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The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby GHung » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 09:11:11

@copious.abundance: People don't continuously attack other people's views, concepts and conclusions unless they consider those ideas a threat. It's either that or pure malice. Which is it? In your case, I'll accept that it's malice, but some others are clearly threatened.
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Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby Ibon » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 09:41:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('GHung', '@')copious.abundance: People don't continuously attack other people's views, concepts and conclusions unless they consider those ideas a threat. It's either that or pure malice. Which is it? In your case, I'll accept that it's malice, but some others are clearly threatened.


Sometimes we take on these cyber identities that don't always match our real life values and opinions. We have committed our cyber identities to a certain script and in this case copious abundance fills the role of devils advocate, whether he does this out of malice or feeling threatened doesn't really matter. He's committed to a certain voice and narrative here. Of course when he uses the terms pathetic etc. this does at its root represent a disdain that could mean he feels threatened or is just full of malice and bile as you say.

Would Copious Abundance venture to share with us why he feels this disdain toward doomers?
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Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby ennui2 » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 09:52:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('GHung', '
')You guys that assert that so-called doomers have faded into the wilderness while breaking all social ties and becoming "loners" are certainly guilty of stereotyping.


It doesn't have to be quite so extreme to become the outsider. My friend who runs that suburban transition town hasn't quite faded into the wilderness. But she's not exactly in sync with the soccer moms either. The only people who go to the meetings regularly are also misfits in their own way.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('GHung', '
')there is no single master "doomer prep handbook" that I know of.


Yes there is. Not everyone has to follow it for there to still be a generally agreed-upon handbook. And it usually means:

1) Live far away from population centers
2) Try to become as self-sufficient with food and energy as possible
3) Have guns and ammo to fight off the zombies

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('GHung', 'W')hen TSHTF, who and where will your so-called 'friends' be?


This is the Ice Age Dodos attitude of "If you don't prep, then DOOM...ON...YOU!"

That is part and parcel of red-pill thinking, which is to size up the worth of other people based on whether they're building a lifeboat or not. Kind of a Noah complex.

Anyway, this thread is by its nature asking for generalizations, so don't attack what I'm saying by accusing it of generalizing. We're trying to size up attitudes so it's going to require generalizations.
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Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby ennui2 » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 09:57:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PeterEV', 'F')ast forward to the past few years. The Nisaan Leaf has less range than either the EV1 or the RAV4E. Yet the Leaf is treated more kindy in the press. The Tesla Model S walks on water with Road & Track ( a reknown EV hater) and gets close to a perfect score of 100 with Consumer Reports.


The Leaf is a better vehicle than the EV1 or RAV4EV. You The Tesla earned its Consumer Reports rating without some Machiavellian scheme on the part of the MSM to subliminally clue consumers into peak-oil. I think you are really jumping the wrong conclusions here.
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Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby ennui2 » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 14:06:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ennui2', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PeterEV', 'F')ast forward to the past few years. The Nisaan Leaf has less range than either the EV1 or the RAV4E. Yet the Leaf is treated more kindy in the press. The Tesla Model S walks on water with Road & Track ( a reknown EV hater) and gets close to a perfect score of 100 with Consumer Reports.


The Leaf is a better vehicle than the EV1 or RAV4EV. The Tesla earned its Consumer Reports rating without some Machiavellian scheme on the part of the MSM to subliminally clue consumers into peak-oil. I think you are really jumping the wrong conclusions here.
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Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby copious.abundance » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 15:22:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('GHung', '@')copious.abundance: People don't continuously attack other people's views, concepts and conclusions unless they consider those ideas a threat.

Bullcrap. People attack ideas they disagree with for a variety of reasons, most of which have nothing to do with "fear." In some cases they're just mocking/ridiculing someone's views purely for the entertainment value. Which is what it happens to be in my case.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('GHung', 'I')t's either that or pure malice. Which is it? In your case, I'll accept that it's malice, but some others are clearly threatened.

If you consider mocking/ridiculing someone's views for the entertainment value to be a case of "malice," then that's me. Of course, those who are the target of such ridiculing are probably going to feel the person doing the ridiculing is doing so for malicious reasons, whereas the ridicule-er has no "evil" intentions and is just having fun. So whether or not it is "malice" just depends on whether you're on the receiving or the giving end of things.

I could likewise claim that you attack Cornies out of "malice" or that you "fear" them. Is that true? I don't know. But frankly I don't care, either.
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby copious.abundance » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 15:28:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'W')ould Copious Abundance venture to share with us why he feels this disdain toward doomers?

I'll give you a hint: It has something to do with being wrong for decade after decade, and even century after century (see: Erlich 1968 and Maulthus 1798). And refusing to learn anything from those experiences.
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby GregT » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 16:05:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('copious.abundance', '
')If you consider mocking/ridiculing someone's views for the entertainment value to be a case of "malice," then that's me.


5 reasons those who mock and humiliate you are mentally unstable

1) Projecting their own flaws: One of the best ways People who are so scared to admit the existence of their flaws is to deny their existence and reaffirm their self deception by accusing others of having those flaws. I am You know that person who has a certain flaw but always mocks you for having it?

2) Too insecure to see you doing well : Not everybody feels comfortable in his own skin. Some people feel insecure to the extent that they can't tolerate seeing other people doing things right. By mocking those people and humiliating them the insecure person eases some of his emotional turbulence. It's a fact that cowards don't compliment others because they are too afraid to be left behind if people did what they believe they can't do themselves.(see also How to deal with people who criticize you)

3) Failed to have a useful role in life: In the Solid Self confidence program i said that if a person failed to make significant achievements in life he is very likely to turn to useless victories if he was a coward. While brave people start again and keep trying to achieve their goals cowards go for cheap victories by criticizing any person who seems more successful or happier than them.

4) Very low self esteem: Why do people feel jealous of others? There are many reasons but the most popular one is believing that someone did what they can't do. Had a person been sure he can make that same achievement his friend did he would have hardly felt jealous of him. Those who have low self esteem feel extremely jealous of people who do things they can't do and so find no better way to feel good than to mock them or humiliate them

5) Strong feeling of inferiority: We all experience inferiority feelings at some points of our lives but the brave ones of us usually move in directions that helps them ease this inferiority. For example when a brave person finds that he is earning a very low salary compared to his friends he will usually use this inferiority as a motivating force to have a better career. But what if the person was inferior and too insecure to do that? He will just criticize and humiliate people to feel good because he can't do any better!

http://www.2knowmyself.com/5_reasons_th ... y_unstable

So yes Ghung, the title of your post says it all.

The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Fear and insecurity.
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Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby GregT » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 16:20:32

Also,

Psychiatrists and psychologists have been studying this subject for ever. Dredd supplied a link yesterday to a post he made here: http://powertoxins.blogspot.ca/2015/08/ ... hange.html

Of particular interest to me is a book made available online by Bob Altemeyer, who is Associate Professor in the Department of Psychology at the University of Manitoba in Winnipeg.

The link to his book can be found here:
http://members.shaw.ca/jeanaltemeyer/dr ... arians.pdf

Thanks again for the links Dredd, and the insight.
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Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby onlooker » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 16:26:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('copious.abundance', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'W')ould Copious Abundance venture to share with us why he feels this disdain toward doomers?

I'll give you a hint: It has something to do with being wrong for decade after decade, and even century after century (see: Erlich 1968 and Maulthus 1798). And refusing to learn anything from those experiences.

The problem as I see it with those who would be quick to dispel predictions of doom is because the time-line may be wrong they think the prediction is wrong. I do not see the logical inference there. In fact Erlich and Malthus are right in that we have a planet now in extreme overshoot and are now faced with a nightmare scenario of overpopulation coupled with dwindling resources.
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Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby GregT » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 16:36:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('onlooker', 'I')n fact Erlich and Malthus are right in that we have a planet now in extreme overshoot and are now faced with a nightmare scenario of overpopulation coupled with dwindling resources.


You forgot to mention environmental degradation.

"Environmental degradation is one of the ten threats officially cautioned by the High-level Panel on Threats, Challenges and Change of the United Nations."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Environmental_degradation
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Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby copious.abundance » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 17:15:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('GregT', '[')b]5 reasons those who mock and humiliate you are mentally unstable

Uh huh ... sure. I could also claim that you and Ghung, mocking Cornies, are mentally unstable for the very same reasons.
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby copious.abundance » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 17:20:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('onlooker', 'I')n fact Erlich and Malthus are right in that we have a planet now in extreme overshoot and are now faced with a nightmare scenario of overpopulation coupled with dwindling resources.

You don't know that, you believe it. In 1968 Erlich said the exact same thing you just did, things were supposed to completely fall apart in the 70's ... and yet they did not. You're basically making the exact same mistake he did.
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby GregT » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 17:33:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('copious.abundance', '
')If you consider mocking/ridiculing someone's views for the entertainment value to be a case of "malice," then that's me.


Your words copious, not mine. And I don't believe that either Ghung or myself are "mocking cornies".

Just trying to figure out why you so desperately need to prove us wrong. What we have chosen to do doesn't affect you.

So why the need to mock/ridicule?
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Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby onlooker » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 17:59:07

Copious, I will make an analogy. You believe in death I assume. Why? Because you know that humans die from books, word of mouth, your understanding of biology perhaps even saw a corpse. Yet that does not necessarily prove you are going to die does it? One can always refute anything if the attitude is "anything" can happen. Yet we do not live that way in real life. We do not jump off buildings on the premise that "anything" can happen. So it is with the trajectory we are on. All the trend lines point towards collapse. Yet world civilization has never collapsed so right there deniers have sufficient basis to utter their claims. Along with the "anything" can happen argument. Yet if detailed analysis is pointing us doomers to make the argument that collapse is going to happen it is precisely because this analysis in an empirical and carefully studied way points to this conclusion. Can we say for certain NO, but we can say with a high degree of probability. So what is your basis for refuting us other than well nobody can know for sure and so far nothing too bad has happened?
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Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby Hawkcreek » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 18:09:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Apneaman', 'I') figured it out. When you are unlearned and poorly read, of course one will always revert to the couple of topics they are deeply emotionally attached to. It's understandable considering the state of public schooling in the last 50 years. Nothing but emotional coddling and rampant positivism passed down from one generation to the next with each one becoming more isolated from critical thinking skills and the ability to ponder new ideas or contemplate anything at depth. It's not everyone here, but there is a core group safely hiding out here, reinforcing it just like the system they were indoctrinated in. Of course you're trapped for life. It's not like you live in wealthy country with public libraries that give you free accesses to millions of dollars of books or have some kind of electronic portal to the collective knowledge and ideas of the entirety of recorded civilization (including translations) at your finger tips. Golly, if we had access to that much knowledge and ideas we would no longer have the excuse to instantly revert to the same 5 ideas that have nothing to do with the question posed.


You misused the word "peaking" in your earlier post.
"Sure I could start a forum thread of my own, but that might take upwards of 3 minutes of my own time - why bother when someone else has already gone to the trouble of peaking the interest of others and attracting the audience I need and deserve?"

It should be piquing. I wouldn't have mentioned it except that you were beating on someone for being unlearned and poorly read.
Sorry, couldn't resist.
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Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby onlooker » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 18:58:30

I see Pstar. So now he seems dedicated to proving that the US economy is hunky dory and nothing to fret about. Seems to be another futile crusade on his part. Does he not get tired of being a joke on this site.
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Re: The 'Fear The Doomer' thread

Postby copious.abundance » Mon 31 Aug 2015, 19:34:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('onlooker', 'A')ll the trend lines point towards collapse. Yet world civilization has never collapsed so right there deniers have sufficient basis to utter their claims. Along with the "anything" can happen argument. Yet if detailed analysis is pointing us doomers to make the argument that collapse is going to happen it is precisely because this analysis in an empirical and carefully studied way points to this conclusion. Can we say for certain NO, but we can say with a high degree of probability. So what is your basis for refuting us other than well nobody can know for sure and so far nothing too bad has happened?

No, we cannot even say anything of the kind with any degree of probability. We don't even know that "carrying capacity" is a viable concept. It's like the concept of "God." Now, there may be a God, and maybe there isn't. Religious people will tell you in no uncertain terms that they know there is a God, but of course they're lying, because by definition, it's impossible to either prove or disprove the existence of God, and thus, it's impossible to "know" that God exists. It's a matter of faith. It's possible they could be right, but it's also possible the entire concept is complete nonsense. There's no way to know. Adherents will cite all kinds of (what they perceive to be) "proof" that God exists, and atheists will counter with all kinds of (what they perceive to be) "proof" that God does not exist. You're basically toeing the line of the adherent - you cite "empirical evidence" ... but Erlich cited all kinds of "empirical evidence" in 1968 and Malthus cited all kinds of "empirical evidence" in 1798. So much for "empirical evidence!"

Even if carrying capacity is a legitimate concept, you can find estimates of its carrying capacity anywhere from 2 billion to 40 billion, which is such a wide range one has to wonder exactly how exact the science really is (answer: not very). Finally, there are legitimately possible futures in which nature is eliminated altogether and Earth becomes a machine planet populated by various kinds of robots and other artificial life forms (you'll have to read Ray Kurzweil and others like him, but no doubt you dismiss him offhand - too bad for you, because what if he's right?). I don't know whether that will happen or not, but I do consider it a legitimate possibility, and if it is, the whole notion of a "carrying capacity" for Earth will be something of a joke. If life is destined to evolve into creatures that need no oxygen, or air, or food ... only matter and energy ... then the only limiting factor for life (or should I say, "life") on the planet is the total amount of matter and energy on, or available to, the planet.
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Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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