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Page added on January 31, 2019
Global predictions for 2019
* Global predictions for the world economy are less optimistic than in 2018.
* Many countries also expect public unrest in the coming year.
* After a hot 2018, most expect global temperatures to continue to rise.
The latest Ipsos Global Advisor poll was carried out in 31 countries around the world at the end of 2018. The survey interviewed 21 000 adults online, and covered a range of topics on the economy, world affairs, technological advancements, and society and culture.
Since this survey is online, the South African views represented here are not of the population as a whole, but those with regular access to the Internet.
Reflecting back and looking ahead
* 2018: People are more likely to say that 2018 was a bad year for their country (62%) than it was for them and their family (46%). In a year with the controversial election of President Bolsonaro, Brazilians are among the most likely to say that 2018 was a bad year for their country (85%), narrowly behind neighbouring Argentina (86%), who were also most likely to say it had been a bad year for them and their family. More than four in five (83%) of online South Africans thought that 2018 was a bad year for our country, but with ever prevalent optimism, 86% say: “I am optimistic that 2019 will be a better year for me than it was in 2018.”
* 2019: Three in four (75%) are optimistic that 2019 will be better than last year, particularly across South America, where this sentiment was near unanimous in Peru (94%), Colombia (92%) and Mexico (90%), whereas only half in France (50%) were as positive, and even fewer in Japan (42%). In keeping with the previous point about a spark of optimism when it comes to the individuals, an overwhelming 91% of South Africans said: “I will make some personal resolutions to do some specific things for myself and others in 2019.” (This seen against the world average of 76%.)
World affairs
![[alttag]](http://pressoffice.mg.co.za/ipsos/images/2019/Ipsos_Global_Prediction_2.jpg)
* Economy: About 53% say the global economy will strengthen in 2019, with above average confidence coming from India (85%) and Peru (81%). Among the least optimistic are France (24%), Japan (28%) and Great Britain (30%).
Worldwide, 37% expect major stock markets around the world to crash in 2019, which has risen from around a quarter who expected a crash in 2018. All countries have grown more pessimistic about the economy since 2018. The biggest changes are noted in Great Britain (47% compared to 25% for last year) and Russia (47% compared with 26%), where expectations of a crash have nearly doubled. South African opinions are in line with the world average, with 35% thinking that a major stock market crash is likely this year.
* Global warming: Around the world, people predict that average global temperatures will increase this year, with nearly four in five (78%) thinking so. Malaysia (88%), Chile (88%) and Turkey (86%) are the most convinced. In a blistering hot South Africa, four in every five (82%) online South Africans think average global temperatures will increase in 2019, up from 76% in the previous study. Regarding this opinion, we are on a par with Colombia, China and France. Following President Trump pulling out of the Paris Agreement last year, Americans remain the most sceptical about rising temperatures, with only 63% believing the temperature will rise.
* President Trump: Attitudes to President Trump’s future remain relatively unchanged since last year, with a third (32%) predicting his impending impeachment. As trade discussions between the United States and China intensify, the Chinese are now the most likely to think his removal from office is imminent (50%). Again, the online population of South African is close to the world average, with a third (33%) expecting impeachment; the Belgians share this opinion with us at the same level.
* Terrorist attacks: Western Europe is the most concerned about a terrorist attack this year, with nearly two in three (63%) in France thinking it is likely, followed by Great Britain (57%), Israel and Russia (both 52%). South American countries seem less concerned, as seen in Argentina (13%), Mexico (15%), Peru (15%), along with Serbia (13%). Online South Africans are also not very concerned about the terrorism issue when compared to other countries, and only a quarter (26%) believe the possibility of a major terrorist attack is high.
Technology
* Personal data: Half the global population (50%) think their personal data will be leaked on the Internet this year, but only around a quarter say they will be using social media less (28%). Countries most wary of their data being leaked include Turkey (69%), South Korea (68%) and China (65%), while this drops to nearer three in 10 in Serbia (29%) and Germany (31%). Forty-five percent of online South Africans think the possibility is high that their personal data will be leaked, but a fairly comfortable majority (60%) say that is it unlikely that they will use social media channels less.
* Artificial intelligence: Two in five (38%) on average predict that doctors in their country will use artificial intelligence to decide on treatment for their patients in 2019. This is seen as more likely across Asia, particularly in China (60%), Malaysia (58%) and India (57%), whereas Eastern Europe seems more hesitant, as seen in Russia (21%), Hungary (23%), Czech Republic (25%) and Serbia (25%). In South Africa, online opinions are divided on this issue, with 39% saying it is likely and 49% saying it is unlikely that doctors will use artificial intelligence for this purpose.
* Entertainment: Eight in 10 on average (80%) think it’s likely that people around the world will spend more time online than watching TV in 2019. In South Africa, the opportunity for growth in connectivity of the general population is high, and 84% of online South Africans expect to spend more time online than watching television, the same proportion as in the Czech Republic and Poland.
Society and culture
* Protests and riots: Over half (56%) expect large-scale public unrest (such as protests or riots) in their countries. For South Africa, the possibility of public unrest look high in this election year as three-quarters (74%) say it is definitely likely for protests to happen. In France, President Macron’s problems do not appear to be ending this year, with four in five (83%) in France predicting more unrest.
* Gender equality: Only two in five (42%) think women will be paid the same as men for the same work, but women are much less optimistic than men (36% and 48% respectively). Just over half (52%) of online South Africans are optimistic regarding gender parity, but 43% believe it is unlikely to happen soon.
* Social cohesion: People do not expect social divisions to heal very much in 2019, as just a quarter (26% on average) think people in their country will become more tolerant of each other. South Africans are not optimistic about this issue either, and only 30% of those online think that some form of social cohesion is likely, while two-thirds (65%) say it is unlikely to happen soon. In Europe, at least eight in 10 think it unlikely that tolerance will increase in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Belgium, Netherlands and France.
Breakthroughs
* Nearly two in five (38%) think it likely that a cure for the common cold will be discovered this year.
Online South Africans are aligned with the global opinion at 38%, not to mention that a Nobel prize will definitely be in the offing for such a breakthrough.
* Ghosts and aliens: While no nations were very convinced that any will happen, still over one in 10 globally think there is a likely chance of discovering the existence of ghosts (16%) and time travel (15%), or Earth being visited by aliens (13%). In the old tradition of telling ghost stories around a campfire, one in five (22%) South Africans says the existence of ghosts is likely to be discovered, almost the same proportion (21%) say time travel is likely, and 11% believe aliens will visit the earth. This last opinion places us right between Hungary and Germany.
Technical notes:
* These are the findings of the Global Advisor Wave predictions survey for 2019. In total 21 141 interviews were conducted between 21 December and 9 January among adults aged 18-64 in the US and Canada, and adults aged 16-64 in all other countries.
* The survey was conducted in 31 countries around the world via the Ipsos Online Panel system. The countries reporting herein are Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, Netherlands, Peru, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States.
* For the results of the survey presented herein, an international sample of 21 141 adults aged 18-64 in the US, Israel and Canada, and age 16-64 in all other countries, were interviewed. Approximately 1 000+ individuals participated on a country by country basis via the Ipsos Online Panel, with the exception of Argentina, Belgium, Chile, Hungary, India, Israel, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Sweden and Turkey, where each have a sample approximately 500+.
* Weighting was then employed to balance demographics and ensure that the sample’s composition reflects that of the adult population according to the most recent country Census data, and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. A survey with an unweighted probability sample of this size and a 100% response rate would have an estimated margin of error of +/-3.1 percentage points for a sample of 1 000 and an estimated margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points 19 times out of 20 per country of what the results would have been had the entire population of adults in that country had been polled. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.
* Eighteen of the 31 countries surveyed online generate nationally representative samples in their countries (Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Israel, Italy, Japan, Poland, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, and United States).
* Brazil, China, India, Mexico, Peru, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Serbia, South Africa, Turkey, Chile, Colombia and Malaysia produce a national sample that is more urban and educated, and with higher incomes than their fellow citizens. We refer to these respondents as “upper deck consumer citizens”. They are not nationally representative of their country.
* Where results do not sum to 100, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses or the exclusion of don’t knows or not stated responses.
* Data is weighted to match the profile of the population.
105 Comments on "Global predictions for 2019"
onlooker on Thu, 31st Jan 2019 4:49 pm
The Eurozone implodes. Sorry Cog
Sissyfuss on Thu, 31st Jan 2019 6:28 pm
The essence of this article is that asking for opinions from the moronic masses will give you lots of useless data.
Darrell Cloud on Thu, 31st Jan 2019 7:59 pm
Half the population is stupid. Half of the lower half is really stupid.
I AM THE MOB on Thu, 31st Jan 2019 8:33 pm
Italy slips into recession for third time in a decade
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/jan/31/italy-slips-into-recession-for-third-time-in-a-decade-economy
Sissyfuss on Thu, 31st Jan 2019 8:37 pm
Mob, what’s the difference between a recession and a steady state economy if any?
makati1 on Thu, 31st Jan 2019 8:54 pm
MOB, how do we know if we ever left the 2008 Recession? After all, the US economy numbers are ALL so manipulated, like most governments. They can say anything the government wants them to say. Lies, damn lies and statistics. And, financial news rags are ALL propaganda for the elite pushing financial investments that are nothing more then a means to bleed the serfs some more before the crash.
What do you believe? I believe my own eyes. I see real US inflation at 6% plus and my SS increase at less than 2% per year. I see stats that say real purchasing power has not increased for 40 years in the US. I agree. I lived those years. The pay numbers go up, but the buying power goes down.
What is your take on this? No refs required, just rational thought and an intelligent reply.
I AM THE MOB on Thu, 31st Jan 2019 9:36 pm
Mak
I agree with most of what you say..I think the US, Europe in Japan are in a depression..And asia is slightly growing still..But not at the rates they are claiming..
I use CO2 emissions and energy consumption to determine what the real growth rates are..Those are hard to fudge and not enough people dig that deep so it unlikely to be fudged..
I AM THE MOB on Thu, 31st Jan 2019 9:56 pm
This is clogg master race!
https://gfycat.com/ampleperkyarrowworm?fbclid=IwAR3cuacW0ZNBOS-Ds7h8MqRXJb2wVapEDLbsIDNRdLELTDIW3–E3C1L0PM
#JustPeckerwoodthings
makati1 on Thu, 31st Jan 2019 11:07 pm
MOB, I agree. The numbers are not real anywhere. Energy consumption is a good gauge of growth, but increasing efficiency causes those numbers to be cloudy. Also, you have to take into account the energy used by the population which is growing or shrinking. Per capita energy is still increasing across the total planet. You would have to research the per capita energy use in every country to see who is growing and who is not.
For instance, China’s per capita energy use has doubled in the last 10 years.
Whereas, the US energy per capita has decreased about 12% in that same time period.
https://www.ceicdata.com/en/china/energy-consumption-per-capita
https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/USA/Energy_use_per_capita/
Which is “growing” and which is not? By all measures, the numbers indicate the answer. East up. West down. (I include Japan in the “West” because it is still attached to the US in too many ways. That will soon change, I think. Japan is tied to China economically and that will be the deciding argument in the future. Ditto for South Korea and Taiwan.
makati1 on Thu, 31st Jan 2019 11:19 pm
“Washington is a city of liars in a nation of liars. From the strutting Perfumed Princes of the Pentagon to the bought and paid for hallowed halls of congress, the business is lying. It’s an industry, carefully coordinated with fake press, Hollywood and the Deep State engine of corruption.
At the wheel, and careening everywhere is the king of liars, Donald Trump, worst of them all, a man who is so out of control lying that he occasionally tells the truth, something Washington has never seen. He doesn’t do it on purpose, he simply can’t stay on script.” – Gordon Duff
https://journal-neo.org/2019/01/31/american-tomfoolery-the-only-thing-in-america-that-really-works/
Meanwhile in the REAL Amerika: “78 million Americans are participating in the “gig economy” because full-time jobs just don’t pay enough to make ends meet these days.
In 2011, the average home price was 3.56 times the average yearly salary in the United States. But by the time 2017 was finished, the average home price was 4.73 times the average yearly salary in the United States.
In 1980, the average American worker’s debt was 1.96 times larger than his or her monthly salary. Today, that number has ballooned to 5.00.
In the United States today, 66 percent of all jobs pay less than 20 dollars an hour.
102 million working age Americans do not have a job right now. That number is higher than it was at any point during the last recession.
Earnings for low-skill jobs have stayed very flat for the last 40 years.
Americans have been spending more money than they make for 28 months in a row.
In the United States today, the average young adult with student loan debt has a negative net worth.
At this point, the average American household is nearly $140,000 in debt.
Poverty rates in U.S. suburbs “have increased by 50 percent since 1990”.
Almost 51 million U.S. households “can’t afford basics like rent and food”.
The bottom 40 percent of all U.S. households bring home just 11.4 percent of all income.
According to the Federal Reserve, 4 out of 10 Americans do not have enough money to cover an unexpected $400 expense without borrowing the money or selling something they own.
22 percent of all Americans cannot pay all of their bills in a typical month.
Today, U.S. households are collectively 13.15 trillion dollars in debt. That is a new all-time record.”
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dalios-fear-of-the-next-downturn-is-likely-understated/
The REAL America is broke. Nuff said.
DerHundistLos on Thu, 31st Jan 2019 11:19 pm
Davy:
I just read your statement in another post ““You are a high net worth individual per your own words.”
Really, show me where I crowed about being a “high net worth person”? I’m not a braggart so I don’t believe you.
I would never say such a thing. It’s totally out of character so I want you to show me where I made such a statement. Otherwise, you owe me an apology.
makati1 on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 12:17 am
Der, you will never get an apology from Davy. He makes up life histories for all of us straight from his warped delusional mind. He and MOB have the same need to put everyone down. An inferiority complex, I guess.
Cloggie on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 12:57 am
This is clogg master race!
https://gfycat.com/ampleperkyarrowworm?fbclid=IwAR3cuacW0ZNBOS-Ds7h8MqRXJb2wVapEDLbsIDNRdLELTDIW3–E3C1L0PM
#JustPeckerwoodthings
I’m shocked mobster, I didn’t know the situation in the US was THAT bad. Your tribe did a magnificent job in getting the country demoralized and destroyed.
Fortunately there is still hope for the white race:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q09qwdkfbew
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EHYxkkzS35Q
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7gO67YCECe4
Rumsfeld clown and 911 perp: “Old Europe”
But maybe you are right after all, namely that it will take America 132 years to set up a renewable energy base (without European help).
Cloggie on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 1:28 am
EU and Japan to form the largest free trade zone in the world:
http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/soziales/eu-und-japan-starten-groesste-freihandelszone-der-welt-a-1250959.html
Large US-Chinese trade deal in the works, nothing decided yet:
http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/soziales/donald-trump-will-bei-treffen-mit-xi-jinping-groessten-handelsdeal-aller-zeiten-schliessen-a-1251060.html
Good wall, bad wall. Despicable US deep state empire media vassals der Spiegel report from the Great American Wall (not yet a tourist attraction). Interviews with 2 people:
US Border guard Joshua Wilson loves the wall. All border guards are on Trump’s side.
Some US activist Enrique Morones, who says is proud of his Mexican roots, hates it. He has seen the “desperation” of the “refugees” (who are determined to bring desperation to the US).
Demography is destiny. The Wall comes too late anyway and will be torn down by the next Democrats’ government after Trump, to ensure that the left will carry away the demographic victory by importing more leftists-of-color, with great designs on whitey’s wallet (universal healthcare, social income, more crime fighting).
For Europe that developing situation will not be necessarily bad as we are 20 years “behind” the US. A crash of US society will give the defenders of Europeans civilization the decisive arguments to kill libtard modernity once and for all.
The US (white America) can’t be saved with walls, more drastic measures will be required.
makati1 on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 1:44 am
Cloggie, I would like your take on the facts brought up in this article about electric vehicles and the subzero temperatures a lot of the US and Canada is experiencing now.
“It would be interesting to know exactly the effect on EV range of keeping the interior of an EV warm – not survivable, but comfortably warm – on a minus 10 degree day. How much range does one lose? How much time will one have to spend shivering at an outdoor recharger – assuming it’s not blocked by the snow and assuming your EV has a built-in system to keep the battery warm, so that it can be charged.
Bet you didn’t know about that, either.
Electric car batteries can’t be recharged if the ambient air temperature is below freezing – it’s a function of battery chemistry – which means that the EV must also heat its battery during the winter months, which will cost energy (battery drain) and further reduce the range.”
https://www.theburningplatform.com/2019/01/31/the-mobile-space-heater/#more-191063
Doesn’t look good for electric vehicles does it? At least half of the US has below freezing temps for months in the winter.
Shortend on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 2:28 am
Shortonoil will double down on the bet and rockdoc will take it up and no one will get paid….crazy fcking place this site be!!
Cloggie on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 3:15 am
@makati – I always believed instinctively that Japan and not the West is betting on the right horse, namely hydrogen rather than batteries. Fortunately, my (Dutch) government has opted for a hydrogen economy as well.
With hydrogen-fuel cells you don’t have these sub-zero temp problems (I think).
Japan intends to use the next Olympics to present their vision of the hydrogen society.
https://p2gconference.com/news/hydrogen-at-tokyo-olympics.html
The Japanese are a great people and I expect them to contribute significantly to the success of the hydrogen economy.
makati1 on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 4:12 am
Perhaps it will be successful, but hydrogen is just an energy carrier, not source. It takes more energy to make, store and use than is actually contained in the substance itself. A net energy loss. Another form of battery.
I can store a gallon of gas in my garage in a metal container in any weather. What receptacle can store hydrogen safely and at low cost? I see both electric and hydrogen having a very low use in the future. As long as oil and NG are available, they will be used as the cheapest and easiest. Too late to make a meaningful conversion by about 100 years and over a billion cars on the world’s roads.
Cloggie on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 4:23 am
Everybody familiar with energy knows that hydrogen is a storage medium, not a source.
Primary energy inputs are wind, solar (pv and thermal), biomass, river-hydro, geothermal and exotics like waves, blue energy, etc
“What receptacle can store hydrogen safely and at low cost?”
Hydrogen will only be used as a brief intermediary stage and almost immediately converted in another more convenient storage medium: NaBH4, CH4, NH3, metal powder
https://deepresource.wordpress.com/2019/01/27/nabh4-the-vice-admiral-has-a-message-for-dutch-parliament/
https://deepresource.wordpress.com/2019/01/20/nyrstar-the-next-royal-dutch-shell/
Davy on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 4:23 am
“Davy: I just read your statement in another post ““You are a high net worth individual per your own words.”
Hund, give me a link to the thread so I can see the context. You are the type that puts words in people’s mouth.
“Really, show me where I crowed about being a “high net worth person”? I’m not a braggart so I don’t believe you.”
AH, where did I use the word “crow”? Answer the question hund, you are a high net worth person per your own words, right? You have talked about your family, land sale, business, and now your philanthropy in Columbia. That sounds high net worth to me. Are you apologizing now for being rich. See, that is the problem with wealthy hardcore liberals. They are always ready to bash deplorables but then hide the fact about all the perks that come with being wealthy and in the right places.
“I would never say such a thing.”
So you would lie about your wealth?
“It’s totally out of character”
It is bad character to lie, hund.
“so I want you to show me where I made such a statement. Otherwise, you owe me an apology.”
Answer the question hund and maybe I will research the topic. I don’t keep close tabs on you I have my hands full with other lunatics. This is an unmoderated forum with people like you that spew hate and resentment and have “bros” that want to kill rich whites and breed their daughters. Get real
Davy on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 4:30 am
“Der, you will never get an apology from Davy. He makes up life histories for all of us straight from his warped delusional mind. He and MOB have the same need to put everyone down. An inferiority complex, I guess.”
Always trying to start shit, huh, makato. Was the Davy/Juan war too quiet for you so you need to start shit with putdowns and lies? You put down people and nations 15/7/365. What I give you is what you deserve. You are the most disgusting person on this board broadcasting the lust for murder in massive wars. Highlighting death and decay on the Homefront, gleefully. Being like a sports announcer when natural calamities hit. You actually find enjoyment in other’s suffering. Bragging about yourself endlessly. Talking up a silly little Island nation like it is the new world superpower of wonderful. You are approaching 80 in early onset dementia. Nothing that can be done for an angry senile old men but watch them waste away. Hund is on the same level as you.
Davy on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 4:45 am
“Perhaps it will be successful, but hydrogen is just an energy carrier, not source. It takes more energy to make, store and use than is actually contained in the substance itself. A net energy loss. Another form of battery.”
makato, we are talking renewable derived hydrogen. I am actually optimistic about hydrogen and I am a doomer and prepper. This has given me more hope over and above the great advances with solar and wind. This along with huge global gas reserves might help get us through a peak oil/economic decline issue ahead. Clogged is on to something with hydrogen it is worth listening to. It is too bad he hypes thing for his personal emotional reasons. This is not commercialized stuff so as usual clogged has the horse in front of the cart. You are bad about hyping and poo hooing things that don’t fit your personal emotional agendas of hate.
Davy on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 5:31 am
“Scientists Create Liquid Fuel That Can Store The Sun’s Energy For Up to 18 Years”
https://tinyurl.com/ybd7fnl7
“Scientists in Sweden have developed a specialised fluid, called a solar thermal fuel, that can store energy from the sun for well over a decade. “A solar thermal fuel is like a rechargeable battery, but instead of electricity, you put sunlight in and get heat out, triggered on demand,” Jeffrey Grossman, an engineer works with these materials at MIT explained to NBC News. The fluid is actually a molecule in liquid form that scientists from Chalmers University of Technology, Sweden have been working on improving for over a year. This molecule is composed of carbon, hydrogen and nitrogen, and when it is hit by sunlight, it does something unusual: the bonds between its atoms are rearranged and it turns into an energised new version of itself, called an isomer.”
“The renewable, emissions-free energy device is made up of a concave reflector with a pipe in the centre, which tracks the Sun like a sort-of satellite dish. The system works in a circular manner. Pumping through transparent tubes, the fluid is heated up by the sunlight, turning the molecule norbornadiene into its heat-trapping isomer, quadricyclane. The fluid is then stored at room temperature with minimal energy loss. When the energy is needed, the fluid is filtered through a special catalyst that converts the molecules back to their original form, warming the liquid by 63 degrees Celsius (113 degrees Fahrenheit). The hope is that this warmth can be used for domestic heating systems, powering a building’s water heater, dishwasher, clothes dryer and much more, before heading back to the roof once again. The researchers have put the fluid through this cycle more than 125 times, picking up heat and dropping it off without significant damage to the molecule.”
JuanP on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 6:32 am
“Till debt do us part: Russia and China continue dumping Us securities”
https://www.rt.com/business/450305-russia-china-us-treasuries/
This is a smart move.
Cloggie on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 6:42 am
US judge wants Syria to pay 300 million to family of killed US war correspondent:
https://www.nu.nl/buitenland/5717874/syrie-moet-familie-amerikaanse-journalist-colvin-264-miljoen-euro-betalen.html
The US instigated wars in Iraq and Syria resulted in 1.5 million dead or 4500 trillion dollar or 220 years US GDP.
It is difficult to top this kind of perfidy and cynicism, if we ignore the famous “6 million gassed Jews” for a moment.
Antius on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 7:16 am
“Hydrogen will only be used as a brief intermediary stage and almost immediately converted in another more convenient storage medium: NaBH4, CH4, NH3, metal powder”
Methanol is another promising option that you have mentioned before and is probably better than any of the others on the list, due to its excellent properties. It is reasonably energy dense (about half as energy dense as diesel), is storable as liquid at room temperature at atmospheric pressure; will not freeze until -97C and is compatible with carbon steel. All winning combinations that make it very useful for end use applications.
There are fuel cells that can use methanol directly, that can be scaled to power tiny individual devices, like laptops. It can be used in spark ignition and compression ignition engines and would work well in the hybrid vehicles of the future. It could also be stored easily long-term in steel or concrete tanks for back-up powerplants; things like open-cycle gas turbines, which need to cover occasional periods of peak demand, or where renewable energy and short-term pumped storage occasionally fails to meet grid demand. In the home, a direct methanol fuel cell or small gas turbine could provide combined heat and power.
If you have cheap hydrogen from renewable energy, then any carbon containing material could be decomposed to produce the carbon monoxide needed to synthesise methanol. This might include low grade fossil fuels, like lignite or kerogen; wastes that would otherwise go to land fill; biomass; sewage, animal wastes, marine sediment, etc. Or it might include the carbon dioxide waste from a concrete kiln.
Using limestone as feedstock is an interesting option. The calcium hydroxide that comes out the other end could have uses of its own, as lime for building or for neutralising acid soil. Or it could be released into the ocean in areas suffering from ocean acidification (it is a base afterall). As it neutralises carbonic acid in the ocean, it will precipitate to the bottom as a carbonate. Limestone derived methanol would therefore be carbon neutral, or even carbon negative, if some of the liberated carbon is fixed into products like plastics.
Boron would appear to be a workable option for long-term hydrogen storage. It has a few disadvantages. Boron is relatively rare and expensive – it must be collected after use and transported back to the hydrogen plant for recycling; sodium borohydride requires a chain of chemical processes in its manufacture (each of which consume energy); and so far as I know it is solid and cannot be pumped. Iron has similar issues. It also needs to be burned in a large boiler. Anhydrous ammonia is a carbon free fuel; nitrogen is available everywhere from the atmosphere and is storable as liquid under modest vapour pressure. But it is smelly, irritant and toxic, which will complicate its use as a fuel.
JuanP on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 7:34 am
“My country is more dysfunctional than yours”
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-47060853
Birds of a feather flock together. Which country is more dysfunctional, the USA or the UK? I wouldn’t want to be a citizen of either unless I was wealthy enough to go elsewhere when the collapse gets too bad. I am happy to live in the USA, but only because I am ready to leave permanently in an instant when it becomes necessary. I am eating my cake and have another for late, too! LOL!
Antius on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 7:55 am
In the US you can express a personal opinion without ending up in prison. On that basis alone, I would say that the US is less ‘**ucked up’ than the UK.
Both are ruled by arrogant elites that don’t give a toss about the people and both face a looming demographic crisis, though the US is a little further along than Britain, though not much more.
If Europe completes its transition to racial nationalism; I may consider emigrating. The option will be open to me – as a chartered engineer I can go just about anywhere. The only reason I haven’t already is my wife’s complete inability to leave the north of England. We all make sacrifices for those that we love. Were we to move to France, I could afford a chateau with many acres of grounds.
I AM THE MOB on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 8:04 am
CLogg
I feel sorry for your mother..
Cloggie on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 8:14 am
https://deepresource.wordpress.com/2013/03/15/the-methanol-economy-with-george-olah/
I AM THE MOB on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 8:14 am
Billionaire investor Howard Marks: America should be worried about ‘rising tide of anti-capitalism’
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/31/howard-marks-is-worried-about-the-rising-tide-of-anti-capitalism.html?__source=facebook%7Cmain
Antius on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 8:30 am
I have a copy of Olah’s book – Beyond Oil and Gas: The Methanol Economy. It is one of the better alternative energy books out there in my opinion. In the past, the high cost of electrolytic hydrogen was an obstacle that prevented the realisation of a methanol economy. Not so much today.
Another thing paving the way towards a methanol economy is an often forgotten by-product of electrolysis: pure oxygen. During electrolysis, a steady stream of compressed pure oxygen forms at the anode of the cell. In an oxidation reactor, this will break down any organic material at very high temperatures, far more effectively than ordinary air. Even wet biomass can be converted into synthesis gas by reacting it with pure oxygen and steam – something that would be difficult to achieve using air. The hydrogen from the cathode will add to the hydrogen already produced by oxidation and steam reforming and can simply be added to the synthesis gas passing into the methanol reactor. Given that carbon dioxide can be reduced back to CO by reacting it with hydrogen, close to 100% of the carbon within biomass can be captured in liquid methanol.
Antius on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 8:34 am
“Billionaire investor Howard Marks: America should be worried about ‘rising tide of anti-capitalism’”
Something that goes hand-in-hand with third world colonisation. When the inferior realise that they are incapable of emulating their superiors; it is natural to want to break them down and take what they have.
This is how America will end. Mob’s socialist utopia will be drowned in a wave of human excrement and soylent green.
Davy on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 9:19 am
“Methanol is another promising option that you have mentioned before and is probably better than any of the others on the list, due to its excellent properties.”
Also highly toxic but I agree with you on it promising qualities. It can also be readily made from biomass.
Antius on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 9:28 am
Some interesting methanol resources, for those interested.
http://www.f.u-tokyo.ac.jp/~kanai/seminar/pdf/Lit_T_Matsumoto_B4.pdf
https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1133094
Davy on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 9:32 am
“This is how America will end. Mob’s socialist utopia will be drowned in a wave of human excrement and soylent green.”
Antius, GB and the EU are so far ahead of the US in regards to socialism. These load mouth socialist in the US are not going to get very far. If Trump is not reelected his deregulation and tax cuts likely will be rolled back but the whole socialist program will fail. The Democrats are splintering. There may be an independent run. Congress is split. To get anything done you need solid majorities plus the Presidency. Trump had a good deal early on with both houses but not strong majorities and he has got little done. Next go around will be even worse now that the country is politically polarized.
I AM THE MOB on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 9:50 am
Antius
From that article;
“The cost of capitalism is that there are some people who succeed a lot and some people who don’t succeed.”
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/31/howard-marks-is-worried-about-the-rising-tide-of-anti-capitalism.html?__source=facebook%7Cmain
The cost of capitalism is that there are some people who keep their heads and some who don’t..FTFY
I AM THE MOB on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 9:58 am
American billionaires should be worried about ‘losing everything above their mid-neck’
A rising tide seizes all yachts
DerHundistLos on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 10:17 am
I put words in your mouth? Typical Davy to deny. Here’s the evidence for all to see. You hypocrite. You put words into my mouth/
Davy on Tue, 29th Jan 2019 10:16 am
You are definitely not right der hund. I assume calling MOB your bro means you approve of his plans to kill rich whites and breed their daughters?? Oh in your case great grandkids. BTW. You are a high net worth individual per your own words so that makes you easily an over consumer. I applaud you on your wildlife restoration but wonder why you don’t do things locally??
DerHundistLos on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 10:21 am
Mak-
You’re right, he will never apologize. He will find some way to slime out of this. Did you read his deflection accusing me of putting words into the mouths of others when that’s exactly what he has done.
The guy has no class, no sense of honor, is arrogant and prideful.
Davy on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 11:01 am
Answer the question you hypersensitive whiner. Are you a high net worth individual? If yes then what is wrong? Where in the above did I say “crow”. BTW, I only apologize to legitimate members and legitimate comments. This is an unmoderated forum and you are not a quality member. Most of your comments are extremely bias and off topic. Stupid partisan politics of an angry old liberal. Go somewhere else if you can’t take the heat.
Antius on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 11:04 am
The cheapest form of energy storage available: the grid interactive water heater.
https://tinyurl.com/y9rrujyg
Something like 80% of the energy consumed at the household level involves heat in one form or another. The good thing about heat is that it can be stored cheaply and easily. A fridge or freezer is effectively an energy store. So is the fabric of the house itself, if it is equipped with good insulation. These applications can run on intermittent energy with suitable control systems.
With the correct balance of end use heat storage and modest amounts of other short-term storage, like pumped hydro, flywheel and CAES; hydrogen derived fuels should be needed only for occasional shortfalls and can be burned in open cycle gas turbines.
Cloggie on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 11:34 am
“Billionaire investor Howard Marks: America should be worried about ‘rising tide of anti-capitalism‘“
Considering the background of Howard Marx, uh Marks, this is probably not a warning but a prediction, if not program.
Cloggie on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 11:38 am
“If Europe completes its transition to racial nationalism; I may consider emigrating. The option will be open to me – as a chartered engineer I can go just about anywhere”
Holland is handsdown the most Anglophile country in Eurasia between Lisbon and Wladiwostok.
Just saying.
Cloggie on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 11:50 am
“The wrong approach to housing in my opinion. The places that people value most are built by artisans and have a handmade, artistic quality. Look at the canal buildings of Amsterdam or the beautiful medieval streets of Bruges.”
Well if Antius is so charmed by the ancient architecture of the low countries, he might like Dutch neo-classicism, ten km east of where I live: Brandevoort. The majority votes populist.lol
https://tinyurl.com/y7vhdb5d
Eindhoven is the technological capital of the Netherlands. High-grade work in abundance.
Davy on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 12:00 pm
“The cheapest form of energy storage available: the grid interactive water heater. https://tinyurl.com/y9rrujyg”
great link Antius.
JuanP on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 12:55 pm
Davy “BTW, I only apologize to legitimate members and legitimate comments. This is an unmoderated forum and you are not a quality member.”
You have never aoplogized to anyone for anything. You are completely incapable of admitting a mistake or an error. This forum doesn’t have any members, Davy, just people that write comments. Nobody has appointed you as moderator or qualifier of anything. That is simply another one of the delusions of your sick mind. You are truly pathetic, Davy.
I AM THE MOB on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 1:07 pm
okay, now this is praxis
https://i.redd.it/lwp75os8syd21.jpg
Imagine Mike Pence passing a law requiring a funeral ceremony for every cup of coffee with semen in it..
JuanP on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 1:13 pm
Derhund, You are not alone. Davy has done the same thing to hundreds, if not thousands, of people on this forum for years. He lies,cheats, insults, and bullies everybody that proves him wrong. He has no idea what the truth is or what honesty, humility, and honor are. He is a person that completely lacks any good moral qualities. That is why Antius is the only person on this forum that still supports Davy. Antius hasn’t been around here long enough to understand what he is doing; Davy is playing him, but sooner or later Antius will learn the truth. It is only a matter of time.
Davy on Fri, 1st Feb 2019 1:34 pm
Juan, who gives a rat’s ass, say something. You are permanently triggered and If you didn’t do so much damage to this form you would be hilarious. Go pull some weeds.