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Why Collapse is not always a bad thing: the New Book by Ugo Bardi

General Ideas
New book provides an analysis of the process of failure and collapse, and outlines principles that help us manage these challenges in our lives
Heidelberg | New York, 12 December 2019
Image: © Springer Nature

Everyone experiences collapse in their lives: you may lose your job, get sick, or a close friend or family member may die. Collapse also happens to structures such as buildings, and on a larger scale affects whole systems like companies, communities or even civilisations. In his latest book, Before the Collapse: A Guide to the Other Side of Growth, Ugo Bardi sets out an approach for facing failure and collapse on all scales. He calls his method the “Seneca Strategy” based on the teachings of the ancient Roman philosopher, Lucius Annaeus Seneca.

Bardi draws on Seneca’s philosophy to explain why collapse is a necessary part of our lives and the world, and why trying to avoid it may lead to bigger problems later on. Seneca recognised that growth is slow but ruin is rapid, yet sudden collapse does not have to take us by surprise. In six concise chapters, Bardi outlines the science behind the collapse of complex systems, how the future can be modelled, and gives numerous examples of past and possible future collapses. Some of the cases Bardi lists include natural disasters, like Florence’s Great Flood, the collapse of a business such as the bankruptcy of the video rental service Blockbuster, as well as famines, epidemics and depopulation. As Seneca famously said: “Nothing that exists today is not the result of past collapse.”

Despite the subject matter, Before the Collapse is not a pessimistic book. Although Bardi emphasizes that technological progress might not prevent collapse, he stresses that the best strategy of coping with collapse is not to resist at all costs. It is possible to rebound after collapse, argues Bardi, and the new condition that arises may even be better than the old. The book finishes with a self-help style reference list summarising the six key things we should know before a collapse is imminent.

The practical tips in this book will appeal to any readers seeking a philosophical self-help guide for coping with collapse in their lives. Before the Collapse also provides general readers with a scientific analysis of local and global disasters and offers a pragmatic approach for preparing and weathering difficult times.

About the author

Ugo Bardi teaches physical chemistry at the University of Florence in Italy. He is interested in resource depletion, system dynamics modeling, climate science and renewable energy. He has an English language blog called “Cassandra’s legacy” and is also the author of two other books: Extracted: How the Quest for Global Mining Wealth is Plundering the Planet (Chelsea Green 2014) and The Limits to Growth Revisited (Springer 2011).

Further Information
About the book: Before the Collapse
Services for Journalists
Journalists can request an electronic review copy of Before the Collapse

The author is available for interview.

Contact
Elizabeth Hawkins | Springer Nature | Communications
tel +49 6221 487 8130 | elizabeth.hawkins@springer.com 
Branch of Springer-Verlag GmbH, Heidelberger Platz 3, 14197 Berlin, Germany

Registered Office: Berlin / Amtsgericht Berlin-Charlottenburg, HRB 91881 B

Directors: Martin Mos, Dr. Ulrich Vest, Dr. Niels Peter Thomas

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267 Comments on "Why Collapse is not always a bad thing: the New Book by Ugo Bardi"

  1. Cloggie on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 5:23 pm 

    So, time for sleepies in Holland. Put on a CW2-video, after which sleep will come within 3 minutes.

  2. Cloggie on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 5:24 pm 

    Did I say that? Can’t remember.

  3. Anonymouse on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 5:26 pm 

    I can’t help myself. I like to stalk people

  4. makati1 on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 6:39 pm 

    Amerika is going to Hell faster and faster every day. Such a drastic change from the Amerika I grew up in in the 40s and 50s. Education actually taught you something useful and you failed if you didn’t learn. No “participation trophies”. No “safe spaces”. The only “snowflakes” were the ones that fell during the winter.

    Amerika wasn’t perfect, but it was near to the “Amerikan Dream” level, which will never be seen again. Ever. Today’s kids will never know what they missed. Freedom to be kids and learn “the hard way” about life. Now 30 somethings are still living in mom’s basement, forever children. Ah well. Memories…

  5. makati1 on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 6:44 pm 

    BTW: I am probably going to hell too

  6. Davy on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 7:19 pm 

    Oops, sorry y’all. I’ve now gone full blown mad.

    Please do you’re best to ignore me.

    IOW. Do not feed me cus i’m Nothin more than a harmless widdle baby troll.

    Waaahhhh!

  7. fwsmj on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 8:31 pm 

    supertard
    you’re the author of a lot of nothingburger
    makati1 on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 6:39 pm

  8. Davy on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 8:42 pm 

    We all no there’s only one idiot on the board that uses the childlike wurd ‘nothingburger’.

    We’re not fooln anybody.

  9. fwsmj on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 8:46 pm 

    Davy on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 8:42 pm
    above not supertard obv.

  10. fwsmj on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 8:48 pm 

    I’m supertard obv.

  11. makati1 on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 8:56 pm 

    Since there is no religious Hell, it is impossible to go there, but there can be Hell on earth and that is where the US is headed, if not already there. When you die, it is lights out, finish, end, nothing. But the Amerikan hell will just go on and on.

    I have prepped for my family to join me here, but it is their decision. An old friend is coming next Spring when I return from my, probably last, visit to the Amerikan Police State. He has seen what is coming and realizes that the Philippines is a better place to live. He will be a welcome addition to our farm family.

  12. More Davy Childish ID Theft on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 9:36 pm 

    JuanP on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 5:09 pm

  13. Davy on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 9:38 pm 

    I like to play pocket pool with myself.

    It gets me all hot and lathered.

  14. fwsmj on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 9:39 pm 

    Davy on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 9:38 pm above supertard obv.

  15. Davy on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 9:45 pm 

    So what if I spend all of my waking time hitting the PO.com refresh button. Just because I got nothing better to do with my time doesn’t mean I’m a useless parasite on the earth. Keep calling me names and I’m gonna tell on you.

    This was MY sandbox until you stupid heads came here and started posting stuff against me.

  16. Davy on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 9:46 pm 

    Excluding my ID Theft and Sock Puppetry, I am spending less time on this lame unmoderated forum to concentrate on my own blog. I do want to thank all those who have attacked me with giving me material for growth. I have saved the best of my comments for my new blog. I have years worth of material. I have enjoyed moderating the worst of you and neutering your selfish useless agendas. I will still be here it is just I will be spending more time putting out a blog. I don’t expect much of a following with my blog. This is more a personal effort to assemble what I have learned over the last 10 years of formulating my REAL Green Deep Adaptation. For the stalkers here I hope you find my blog and visit the comment forum. It will be only lightly moderated to prevent juanpee identity theft and excessive cloggo spamming. LOL. There will be a prize for juanpee and annoymouse if you can stalk my blog. Double LOL. Anyway fuck my enemies and many thanks to those who contributed to my metamorphous.

    I guess I could have joined the moderated section at PO dot com, but I knew I’d get my ass permanently banned. I’ll try not to let the door smack me up the backside on the way out.

    Goodbye to ALL of you dumbasses.

  17. Davy on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 9:51 pm 

    Oops, sorry y’all. I’ve now gone full blown nutter.

    Please ignore my various me(s) socks and IDs.

    Now I need to have a good cry.

    Peace. Out.

  18. fwsmj on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 10:53 pm 

    makati1 on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 6:39 pm

    Supertard muzzies created HDI and just checked USA 15th
    Phil’s 106th

  19. fwsmj on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 10:55 pm 

    Not all chefs make same nothingbugers obv.

  20. REAL Green on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 10:56 pm 

    Davy isn’t hear write now. We got some medications. They’ll probably run out early in the morning. Than he’ll likely be back. We’re real sorry for all the crazy shit thatdavy does.

    We’re thinkin a full frontal lobotomy mite be the only solution. The docters are real hopeful.

  21. REAL Green aka Davy on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 11:31 pm 

    May I, please, paint the bullseye for the lobotomy on the REAL Green’s aka DavySkum’s skull?

    Just an FYI, I’ve got a hand-crank drill you guys can use on the Skum, and I know he will prefer this method cause it’s REAL Green not using electricity. I can even do the drilling on his skull, if you want. OK by me.

  22. Cloggie on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 12:57 am 

    At least BoJo is doing something right:

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7798589/Conservatives-criticised-lack-ethnic-minority-faces-picture-Tory-HQ-staffers.html

    “Conservatives are criticised over lack of ethnic minority faces in picture of Tory HQ staffers celebrating Boris Johnson’s victory on election night”

    (((John Kerry))) probably doesn’t approve of that either.

  23. I AM THE MOB on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 1:39 am 

    Cloggie

    I agree. And soon it will be breading time for their young bundles of joy!

    https://i.redd.it/pbay0ll3cy441.png

    HAHAH!

  24. JuanP is stupid on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 4:16 am 

    Stupid thinks the more stupidity the more powerful he is. Last night he puffed up his feather really big like a peacock. I am so scared of you stupid. You spend so much time talking with mindless lunatic shit that one can only consider you totally beaten. VICTORY

    This is from stupid:
    Bobby Joe said I live just over the holler as the crow flies from…

    REAL Green aka Davy said May I, please, paint the bullseye for the lobotomy…

    REAL Green said Davy isn’t hear write now. We got some medications…

    fwsmj said Not all chefs make same nothingbugers obv.

    fwsmj said makati1 on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 6:39 pm Supertard m…

    Davy said Thanks for the kind words everyone. I’m the board…

    iniayam.com said Truly when someone doesn’t understand then i…

    Davy said Oops, sorry y’all. I’ve now gone full blown nutter…

    Davy said Excluding my ID Theft and Sock Puppetry, I am spen…

    Davy said So what if I spend all of my waking time hitting t…

    fwsmj said Davy on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 9:38 pm above supertard…

    Davy said I like to play pocket pool with myself. It gets me…

    More Davy Childish ID Theft said JuanP on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 5:09 pm

    Davy said I routinely wet my pants. Any ideas what I should…

    More Davy Childish ID Theft said JuanP on Mon, 16th Dec 2019 6:44 pm
    fwsmj said I’m supertard obv.

    Davy said Oops, sorry y’all. I’ve now gone full blown mad.

  25. I AM THE MOB on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 4:43 am 

    Macron to attend Victory Day parade in Moscow on May 9

    http://www.uawire.org/macron-to-attend-victory-day-parade-in-moscow-on-may-9

    I see some meddling and sanctions coming your way France!

    Don’t you ever fuck me Tony!

  26. DavySkum Log on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 5:01 am 

    DavySkum starts trolling early. This log will demonstrate how the Skum has absolutely nothing better to do with his time except troll PO.com minimum 18 hours a day proving all his talk about sprawling ranches and responsibilities amounts to zip. He’s a spoiled rich bitch living a life of fantasy inside a single wide trailer in Deplorable, Missery-lol.

    Start date: 17 December 2019

    12/17: In: 4:16 AM CST // Out:

  27. JuanP is stupid on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 5:50 am 

    LMFAO, stupid then you are admitting that last night was all your trolling with ID theft. Stupid is so stupid.

    This is stupid:
    DavySkum Log said DavySkum starts trolling early. This log will demo…

  28. Davy Trolling on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 6:00 am 

    JuanP is stupid on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 5:50 am

  29. I AM THE MOB on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 6:29 am 

    China’s private sector is collapsing!

    https://i.redd.it/6hy9hmfgv2541.png

    Highest debt ratio in the world. Nearly 3 times what the US is around.

    Silk road..LOL More like dirt road.

  30. JuanP is stupid on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 6:41 am 

    Stupid is projecting. He is the real troll who could stop this shit immediately but he likes to do it and does not care one bit about others.

    this is stupid:
    Davy Trolling said JuanP is stupid on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 5:50 am

  31. More Davy Trolling on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 6:55 am 

    JuanP is stupid on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 6:41 am

    But widdle isn’t getting any bites.

    Awww

  32. Cloggie on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 2:09 pm 

    The pinnacle of happiness is about to begin in my life:

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7801383/Milestones-parenthood-retirement-coming-later-life-figures-show.html

    “How major milestones like marriage, a first child, and divorce are coming later in life for most Britons… and you’ll be happiest when aged between 65 and 74”

    Will “retire” next week, that is my current contract expires and I can afford to retire.

    Not that I will… first a few months off, ticking off items from private todo-lists that have been piling up for some time.

    And to cheer up empire dave a little:

    “happiness levels are at their lowest when people are in their late 40s and early 50s”

    Just sit out your misery in Missouri. It will get better eventually.

  33. I AM THE MOB on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 2:44 pm 

    CLogg

    You will soon be pooping your pants in an nursing home. LOL

    You will never get laid ever again.

    LOL

  34. Davy on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 2:51 pm 

    “Just sit out your misery in Missouri. It will get better eventually.”

    Not until May. We gots five more months of this shit. Then it gets real hot and humid with lots of nasty bitey bugs.

    Why do ya think we call it Missury?

  35. JuanP on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 2:53 pm 

    My hernia ruptured again by me being stupid. OH well the party is over and I am off to the hospital.

  36. I AM THE MOB on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 2:55 pm 

    Poland may have to leave EU, Supreme Court warns

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-50828516

    Europe is falling!

  37. Cloggie on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 2:58 pm 

    “You will soon be pooping your pants in an nursing home. LOL”

    According to a questionnaire of a US life insurance company my life expectancy is 90. Just ran a Cooper test of 2800m (admittedly in a gym, on a treadmill)

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cooper_test

    That pooping session has been postponed.

  38. I AM THE MOB on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 2:58 pm 

    Vladimir Putin ‘still uses obsolete Windows XP’ despite hacking risk

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/dec/17/vladimir-putin-still-uses-obsolete-windows-xp-despite-hacking-risk

    Dumb as dirt. tech isnt for right wingers.

  39. Davy on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 3:00 pm 

    Thats what you get for living the playboy live Juanpee pee.

    You cant have sex with hot young women 3 times a day, surf, jet ski, sport fish for huge swordfishes and all that stuff without feeling a little pain sometimes.

    I’m sure its likely worth it.

  40. full woke supremacist muzzies jerk double rainbow all the way across the sky so intense whoa it begins to look like a triple rainbow OMG what does it mean WDIM oh god on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 3:02 pm 

    Cloggie on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 2:09 pm
    Supertard
    Low English would have you at a “poser”
    But thanks for sharing your happiest moments with me no homo
    Big goat gonna run away with this

  41. Cloggie on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 3:04 pm 

    “Poland may have to leave EU, Supreme Court warns”

    Will make it even easier to let the Russians in.

    Not that I expect the Poles to leave, they are the greatest net receivers.

    https://www.jpost.com/International/Poland-considering-leaving-the-EU-due-judicial-reforms-Polish-court-611201

    Moves by Hungary and Poland to bring their courts and media under tighter state control have led the European Commission, the EU’s executive arm, to begin rule-of-law investigations that could in theory lead to a suspension of their EU voting rights.

    Brussels is considering tying adherence to the rule of law and democratic standards with access to EU budget funds.

    Poland joined the EU in 2004 and public support for membership remains strong, despite the tussles between Brussels and PiS. Poland is a major beneficiary of EU funds for its farmers and infrastructure projects.

    There is no mechanism for the EU to expel a member state. So far only Britain has chosen to leave the bloc, following a referendum in 2016. It is expected to exit the EU next month.

  42. I AM THE MOB on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 3:09 pm 

    Migrant arrivals to Europe nearly double in 2019

    https://www.dw.com/en/migrant-arrivals-from-turkey-to-europe-nearly-double-in-2019/a-51702064

    Keep em coming! LOL

  43. Cloggie on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 3:13 pm 

    America the Enemy:

    https://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/us-kongress-beschliesst-sanktionen-gegen-nord-stream-2-a-1301790.html

    Nord Stream 2 sanctions in place.
    Wait until Brexit is a fact and then pull the plug on the West and make a U-turn to the East. Russians and Chinese are ready. Withdraw from the UN and criminalize the use of the dollar in Eurasia… and “poof” says the empire!

    “Vladimir Putin ‘still uses obsolete Windows XP’ despite hacking risk”

    Indeed, and forbid the use of Windows in Eurasia.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Linux_adopters

    Linux is European and free. There is more than enough open source apps, like LibreOffice, to replace Microsoft Office as well.

    New Iron Curtain in the Channel!

  44. Cloggie on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 3:18 pm 

    “Migrant arrivals to Europe nearly double in 2019”

    70,000 on 500 million or 1 on 7200. We can put them to good use in chain gangs.

    Peanuts. And Greece btw has enough of them:

    https://www.dw.com/en/greece-illegally-deported-60000-migrants-to-turkey-report/a-51234698

    Won’t be long and we have shoot to kill policies in place, after the populist takeover.

    https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/30728/russia-sends-ten-subs-into-north-atlantic-in-drill-unprecedented-in-size-since-cold-war

    “Russia Sends Ten Subs Into North Atlantic In Drill Unprecedented In Size Since Cold War”

    I love European nuclear fire power!

  45. Cloggie on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 3:22 pm 

    A fresh Spencer, my favorite American and our ambassador in the US:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FMSdNEEZ0x0

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uzneL_P5uw&t=73s

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=No-G2_S2gYY

  46. Cloggie on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 3:25 pm 

    “No EU funds for Poland if climate goals aren’t agreed, Macron warns”

    https://www.euractiv.com/section/energy-environment/news/no-eu-funds-for-poland-if-climate-goals-arent-agreed-macron-warns/

  47. I AM THE MOB on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 3:26 pm 

    Mortgage Rates Below 1% Put Europe on Alert for Housing Bubble

    https://www.nytimes.com/2019/12/17/business/europe-housing.html

  48. Cloggie on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 3:28 pm 

    Germans prefer Eurasia over the US:

    https://documents1940.wordpress.com/2019/02/09/germans-prefer-eurasia-over-america/

    One wonders why.

    France, Germany, Italy, Russia and China. That’s enough to create a new world order. No need for Anglo-loving Poland.

  49. Cloggie on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 3:48 pm 

    Macron is getting serious about rapprochement with Russia. After Britain, Poland is the largest obstacle against that.

  50. Cloggie on Tue, 17th Dec 2019 3:55 pm 

    Airbus-Boeing saga

    https://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/boeing-vs-airbus-wie-die-einstellung-der-737-max-die-luftfahrtbranche-veraendert-a-1301723.html

    Stockvalue:

    Airbus +50%
    Boeing -25%

    Airbus order backlog: 6000 planes. New customers won’t be serviced with a real plane before 2024.

    Airbus and Boeing are the only serious producers (white thingy), the demand far outstrips supply.

    Production of the B737 Mad Max will be resumed, perhaps as late as March.

    The real question is: will potential passengers apply the saying: “if its’a Boeing, I’m not going”?

    I wouldn’t.

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