by theluckycountry » Wed 02 Oct 2024, 18:22:50
Supersonic passenger jets, Space travel, and other commonly held Dreams.Remember the heady days of the Space Shuttle? Or perhaps you just want to forget them... After all they basically ran to a dead end with two disasters along the way. Predictable disasters too, because the engineers, when asked at the outset how safe the program was, all but one stated that 1:100 launches would end in disaster. The guy that didn't agree claimed there would never be a disaster and he was chosen for a top PR position in NASA. There were 130 launches and two ended in disaster. An even worse ratio than predicted, and a stat that tells you something about engineers and scientists. They tend to publish the "Best case scenarios" from their data.
The shuttle was born out of a SciFi dream, 2001 a space odyssey.

We were off to the stars! Or so they said.
Before that was supersonic passenger travel, a great idea really, and it worked, and it was safe as the record proved. Right up until the end when an antique Concorde suffered a catastrophic accident due to a combination of air-frame age, pilot error with loading, and a 10,000:1 event involving some debris left on the runway by a previous takeoff. But the program was disbanded because it wasn't economically or environmentally viable. Economics killed the space shuttle too, just as much as it's safety record. The point is the Public was Amazed by these technologies and fully believed the Marketing surrounding them even though they were doomed from the outset. People thought they could see the future, endless supersonic trips, cheaper and cheaper once they sorted the tech out, and in the case of the shuttle, trips to the moon, blah blah blah.
The flying car has had many iterations over the decades and each time enthusiasm wanes more and more I suspect. People tend to have a fear of heights, but also tend to feel safe in numbers so they are happy to close their eyes and get on passenger jets which though they often have catastrophic crashes are still relativity safe. But alone up there? I'm sure they would even board a passenger jet though if a computer was in total control and no pilots were up front. That's just how people are.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')riverless trains have been operating on this London rapid-transit system since 1987. However, a train attendant is still on board to open and close doors, and to take control in an emergency.
Now we come to the latest craze, the latest bit of futuristic hopium, the Electric car. Ignoring all the previous EV failures, this time "they have got it right" We're off to the stars at last, or at least off to the lake for a picnic without having to worry about nasty pollution or mechanical failures and all the other downsides to neolithic driving. Muck is behind it and he's a Wizard! Biden and all the other World leaders are 100% behind it, it's a given, a no brainer. Well that was certainly how the public approached it, with no brains, just a head full of Hopium and marketing. Like my friend who recently signed up for a Ford F150, known down here as a Ford Ranger. "It has a 10-speed auto box" he told me at length, explaining all the benefits of this and how it keeps the engine in the right part of the torque curve etc etc. He was parroting the salesman, who was parroting the brochure. He knew nothing about the class action in the states related to this tragic transmission. These tucks are junk and have many points of failure.
Caveat Emptor. My guess is he doesn't even know what this phrase means.
the principle that the buyer alone is responsible for checking the quality and suitability of goods before a purchase is madeSo now we have millions upon millions of saps that rushed in and bought EV's. Stuck with them now they have to gut it out and because we all have an EGO they will pretend for the most part that it was a good decision. It suits their lifestyle to have to recharge every day and to limit their trips to only so many miles. They love being able to visit the coffee shop or movies for an hour or so while it's recharging, they don't care if a given charger is broken or won't accept their app, there is another just across town, they are content to drive the extra 20 minutes Yes, that really is a
No Brainer in my opinion
But now it's over, now that we are faced with unwind, with the mountains of stranded assets to deal with. The Concorde and the Shuttle too left behind a pile of stranded assets and a legacy of wasted money, but nothing like the waste pursuing the EV. Just the damage caused to the Planet with the ramp up of Lithium and Cobalt mining is staggering! Not to mention the waste of rare earths, copper and steel. I suppose in the scheme of things it's not that big a deal. The limits to growth was going to be reached regardless of this folly so what if it shaves a few more years off the day?
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.