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Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby Heineken » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 11:47:27

I'm just a lowly copy editor---a profession that is generally misunderstood, including by many in the publishing industry. I don't know much about the business end, and I never had much interest in production. So what I've said here should be interpreted in that light.

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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby MattSavinar » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 13:35:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('roccman', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', '
')I suspect the real reason you're upset with me because deep down you know my main point is accurate: the general public is so deeply defeated and dumbed down that the PO meme is never going to enjoy any significant degree of penetration into the public consciousness, no matter what happens in the physical world.


And Crude Awakening fits where in this logic matty?


Actually, CA is a great example of my point. The film makers are deep in debt, they did everything they could to get it into US theaters and despite $100 oil, no go.

You would think that, if anything, on the heels of Al Gore's film it would have been able to get a big screen release.

Now it's worked out for me, I've sold about 800 copies of it. But for the film-makers it's been a major loss. That has nothing to do with the film and everything to do with the deep narcosis of the American public.

@ Aaron:

When you said "what costs?", you know what scene flashed through my head? It was the day the Crude Awakening guys showed up here to interview and one of the them said "Yeah, we're hoping for a Michael Moore type film." I thought (silently) to myself "if you think the public is going to want to watch this the way they do a Michael Moore film you got another thing coming"

I'm going to guess they figured that between skyrocketing oil prices and the importance of the the issue there would be a market for the film. There is, but the market is extremely small.
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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby MattSavinar » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 13:46:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shannymara', 'I') subscribe to a quarterly Nigerian Dwarf Goat magazine. There's no way they have more than a few hundred (if that) subscribers. It's $6.50 an issue and the only ads in it are for other goat breeders and such. Black and white, matte paper, thick semi-glossy paper black and white cover. The weather magazines we've been involved in were similar. I know the print costs are high on glossy color mags, but I don't see why we'd need to be that fancy, especially at first. Paying writers shouldn't be bad, at least the first couple of issues. I think between a few ads and the subscription fees it should pay for itself.


Shan,

If there were 4-to-5 big "Nigerian Dwarf Goat" websites, some of which are updated multiple times daily, plus about 50 blogs on it already covering the Nigerian Dwarf Goat beat from every angle imaginable, I doubt the magazine would have even 1/4 of it's current paying readership. That's the problem with a PO print mag: there is such an overwhelming amount of info online that people are not going to see why they should pay for content.

BTW, "Nigerian Dwarf Goat" community completely takes the phrase "niche marketing" to a whole new level!
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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby MattSavinar » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 13:55:43

An angle I may have missed here

It could be that many of you here desire an "outlet" for your PO anxiety. In that case, a print mag - even if operated at a severe financial loss and with a paying readerhisp of less than 50 worldwide - may be worth the time.

I have an outlet for my PO anxiety (LATOC) so I may not have picked up on this at first.
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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby MattSavinar » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 14:44:59

Shanya,

Not trying to be a downer, just explaining the aspects of the PO "market", for lack of a better world.

Maxim and Playboy are poor analogies, but not for the reason you articulated. It's a matter of percentages:

Let's say there's 50 million American men who regularly look at free online sex porn. Let's also assume,for the sake of illustration since we don't the actual numbers, that 1 out of 100 are willing to pay for it even though they can view it for free.

That's 5 million potential subscribers.

But what about Peak Ol porn? There's maybe 20,000 people in the whole world who check the forums and sites at least 1 time per week. Probably less than 10,000 who check it 4 times or more per week. But let's be really optimistic and assume there's 40,000 people who do.

Well if 1% of peope who view PO porn online for free are willing to also pay for PO porn, that gives you 400 potential subscribers. If you can convince 200 of the 400 to pay a subscription, you'd be doing great imho. (These are extremely optimsitic numbers imho.)
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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby steam_cannon » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 15:08:59

Steam Punk's seem to be latching onto the idea of peak oil and this is a fairly large group of people.

A SteamPunk’s Guide to the Apocalypse
http://tinyurl.com/25j4vw

This interesting publication was produced by small group of authors. They offer their magazines for free in pdf form and charge for print copies. I think this works because anachronistic types like to have a printed copy around. And so if people here are wondering what large audience would be interested in a peak oil magazine besides us, this would probably be the group. They are already showing interest in peak oil, doom, permaculture, renewable technologies and thermodynamics. And all that's stuff every issue would have...

Not that I think we need a larger audience, but they do exist.

Image

Maybe "Peak Steam" magazine... :lol:
Last edited by steam_cannon on Fri 21 Dec 2007, 15:23:13, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby Aaron » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 15:18:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shannymara', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', 'N')ot trying to be a downer, just explaining the aspects of the PO "market", for lack of a better world.

Yeah, I was just kidding around. I think you might be right about the numbers, but still I think we could do it on a modest scale without getting in the hole.


You guys assume too much.
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby steam_cannon » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 15:25:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shannymara', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', 'N')ot trying to be a downer, just explaining the aspects of the PO "market", for lack of a better world.

Yeah, I was just kidding around. I think you might be right about the numbers, but still I think we could do it on a modest scale without getting in the hole.


You guys assume too much.
If people are thinking too big, we could always start with a news letter as Heineken pointed out...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'M')any of today's successful journals and magazines had similar humble origins.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', 'A')t the very least the idea deserves a spirited conversation don't we all agree?Absolutely!
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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby steam_cannon » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 18:50:40

I'm thinking the publication could have some articles like this and a few "sticky columns" with updates...

Special long articles
* EROEI - the silent killer
* Dieoff - the limits of growth and sustainability
* Natural Gas supplies and projections
* Coal market summary and impacts on US coal production

Economy
* Housing (sticky)
* Commodities (sticky)
* The dollar slide (sticky)
* US oil imports
* World oil imports (sticky)
* China

Climate Change News
* Global Climate Change (sticky)
* Global Dimming
* Ocean Acidification

Farm Related
* Droughts Monitor (sticky)
* Fertilizer availability
* Making your own agrichar

Technology reviews with "realistic appraisals" of what kind of impact they will have. No magazine has technology reviews with any connection to reality. So this would be very different.
* Tesla Roadster: Everybody's talking about it but there are hardly any on the road and they aren't about to replace the whole auto fleet any time soon...
* New silicon free solar cells such as from "Nanosolar". Assuming dollar stability, over the next year they will see growth and increase the availably of solar cells for power generation. But they will still suffer from gallium supply problems limiting the total number of cells they will be able to produce. So they will have reduced the cost of solar power but it's unknown how much they will have increased the total availability of solar cells in the market. Also recycling problems will probably limit the technology in the 7th generation even with little population growth.
* Recycling compost heat
* Water filters
* Water transport

Planning for the future
* Basics for a 3 day backpack
* Water - Get what you need and how!

Reader comments
* Quotes: "The dignity of man is not realized in a packed and dirty room."
* Best picture (ironic or interesting)
Image Image

---------------------------------------------------

Something like this would not be difficult to put together and I'm sure many of you could think of even better content then my example.
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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby JPL » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 18:52:40

You could always widen the brief a bit. Call it 'Post-Carbon Quarterly' with a sub-title of 'Peak Oil, & Global Warming: Facts, Fantasies & Real-World Solutions'.

that gives you a global market of a couple million I'd say, no sweat. The fact that Matt didn't manage to make money out of LATOC doesn't surpise me, really, and shouldn't put you off: Like how many of us old hippie types are seriously into AK 47's (NOT)....

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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby steam_cannon » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 18:57:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', 'Y')ou could always widen the brief a bit. Call it 'Post-Carbon Quarterly' with a sub-title of 'Peak Oil, & Global Warming: Facts, Fantasies & Real-World Solutions'.

that gives you a global market of a couple million I'd say, no sweat. The fact that Matt didn't manage to make money out of LATOC doesn't surpise me, really, and shouldn't put you off: Like how many of us old hippie types are seriously into AK 47's (NOT)....

JP
Nice title and good point about focusing too much on guns. This wouldn't be a military magazine.
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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby MattSavinar » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 18:59:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', '
')
that gives you a global market of a couple million I'd say, no sweat.



"Famous last words."

Read my above post about Crude Awakening.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')
The fact that Matt didn't manage to make money out of LATOC doesn't surpise me, really, and shouldn't put you off: Like how many of us old hippie types are seriously into AK 47's (NOT)....

JP


I've actually done quite well, particularly the last six months.

But how many people have managed to even scrape out a working class living let alone a reasonably solid upper-middle class one from this stuff sans a big book deal and rock-star like speaking tour around the world? I think I may be the only one.

I'm not saying that to brag although I am proud of it. Just saying it doesn't bode well for a print magazine when there are so few people able to make money from this stuff.

But hey best of luck whatever you guys and gals choose to do. You didn't ask for my advice but I'll give it anyway: make sure to put Shanya in charge of whatever you decide to do. My suspicion is most of you would have trouble managing a lemonade stand in a smooth and orderly fashion. I base this suspicion on the fact most posters here seem to be assuming away (completely ignorant of) all the costs, the time, and complexities involved in putting together a reasonable decent print magazine.

Aaron's "what costs?" posts was classic . . . (Sorry Aaron, but it was.)
Last edited by MattSavinar on Fri 21 Dec 2007, 19:18:42, edited 5 times in total.
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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby JPL » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 19:01:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('steam_cannon', 'I')'m thinking the publication could have some articles like this and a few "sticky columns" with updates...

Special long articles
* EROEI - the silent killer
* Dieoff - the limits of growth and sustainability
* Natural Gas supplies and projections
* Coal market summary and impacts on US coal production

Economy
* Housing (sticky)
* Commodities (sticky)
* The dollar slide (sticky)
* US oil imports
* World oil imports (sticky)
* China

Climate Change News
* Global Climate Change (sticky)
* Global Dimming
* Ocean Acidification

Farm Related
* Droughts Monitor (sticky)
* Fertilizer availability
* Making your own agrichar

Technology reviews with "realistic appraisals" of what kind of impact they will have. No magazine has technology reviews with any connection to reality. So this would be very different.
* Tesla Roadster: Everybody's talking about it but there are hardly any on the road and they aren't about to replace the whole auto fleet any time soon...
* New silicon free solar cells such as from "Nanosolar". Assuming dollar stability, over the next year they will see growth and increase the availably of solar cells for power generation. But they will still suffer from gallium supply problems limiting the total number of cells they will be able to produce. So they will have reduced the cost of solar power but it's unknown how much they will have increased the total availability of solar cells in the market. Also recycling problems will probably limit the technology in the 7th generation even with little population growth.
* Recycling compost heat
* Water filters
* Water transport

Planning for the future
* Basics for a 3 day backpack
* Water - Get what you need and how!

Reader comments
* Quotes: "The dignity of man is not realized in a packed and dirty room."
* Best picture (ironic or interesting)
Image Image

---------------------------------------------------

Something like this would not be difficult to put together and I'm sure many of you could think of even better content then my example.


Yea that's brilliant - well thought out. Obviously Aaron will have his own ideas as well, but right now, this magazine sounds better & better the more I hear about it. Let's hear those presses roll...

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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby JPL » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 19:05:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', '
')
I've actually done quite well, particularly the last six months.

But how many people have managed to even scrape out a working class living let alone a reasonably solid upper-middle class one from this stuff sans a big book deal and rock-star like speaking tour around the world? I think I may be the only one.

I'm not saying that to brag although I am proud of it. Just saying it doesn't bode well for a print magazine when there are so few people able to make money from this stuff.


Who said it was about making money? Or maybe I have misunderstood you?

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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby MattSavinar » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 19:10:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', '
')
I've actually done quite well, particularly the last six months.

But how many people have managed to even scrape out a working class living let alone a reasonably solid upper-middle class one from this stuff sans a big book deal and rock-star like speaking tour around the world? I think I may be the only one.

I'm not saying that to brag although I am proud of it. Just saying it doesn't bode well for a print magazine when there are so few people able to make money from this stuff.


Who said it was about making money? Or maybe I have misunderstood you?

JP


I realize it's not about "making" money. But I assume you don't want to lose any or a lot. If there's less than 5 people in the entire world who are able to make money from this stuff without a big book deal, that means that in most cases anything with "peak oil" as its foundation or jumping off point is going to be money-losing endeavor. Which is fine if you've got somebody to fund it or it's a labor of love and you don't mind losing some money.

Given the ambitions of some folks here, you're going to need a good deal or revenue to make it workable, just break-even. That's just my opinion but you're welcome to it.
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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby JPL » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 19:26:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', '
')Who said it was about making money? Or maybe I have misunderstood you?

JP


I realize it's not about "making" money. But I assume you don't want to lose any or a lot. If there's less than 5 people in the entire world who are able to make money from this stuff without a big book deal, that means that in most cases anything with "peak oil" as its foundation or jumping off point is going to be money-losing endeavor. Which is fine if you've got somebody to fund it or it's a labor of love and you don't mind losing some money.

Given the ambitions of some folks here, you're going to need a good deal or revenue to make it workable, just break-even. That's just my opinion but you're welcome to it.


So if the mission isn't profitable (or as you say 'unlikely' to turn much $$$) then it isn't worth-while? Is this what you are saying? Please do explain...

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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby MattSavinar » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 19:55:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', '
')Who said it was about making money? Or maybe I have misunderstood you?

JP


I realize it's not about "making" money. But I assume you don't want to lose any or a lot. If there's less than 5 people in the entire world who are able to make money from this stuff without a big book deal, that means that in most cases anything with "peak oil" as its foundation or jumping off point is going to be money-losing endeavor. Which is fine if you've got somebody to fund it or it's a labor of love and you don't mind losing some money.

Given the ambitions of some folks here, you're going to need a good deal or revenue to make it workable, just break-even. That's just my opinion but you're welcome to it.


So if the mission isn't profitable (or as you say 'unlikely' to turn much $$$) then it isn't worth-while? Is this what you are saying? Please do explain...

JP


Go back and read what I wrote:

". . . money-losing endeavor. Which is fine if you've got somebody to fund it or it's a labor of love and you don't mind losing some money."
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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby steam_cannon » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 20:02:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', 'Y')ea that's brilliant - well thought out. Obviously Aaron will have his own ideas as well, but right now, this magazine sounds better & better the more I hear about it. Let's hear those presses roll...

JP
Thanks, yeah lets get those presses rolling!

I have one other idea, but I'm not sure anyone else would like it... With magazines and newspapers, they always chop up stories and hide content "story continued on page 49.5" below a big add for Vaseline or Tampax. Personally, I would like like it if there was a clear index and chopping stories was kept to a minimum. Just my preference though, I'd buy it anyway...
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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby Heineken » Fri 21 Dec 2007, 23:07:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shannymara', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', 'T')hat's the problem with a PO print mag: there is such an overwhelming amount of info online that people are not going to see why they should pay for content.

I don't agree. People always want more of what they're into. Look how many guys will pay for Maxim, Playboy, and Hustler even thought there are terrabytes of free porn online. Some of us just like to have things in our hands. Maybe porn isn't the best example, for obvious reasons I won't elaborate, but I'm sure you can think of other less hands on subjects where magazines are still marketable.

Again, it's all about the goals. If it's a labor of love/community service type deal, all it has to do is pay for the materials and time. I put in a lot of time here completely unpaid, as to all the moderators and news editors. So I think it's quite doable, though it won't likely make anyone rich or even pay the bills. But a "severe financial loss"? Nah, unless you value your time at $100/hour +, even for your hobbies and leisure activities.

Gosh, Matt, you're such a "negative Nellie." :P And here my brother's always calling me "Debbie Downer." :lol:

Edit: FWIW here's Ruminations magazine


I agree with Shanny.

It's a mistake to assume that the Internet simply precludes any point in having a print journal.

All the publishers I've worked for had (or now have) both a print journal and a website.

A website is like a race car. It whooshes along; the driver sees a great deal in a short period, and everything is up-to-date, but what he sees is blurred and jumbled. And the ride isn't very comfortable.

A journal provides a much more focused, deliberate, leisurely experience. The publisher shapes that experience down to the last detail; the reader willingly submits to a more passive role in exchange for certain benefits.

When reading a magazine or book, I concentrate in a different way than I do when reading these glowing electrons. It's a deeper, more reflective, and more personal experience. Nothing electronic can duplicate the feel of the paper in my hands or the manipulative control I have over it.

Visitors (and members) can be overwhelmed by the massive content of a website like this one. A printed periodical would be more navigable and digestible.

The interactive website experience and the "private" print experience overlap and amplify one another. Both are valuable in different ways.
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Re: Would You Subscribe to Peak Oil Magazine?

Unread postby Pops » Sat 22 Dec 2007, 14:39:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', 'Y')ou didn't ask for my advice but I'll give it anyway:

I think that is how one gets the Elite title. :)

Interesting idea A.

You would need a hook of course and as one of the main ideas batted around here from time to time is PowerDown/Transition it would seem the scruffiest recycled stock, single color ink and a title along the same lines would certainly fit that mold and perhaps the title might benefit from some GW glow.

As well that type of differentiation would seem to and have instant appeal to folks amenable to the core message and thus potential subscribers.

Fortunately, single color sheet fed printing on crappy stock is about the cheapest method there is – especially in numbers over 50k or so using web-presses.

I’m thinking newsstand/bookstore retail along the lines of adbusters as gg3 mentioned would be the best distribution method to start since there are probably many eyes scanning bookracks that are not necessarily doing web searches on PO, as well as online here of course.

It wouldn’t seem to be a problem finding leads for advertisers – I get 2 on each page refresh to PO.com. I’ve done national ads for everything from ag chemicals to eggs from hens fed herbs and it is really amazing to me how many niche rags are out there.

Of course my thing is looks and hooks but editorial and content is where the rubber meets the road. Just as there are several views bandied about here on effects and ways forward I think there would be sections for various personal situations and outlooks.

But to me in depth articles on anything covered extensively elsewhere might be counter productive until the editors had some feedback from the readership on their interests. Chickens, electric cars, guns, wind farms, methane from Jupiter and They Will Come Up With Something, etc might be mentioned in short articles but perhaps the focus at first might be on simple explanations and perhaps solicited guest articles from various perspectives.


Did I mention I not only have some experience in printing, advertising and design but some slack in my busy schedule and bank account as well?
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