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THE Gas Station Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby Battle_Scarred_Galactico » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 09:10:21

Yet more evidence of how people do/will behave. This is par for the course.

Don't worry, it will be fine once we have biodiesel 747s and wind-powered SUVs.
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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby AirlinePilot » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 09:11:31

This has been my fear all along also. The ill prepared masses panicking at the first sign of normalcy dissappearing. Any small shortage or crisis seems to be magnified by the inability of regular folks to manage without being spoon fed thier basic needs.

This should be a wake-up call for all you soft landing types. This type of panic rapidly snowballs into social and economic chaos. Who gets blamed? Local and federal government for not being "prepared". What a bunch of hogwash. What has happened to the American pioneer spirit? How difficult can it be to make some very minor preparations to go without power and water for a week or so? We are in deep doo-doo come post peak.

When the going gets tough......you know the rest. Seems to me that when the going gets tough anymore the masses just fall down and can't get up. Its pathetic, but also very forboding. What is going to happen once we start to see real shortages and crisis? I'm a lot closer to picking up a few assault rifles and a few thousand rounds than I ever was. That and some boxed MRE'S for when it gets really bad.
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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby Permanently_Baffled » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 09:22:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AirlinePilot', 'T')his has been my fear all along also. The ill prepared masses panicking at the first sign of normalcy dissappearing. Any small shortage or crisis seems to be magnified by the inability of regular folks to manage without being spoon fed thier basic needs.

This should be a wake-up call for all you soft landing types. This type of panic rapidly snowballs into social and economic chaos. Who gets blamed? Local and federal government for not being "prepared". What a bunch of hogwash. What has happened to the American pioneer spirit? How difficult can it be to make some very minor preparations to go without power and water for a week or so? We are in deep doo-doo come post peak.

When the going gets tough......you know the rest. Seems to me that when the going gets tough anymore the masses just fall down and can't get up. Its pathetic, but also very forboding. What is going to happen once we start to see real shortages and crisis? I'm a lot closer to picking up a few assault rifles and a few thousand rounds than I ever was. That and some boxed MRE'S for when it gets really bad.


You maybe right, but post peak it will all be down to how scarce resources are managed.

In this situation , people panic because they fear they will turn up at the petrol station and will not be able to get ANY gas.

If there is a permanent shortage, then you can avoid the queues and the panic by rationing, ie each consumer can only purchase certain amount of gallons per week. You could even make the coupons tradeable.

I accept the US situation is tricky though , as the whole infrastructure is set up around the car. At least in many parts of Europe , PT is available (although an inconvenience!) and a lot of people do live near essential services which could be walked or biked.

Having said all this , what these recent hurricanes have demonstrated is that we are going to have massive problem dealing with natural disasters with liquid fuel shortages. Can you imagine the NO relief effort without sufficient fuel for evacuations or supplies?
8O

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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby MacG » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 09:37:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Permanently_Baffled', ' ')If there is a permanent shortage, then you can avoid the queues and the panic by rationing, ie each consumer can only purchase certain amount of gallons per week. You could even make the coupons tradeable.


It's rightout amazing how fast "market solutions" are thrown out the window when they stop functioning. A glimmer of hope actually.
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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby nero » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 10:34:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')t's rightout amazing how fast "market solutions" are thrown out the window when they stop functioning. A glimmer of hope actually.


If they actually allowed market solutions then there wouldn't be any lines. The gas stations that were open could jack up their prices to the point where demand meets supply. This potential windfall profit would have also given the economic insentive for the gas stations to hire generators to keep themselves open in case of power loss.

I don't really believe everything would work that smoothly, but I'm just saying if we don't allow people who store essential supplies to profit from emergencies, then what motive do they have to actually store emergency supplies.
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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby Permanently_Baffled » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 10:44:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nero', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')t's rightout amazing how fast "market solutions" are thrown out the window when they stop functioning. A glimmer of hope actually.


If they actually allowed market solutions then there wouldn't be any lines. The gas stations that were open could jack up their prices to the point where demand meets supply. This potential windfall profit would have also given the economic insentive for the gas stations to hire generators to keep themselves open in case of power loss.

I don't really believe everything would work that smoothly, but I'm just saying if we don't allow people who store essential supplies to profit from emergencies, then what motive do they have to actually store emergency supplies.


You are right.

If the limited supply of gasoline post peak was allowed to rise in price to where supply = demand, then there would be no lines.

However this is a dangerous strategy, as you are potentally denying too many people of an essential resource(there demand being destroyed by a price so high that cannot buy any).

This in turn would threaten society , and may result in more chaos than if the resource was artificially managed.
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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby Leanan » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 10:47:05

Some gas stations down there are reportedly selling gas for $5 or $6 a gallon. Then there's the "black market":

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')t one Wal-Mart, 30 people sat on the sidewalk while they used the store's outside electrical outlets to recharge their cell phones. At one gas station, a man went car-to-car selling fuel from a 10-gallon plastic tank. The price was $20 for about a gallon, and people happily paid.


AP report
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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby Trindelm » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 11:02:23

Ok, fuel is short, people need groceries and get to work outside the region of devastation...
Wouldn't it make sense for people to start car and gas pooling?
Are they that insistent on their lifestyle?
Does anyone else exist outside their little world?

Maybe I'm expecting rational from the irrational-bloated masses willing to punch a woman in the face, all to first to gas up their suv.
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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby ritter » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 11:06:25

These scenarios are making me think that my best option is to stock enough water and food to get me, wife and daughter through a week or two hunkered down at home prior to any effort to leave town for the inlaws place in the country. It seems that traffic (ala Houston) and hoarding (ala NO and Florida) will make immediate evacuation pretty sketchy. I suppose along with that, 20 gallons of gas would be a good thing to have on hand. I guess the rest of these thoughts should go in the short-term suburban survival thread.

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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby PrairieMule » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 11:13:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Leanan', 'W')e are so dependent on electricity it isn't even funny. Some people are now demanding that gas stations be required to have generators, so they can pump gas if there's no power. FEMA is dispatching generators to gas stations. They are also supplying generators to the suppliers to those gas stations.


Of course once the power comes back on, how will they use their credit cards when the phone lines are down?
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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby Leanan » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 11:15:46

It's cash-only. One woman waited in line for hours, only to find they couldn't take her credit card. She started crying.
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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby Revi » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 11:27:47

Seems to me that this is the best argument for alternative sources of energy yet. If you get around in an electric vehicle powered by your own solar, there's no problem. If your hot water and electricity was solar, you are fine. Your panels would have to be covered during the hurricane, but as soon as you uncover them you're making power, and hot water. In a place like Miami you'd have plenty of sun. Why not? We installed a solar emergency light system, and solar hot water in our house for exactly this kind of problem. When the lights go off, ours stay on. We can listen to the radio, feed the woodstove, and take a hot shower. If even half of the people had something like that, there would be no problem.
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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby SinisterBlueCat » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 11:29:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nero', '
')
If they actually allowed market solutions then there wouldn't be any lines. The gas stations that were open could jack up their prices to the point where demand meets supply.


That is a nice thought, but somehow I think that if the gas station owners were allowed to do that, people would be dragging the attendants out into the street and shooting them like dogs.
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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby Leanan » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 11:42:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hat is a nice thought, but somehow I think that if the gas station owners were allowed to do that, people would be dragging the attendants out into the street and shooting them like dogs.


Yup. Just go to a 3rd world country if you want to see truly free markets. The result is not a large middle class. It's a huge number of poor people, with immense wealth concentrated among a few wealthy families at the top. This may sound great, if you're one of the lucky few. Except that if the poor get too downtrodden, they revolt. Which is really bad for business.
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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby OilsNotWell » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 12:13:31

Wow. $20/gallon...Now that's price rationing...THe funny thing is, a 'free' market like that actually helps the situation by allocating greatest need by price...
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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby Revi » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 12:31:28

I used to live in a third world country and I wouldn't say that there were free markets there. Most people didn't have cars nor electricity. They would not have been standing in line for gasoline. I did see a lot of people freaking out and burning buses in the capital city when the price went up 5 cents on food. They didn't have much extra, so when went up even a little it was a desperate situation.
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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby Leanan » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 12:32:59

Or just to those with a lot of money and/or not much sense. I bet that guy who "has" to fill up because he's only got a half tank, even though he has nowhere to go, would be willing to pay $20/gallon - just for the peace of mind.
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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby turtleT » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 13:01:41

My parents live in Palm Beach county. They live in middle class neighborhood without power. Based on their observations and discussions with neighbors, a big part of the current need for gas right now is the 'need' to run personal generators. People are lining up for hours just so they can have electricity to watch TV. Can't miss the games you know!

My parents refused to get a generator this year based on principal. Everyone around them has one and the noise pollution is incredible. People had them running as soon as the hurricane passed. Talk about an addiction. My confidence in the general population is so low.

My parents biggest concern right now is not lack of electricity or the damage to their home, it's the lack of income because there is no job to go to.
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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby aflurry » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 14:04:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nero', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')t's rightout amazing how fast "market solutions" are thrown out the window when they stop functioning. A glimmer of hope actually.


If they actually allowed market solutions then there wouldn't be any lines. The gas stations that were open could jack up their prices to the point where demand meets supply. This potential windfall profit would have also given the economic insentive for the gas stations to hire generators to keep themselves open in case of power loss.


people would just put it on credit. why is the market so appealing a godhead? i have nothing against using it in cases where it is an effective tool. but as for claims that it has any inherent wisdom? puh-lease.
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Re: "Full of Road Warriors"

Unread postby aflurry » Thu 27 Oct 2005, 14:06:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('OilsNotWell', 'W')ow. $20/gallon...Now that's price rationing...THe funny thing is, a 'free' market like that actually helps the situation by allocating greatest need by price...


how in the world does ability to pay have anything to do with greatest need?
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