by Ibon » Fri 27 Aug 2010, 11:56:25
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')But there is no guarantee. Nature does not select the "best." Nature only selects for those best adapted to the current environment. We need to thread a tight needle here. We have to figure out how to survive TODAY, TOMORROW, and what comes next. And do it better than those who are best adapted for TODAY alone, and do that every day for generations.
Selection for dealing with complex systems will happen on the cultural "meme" level. Meme replication is free from the slow process of genetic modification. The evolution of cultural memes for dealing with overshoot will have the "opportunity" when consequences start to act as catalyzing agents but it will still all happen within the confines of our genetic wiring which will only undergo modification through deep time way beyond the scope of our current crisis to play any role.
For example the impulse to breed and have children is rooted deep in our genes not only the desire for sex but also the maternal nurturing impulse. For cultural memes to impose enough taboos and rules around this impulse to channel it only within carrying capacity the consequences will have to be severe enough as in the case of our tribal ancestors who buried a twin in an act of infanticide to better nurture the remaining offspring.
This tug of war between our genes and memes acted upon from the catalysts of consequences this century will be volatile. But movement happens during stress. Even our biological evolution hasn't been steady slow and linear but rather punctuated by periods of more rapid modification.
The infanticide of a twin happened with nomadic cultures in bio regions where carrying capacity constraints (consequences) selected for this meme. In other words the limits of the bioregion determined the cultural response.
What we are being called upon to do, which is perhaps beyond the capability of cultural memes, is to move within carrying capacity willfully before this becomes determined by external limits. Setting limits culturally before the external limits impose themselves fully. In other words before we degrade our biosphere to the point where we can no longer steer our destiny culturally but rather are driven by external limits.
The paradox is that we need the consequences of a weakening biosphere (for humans that is) in order for cultural memes to have the power to eclipse our genetic predispositions.
By the way I do not believe in any notion that the upcoming crisis has to weed out the genetic weak so that only those with the "right stuff" carry forward. Of course some selection will occur in terms of disease resistance etc. but again the "right stuff" in terms of managing ourselves within carrying capacity will be a complex set of cultural memes and not some weeding out of genetically less fit. Did Americans become disproportionately obese because of some genetic anomaly unique to people who immigrated to the US?
Culture is determinate not genetics for the next couple of hundred years.
Patiently awaiting the pathogens. Our resiliency resembles an invasive weed. We are the Kudzu Ape
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