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THE Bank Holiday Thread (merged)

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Emergency Bank Holiday or St. Patrick's Day Massacre?

Postby Cid_Yama » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 13:28:37

RdSnt,

You bring up a good point. I think the whole point of having someone 'acquire' Bear Stearns, was to prevent the liquidation of those Derivitives. Had they hit the market, that would have priced them, and everyone would have had to mark-to-market. I think the whole point is to keep these things from being priced. That way everyone can continue to claim they are worth more than they are.
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Re: Emergency Bank Holiday or St. Patrick's Day Massacre?

Postby highlander » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 15:08:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cid_Yama', 'R')dSnt,

You bring up a good point. I think the whole point of having someone 'acquire' Bear Stearns, was to prevent the liquidation of those Derivitives. Had they hit the market, that would have priced them, and everyone would have had to mark-to-market. I think the whole point is to keep these things from being priced. That way everyone can continue to claim they are worth more than they are.


YIKES!
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Re: Emergency Bank Holiday or St. Patrick's Day Massacre?

Postby Cid_Yama » Mon 17 Mar 2008, 15:17:40

Exactly. Now you know why everyone on CNBC is complaining about the rule forcing them to mark-to-market. They managed to dodge a bullet, but just barely. Now Lehman is crashing and they're back in the same boat. As soon as someone declares Bankruptcy, the whole range of alphabet derivitives gets priced and everyone has to take fatal writedowns.

Thing is, this holds true for any major investor, including Hedge Funds. NOBODY can be allowed to declare bankruptcy if they hold a significant position in these derivitives.

That's what's got them all so worried and taking frantic actions that are destroying the dollar. To coin a phrase: "They are too TOXIC to fail."
"For my part, whatever anguish of spirit it may cost, I am willing to know the whole truth; to know the worst and provide for it." - Patrick Henry

The level of injustice and wrong you endure is directly determined by how much you quietly submit to. Even to the point of extinction.
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Jim Willie: Rumor of Fed Preps for 1-Week Bank Holiday

Postby mattduke » Thu 02 Oct 2008, 10:04:22

He says someone at BofA told him so.

http://www.321gold.com/editorials/willi ... 00208.html
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Re: Jim Willie: Rumor of Fed Preps for 1-Week Bank Holiday

Postby mmasters » Thu 02 Oct 2008, 10:24:32

total bs
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Re: Jim Willie: Rumor of Fed Preps for 1-Week Bank Holiday

Postby basil_hayden » Thu 02 Oct 2008, 10:26:08

This could be seen coming from miles away, but I think we'll all be home for a week, not jus tthe bankers.
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Re: Jim Willie: Rumor of Fed Preps for 1-Week Bank Holiday

Postby mattduke » Thu 02 Oct 2008, 10:29:52

For total bs, I think you would have to listen to Ben "subprime is contained" Bernanked and Hank "i need authority to bailout F&F but i'll never use it" Paulson.
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Re: Jim Willie: Rumor of Fed Preps for 1-Week Bank Holiday

Postby gnm » Thu 02 Oct 2008, 10:40:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', 't')otal bs


Wrong, it was floated at meetings as a possibility. I heard the same several days ago from an involved individual I trust (they called me to warn me of the possibility).

-G
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Re: Jim Willie: Rumor of Fed Preps for 1-Week Bank Holiday

Postby galacticsurfer » Thu 02 Oct 2008, 10:43:13

I think this "inside story" stuff is important. I remember reading TOD threads where some guy says his brother was on a rig in the Gulf and had said whatwas the real story. Where do you get that sort of inside story on what is happening in the finances of bank and cities before they go down? Maybe on yahoo finance chat rooms or something.
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Re: Jim Willie: Rumor of Fed Preps for 1-Week Bank Holiday

Postby AlexdeLarge » Thu 02 Oct 2008, 11:04:59

It would be prudent that all possible senarios be gamed. You plan for the worst, and hope for the best.
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Re: Jim Willie: Rumor of Fed Preps for 1-Week Bank Holiday

Postby Delphis » Thu 02 Oct 2008, 11:48:29

Found this on Hal Turner...

http://halturnershow.blogspot.com/2008/ ... rgent.html

I bet if we all call our banks someone will spill the beans...

I am on it.
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Re: Jim Willie: Rumor of Fed Preps for 1-Week Bank Holiday

Postby Eppo » Thu 02 Oct 2008, 11:51:15

Third party hear say.


I've got plenty of money to last a week, but I don't think it will happen.
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Re: Jim Willie: Rumor of Fed Preps for 1-Week Bank Holiday

Postby z28colt » Thu 02 Oct 2008, 11:54:40

Three things, if that happened:

1)Would that not cause an immediate run on the banks as soon as they opened back up?

2)Would it matter if you got cash out before hand? I'm not sure how many stores would be open even for cash transaction if that happened.

3)Would you still get a credit card bill? How would you pay any of your bills? No cash in the mail, right?
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Re: Jim Willie: Rumor of Fed Preps for 1-Week Bank Holiday

Postby Eppo » Thu 02 Oct 2008, 12:10:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Delphis', 'F')ound this on Hal Turner...

http://halturnershow.blogspot.com/2008/ ... rgent.html

I bet if we all call our banks someone will spill the beans...

I am on it.


That looks like it was taken directly from the Jim Willie site, word for word.
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Re: Jim Willie: Rumor of Fed Preps for 1-Week Bank Holiday

Postby mmasters » Thu 02 Oct 2008, 12:16:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', 't')otal bs


Wrong, it was floated at meetings as a possibility. I heard the same several days ago from an involved individual I trust (they called me to warn me of the possibility).

-G

Your friend got false information.
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Re: Jim Willie: Rumor of Fed Preps for 1-Week Bank Holiday

Postby eXpat » Thu 02 Oct 2008, 12:18:09

F**ing hell!!! not even in Argentina in 2001 was one week of bank holiday! :shock:

Sorry , correction, i asked some people here and actually in argentina in 2001 ot was a period of 8 days of bank holidays, anyway, this is a measure of how bad things are.
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Re: Jim Willie: Rumor of Fed Preps for 1-Week Bank Holiday

Postby dunewalker » Thu 02 Oct 2008, 12:26:25

Pure conjecture here: The threat of a "bank holiday" has been quietly issued by Paulsen, et al to coerce passage of the bailout bill in the house. If the bill fails to pass, I wouldn't put it past them to pull such a stunt, just as they probably staged the largest Dow drop in history (points) in retaliation for the first house NO vote. At that point, America will definitely be putty in their hands.
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Re: Jim Willie: Rumor of Fed Preps for 1-Week Bank Holiday

Postby IslandCrow » Thu 02 Oct 2008, 12:28:51

Could the average person last a week with no chance to buy food? The question assums that most people use plastic and very few (out side of people here) would have an emergency cash supply.

I guess that if it happened it would cause more problems (eg roits and break-in to stores) than it would solve.
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Re: Jim Willie: Rumor of Fed Preps for 1-Week Bank Holiday

Postby BigTex » Thu 02 Oct 2008, 12:38:27

What would the purpose of a bank holiday be?

All it would do would be to increase the level of fear.

Most people don't even have any money in the bank, other than maybe a paycheck or two.
:)
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Re: Jim Willie: Rumor of Fed Preps for 1-Week Bank Holiday

Postby mattduke » Thu 02 Oct 2008, 12:44:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BigTex', 'W')hat would the purpose of a bank holiday be?

All it would do would be to increase the level of fear.

Most people don't even have any money in the bank, other than maybe a paycheck or two.

The banks are bankrupt and facing a general run. That is, individuals seek to exercise their rightful legal claim to their property. Of course the banks have printed more claims to property than there is property. The proper legal procedure when a business cannot meet it's obligations is to liquidate it's assets. The United States Government has a long and sordid history of giving special treatment to banks. When banks cannot meet their obligations, they are simply allowed to break their contracts.
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