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You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authority

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby Pops » Sun 15 Feb 2015, 09:49:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('onlooker', 'I') do not think it was inevitable.

I didn't phrase that correctly I guess, my point was that it is inevitable that this thread turns into old farts saying "kids nowaday" are disrespectful and lack discipline. Because old farts have always thought that about kids.

But back to the generational theory.
I think it fits this thread nicely because the intergenerational conflict (or at least the roles played by the different generations) are central to the thread and the theory. If you've never heard of it the idea is there are 4 periods 20-30 years long (correct me)
one is the high point, which would be the post WWII war boom - where institutions are strong and individualism weak, wealth was spread more equitable than anytime before or since

the next is the revolutionary (awakening?) period where institutions are attacked and or corrupted - this correlates to the counterculture, civil rights period of the 60-70s;

then the 3rd period (I can't remember the name of) but it is where individualism is strongest and institutions weakest - that would be now I'd guess, culture wars, Greed Is Good, even US conservatives are split.

Finally the crisis period, which I'm sure true believers thought was signaled by the lesser depression of '08, but which turned out to be just a hiccup compared to past crises, so either this phase is dragging out longer or the theory is bunk, LOL.
.
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby onlooker » Sun 15 Feb 2015, 11:56:04

Good summary Pops, well this crisis period should last for the foreseeable future and be characterized by the complete collapse of traditional institutions and replaced by ??. That will depend upon how severe this conjunction of economic and environmental crisis is. I can envision a wide range of outcomes but one thing seems clear their will be radical and extreme changes in everything because in no small part we can anticipate at lease to a certain degree a die-off. Chaos will reign supreme for awhile then hopefully we will strive forward all together with a common purpose and cooperation so the issue of authority will not be so keen but individualism will have to be subordinate to the all-encompassing goal of restoring some sort of cohesive society or civilization.
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby evilgenius » Sun 15 Feb 2015, 12:53:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('forbin', 'Y')ou're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authority

Hmm, factors

* Authority has made a few blunders - reporting of which is greater and spread more

* Acidic reporting in MSM

* Internet - the good, the bad and the down right fradulent are a click away

* Emphasise on the freedom of you and your ideas above all others .

* Emphasise on we are all equal ( when clearly we're not ) confused with equal opportunity


I am clear that the last bullet point will upset some but give it some thought please , given the factors of genetics and how each of us through out our lives has been subject to different enviromental imputs .... leads to

* individualism

* Same As Yesterday - its claimed that most people want exciting and adventurous lives when actually all they want is tomorrow to be same as today .


Forbin


It depends upon how you look at equality as to what your answer will be concerning the point about whether we are all equal. You see, you can compare yourself in lock-step fashion to another person, or you can compare yourself to them on the basis of whether your differences operate on the basis of a function. According to the first way of comparison no two people will ever really be equal, and even if they are all you have to do is further refine your means of defining who a person(you maybe) is and they won't be. According to the second you are a person, not unlike any other person, and you have tendencies, but your tendencies will not always at every moment predict your behavior, and they won't for other people either, but both of you have human nature dictating the rise of your tendencies.

It's like this: at my local park, which is about a quarter-mile by a half-mile, there is a system of paths. A few years ago the people responsible for the park 'upgraded' it and added gravel to part of the existing path, mostly the part around the outside. They also laid down a lot of concrete sidewalk, especially where the movement of people was so common as to be interpreted formally, by wide sidewalks and lampposts etc. When they did this they hired a designer to fashion the paths. This designer imposed a new position for the path around the outside of the park too, one that meandered in places, but places of their choosing.

Well, after several years there is a well worn path around the outside of the park, a path of the people's choosing. My point is none of the paths, in their intrinsic nature, render any of the others invalid. What they are comes down to expressions of choice given the people's idea concerning their intended use of the park at a time. Some days they want to walk all the way around the outside because they aren't in a hurry, or they want the total distance for exercise, etc. When they do they go in a way that contradicts the architect's design. It doesn't mean that the architect screwed up when they laid down their planned paths. Those paths are actually quite good for some people's determined use over a wide variety of intentions expressed over time.

Recently, and at various times in the past, yellow tape has appeared across the independently worn path, between trees and such. The authorities have come round and attempted to block the people from making their choice. They want them on the architect's path. Yesterday I noticed that people had torn all of those down and just kept going where they will. Maybe the authorities ought to engage in an expensive political and legal battle to enforce their architected path? Maybe they should just take a look and build a serviceable path where the people like to go in numbers sufficient enough to indicate they have a need for one? Do you see how the two ways of looking at this are very much like how you can choose to frame the argument about human equality?

One can say this about life: people's lives, their characteristics and how they might form a bundle of tendencies, can be like a particular path. You could say that your path is the path, and that all other paths are invalid in light of the existence of your path. After all, you've interpreted the landscape and have pretty much figured out, based on the grade of things(DNA, or whatever) and the placement of trees(society, or whatever) where the path most logically should be. You could even carry this all the way to its logical conclusion and put 'keep off the grass' signs up all around the vast green middle universe that beckons folks to go and lay or play where they will. You could do that, or you could listen.
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby Rod_Cloutier » Sun 15 Feb 2015, 13:03:54

On the other side of the fence the Anarchists are also getting busy:

https://vimeo.com/118945174

Suggesting that even the far left political party in Greece isn't radical enough, that we need to get rid of governments altogether. A rapper in the video sings about sacrifices with a video of gang action against police playing in the background. (This is also a really scary trend)
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby evilgenius » Sun 15 Feb 2015, 13:25:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Don35', 'I') would recommend reading "The Fourth Turning" Howe and Strauss. Theory that history is cyclical not in events but in it's attitudes, beliefs, etc. We must go through winter before we can experience spring. It has interesting predictions based on the past. When "X" happened in the past "Y" happened. Scary predictions. Highly recommended by me! :)


Me too!
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby evilgenius » Sun 15 Feb 2015, 14:20:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Paulo1', 'I')bon

re:
"I want to leave you all with an image of an old one room country school house in the first half of the 20th century where teachers would teach latin, where students would learn the classics, where literature was dissected. Where a belief in the common good prevailed and authorities in their imperfection were respected. "

You forgot to mention...where the children sat quietly and listened. They took turns and raised their hands. The also knew if they got in trouble at school it would be dealt with at home. An A was an A and a C was a C and people actually failed. At recess they played hard and rough outside. Not one child used the phrase motherf#@!er. Not one little girl wore makeup or was dressed as a hooker. When parents visited the school they did not sport tatoos. The women did not wear wife-beater tee shirts with their boobs hanging out. The men wore their hats as they were designed.

My wife was an elementaary teacher for 25 years. When I picked her up after work I was horrified. I taught elementary school for 3 years. I remember one day seeing a couple of moms fighting...calling each other crack whores and sluts with boobs heaving as they tried to swing on each other. (I soon transferred back to teaching carpentry!! 8O )

It is pretty grim out there. My wife had a 7 year old whose Dad bought him "Call of Duty"? video game for Christmas. It is harder to get a drivers license than it is to get married, for sure. As for popping out kids, well who needs marriage anymore? Like I said...pretty grim out there.


What you've posted reminds me of the psychology and psycho-history of the "rat run". You know, those routes in every city of any size where motorists cut through otherwise peaceful neighborhoods at rush hour, and sometimes other times of the day. For the people who inhabit those neighborhoods it is a real nightmare. For those who drive those routes it is a quicker way to get home, or to the store, or office, whatever.

You can try to combat the use of the rat run by measures that include speed bumps, excessive stop signs, intensive policing, etc. Most of those measures often wind up making the place you live annoyingly different than the one you thought you were trying to preserve, though. Some neighborhoods try them. Many find a balance, with a side benefit that Uncle Pete doesn't like to visit very often anymore.

The point is, however, that rat runs are not caused by a neighborhood having a very attractive counter route. Rat runs are, by their nature, out of the way for most people, actually. They are caused by the general consensus route not having a perceivable answer for the driver who needs to get some place. A lot of the time this is because society wide the people have an attitude that is not in line with solving the problem(they don't want to invest money, or time, or whatever). Sometimes the problem does lie with government, in that it has lost touch with the fact that it is the people and the people are the government. Sometimes it is the result of wealthy interests buying off the people to agree to a thing that they should have known they would later regret, but, hey, look at the nice subdivision that exists now into which I can place my family.

Now, you can choose to be some crazy home owner, out there with a speed gun you bought off of the internet, tracking the speed of almost every car that comes by, demanding the city do something about the horror that is your neighborhood, or you could ask yourself what is really causing the problem and advocating for a solution to that. You might be the only voice doing so, but if that is what really needs to be said, have at it.
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby Outcast_Searcher » Sun 15 Feb 2015, 15:21:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Here is a great paper by Robert D. Putnam:
Bowling Alone: America's Declining Social Capital

An interesting paper indeed (I read most of it), and many points seem right on the money.

One aspect I didn't see which I think is important is my perception of a big shift in the employer/employee relationship over the past few decades.

I rely on my experience for an example, but I've read books like "White Collar Sweatshop: The Deterioration of Work and its Reward in Corporate America" that seem to indicate that my experience is quite normal for white collar workers. Of course we know this has generally been true for blue collar (think the rust belt) and unskilled workers for decades longer than that.

From '81 to '93 as an IBM I/T professional, most employees were only too happy to step up and go to extraordinary lengths to deal with a "crisis" at work, as well as work hard and care how our employer did. After all, we were generally treated well, given some professional respect as people and employees, and generally given decent raises for good work. Hell, we were even thanked and given awards -- just for doing our job well. (I was amazed when I realized IBM did this).

Fast forward to the post year 2000 period. Things got worse each year, raises were few and far between, more work was arbitrarily expected, resources were arbitrarily taken away as people were layed off, and any meaningful respect for employees was long gone. Awards programs? All but gone -- 100% politics for what little remained.

At least for me, given the intensity and time (a LOT) spent doing my professional job, this had a big impact on my overall outlook about society, and about the concept that if you do the right thing you will be properly rewarded. Add to this that while (being single and having no special tax breaks) I was paying about 40% of my income in taxes while much of society was yelling that I needed to pay far more -- I was just pretty much done. Aside from my need to buy things to survive, I just opted out of most of society's institutions, including working. (I always lived a simple lower middle class lifestyle anyway). Let them scream, fight their wars, and expand social programs with someone else's effort and the taxes derived therefrom.

And of course, the same ubiquitous internet that made skilled labor so much more available from all over the globe made my ability to deal with society without leaving my home much easier.

I wonder. Do Millennials feel that being treated badly at work is just normal because this is now the corporate default stance?
Do they care, since so much of their lives is lived virtually, via the web and all the devices that use it?
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby Nubs » Sun 15 Feb 2015, 18:26:08

It seems that there are two types of "authority" that have been discussed here. The first, which I think was the original intent of this thread, and is what most of the posts have benn about, is the "Follow my orders" kind of authority that we associate with leaders (political, religous, etc.). That's what my wife & I were thinking about when we posted "Question Authority" on the kitchen wall for our children to look at as they grew up.

But there's a second kind of authority crisis that troubles me more these days, which is the difficulty in knowing the facts about any situation. A few examples:

There are many posts on this site that mention the fact that there's no way to know how much oil is really available because countries routinely lie about their reserves.

Many climate change skeptics simply don't believe the "official" data because the data have been fudged. There's plenty of reason to suspect this; we all know that all governments lie when they are so inclined. That's why I like the berkeleyearth.org data set, but maybe I'm naiive and that's been falsified, too. And then there are the modelers who have a long history of overstating the accuracy of their models and hiding the many little tweaks that go on behind the scenes. I'm not saying that modelers should never be believed, but I do agree that they often get caught up in their abstractions and lose contact with reality. The Berkeley Earth site (which, by the way, concludes that AGW is real and serious) has some nice fact checking of climate model predictions.

Scientists have been caught with their pants down too many times, recently, and the public has lost trust in their honesty/competence to report unbiased facts and conclusions.

Ditto for economists, and besides, it's hard to respect a field that anchors its theory to the assumption that growth can continue indefinitely in a finite world.
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby Ibon » Sun 15 Feb 2015, 19:41:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('evilgenius', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Don35', 'I') would recommend reading "The Fourth Turning" Howe and Strauss. Theory that history is cyclical not in events but in it's attitudes, beliefs, etc. We must go through winter before we can experience spring. It has interesting predictions based on the past. When "X" happened in the past "Y" happened. Scary predictions. Highly recommended by me! :)


Me too!


Just another voice here to confirm I read the book a couple of years ago. I find the theory very compelling and recommend the book.

What the book also shows is how often we underestimate change and overestimate how fixed and intractable times are.

The theory presented in the book regarding generation changes shows quite clearly that the rigidness of the status quo is anything but.

Our consensus reality is quite fragile.......... actually
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby Pops » Sun 15 Feb 2015, 20:20:28

Evil,

Your story reminds me of the designer (architect, etc) who designed a public space (university?) and laid out no sidewalks, merely planting grass everywhere. He told the administration to just wait a year then pave where the paths had appeared in the grass.

Is that crowdsourcing or what, LOL

(sorry I can't remember any more details)
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby dohboi » Sun 15 Feb 2015, 23:59:19

N wrote: "Scientists have been caught with their pants down too many times, recently"

Hard to know what you're talking about here, but could it be that you are the one caught in this embarrassing position?
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby careinke » Mon 16 Feb 2015, 04:49:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('onlooker', 'I') do not think it was inevitable.

I didn't phrase that correctly I guess, my point was that it is inevitable that this thread turns into old farts saying "kids nowaday" are disrespectful and lack discipline. Because old farts have always thought that about kids.

But back to the generational theory.
I think it fits this thread nicely because the intergenerational conflict (or at least the roles played by the different generations) are central to the thread and the theory. If you've never heard of it the idea is there are 4 periods 20-30 years long (correct me)
one is the high point, which would be the post WWII war boom - where institutions are strong and individualism weak, wealth was spread more equitable than anytime before or since

the next is the revolutionary (awakening?) period where institutions are attacked and or corrupted - this correlates to the counterculture, civil rights period of the 60-70s;

then the 3rd period (I can't remember the name of) but it is where individualism is strongest and institutions weakest - that would be now I'd guess, culture wars, Greed Is Good, even US conservatives are split.

Finally the crisis period, which I'm sure true believers thought was signaled by the lesser depression of '08, but which turned out to be just a hiccup compared to past crises, so either this phase is dragging out longer or the theory is bunk, LOL.
.


I would have to argue with your 3rd period guess. I believe that started during the Reagan Era in the 80's and continued until 2001. You're in the crisis period now.

I think I have the book you were thinking about and the last crisis period he listed was the great depression. The complete cycle is approximately 80-90 years. Now I have to go find the book. I think it was called "Cycles".

Here is the one I read published 1971:
http://www.amazon.com/Cycles-Mysterious-Forces-Trigger-Events/dp/0801518806/ref=pd_rhf_dp_s_cp_2_5VFG?ie=UTF8&refRID=0V359S31AJVF634513DJ

Looks like it was re-released in 2013. You can get the kindle version for two bucks.

http://www.amazon.com/Cycles-Prediction-Edward-R-Dewey/dp/1493759108/ref=pd_sim_b_2?ie=UTF8&refRID=1EX1KWFRDTXSF9E6X7SF
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby dohboi » Mon 16 Feb 2015, 09:18:06

Nice to hear that WWI and the global flu pandemic did not comprise any kind of crisis for anyone. And here silly me thought that those were rather shattering events for those involved. Good to know they just weren't that big of a deal! :P /snark

I haven't read the works, but really, history is rich enough that, if you cherry pick just the events you want to bring out, you can find nearly any pattern you like. Think of all the folks that for years (or millennia, really) have been able to find absolute proof in the pattern of contemporary events of their times that the biblical apocalypse was at hand.
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby Pops » Mon 16 Feb 2015, 10:49:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dohboi', 'N')ice to hear that WWI and the global flu pandemic did not comprise any kind of crisis for anyone. And here silly me thought that those were rather shattering events for those involved. Good to know they just weren't that big of a deal! :P /snark

I haven't read the works, but really, history is rich enough that, if you cherry pick just the events you want to bring out, you can find nearly any pattern you like. Think of all the folks that for years (or millennia, really) have been able to find absolute proof in the pattern of contemporary events of their times that the biblical apocalypse was at hand.

I agree to an extent. I looked at Wiki for this:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')issionary Generation Prophet (Idealist) 1860–1882 (22) High: Reconstruction/Gilded Age
Lost Generation Nomad (Reactive) 1883–1900 (17) Awakening: Missionary Awakening
G.I. Generation Hero (Civic) 1901–1924 (23) Unraveling: World War I/Prohibition
Silent Generation Artist (Adaptive) 1925–1942 (17) Crisis: Great Depression/World War II

I get a little confused as to how each generational cohort is supposed to affect events but the history breakdown seems to fit. Of course the farther back you go the less one can be sure of measurement, sorta like any model.
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby Nubs » Mon 16 Feb 2015, 13:54:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dohboi', 'N') wrote: "Scientists have been caught with their pants down too many times, recently"

Hard to know what you're talking about here, but could it be that you are the one caught in this embarrassing position?

I was referring to the many recent situations in which scientists appear to be unable to get their story straight. These include high-profile cases in which “settled” science has had be abandoned in light of new results, the failure after decades of study to find answers to seemingly simple questions, and cases of outright fraud.

At the top of my list are all of the recent changes in dietary recommendations. For years we were told to that cholesterol, fat, sodium and carbohydrates were bad and should be avoided at. Now suddenly they’re not so bad (http://www.forbes.com/sites/fayeflam/2015/02/12/why-eggs-and-other-cholesterol-laden-foods-pose-little-or-no-health-risk/ http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/nutritionsource/the-new-salt-controversy/) The “food pyramid” has been revealed to be politically skewed (http://www.nytimes.com/2004/09/01/opinion/01wed2.html?_r=0). Despite decades of research and hundreds of millions of $US of funding, we have been unable to answer the simple question of why people are getting fat (Here’s an obvious possibility, although it, too, is not “proven”: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dBnniua6-oM). What disturbs me the most about the changes in dietary recommendations is not that they have changed; science is always a work in progress. Rather, it is the certainty with which the previous conclusions were promoted as “authoritative”.

Many other health-related examples could be cited. Screening for prostate cancer comes to mind (http://www.webmd.com/prostate-cancer/news/20120524/psa-screening-controversy-faq). Here are some more: (http://www.cbsnews.com/media/medical-controversies-sparking-debate-in-2014/).

Another case that inflamed mistrust in science is the infamous “climategate hockey stick”. This was not fraud, but it was deception (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dBnniua6-oM), and it has given many people an excuse to dismiss all climate research as unreliable at least, and outright fraud in some folks minds. In my opinion, the whole narrative of climate change is deeply flawed. Rather than focusing on the fact that a small increase in average global surface temperature can have major consequences, the narrative has been that it is soon “going to get hot as hell”. Let’s be straightforward here, over the past century the average global land temperature has increased by roughly 1.5 degrees C (2.7 degrees F). If you walked outside today and the weather was 1 or 2 degrees warmer, would you even notice? By oversimplifying and exaggerating, the narrative does a great disservice to public understanding of the consequences that a small global average temperature may have on agriculture, seal level and weather patterns.

Then there are the cases of fraud. Form a biologist’s perspective, the stem cell fraud (http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2014/08/fraud_in_stem_cell_research_japanese_biologist_yoshiki_sasai_commits_suicide.html) ranks high on the list, but there are many others. Equally disturbing are failures to replicate important results: (http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg21528826.000-is-medical-science-built-on-shaky-foundations.html#.VOIqKfnF-So).

Finally, controversial “sting” operations have called into question the validity of the scientific publication process: http://www.sparc.arl.org/blog/science-magazine-open-access-sting)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')cientists are as likely as anyone else to be wrong, but they are wrong with greater authority.
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby Nubs » Mon 16 Feb 2015, 14:02:08

Correction of bad link from previous post:

Another case that inflamed mistrust in science is the infamous “climategate hockey stick”. This was not fraud, but it was deception (https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=8BQpciw8suk)
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby dohboi » Mon 16 Feb 2015, 14:20:25

Nubs, thanks for the links. I'll just say for now that you are misinformed on the hockey stick thing and you seem to be completely clueless about why heating up an entire planet (more or less) permanently is...rather different than temporary shifts in temperature in one particular place.

Lots of the other things have more to do with the media taking a preliminary finding and blowing it up rather than anything that the scientific community has confirmed to be a solid finding of science. For none of them, for example, has nearly every major established scientific body on the globe affirmed the way they have with AGW.

(For your Muller video, you just have to go to the third response to get some perspective: "The man in this video actually conducted his own study as he mentioned he was going to at the end of the video. The results confirmed global warming as supported by all climatological organizations and a vast majority of climate scientists. He admits it himself." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Berkeley_Earth)
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby Nubs » Mon 16 Feb 2015, 15:33:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dohboi', '(')For your Muller video, you just have to go to the third response to get some perspective: "The man in this video actually conducted his own study as he mentioned he was going to at the end of the video. The results confirmed global warming as supported by all climatological organizations and a vast majority of climate scientists. He admits it himself." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Berkeley_Earth)

Asolutely. I linked to the Muller video precisely beause he is a strong advocate of the serious consequences of climate change, and he came to that conclusion by careful analysis of the data.

I agree with him.

Did you get the impression that I was saying that AWG is not real, or is inconsequential?

I tried to be very clear.
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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby dohboi » Mon 16 Feb 2015, 15:41:23

I'm glad to hear that you realize that AGW is real and consequential. Which still leaves me wondering who it is who is 'oversimplifying' or 'exaggerating.'

The high end predictions for the beginning of the next century are 9 degrees C above pre-industrial levels. That will make much of the earth uninhabitable. Those are facts. Do you find those facts to be oversimplified or exaggerated?

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Re: You're not the boss of Me! ... and the crisis of authori

Postby Pops » Mon 16 Feb 2015, 15:46:09

No.

Lets not derail this thread. Go to one of the many CC threads.

Please.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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