by Zentric » Sat 15 Oct 2005, 01:59:45
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'D')o you think that gold and silver would be confiscated by govt. in the US, in an attempt to shore up the fiat currency, domestically?
I think there's a good chance because America, systemically, is a debtor nation. And requires more expensive oil than just about anywhere else just to get by. But oil/gas is running low and getting expensive, and the infrastructure and institutions are decaying, and its population is dumbed down. The American economic model and living situation is vastly inappropriate for the new realities.
Either in terms of domestic savings or foreign exchange, the US dollar can no longer be seen as a safe harbor in terms of the preservation of purchasing power. With this in mind, what alternatives do foreign governments or investors have to preserve their assets going forward?
First and foremost, to the extent they can without hurting their home economies, foreign governments could seek to bypass the market entirely by prearranging to trade (i.e., barter) goods and services between themselves, thus totally circumventing inflows and outflows with the USD and the America-based sales and distribution system.
They could rely upon stock exchanges or bourses that trade commodities using foreign currencies instead of the USD (and place sanctions upon those countries out there that are determined to curb such free market expression.)
They could, as above, facilitate the convenient exchange of their home currencies with gold, to allow it (instead of USD) to be the universal medium of exchange between countries. And if the US doesn't want to go along with this system, the other countries can still use it to their full advantage amongst themselves, without US participation.
Keep in mind that since the US Fed largely controls the dollar printing presses, some construe that the Fed effectively "steals" from foreigners by irresponsibly inflating the US dollar (the de facto "world currency.") This is over and above the profits made primarily by the US banks from maintaining a "spread" when doing foreign-to-USD currency conversions, which are often required when doing international commerce.
America is weakening - economically, politically and militarily (unless, of course, you count WMDs). So as a result of this, the USD is destined to lose its prominence on the international stage. Since the US economy is all about doing things the old way, soon America will be the provider of almost nothing that the rest of the world needs, while, at the same time, America(ns) will maintain a huge appetite for foreign goods it can scarcely pay for.
Now look at America's gold. The rest of the world would value that - so considering America's national emergency, does some rich, gold-hoarding individual's desire for a new luxury yacht trump the societal need for basics such as food, clothing, warmth and shelter? There are many forms of socialism, but regardless, the socialism that America adopts will not tolerate such massive inequity - at least among its non-party members.
Or maybe I'm wrong. But, in any case, I doubt if FDR were alive today that he'd take much issue with what I'm saying.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')ould moves like this further isolate the US from the world community economically?
I guess that would mostly depend on whether we get "new deal" socialism or "national" socialism.