by AgentR11 » Thu 28 Jul 2011, 15:03:39
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('prajeshbhat', 'I') never said china is the enemy. China never intended to liquidate their dollar holdings in the first place. The reason they bought them was to keep the dollar up and renminbi low, which helps their export economy and keeps their people employed. Now the deficits are so huge that china has stopped bothering. The dollar will hyperinflate no matter what the chinese do. So the chinese will be buying your corporations in Renminbi, not in dollars. Most of the companies are drowning in debt anyway, there will be no willing buyer and willing seller. The companies will be sold in desperation by wall street (institutional investors) for whatever the Chinese (and maybe mexicans, saudis, russians) are willing to pay. Not that you have Unions any more that can protect worker rights.....
I don't mind Chinese buying corporations, but they can't buy them in renminbi, until they allow it to float.
They are a very long way from allowing that to happen.
The problem you are having is in understanding the impact of the fact that both the valuation, and the debt held by those companies are denominated in dollars. I'll do a mini-financial statement for you to illustrate...
Bob's Generic Corpomatic [before Chinese buying spree]
Asssets
Real Property 200
Inventory 50
Fixed Assets 50
Liabilities
Short Term 150
Long Term 300
Equity
Stuff <150>
Bob's Generic Corpomatic [after Chinese buying spree]
Asssets
Real Property 2000
Inventory 500
Fixed Assets 500
Liabilities
Short Term 200
Long Term 300
Equity
Stuff 2500
This is what inflation does. It changes the numerical value of things, without making more things.
That's the problem with the "foreigners will buy you all out" nonsense. Because most corporations in the US do business strictly in dollars, and are traded in dollars, and owe dollars. If China (or any other nation) tried to buy a sizable quantity of them, it pushes the value of the renminbi way up; and the dollar way down; forcing a revaluation of those balance sheets, the property taxes owed; and substantially alters the dollar based Owner's Equity.
The neater thing about this, is that while it effects an honest appraisal of the non-tax balance sheet; it does *not* create an income event. So the company goes from <150> underwater, to a very solid 2500 in equity value; with very little activity. [of course, if they tried to make that equity into cash by selling Real Property for instance, then there'd be a nasty income event.. bad ole taxes!!!]
Greatly simplified of course, but good nuff for a bbs post.
End result, yes, the Chinese will be continuing to increase their holdings in property and large international companies, and may from time to time pickup the really good value that shows up in US domestic markets; but they could never manage to buy up large portions of US domestic corporations without absolutely destroying their control of their own currency. Basic rule, you can't buy something substantial without putting upward pressure on its price.