republicans in the House has forced the GOP to remove the provisions that allow drilling in ANWR and in protected areas offshore in the lower 48.

One of the Republicans who revolted: Roscoe Bartlett. People are wondering if he's growing senile or something. Nope, just read Deffeyes. ;-)
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Re: Arctic National Wildlife Refuge; The Last Nail in the Co

Postby rogerhb » Wed 09 Nov 2005, 23:30:59

Republicans are revolting!

I like the sound of that.
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Re: Arctic National Wildlife Refuge; The Last Nail in the Co

Postby holmes » Thu 10 Nov 2005, 13:59:05

"go back to everyone living in caves"

Your spewing now. As of now we are living in energy inneffiient plastic and tin homes that have little if any thermal mass qualities. Connected to agrid that is poisioining us and our planet. A cave would be a massive step up from our "Advanced" development. Please give me a break. Your not fooling intelligent free thinkers. If we wanted to become advanced we would implement thermal mass and utilize the constant 58 degrees below the frost layer. Our so called advanced and futuristic infrastructure is cave man like. stupid. wasteful and pathetic. Your rants against those who want to infuse common sense into our culture before we destroy whats left of our life support systems show the true selfish agendas. Our entire culture is not advanced. the cave men and "savage" indians were far more advanced then our dependent waif like existence. all this consumption and "growth" and destruction and we are still connected to and dependent on overlords. a free nation. LOL. advnced lol. And comparing beavers to our dams is like. well there is no comparison. beavers and the land evolved over thousands of years. Our dams were thrown in with no regard to protein sources or other critical resources. Ive been out to mines and drilling areas. u dont know what your tlaking about. the impacts are dependent on scale. 2.2 acres ayear are being paved. Just dont try and sell us lies that our way of developeing is advanced. and sustaianable developement is a PC double speak. 2.2 million acres gone a year has nothing to do with sustainable. No ones going to fool me.
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There will be no drilling in ANWR

Postby BabyPeanut » Thu 10 Nov 2005, 18:03:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')url=http://ogj.pennnet.com/articles/article_display.cfm?Section=ONART&C=GenIn&ARTICLE_ID=241235&p=7]US House drops ANWR leasing authorization from budget bill (link)[/url] by Nick Snow, Washington Correspondent
WASHINGTON, DC, Nov. 10 -- US House Republican leaders withdrew language authorizing oil and gas leasing within the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge from their version of the federal budget bill on the eve of its floor consideration. ... "There will be no drilling in ANWR," said Bass. "I conveyed the moderate Republicans' concern with this provision to the leadership, that message was heard and the provision was removed from the bill."
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Re: There will be no drilling in ANWR

Postby bruin » Thu 10 Nov 2005, 19:15:04

For now at least. Oil needs to get more expensive first.
Mining in national parks, however, is still on the bill.
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