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THE Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) Thread (merged)

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Drill in ANWR?

Poll ended at Mon 13 Sep 2004, 18:58:32

Yes, we now have the technology to do it cleanly
4
No votes
Yes, we need the oil, and nobody goes there anyway
3
No votes
Yes, it will rape the land but we need the oil
4
No votes
No, if ANWR opens up, all the national parks are at risk
1
No votes
No, this is one of the last great wildernesses
9
No votes
No, bring on peak oil
8
No votes
 
Total votes : 29

Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby rwwff » Sat 13 May 2006, 15:35:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'A')NWR is already doomed---global warming will wreak special havoc there. So, indeed, why not kick it in the teeth while we still have the chance.

Drilling there won't doom ANWR, sheesh. Global warming might if enough ice melts, but thats a different story.
Still, as much as I like enhancing supply, I think ANWR's a prize we should hold onto until the Arabs and Persians are out of oil. Wouldn't it be a riot to sell them oil at an ounce of gold per barrel, after we bought all their's for a pittance scribbled on paper?
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby Colorado-Valley » Sat 13 May 2006, 16:21:24

I guess if we (well ... the multi-national corporations) drilled it, perhaps we could prolong the easy motoring lifestyle for a few more months.
But American taxpayers aren't going to see a penny of that loot.
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby rwwff » Sat 13 May 2006, 17:42:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Colorado-Valley', 'I') guess if we (well ... the multi-national corporations) drilled it, perhaps we could prolong the easy motoring lifestyle for a few more months. But American taxpayers aren't going to see a penny of that loot.

They'll see more than a penny, they'll see millions of penny's; it might not be as much as you might wish it to be though.
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby Ludi » Sat 13 May 2006, 18:38:16

Where is there any "conservation" if any area is open for exploitation? An "aesthetic" issue? Man, that is just frikkin' weird to me. All along here I thought real conservation was about protecting ecosystems and biodiversity. Pretty damn hard for that to happen if we can just decide to go charging into anywhere to take whatever it is we "need" from that area.
The old "it's inevitable" "it's pragmatic" "don't be naive" blah blah.
Screw that.
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby rwwff » Sat 13 May 2006, 21:18:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'W')here is there any "conservation" if any area is open for exploitation? An "aesthetic" issue? Man, that is just frikkin' weird to me. All along here I thought real conservation was about protecting ecosystems and biodiversity. Pretty damn hard for that to happen if we can just decide to go charging into anywhere to take whatever it is we "need" from that area. The old "it's inevitable" "it's pragmatic" "don't be naive" blah blah.
Screw that.

All areas are open for exploitating given a few scribbles on paper. Thats one of the things that's always bothered me about the environmental movement. Its like a bad case of denial. The way I've put it to them is this: what in the world makes you think ANWR will be kept "safe" from drilling when half the grandma's in New England can't afford to fill their heating oil tanks.

It seems clear as day to me, I'm a bit surprised how quickly the run up is happening, and I'm kinda hoping its just a little spike, with prices next year in the $50/bbl range, but if its not, ANWR's toast. They won't be nice and gentle. They won't try to minimize the disturbance. Congress will act, and the industry will leap at the opportunity to fill the place with 1960's era cheap production technology.
Maybe thats what the democrats of New England are hoping and believing in, $50/bbl in '07. Course, it could be that they've put themselves into a situation where their only option is to believe and pray.
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby Heineken » Sun 14 May 2006, 10:11:36

Whether ANWR is raped or not, it won't change the oil picture significantly. Production might reach 1.4 million barrels per day (according to former Interior Secretary Norton's highly optimistic view) for a year or two before falling. The US currently consumes about 20+ million barrels per day; by the time ANWR is at peak production US consumption (or demand, at least) would be dramatically higher, let's conservatively say 25 million barrels per day. So even with ANWR the US will be in even worse shape from an oil-supply perspective than it is now. The damage to ANWR will be permanent, however---quite a price to pay in terms of natural capital for very little real return, and an ephemeral return at that.
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby Heineken » Sun 14 May 2006, 10:17:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'W')here is there any "conservation" if any area is open for exploitation? An "aesthetic" issue? Man, that is just frikkin' weird to me. All along here I thought real conservation was about protecting ecosystems and biodiversity. Pretty damn hard for that to happen if we can just decide to go charging into anywhere to take whatever it is we "need" from that area. The old "it's inevitable" "it's pragmatic" "don't be naive" blah blah. Screw that.

I agree (notwithstanding my sarcastic post much earlier). In the context of what you've said, Ludi, isn't the title of this forum ("A Solution for ANWR") ironic? ANWR doesn't need a "solution," it needs to be left alone.
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby rwwff » Sun 14 May 2006, 10:18:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'W')hether ANWR is raped or not, it won't change the oil picture significantly..

I think you are misunderstanding something about politics. Politicians obey constituents. When Granma NewEnglander can't get her heating oil, she will demand heating oil; not conservation. And the politicians Will Obey. Now, whether what they do actually helps all that much is really irrelevant to the picture. Granny knows there's oil in ANWR, she knows we're leaving it there, and she knows she will never go there. Result, ANWR gets drilled, and not nicely like they'd do if we said go now.
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby Heineken » Sun 14 May 2006, 10:44:16

The point of my posts is not that the drilling of ANWR is unlikely but rather that it is irrational. I agree that this sad outcome is probably inevitable.
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby WebHubbleTelescope » Sun 14 May 2006, 10:59:47

Beginning of the solution is not to let the opposition frame the issue. Start by always referring to it as Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, not by the acronym, which sounds vaguely middle eastern.
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby rwwff » Sun 14 May 2006, 11:42:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('WebHubbleTelescope', 'B')eginning of the solution is not to let the opposition frame the issue. Start by always referring to it as Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, not by the acronym, which sounds vaguely middle eastern.

Name it whatever you want, Granny knows there's oil there, and none in her heating oil tank. You think you can stop that juggernaught with aesthetics?
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby Heineken » Sun 14 May 2006, 12:20:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('WebHubbleTelescope', 'B')eginning of the solution is not to let the opposition frame the issue. Start by always referring to it as Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, not by the acronym, which sounds vaguely middle eastern.

Thanks for opening my mind to the potential political manipulation underlying the use of the abbreviation. Never occurred to me before, and I am usually sensitive to such things.
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby mekrob » Sun 14 May 2006, 16:35:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') think you are misunderstanding something about politics. Politicians obey constituents. When Granma NewEnglander can't get her heating oil, she will demand heating oil; not conservation. And the politicians Will Obey. Now, whether what they do actually helps all that much is really irrelevant to the picture. Granny knows there's oil in ANWR, she knows we're leaving it there, and she knows she will never go there. Result, ANWR gets drilled, and not nicely like they'd do if we said go now.

Great point rwwff. It's kinda funny in a way. The environmentalists (sane and insane) are actually hurting ANWR (sorry, Arctic National Wildlife Refuge) in the long run while the drill now people are saving Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (not completely, but somewhat). We can drill now and do it relatively safely and securely to make sure that the oil flows to China and Japan. Or we can wait 20 years when the oil world is on it's knees and then we'll have people rushing up to Alaska with picks and shovels trying to get to the black gold and not caring how many seals, caribou, foxes, birds, etc they kill. I could never consciously be a part of any organization that wants to 'save' the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge.
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby Heineken » Mon 15 May 2006, 08:55:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he environmentalists (sane and insane) are actually hurting ANWR (sorry, Arctic National Wildlife Refuge) in the long run while the drill now people are saving Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (not completely, but somewhat). We can drill now and do it relatively safely and securely to make sure that the oil flows to China and Japan. Or we can wait 20 years when the oil world is on it's knees and then we'll have people rushing up to Alaska with picks and shovels trying to get to the black gold and not caring how many seals, caribou, foxes, birds, etc they kill. I could never consciously be a part of any organization that wants to 'save' the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge.

Are you an authority on the environmental impact of oil and gas drilling, mekrob? I suggest you educate yourself before firing off such groundless statements (see suggested link below). My God, humans can't even have a picnic without doing damage and leaving a mess; what makes you think a massive drilling program in a delicate and sensitive region will be "safe and secure"? Yeah, safe and secure for the oil-company bigwigs and their $400 million retirement packages. Artic
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby mekrob » Mon 15 May 2006, 11:01:23

I don't mean that drilling will be 'safe and secure' in an absolute way, but in a relative meaning. We ARE going to drill there sooner or later as others have pointed out. It is only a matter of time. If we do it now, then we have the safeguards in place that will make it 'safe and secure' in a relative manner compared to how we will drill if we put it off for 20 years. When the SHTF in a few years, NOBODY will care for the environment with the exception of a few people who will have no control or power to stop that absolute raping of the land.

Yes, there will be devastation upon the land. But it's like comparing how US companies operate to how the Soviets did, which is how we will become.
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby Heineken » Mon 15 May 2006, 14:47:45

If you think all consideration for the environment will be abandoned going forward as we enter crisis mode, then you are even more of a doomer than I am, mekrob. My hat's off to you!
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby mekrob » Mon 15 May 2006, 15:10:10

Listen, I care for the environment. I don't want it to get fucked up. But unless someone on here gets elected to President (or Vice President and has the Prez taken out), then there won't be much we can do for it. It's like a fly trying to stop a train. It is pretty much fruitless. We've only hit three dollar gas. We have a 'booming' economy. And even now we have Ralph Nader saying that Big Oil needs to drop the prices because they are too high! You think he'd be estatic as high prices push people away from this shitty consumptive Earth-destroying lifestyle. But no. He's saying we need cheaper gasoline.!!! Just wait until lil ol' granny can't heat her home. Until we have a real recession or depression and gasoline is still 3 bucks/gallon or even higher.

Yes, people will care about the environment. But when it comes to 'saving' the environment or actually keeping your kids and family warm and fed, guess which is going to occur? As for the major environmentalists, well, Nader's crossed already. If the others don't cross, then...well, they're environmentalists. They have no and definately won't have any power in the future government.
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby Eddie_lomax » Mon 15 May 2006, 15:19:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'A')NWR is already doomed---global warming will wreak special havoc there. So, indeed, why not kick it in the teeth while we still have the chance.

Hey, I have an idea too, while its being drilled we could put in some urban sprawl in there too - malls, McHouses the lot, if its going to be screwed up then the job might as well be done properly :)
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Re: A Solution for ANWR

Unread postby Heineken » Tue 16 May 2006, 09:38:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mekrob', 'L')isten, I care for the environment. I don't want it to get fucked up. But unless someone on here gets elected to President (or Vice President and has the Prez taken out), then there won't be much we can do for it. It's like a fly trying to stop a train. It is pretty much fruitless. We've only hit three dollar gas. We have a 'booming' economy. And even now we have Ralph Nader saying that Big Oil needs to drop the prices because they are too high! You think he'd be estatic as high prices push people away from this shitty consumptive Earth-destroying lifestyle. But no. He's saying we need cheaper gasoline.!!! Just wait until lil ol' granny can't heat her home. Until we have a real recession or depression and gasoline is still 3 bucks/gallon or even higher.
Yes, people will care about the environment. But when it comes to 'saving' the environment or actually keeping your kids and family warm and fed, guess which is going to occur? As for the major environmentalists, well, Nader's crossed already. If the others don't cross, then...well, they're environmentalists. They have no and definately won't have any power in the future government.

Agree . . . I'm not optimistic either. Human nature is so reliable.
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An acceptable case for drilling in ANWR?

Unread postby thorn » Tue 23 May 2006, 21:24:01

Could there be an acceptable case for drilling in ANWR? What if the government allowed drilling in ANWR with the provision that all the oil extracted from ANWR would be used for building a sustainable infrastructure or for sustainable energy technologies? Or leave it for a rainy day reserve (critical needs). The problem is that if they leave ANWR undeveloped for the future, in 5-6 years the Trans-Alaskan pipeline will be shut down as the North Slope reaches depletion. It will then be more difficult and take more energy to use tankers to transport the oil to the lower 48.

Any opinions?
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