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THE Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) Thread (merged)

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Drill in ANWR?

Poll ended at Mon 13 Sep 2004, 18:58:32

Yes, we now have the technology to do it cleanly
4
No votes
Yes, we need the oil, and nobody goes there anyway
3
No votes
Yes, it will rape the land but we need the oil
4
No votes
No, if ANWR opens up, all the national parks are at risk
1
No votes
No, this is one of the last great wildernesses
9
No votes
No, bring on peak oil
8
No votes
 
Total votes : 29

Unread postby Grimnir » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 16:10:01

This was inevitable. In the coming years, environmental concerns will be dismissed as luxuries as we scramble to get whatever coal and oil is left.
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Unread postby PhilBiker » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 16:11:11

There's a lot of oil off the California coast, and lots of gas off New England.
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Unread postby holmes » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 16:17:01

LoL. You should hear the free republic types. They think its this huge win and like there will be this huge amount of oil on the market. LOL. Theyll start blaming others now when they dont see a fucking ounce of it. Its just making profits for the oil industry. Thats it. So who believes gloabal colapse will be light?
They lost big time, but low IQs only think in the absolute present. If it feels good, do it.
Yeah ok. I have to laugh though becuase their little ignorant children are done. Liebigs law? Hey at least its done and the Truth will be out in a couple years.
I say the industrialization of alaska will add several moredegrees to the upward spiral of global temps. The ecosystem up there is changing and thawing and releasing massive loads of carbon into the atmosphere.
Plus they have to redoe their entire infrastructure soon becuase the perma frost is thawing and colpasing everyhting. Hey Im at the point where i just say fuck it. Nothing you can do anymore. let er role. In 10 years they will be crazed and in withdrawals. probably less when their prized economy crashes permanently whenit runs into absolute ecologicla limits. we can still do a good job hiding it. That wont go away for several years.
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Unread postby Olaf » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 16:27:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PhilBiker', 'T')here's a lot of oil off the California coast, and lots of gas off New England.

...and lots of hot air in Congress, wonder if they are combustible.
(That's a joke, don't want anyone thinking I'm going all "terrorist").
I officially give up on trying to save the world...guess I was doomed from the start anyway :cry:
From now on it is simply those immediately around me that I care about and that will listen.
What will we burn when the oil is gone? Coal, gas, trees, then perhaps each other.
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Re: ANWR vote

Unread postby Backpacker » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 17:02:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Olaf', 'T')he ANWR amendment was defeated 51 to 49. Get those pavers and drills ready.It is a sad day.

I think the economic collapse will happen before the first drops get to market.
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Unread postby Dezakin » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 17:33:20

Lets assume that drilling ANWR 'destroys' the arctic ecosystem.

Why should we care? How are we dependant on it? I admit I'm trying to raise some hackles, but I'm honestly curious what the theory is for the impact on humanity from ANWR's ecosystems. Is this just about preventing a pretty place far out of the way from being rendered less pretty, or is there some greater human impact concern (outside of local innuit eating carribu.)
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Unread postby clv101 » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 18:13:18

This site is good for a laugh: link
When talking about how much oil is there they talk about it on a state by state level... How long would your state run on ANWR oil?. They have a list of each state and how long it will run: link
Looks good, Colorado 120 years, Maine 249 years, South Dakota 499 years oh and California 16, Florida 29 and Texas 9! What they don't do is add it all together and say how long the whole USA will run on ANWA oil.
Do they really think Americans are so dumb to not see that, or so small minded not to think outside their own state?
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Unread postby MonteQuest » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 19:40:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', 'L')ets assume that drilling ANWR 'destroys' the arctic ecosystem.

Why should we care? How are we dependant on it? I admit I'm trying to raise some hackles, but I'm honestly curious what the theory is for the impact on humanity from ANWR's ecosystems. Is this just about preventing a pretty place far out of the way from being rendered less pretty, or is there some greater human impact concern (outside of local innuit eating carribu.)


Try reading "On the Origin of Species" by Charles Darwin.
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Unread postby Ludi » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 19:45:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')is there some greater human impact concern (outside of local innuit eating carribu.)

Do you feel the culture of a people isn't of sufficient concern? Or do you feel our culture is absolutely more important than theirs?
edited to be less antagonistic, I hope...
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Unread postby EnemyCombatant » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 20:36:48

I am so sorry. I swear I saw it on CSpan. But my heart fooled my eyes. I am very sad.
Alaska Wildlife Refuge Open for Drilling: link
Please forgive me!
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Unread postby DomusAlbion » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 20:47:32

I, for one and I'm sure I'm a minority here, am glad that this bill passed.
When this oil finally comes on line in 10 years this nation will be at a point where we will really need it. By then I think most people will have caught on to the problems we face with declining oil production and hopefully the government will nationalize this (and all remaining oil fields) precious resource for the good of the nation as a whole.
This and other domestic sources may save us and make the transition to a lower energy way of life possible.
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Unread postby Olaf » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 21:08:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnemyCombatant', 'I') am so sorry. I swear I saw it on CSpan. But my heart fooled my eyes. I am very sad.
Alaska Wildlife Refuge Open for Drilling: link
Please forgive me!

Did not mean to be too agressive, just wanted to be sure the correct info was there. I had just heard the final vote tallies and was none too pleased.
While it is about the ecosystem there, and the values that we should have to want to be protectors rather than destroyers; it is also about simply knowing when "enough is enough". For us, it has never been enough. Now people are willing to destroy it all just to mantain their modern standard of living.
A limiting resource has ended cultures in the past, we have not learned the lesson, and therefore, we will end a culture on a much grander scale.
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Unread postby eric_b » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 21:24:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DomusAlbion', 'I'), for one and I'm sure I'm a minority here, am glad that this bill passed. When this oil finally comes on line in 10 years this nation will be at a point where we will really need it. By then I think most people will have caught on to the problems we face with declining oil production and hopefully the government will nationalize this (and all remaining oil fields) precious resource for the good of the nation as a whole. This and other domestic sources may save us and make the transition to a lower energy way of life possible.

I've got mixed feelings about it. The most optimistic projections are there may by 10.5 billion barrels of oil in ANWR. To put this in perspective, at our current rate of consumption (20 million barrels a day) that amounts to about a year and half supply for the US. However, they are talking about a million barrels a day once things get going -- that would be close to a 30 year supply. However, 1 million barrels a day amounts to about 5% of our current daily needs for oil.

So they're going to sack one of the few remaining pristine wilderness areas in NA to get the oil. That's a pity. I would consider it worthwhile if this oil was rationed and used wisely. For example, once we pass peak they should prioritize the use of this oil, say for farmers/truckers, so at least people will still have food on their plates. If used wisely it would give us some breathing room while we hopefully transfer over to other forms of energy.

I don't see things happening that way, at least not until it's too late. Likely the oil we be put up on the market (at very high and profitable prices) where it will be wasted in peoples SUV's etc.
And that assumes they can even get half of that 10.5 billion barrels out of the ground.
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ANWR

Unread postby Leanan » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 22:47:14

Just some thoughts on today's vote to drill in ANWR. It is not a done deal; the budget bill it's attached to has significant opposition, not only from environmentalists opposed to drilling in ANWR, but from fiscal conservatives, who are alarmed at the red ink.

But the vote, and the whole issue, were rather revealing...
First off, there's not much oil there. Even if the wildest wet dreams of the oil companies proved true, there's maybe eight years worth of oil there...spread out over decades of pumping, and assuming demand does not increase. Indeed, several oil companies have given up, deciding that the paltry amount of oil up there isn't worth the hassle.
Yet the way the senators were talking today, you'd think there were a dozen Saudi Arabias up there. One senator from Maryland declared that there was enough oil there to keep Maryland supplied for 100 years. Yeah, right. Even if that were true, Maryland isn't going to get dibsies on it all. It's probably not even going to get 1/50 of it, since there are bigger states in the union. But even if they did...100/50 equals 2 years of oil for each state. Whoop-de-doo. And that's an optimistic estimate.

Then there's the odd fact that Hawaii's two senators, Akaka and Inouye, voted for drilling. Why would that be? Hawaii is one of the most liberal states in the union. They are very strongly pro-environment, not only because of their general leftiness, but because tourism is their main industry.
But wait...tourism. That's the key. As the airline industry goes, so goes Hawaii. We are all dependent on oil. (There was a story on CNN this morning, about how Mattel is suffering due to high oil prices. It takes a lot of oil to make the plastic resin that's molded into Barbie dolls.) But few industries are as visibly affected by fuel prices as the airline industry. Aside from labor, fuel is their biggest cost. And vacations to Hawaii are a luxury. If the fares are high, people don't go. They go someplace closer, like Mexico or Aruba, or they drive to Niagara Falls or something instead.

High fuel prices have been brutal on Hawaii. Each county in the state is a separate island, and when I was growing up there, the local airlines - Aloha and Hawaiian - were treated almost like the city bus. They sold "commuter booklets" of coupons that let you fly between islands for about $30. People would fly in to Honolulu from the outer islands to shop on the weekends, or to attend a UH football game, or a rock concert. Now, both airlines are bleeding red ink, to the point that they tried to merge. (I believe it was blocked by anti-trust concerns.) A round trip tickets costs $200 or more. And they never run on time.

Peak oil is going to be brutal on Hawaii. The interisland airlines are being hit hard now, but the others will follow. Tourist destinations like Hawaii are the canaries in the coal mine, because leisure travel will be one of the first things people give up.
Inouye and Akaka, even though they are liberal Democrats, did not vote with their party - did not even consider it. Even though ANWR cannot possibly be a long-term solution. If ANWR gets them one or two more years of cheap airfares, it's worth it to them.
This attitude is why I'm so pessimistic about the post-peak world. People will be in denial until they're fighting over the last few candle stubs.
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Unread postby savethehumans » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 23:44:21

The permafrost melts...the tundra gives way...the pipeline collapses...the methane pours into the atmosphere...runaway global warming.
Gotta hand it to the U.S. guvment--we're sure gonna have an exciting future--what there is of it.... 8O
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Unread postby pea-jay » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 23:53:43

2012 for the earliest produceable oil...
By 2012 we will be 5-7 years past peak oil (depending on how unconventional oil production fares) and begining the period of advancing declines with the last of the new megaprojects having gone online in 2009. I cannot begin to speculate what the economy will be like at that time, but if we are in the midst of an all out chaotic collapse by that point I don't think any company will be able to produce and market that stuff. If we haven't collapsed by that point, ANWR isn't going to make alot of difference.
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Unread postby savethehumans » Thu 17 Mar 2005, 00:39:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')o they really think Americans are so dumb to not see that, or so small minded not to think outside their own state?

Yes.
And they're probably right.... :shock:
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Unread postby JohnDenver » Thu 17 Mar 2005, 08:45:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', 'W')hy should we care? How are we dependant on it? I admit I'm trying to raise some hackles, but I'm honestly curious what the theory is for the impact on humanity from ANWR's ecosystems. Is this just about preventing a pretty place far out of the way from being rendered less pretty, or is there some greater human impact concern (outside of local innuit eating carribu.)


My impression is that this is more of an animal/plants rights issue than a straight environmental issue.
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Unread postby Pops » Thu 17 Mar 2005, 08:51:06

I think drilling now is good, we should open all the coastal and other off limits areas asap.
Why? Because we WILL drill all those areas eventually and today there is still some small amount of concern for the environment and regulation remaining.
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Unread postby JohnDenver » Thu 17 Mar 2005, 08:56:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')is there some greater human impact concern (outside of local innuit eating carribu.)

Do you feel the culture of a people isn't of sufficient concern? Or do you feel our culture is absolutely more important than theirs?

Ludi, I don't think any group of citizens has the right to veto national policy, and that's as it should be because otherwise the government would be totally impotent and we would be in a state of anarchy.
I understand your concerns, and I think every reasonable effort should be made to minimize disruptions to their livelihood.
On the other hand, are you so sure that they are opposed to ANWR drilling? They might be in favor of it due to the job/money potential. Also, is their lifestyle really that pure? Last I heard, they had satellite TV and were hunting with snomobiles etc. As far as I'm concerned, if they are using petroleum products, then they need to chip in and do their part, just like the people in Oklahoma who put up with oil infrastructure in their neighborhood.
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