by Timo » Fri 06 May 2016, 12:14:06
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'I') mentioned in the past that humans do not manage abundance well. Will human culture ever develop a sophisticated set of taboos and governance to set boundaries that allow that proper balance of well being and material inputs? And will the consequences of our excesses force us to confront this question with wisdom at some point in our species future?
Ibon, which human culture are you referring to? Humanity encompasses myriad cultures. Many of the world's current culture do quite well without material abundance. Others simply manage to survive without material abundance. Other cultures, as you correctly point out, do rather quite poorly with their material abundance.
I think this question defines the broader differences you and i have with regard to our visions of the future. I'll paraphrase to make the point quick and easy, but you seem to believe that at some point in the future, humanity will come to terms with the new limits forced upon them by the OP, AGW, SLR, and WTF. From my POV, "humanity" is too broad a term to even contemplate that possibility. Some parts of humanity may culturally evolve to fit your description of living within a state of equilibrium with the planet, but i don't see that happening for the majority of human cultures. The Norse and the Kirghiz have vastly different cultures, and their adaptations to each of their new realities will requisitely be different. The same chasm in cultural adaptations will exist between people in Minnesota, and people in Louisiana, and between people in D.C, and people in Melbourne. "Humanity" is a pretty diversified bunch. The effects of AGW will affect every culture differently because every part of the world will be affected differently. The impacts will not be uniform. Thus, those impacts cannot affect humanity in any conceivable uniform way. In addition, every human culture is starting from a different cultural baseline, each founded upon different traditions and beliefs, all of which will dictate how they will deal with the effects of AGW. I suppose it is theoretically conceivable that each and every individual culture will develop their own unique responses the the world's future crises, all independently arriving at their own, unique equilibrium with the planet. This scenario might even be what you envision occurring. It's even possible that the OP is so YUGE that only a few human cultures will remain, but the way i see it going down, some cultures will manage future crises better than others, and in the process of trying to survive, humanity will proceed to self-exterminate.
I'll be so brash as to offer a bet that i always make with my wife on all sorts of things, like the Stanley Cup, the Final Four, Hawking's next revolutionary quantum theory of black holes, and pointless crap like that. I'm already several million dollars in debt, so another million won't hurt me any. I'll bet you a million dollars that when all is said and done, after the OP has claimed its last victim, global temps have risen more than 6 degrees F, and global coasts have receded more than 5 miles inland, that i'm right. Chances are we'll both be dead when that moment arrives, but you'll still owe me anyway. Deal?