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THE Back to the Stone Age Thread (merged)

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Unread postby nero » Tue 22 Feb 2005, 16:24:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he quote was more of a hyperbole to demonstrate the prevasive nature of technology and it's impact on our environment, not a point for debate.


I wasn't intending to debate it either. I'm heartily sorry for getting the thread off track(again) by my initial one liner. I didn't expect the Spanish Inquisition.
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Unread postby Leanan » Tue 22 Feb 2005, 16:38:47

I'm looking at it from an anthropology point of view. Agriculture is by definition intensive and produces surpluses. Otherwise, it's called something else. Horticulture. Pastoralism. Not agriculture.

FWIW, agriculture is considered to have begun in the Neolithic, so it is indeed a Stone Age technology.

And I do think this is part of the big picture. It's harder work to farm than to forage, but our ancestors couldn't go back. Not only were their numbers too high, but if they did, the neighboring farmers would conquer them. They couldn't "powerdown" even if they wanted to. That is very much the situation we are in today.

The more things change, the more they stay the same...
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Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 22 Feb 2005, 16:39:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nero', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he quote was more of a hyperbole to demonstrate the prevasive nature of technology and it's impact on our environment, not a point for debate.


I wasn't intending to debate it either. I'm heartily sorry for getting the thread off track(again) by my initial one liner. I didn't expect the Spanish Inquisition.


Which is back to the point of this thread, which I may have to split once again, think of the big picture: Have you considered the consequences of your post? Is it off topic? What is gained? You know your feet will be held to the fire. 8)

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Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 22 Feb 2005, 16:45:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Leanan', 'F')WIW, agriculture is considered to have begun in the Neolithic, so it is indeed a Stone Age technology.


As I stated, but the question is "when did it become an unsustainable technology?" In the Stone Age or in the Bronze Age? And by whom? Some cultures did not overuse farming, they had a reverence for nature and intuitively understood the need for balance.
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Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 22 Feb 2005, 18:10:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kochevnik', ' ') Entropy, the second law of thermodynamics is the supreme law of the universe. All energy moves from an ordered to a disordered state ... the only thing that we have some limited control over is the RATE at which entropy occurs.

The ideal is to design a society which gives you the most bang for the buck, i.e. the greatest amount of human comfort (for lack of a better word) with the slowest rate of entropy increase.


Yes, I guess a better way of stating it is, that we try to leave something for future generations while trying to leave as few footprints on the environment, and at the same time providing a modicum of life quality in the process. Where one draws the line should have been the focus of debate ages ago, but unfortunately, it has been left to us to make that momentus decision.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')'m not particularly interested in seeing 40 percent of women die in childbirth again, for example (which was the case before modern medicine).


It wasn't so much modern medicine as it was sanitation. Germ theory was not known until the 1800's. Washing one's hands before surgery will not be lost to the ages.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')here is no sustainable. There is only entropy and a whole lot of choices about how fast you want to increase it. Anything else is just a delusion.


I agree. Sustainable may come to been known as "Finding a fine balance with nature that allows for the longest existence of mankind at a level of equity and dignity befitting our species."
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Unread postby linlithgowoil » Tue 22 Feb 2005, 19:49:04

in the end, though, nothing is sustainable. earth will one day be uninhabitable. the universe will one day end.

if only the earth was 100 times bigger, we'd not be all that bad off at this point.... :)
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Unread postby basketballjones » Tue 22 Feb 2005, 20:33:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Leanan', 'F')WIW, agriculture is considered to have begun in the Neolithic, so it is indeed a Stone Age technology.


As I stated, but the question is "when did it become an unsustainable technology?" In the Stone Age or in the Bronze Age? And by whom? Some cultures did not overuse farming, they had a reverence for nature and intuitively understood the need for balance.


wouldn't a better question be "At what population size does a certain technology level become unsustainable?'.

If the demand on resources (population x technology level) > rate of renewal for resources, then this is unsustainable.

The vikings which moved to Iceland in the 9th century AD would be a good case. The resources in iceland were renewed at a much slower rate than the region that they had migrated from however the technology levels were the same.

I guess it's all about knowing your limits. Something humans aren't all that familiar with.
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Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 22 Feb 2005, 20:50:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('basketballjones', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Leanan', 'F')WIW, agriculture is considered to have begun in the Neolithic, so it is indeed a Stone Age technology.


As I stated, but the question is "when did it become an unsustainable technology?" In the Stone Age or in the Bronze Age? And by whom? Some cultures did not overuse farming, they had a reverence for nature and intuitively understood the need for balance.


wouldn't a better question be "At what population size does a certain technology level become unsustainable?'.

If the demand on resources (population x technology level) > rate of renewal for resources, then this is unsustainable.


There is indisputable evidence that the trends of technology have more to do with the impact on the environment than sheer numbers. We seem to do a fine job of destroying our enviroment with only 290 million, given the technology we are able to wield. And it also depends on the size of the environmental sink in use and how polluted it already is. With radiation, it only takes a bit to lay waste to a vast area. Nomadic tribes move to avoid overtaxing the environment. How do they know? Because their margin of existence is smaller, therefore they get to experience the disease and famine that follow exceeding the carrying capacity of their environment. Perhaps we soon will as well.
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Unread postby Doly » Wed 23 Feb 2005, 11:33:02

Monte, it is well known that even primitive peoples have managed to destroy their own environment (the Easter island example is a favourite in here). I don't think that any particular level of technology is unsustainable. Making excessive use of resources, whether with high or low tech, is what is unsustainable.
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Unread postby MonteQuest » Wed 23 Feb 2005, 12:01:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Doly', 'M')onte, it is well known that even primitive peoples have managed to destroy their own environment (the Easter island example is a favourite in here). I don't think that any particular level of technology is unsustainable. Making excessive use of resources, whether with high or low tech, is what is unsustainable.


I agree, and as I stated before, some cultures did not overuse farming, they had a reverence for nature and intuitively understood the need for balance. In many primitive cultures this awareness was essential for survival. In our cheap oil world, we have come to believe we are immune to these forces. On Easter Island, it seems to have been religous dogma and fevor that blinded them. Perhaps the same is occuring now.
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Unread postby gg3 » Thu 24 Feb 2005, 06:07:55

The only sustainable level of technology is one that includes birth control methods that produce a steady-state population that can survive on its energy income rather than by burning its energy capital.

So no, your stone-agers fare no better in the long run; like anyone else, they multiply like little mice until they over-run their food supply, and then they all go curl up and die of hunger.

Malthus bats last, regardless of who the visiting team is.
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Unread postby Doly » Thu 24 Feb 2005, 06:30:15

I agree wholeheartedly. We need birth control for a sustainable future. That implies fairly high tech.

Also, if we are to deal with the CO2 problem, we won't get rid of it using the old stone age method of burning wood.
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Unread postby Ludi » Thu 24 Feb 2005, 09:40:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')e need birth control for a sustainable future. That implies fairly high tech.


Not really. Vasectomy is a very effective form of birth control and is quite a simple surgery.

Various peoples had various methods of population control, it's not entirely a modern invention. Some methods were relatively dangerous (abortion) or unpleasant (infanticide).
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Unread postby gnm » Thu 24 Feb 2005, 12:23:43

Ask the gates foundation about birth control - they distributed the vaccine (against polio I think?) in Africa which sterilized huge numbers of women... Made the women have an immune reaction to thier ovaries... Now how did that get in there?....

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Unread postby zed » Sat 26 Feb 2005, 01:31:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '
')
Not for the majority of cultures.

Can you name some unsustainable stone age technologies?


One that comes to mind is hunting in North America - shortly after the arrival of humans, the wooly mammoth, wooly rhinoceros, sabre-toothed tiger, and others became extinct. I don't think hunting has been definitively established as the culprit, but it seems quite likely.
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Owen McShane: If Stone Age had run out of rocks...

Unread postby Soo » Thu 14 Apr 2005, 16:46:50

Here's another doubter of the Peak Oil theory. Ownen McShane gives at least 20 reasons why Peak Oil is nonsense. Here's a link to the article in the New Zeland Herald

He runs through the typical reasoning:

a) We really haven't looked hard enough for oil yet because "it has not been worth looking for more of it". Well I guess billions of dollars in profits hasn't been inticing enough for companies to look under every rock.

b) High prices will encourage exploration for oil in harder to reach places. Definitely true, but we know where most of the oil is already...in Saudi Arabia.

c) Technology will save the day. We will liquify coal, put windmills on our roofs to store hydrogen and all buy hybrid cars. My personal favorite is that he believes genetic enginners will modify trees and plants to produce oil directly from their roots. Well slap a garden on my roof-rack and sign me up!

d) Vodo economics. He states that at continued growth of 3% per year in 100 years we mean we are all rich, so don't worry about those $30 fill-up's.
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Bizare Quote

Unread postby Soo » Thu 14 Apr 2005, 16:49:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')orld population collapse is just around the corner - let’s say 2050. This coupling of population decline with increased efficiency will compensate for increases in energy use.


Is he being serious or is this just a joke? Population collapse is coming so don't worry we'll still have cheap energy?
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The population collapse part..

Unread postby UIUCstudent01 » Thu 14 Apr 2005, 17:03:15

About the population collapse part.. I think the U.N. or someone has a report out that says that the population will level off by 2050 (not because of oil or anything) because places like china, india won't be able to hold anymore and in the developed countries such as the United States local population has leveled because of economics (People in poorer countries get kids because they are potential farm hands and pay for themselves, whilst in rich countries they have an opportunity cost, thus a price).

Yeah, I think it's totally bogus. That guy makes some great claims - Journalist (some have been paid by industry and government to take a side favorable to them) verse 'greens' who happen to have current events and institutions going for them! Yay!
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Unread postby RonMN » Thu 14 Apr 2005, 17:03:17

>What happens, for example, when petrol hits, say, $5 a litre at the pump? At that point it is worth converting coal into fuel oil using present technologies

WHAAA???

at $5 a litre our economy will have long collapsed! No more stock market, no more money in my 401K plan...apples will be $5 a piece. actually the dollar would have lost it's value so it'd be more like "hey buddy, i'll trade ya a chicken for two dozen apples"
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Kyoto

Unread postby Soo » Thu 14 Apr 2005, 17:28:44

Not surprisingly he also thinks Global Warming isn't an issue either

Article

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')"...future generations will be much wealthier than those of today, and their extra wealth means that they will be able to deal with the comparatively minor impacts of any likely changes. Humans are adaptable creatures and our adaptability is proportional to our wealth. Hence we should do nothing that destroys our ability to generate wealth now and in the future."
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