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Ebola Pandemic ?!? Pt. 6

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Re: Ebola possible outcomes?

Unread postby Subjectivist » Sat 18 Oct 2014, 06:40:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '
')BUT -- look at how people catch it. Unless it's a spouse sharing bodily fluids, otherwise it seems like people catch it at the end when when the viral load is so high and the vomiting and diarrhea are so bad. At that point, in Africa, family members are catching because they're carrying the person around hospital to hospital trying to find a beds, / caring for them at home and *sanitation is so bad to start with* over there.

In the US and Europe -- it's nurses catching it. They're the ones right there at the worst of it, with all the bodily fluids.

(my bottom line on it is self-centered -- do I have to worry about catching the damn thing off a shopping cart in six months??? That's what I would want to know, *how bad can it get* if we're talking about a country that's clean and doesn't have filth and squalor all over like a Liberia and a India, etc.

That's the question I want answered, do I have to worry about the darn thing or not.)


Before you get too confident Six what has made this breakout so scary is just the opposite. In the past Ebola would break out in some small remote squalid village and the place would loose a good portion of its population. This time it made it into the large modern cities like Monrovia where there are real hospitals and trained doctors and nurses and it still kept on doubling every three weeks.

About 5% of those who have died so far have been nurses and doctors, over 250 of them and counting. A lot of the ones who have died in Liberia are local people, but many doctors without borders and international nurse volunteers have also died. The media shows you the same pictures over and over of people dieing at some small remote clinic, I want to know how bad is it at the hospitals in Monrovia proper?
II Chronicles 7:14 if my people, who are called by my name, will humble themselves and pray and seek my face and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, and I will forgive their sin and will heal their land.
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Re: Ebola possible outcomes?

Unread postby tmazanec1 » Sat 18 Oct 2014, 08:29:31

My cousin is a nurse. She is now on a round-the-world cruise. I hope she isn't one to get ebola if this grows in America.
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Re: Ebola possible outcomes?

Unread postby Subjectivist » Sat 18 Oct 2014, 09:16:43

Monrovia Liberia has a population over 400,000 people and until this outbreak was improving daily. Watch this report from July,
http://youtu.be/l4xtR8so6_o

Ebola is bad in Monrovia, a few thousand are sick or dead, but even right now trade goes on, people go to their jobs, babies are born. The real key will be the next few months, if things stay rapidly gettingworse at some point the remaining people will flee or hunker down.
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Re: Ebola possible outcomes?

Unread postby GoghGoner » Sat 18 Oct 2014, 10:20:22

Excuse me if this has been posted before. You can see one of those lines going to Dallas.

http://qz.com/242388/here-are-all-the-35-countries-one-flight-away-from-ebola-affected-countries/
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Re: Ebola possible outcomes?

Unread postby Plantagenet » Sat 18 Oct 2014, 11:21:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '
')It could have been prevented, if the Obama administration had stopped those flights.


It ain't gonna happen. --Obama just gave a speech repeating that he will not close the borders to flights or people from Liberia etc.

Obama also said that people in America are getting too wee-wee'd up about Ebola----Obama's advice is to not to get "hysterical" because everything is under control.

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Obama says don't get "hysterical" over Obola---he's got this one.
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Re: Ebola possible outcomes?

Unread postby Sixstrings » Sun 19 Oct 2014, 18:15:13

Remember when I was saying that military should be handling this?

I guess I was either making a prediction or I just have a lot of common sense and / or I'm just always ahead of the curve.

Anyhow, it's in the news now that the military is putting together a quick response team to deal with ebola patients in the US:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Military preps quick-strike team for Ebola response in United States

The U.S. military is forming a 30-person "quick-strike team" equipped to provide direct treatment to Ebola patients inside the United States, a Defense Department official told CNN's Barbara Starr on Sunday.
A Pentagon spokesman later confirmed portions of the official's information.

The team will be under orders to deploy within 72 hours at any time over the next month, the official said.
The Department of Health and Human Services requested the military team, and the Pentagon has given verbal approval, the official said.

The team will include five doctors, 20 nurses and five trainers, Pentagon press secretary Rear Adm. John Kirby said in a statement.

Hospital apologizes for Ebola mistakes Hospital 'deeply sorry' for Ebola mistakes Dallas nurse treated for Ebola Ebola concerns cut cruise short
The Pentagon has been working to determine what assistance it could offer the civilian health care sector following a White House meeting last week during which President Barack Obama said he wanted a more aggressive response, according to two Defense officials.

...

The team will remain in "prepare-to-deploy" status for 30 days, he said. It will be able to respond anywhere in the U.S. if "deemed prudent by our public health professionals," he said.
http://www.cnn.com/2014/10/19/health/us-ebola/index.html


So see Cid Yama, you were wrong and I was right, it doesn't take "martial law" to do more about ebola. Turns out all that was needed was the dept of health and human services requesting this from the Pentagon.

There was also an article in the NYT about how frustrated Obama was with his own CDC, and all the eggheads telling him it's under control yet all this sh*t keeps hitting the fan and going wrong.

The buck still stops with him.

He's not a figurehead king -- it's not enough to yell at the courtiers. He can't just depend on these advisors for leadership and common sense and decisive executive action -- that's supposed to be his job. He is president, not everyone surrounding him. They've all got their own turf wars and office politics battles going on.

So anyhow, apparently though Obama was aware how messed up it all is so I guess he's finally doing something. His own administration just can't handle anything like this, he ought to just hand it over to General Dempsey and he's been ready for ebola for a long time, he'll handle it.

Obama reminds me of the kind of boss that knows when something is screwed up, but is too nice to fire anyone. And he won't give direct orders either, he just expects different results from the same people and so things just stay screwed up because the same people are there, that screwed it up.

A good president not only knows when things are screwed up, but they've also got to be willing to fire people. That goes for generals in wartime or something like this, too. You can't just leave someone in charge that's already messed it all up, all they're going to do is keep messing it up.

There's a difference between being president of a college dealing with a bunch of egghead faculty that all have tenure and you can't fire them, versus POTUS. He needed to be more decisive on this. It's on him, ultimately.

It's not enough to just yell at the same people that screwed up to begin with -- you have to fire some people, and hand it over to someone else that can get it done. Let's hope it's not too late and they're getting it together / handing it over to the Pentagon in time.
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Re: Ebola possible outcomes?

Unread postby joyfulbozo » Mon 20 Oct 2014, 06:38:08

Its really getting worst. If it spreads in high density population countries, it will be difficult for human kind. And Ebola has started affecting markets as well. It should be controlled as soon as possible..
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Re: Ebola possible outcomes?

Unread postby Newfie » Mon 20 Oct 2014, 09:23:48

M.B.S. started the initial thread back in early April.

ebola-pandemic-t69466.html

It pays to take a look.

I think the fact is that we have blown it big time.

The time to control it was then, whether it can be controlled now is doubtful.

The Dallas events seem to have calmed down, but I fear that is a false sense of the storm having passed.

The true test will be other poor third world areas in India, Phillipeans, Detroit, etc.
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Re: Ebola possible outcomes?

Unread postby Subjectivist » Mon 20 Oct 2014, 09:49:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'M').B.S. started the initial thread back in early April.

ebola-pandemic-t69466.html

It pays to take a look.

I think the fact is that we have blown it big time.

The time to control it was then, whether it can be controlled now is doubtful.

The Dallas events seem to have calmed down, but I fear that is a false sense of the storm having passed.

The true test will be other poor third world areas in India, Phillipeans, Detroit, etc.


I think this is the calm between storms too. Ebola has a 7-21 day period of being infected before significant symptoms appear. Last week one person projectile vomited on a tour bus at the Pentagon and another did the same thing on a flight coming into JFK airport in NYC. If they had Ebola we wouldn't see any illness from it until late this week or next in all likelyhood.
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Re: Ebola possible outcomes?

Unread postby tmazanec1 » Mon 20 Oct 2014, 15:59:32

Prepared to deploy on 72 hour notice for a month? FOR A MONTH?
Did the guy who came up with that timetable get his "cigarettes" in Colorado?
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How Ebola Shows that Capitalism Dooms Us All

Unread postby dohboi » Mon 03 Nov 2014, 22:59:00

Ebola has been known for decades.

Throughout that period, we knew that it could one day spread and become a major deadly pandemic.

Yet for all those years no vaccine was developed.

Why?

A prudent society/culture--a culture that considered seriously the long-term well being of the health and welfare of its people--once it knew a major threat was lurking and could pounce at any moment, would put considerable effort an resources into doing what it could for the (nearly inevitable) day when the 'pounce' happened.

But we didn't.

Why?

Clearly we are not a prudent society.

Why?

Because we are governed by corporations that by law can only act in the interest of the increased short term profits of their stockholders.

And, up until very recently, there was no probability of a short term big profit from Ebola, since it had only ever affected poor people in Africa (which points out further, in case it needed pointing out, that we are structurally neither prudent nor compassionate).

............

So what broader lesson can be learned, or inference drawn, from this vast failure of Capitalism on the Ebola front.

Well (and I hope and am sure that ad will supplement these ruminations with his own inimitable prose), it strikes me that, just as there was no short-term profit to be made from researching and producing an ebola vaccine, there is no short-term profit to be made from trying to avert GW catastrophe.

Oh, there will be all sorts of well publicized schemes of various sorts that will make us all feel virtuous even if they are scams or even (in the rare case that they are not total scams) if we had nothing to do with it (kind of like we might point to MSF and say, "See, society isn't completely worthless" even though they themselves point out that they are vastly understaffed--under-supported by society--to handle such things and we in our smugness almost inevitably have done not one thing to help them out).

But basically, we will really never do anything very effective that actually materially lowers the risk of total CC apocalypse, just 'cause no one can make much of a buck out of vastly and rapidly reducing our total consumption, on the one hand, and figuring out how to get the vast majority of people to not have kids (and to have only one relatively late in life if they do choose to procreate).

There's just no damn money in it.

It's kind of like your kid is crying to you because they have fallen off a cliff and are hanging on to a ledge by just three trembling fingers, and you rush to see how they are, notice that you could relatively easily reach down and pull them up, but first ask, "Hey, kid, how much cash do you have on you." And when the kid whimpers that he only has a couple penny's, you sneer and walk away back to the gambling hall and casino where fortunes are waiting to be made.

(Sorry about the rant, and the basic insight is probably totally obvious to all, already; It's just something that stuck me as I've been reading recently about the continuing lack of a vaccine in the face of exponential growth of this epidemic, in spite of the fact that we have known pretty well that this moment was inevitably going to arrive at some point or other.)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vbb6y8Nqc28

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4IJweR1d0dE

(And while we're at it, I couldn't help but include:)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kDDnkQQyzQU

Oh, now I just can't stop:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f0kbA5LG5GM

And for no particular reason:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LfGkOZetpi0
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Re: How Ebola Shows that Capitalism Dooms Us All

Unread postby Loki » Mon 03 Nov 2014, 23:55:07

It made no sense for anyone, private firm or government agency, to develop a vaccine or treatment for Ebola. This says nothing about capitalism per se. Ebola is still a dim blip on the global radar.

Capitalism poses an impediment to climate change response. As do socialist governments. No large institution, private or public, wants to advocate everyone getting poorer, nor would they last long if they did.

Unfortunately, getting poorer is the only thing we can do to mitigate climate change. It will have to be forced by circumstance.
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Re: How Ebola Shows that Capitalism Dooms Us All

Unread postby Plantagenet » Tue 04 Nov 2014, 00:00:02

Don't be so gloomy. Back here in the real world NIH is now testing two new Ebola vaccines. You see, it is only capitalist societies that have enough wealth to develop something like an Ebola vaccine.

In the USA alone, the goverment spents about 30 BILLION dollars a year on pure medical research and applications through the NIH and CDC.

Unfortunately, the grant program managers at these institutions decided several years ago that research on Ebola vaccines wasn't their highest priority, and they shifted the research money to other topics. Needless to say, they made a terrible mistake, and now they are rapidly shifting research money back into Ebola research.

The good news is that, thanks to the newly accelerated research program on Ebola vaccines at the NIH, two new vaccines have just gone into human trials.

two new Ebola vaccines go into human trials at the NIH

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Re: How Ebola Shows that Capitalism Dooms Us All

Unread postby Plantagenet » Tue 04 Nov 2014, 00:06:54

Peter. Hello. Cuba yourself. :roll:

Are you having a fantasy that Cuba has developed an Ebola vaccine?
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Re: How Ebola Shows that Capitalism Dooms Us All

Unread postby Sixstrings » Tue 04 Nov 2014, 00:13:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'P')eter. Hello. Cuba yourself. :roll:

Are you having a fantasy that Cuba has developed an Ebola vaccine?


Zing, lmao.

In response to the OP: vaccines don't get funded if a virus isn't a big enough to problem for there to be a sustainable market, to pay for the development of the vaccine, and make the sale of the vaccine / treatment profitable.

I'm not sure how anyone gets from there, to, "capitalism dooms us all." :?:

What would the OP prefer, a communist politburo committee in charge? Folks, capitalism is actually better, there really is no better "system" than a competitive profit-driven market system. It's the most efficient, most robust, most innovation.
Last edited by Sixstrings on Tue 04 Nov 2014, 00:15:43, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: How Ebola Shows that Capitalism Dooms Us All

Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 04 Nov 2014, 00:15:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dohboi', '(')Sorry about the rant, and the basic insight is probably totally obvious to all, already; It's just something that stuck me as I've been reading recently about the continuing lack of a vaccine in the face of exponential growth of this epidemic, in spite of the fact that we have known pretty well that this moment was inevitably going to arrive at some point or other.)


Hmmm....the basic insight is probably totally obvious to all, already; it's just because something that struck me as I've been reading about the continued lack of concern over the exponential growth of the human population`that brought on the ebola epidemic, in spite of the fact that we have known pretty well that this moment was inevitably going to arrive at some point or other. :-D
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Re: How Ebola Shows that Capitalism Dooms Us All

Unread postby Loki » Tue 04 Nov 2014, 00:21:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'P')eter. Hello. Cuba yourself. :roll:

Are you having a fantasy that Cuba has developed an Ebola vaccine?

I have an inside line that North Korea is fast on the heels of developing a vaccine based on Cuban research :lol:

All joking aside, where's China in this? Certainly a brutal authoritarian regime, er, glorious socialist republic should have foreseen such a threat and taken proactive measures to thwart it? They are the second biggest economy on the planet. And I've heard Asians like science.
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Re: How Ebola Shows that Capitalism Dooms Us All

Unread postby dohboi » Tue 04 Nov 2014, 00:22:22

Nice parody, MQ. I'm honored to have inspired it.

Yes, population is certainly a very big part of the equation--in the long term the only part.

But the more proximate cause was deforestation, and it is certainly possible to have big increases of population without having local massive deforestation, if population centers are concentrated and dense (think Japan).

And there is always the qui bono question behind over population--whose who profits from an ever-expanding workforce which then constantly pushes down wages, and an ever-expanding consumer base...?
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