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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Nothing to fear but fear itself

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby JudoCow09 » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 22:10:37

First of all, energy is not a plank of the bucket. Food, water, air, and shelter are almost all directly effected by energy. We already settled this.

Secondly, there is no way you can say that this cheap, tap-able energy is only 1000th of 1% of the world's current energy. There is more than just solar power out there and once again, we learn. I learn, you learn, the world learns. New discoveries, new methods, you can't plan the future without the knowledge it will provide. By the way, potential is what we can do, so I guess you mean we could achieve it.

Nuclear is cheap, and Hydro is cheap, Solar is cheap, and Wind is cheap. If I recall, you said it was just solar. Have you accounted for any of the other renewable energy sources? Have you accounted for technological advancements? Every eight years Monte. There's been a million and one theories for the world's end, and some had facts behind them. People said they knew that a meteor would hit Earth. Well, it hasn't yet, so what makes you think your facts are right? There's just simply too many possiblities.

Ahh, I think my remote's working again... 8O
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 22:11:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', ' ')There is lots of potential, but little reality.


Reality seems unimportant to many people, potential is everything to them.

They make me move closer and closer to the "doomer" side...


This thread itself is making me feel quite doomerish right now, opposite, I'm sure to it's intended effect.

Anti-doomers and cornucopians depress me. :(
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby JudoCow09 » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 22:20:32

Just real quick.

Potential: The inherent(natural) ability or capacity for growth, development, or coming into being.

I'll have to give you another interesting quote. It fits here quite well.

By the way, Ludi, I prefer we use the term banana. Of course, pink bunny rabbit will work too.
Last edited by JudoCow09 on Mon 05 Sep 2005, 22:21:52, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby basil_hayden » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 22:20:49

I concur Ludi. I try to stay middle of the road and see both sides. But clearly there are limits, some of them we know about, some of them we may not be aware of. If we tackle the energy problem, there's the clean water problem, clean air problem, etc., etc., etc.....

We won't know die-off when it happens, kind of like peak oil. There will just be less people year to year, unless the nukes fly.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 22:25:58

JudoCow, what are you doing, besides being a booster? What are you actually moving toward, growing toward?

Your position just seems empty to me, like so much religion.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby MonteQuest » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 22:41:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', 'F')irst of all, energy is not a plank of the bucket. Food, water, air, and shelter are almost all directly effected by energy.


Duh?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')econdly, there is no way you can say that this cheap, tap-able energy is only 1000th of 1% of the world's current energy.


Judo, you really need to do some reading. Solar technologies currently "tap" into the solar flux to the tune of 1000th of 1% of our energy produciton.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')uclear is cheap, and Hydro is cheap, Solar is cheap, and Wind is cheap.


As cheap and as readily available as fossil fuels?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f I recall, you said it was just solar. Have you accounted for any of the other renewable energy sources?


Such as?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')ave you accounted for technological advancements?


Such as?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'E')very eight years Monte. There's been a million and one theories for the world's end, and some had facts behind them. People said they knew that a meteor would hit Earth. Well, it hasn't yet, so what makes you think your facts are right? There's just simply too many possiblities.


The math.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby MonteQuest » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 22:44:46

Judo,

A question for you:

What percentage of increase, per year, can you imagine for solar technologies?
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby Z » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 22:49:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', 'P')eople said they knew that a meteor would hit Earth. Well, it hasn't yet


Yes it has. Several times.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby JudoCow09 » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 22:51:39

What's your position, Ludi? Your position seems so empty to me. You're like all the other bananas on this website. Not to stereotype, but you all seem to share the same views. I hear you chime in, with rhetorical questions, yet besides that, I see little view-point behind you. Do you think you'll survive the die-off I'm sure you believe in just because you know about PO?

It's all opinion. My opinion is empty to you because you have found so much faith in yours, like a religion.

My job is to try and convince Monte more towards my view of realism. He seems to me like a banana, although he would disagree.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 22:58:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', 'W')hat's your position, Ludi? Your position seems so empty to me. You're like all the other bananas on this website.


Huh? But, Judo, honey, I'm not a banana. I guess you don't read much on this site, otherwise you'd see my posts presenting my position, and my actions. It's definitely not a "doomer," excuse me, "banana," position.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby JudoCow09 » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 23:10:36

Not when they predicted it. If it did, it shrunk to a tiny rock. I don't recall an article about a meteor hitting Earth.

Monte:...Monte, Monte, Monte...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'J')udo, you really need to do some reading. Solar technologies currently "tap" into the solar flux to the tune of 1000th of 1% of our energy produciton.


Other renewables. What other renewables you may ask? Wind maybe? Hydro? Did we say anything about JUST solar? No.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')s cheap and as readily available as fossil fuels?


No, but not only almost but at a rate that they aren't going to be so expensive that we can't afford them without the world economy crashing.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')uch as?


You just quoted me on them. YOU JUST QUOTED ME ON THEM and you ask "such as?" This has to be the most naive moment I've had with you. As for the technological advancements, what do you want me to tell you? How can I know what we will discover tomorrow? I can't. Neither can you.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he math.


Google anything about failed doomsday scenarios, and you'll see lots. LOTS. As for the world's knowledge, check this out.

http://www.lasierra.edu/library/core101/module1.html

I'm sure you'll have a field day with it. Basically, every websites says that that we're learning more every day. That website says we've learned more in the past 30 years than that past 5000 before that. Another website suggests the world's knowledge double in fifty years in the 19th century. More people=more research=more knowledge. Simple math. If one side of the equation increases, the other does too.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby MonteQuest » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 23:11:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', 'M')y job is to try and convince Monte more towards my view of realism. He seems to me like a banana, although he would disagree.


Ah, but Judo, my view is one of realism. And I am not a doomer..er banana. Why do you think I am?
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby JudoCow09 » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 23:14:48

You're right, Ludi. I haven't read much from you about your point-of-views since all I've seen has been your occasional popup. I failed to see you've clearly been here a while. I just figured you were a banana since your sig used to say doo...ir, banana rather than pink bunny rabbit.

Well, there is the point that your facts always back up a negative position. Of course, saying that your facts lead to negative opinions would be completely rude and immature, I will just say that facts back up both sides of the argument.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby Jaymax » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 23:15:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jaymax', 'Y')es, if we ever exceed the cheap, tap-able, energy carrying capability of the planet, there'll be a die-off, at least of western society, whether or not not of total human population. I just don't see the connection to peak oil. (That's an exaggeration, I see the possible connection, but it looks increasingly speculative and rather unlikely to me).


So, the other factors of air, water, food, and shelter have no limits?


Of course they do - there are limits to every resource within a niche, and one of them will be limiting. Sometimes, when a resource withn a niche runs low, a species find a new niche. If they can't do that, they are in an overshoot and will die-off.

I just don't think there's a real connection to peak oil in that.

Or alternativly, I expect we are more than capable of moving to a new niche which provides greater quantities of energy than we currently get from oil, in much the same way that a nomadic peoples will pack up their lives and go for a long walk.

I also think there's something potentially very interesting in considering 'society' seperate from individuals - it strikes me there is a small possibility that the western society memeset may be in overshoot, even if the human geneset is not.

Rambling - late - poorly connected thoughts...

--J
Doomerosity now at 2 (occasionaly 3, was 4)

Currently (mostly) taking a break from posting at po.com. Don't trust the false prophets of doom - keep reading, keep learning, keep challenging your assum
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby MonteQuest » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 23:20:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', 'O')ther renewables. What other renewables you may ask? Wind maybe? Hydro? Did we say anything about JUST solar? No.


Judo, wind is solar. Hydro is geologically almost at it's limit.

Renewables account for about 11% of current production, mostly geothermal.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')s cheap and as readily available as fossil fuels?


No, but not only almost but at a rate that they aren't going to be so expensive that we can't afford them without the world economy crashing.


And as readily available?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')uch as?


You just quoted me on them. YOU JUST QUOTED ME ON THEM and you ask "such as?" This has to be the most naive moment I've had with you. As for the technological advancements, what do you want me to tell you? How can I know what we will discover tomorrow? I can't. Neither can you.

But yet you are basing your argument on it, aren't you?
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby JudoCow09 » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 23:28:26

11% isn't bad, especially since we haven't been worried about renewable energy until now.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd as readily available?


...I can't say. There isn't great need for them now. As oil goes up though, more companies will devote money into them making them more profitable. Of course companies may not, I don't know. It would seem dumb to stick to a economy of less profit.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut yet you are basing your argument on it, aren't you?


Be concise Monte. First thing I learned in English. Never use it to refer to something in a paragraph. There is almost always going to be a whole lot of thoughs "it"s.

So what are you refering to?

One more thing. So are high and low pressure systems affected by the sun?
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby MonteQuest » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 23:31:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jaymax', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jaymax', 'Y')es, if we ever exceed the cheap, tap-able, energy carrying capability of the planet, there'll be a die-off, at least of western society, whether or not not of total human population. I just don't see the connection to peak oil. (That's an exaggeration, I see the possible connection, but it looks increasingly speculative and rather unlikely to me).


So, the other factors of air, water, food, and shelter have no limits?


Of course they do - there are limits to every resource within a niche, and one of them will be limiting. Sometimes, when a resource withn a niche runs low, a species find a new niche. If they can't do that, they are in an overshoot and will die-off.

I just don't think there's a real connection to peak oil in that.


So, you maintain that post-peak, air, water, food, or shelter will be less abundant than cheap, readily available energy? Because as you say, one of these must always be a stave in the barrel.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')r alternativly, I expect we are more than capable of moving to a new niche which provides greater quantities of energy than we currently get from oil, in much the same way that a nomadic peoples will pack up their lives and go for a long walk.


Ah, the cornucopian!

And what about the fact that when any given species exploits a heretofore unexploited resource that it always blooms and then crashes? It never moves on.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby JudoCow09 » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 23:34:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd what about the fact that when any given species exploits a heretofore unexploited resource that it always blooms and then crashes? It never moves on.


*BZZZT* Sorry, Monte, you just gave the wrong answer for the million dollar question.

The correct answer was A) It has failed to move on so far.

Thanks for watching "Who Wants to be a Millionaire"!
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby MonteQuest » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 23:39:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut yet you are basing your argument on it, aren't you?


Be concise Monte. First thing I learned in English. Never use it to refer to something in a paragraph. There is almost always going to be a whole lot of thoughs "it"s.

So what are you refering to?


This.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Judo', 'H')ave you accounted for technological advancements?


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')ne more thing. So are high and low pressure systems affected by the sun?


Wind is caused by an uneven heating of the earth's surface, thus it is solar in origin.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby MonteQuest » Mon 05 Sep 2005, 23:43:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd what about the fact that when any given species exploits a heretofore unexploited resource that it always blooms and then crashes? It never moves on.


*BZZZT* Sorry, Monte, you just gave the wrong answer for the million dollar question.

The correct answer was A) It has failed to move on so far.

Thanks for watching "Who Wants to be a Millionaire"!


So, you are betting that we can where all before us have not?

On what do you base this, given that there is no fresh horse in sight?
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