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So who is here now from The Oildrum and why?

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: So who is here now from The Oildrum and why?

Unread postby rockdoc123 » Sun 09 Jun 2013, 10:50:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'd')on't want to open this can worms up again but I think, Doc, I hope anyway, you would agree with me about this: whatever the cause of the accident, and that is what it was, an accident...what BP and WWC and John Wright and lots of other really smart fellas did to bring that well under control and to kill it, top to bottom, in 5000 feet of water, was and in my mind one of the most remarkable engineering feats in the history of the oil and natural gas business.


I agree...the events that lead to the blowout are instructive not of lack of knowledge but rather crappy management which BP is famous for pretty much everywhere I've run into them. The technology employed in well control on this one was absolutely astounding to my mind although the actual methodology was pretty much predictable and has been used many times elsewhere the massive water depths were the big challenge. What made it a fiasco to my mind was the large number of untutored arm chair quaterbacks who caught the attention of the press which made the situation all the worse in the eyes of the public.
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Re: So who is here now from The Oildrum and why?

Unread postby ralfy » Sun 09 Jun 2013, 21:24:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SamInNebraska', '
')
So now you managed to show Jars speaking for his organization, and Fatih, and aleklett, assuming I recognized the faces. So I don't get it, you just made John's point for him, while claiming these people aren't speaking for their organizations? Right after Fatih they showed a graph making his point...labeled IEA.


Actually, what I did was to show that the director's statement quoted in the first article is incomplete. Read the first article linked in my message for details.

Also, there's not just a director but also other members who have varied views. See the second link for details.

Third, it's not true that the IEA is not aware of flow rates, as seen in the video. The problem is that they didn't apply it to the second half of the graph, i.e., conventional production after peak not following historical flow rates.
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Re: So who is here now from The Oildrum and why?

Unread postby John_A » Mon 10 Jun 2013, 10:35:20

Reasons beside the BP sellout to move from TOD.

Gail left.
Robert left.
Stuart left.
Khebab left.

Once that quality of poster moved on, what reasons are left to stay?
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Re: So who is here now from The Oildrum and why?

Unread postby TrueBeliever » Tue 09 Jul 2013, 02:28:18

I signed up on here, just weeks ago, when I learned that the guys I liked to read had taken off. The Oil Drum is the site that made me a True Believer, hence my username on this site. It was during the Macondo disaster I wanted to find relevant information. TOD had great articles of people on site taking pictures of the temporary dome, the BOP, and discussions on how the piping works, and so on. I was able to understand what the engineers were up against - and what any well driller is up against when reaching such depths. Furthermore, I came to appreciate the sheer cost of such deep sea endeavors; a hundred million dollars to just poke a hole to see if anything's down there - again and again - for nothing - hoping for a lucky strike. Deep sea wells are billion-dollar operations, and this humbled my once naive assertion that the oil companies are raping the public (mega billion dollar quarterly profits) - the bottom line is Big OIl is not going to go out and spend billions of its cash searching for more oil if it isn't going to be profitable to begin with. I learned that if we want to drive, then we got to pay Big Oil all they want so they'll keep those of us in the driver's seat. Otherwise take a hike!

Ultimately, however, it was on TOD I came to realize what I had not thought about - the consequences of our happy motoring lifestyle and what the end of the Petroleum Age really means. I also became depressed, to some degree, that any attempt to forestall the calamity that shall happen is futile and hopeless. I learned how humans are deep into overshoot, and realized that what's happening here is not a whole lot different than what's happened over the thousands of years of human history -- the old adage will always be true, what goes up must come down -- and in this case it's the human population that cannot be sustained by any other source of energy than petroleum, period. I learned, and believe, that in the near future - within the lifetimes of my grandchildren should I be so blessed, Six billion humans are going to die off - that number unfortunately includes my descendants unless they are lucky enough to escape to an area that is unaffected by the ravages of the hungry hordes that shall surely sweep the land, burning everything including the roads upon which we drive - every tree, bush, and root (pun intended). The only solace I find is that, perhaps thousands of years from now - but certainly within millions of years - the earth shall recover since it'll be here until the sun does its final death throes and only then will this story end.
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Re: So who is here now from The Oildrum and why?

Unread postby John_A » Tue 09 Jul 2013, 10:20:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('John_A', 'R')easons beside the BP sellout to move from TOD.

Gail left.
Robert left.
*Stuart left.
Khebab left.

Once that quality of poster moved on, what reasons are left to stay?

You've excluded Westexas.


He never left, and his area of interest isn't the helicopter view analysis that the others brought to the topic.
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Re: So who is here now from The Oildrum and why?

Unread postby TheDude » Tue 09 Jul 2013, 12:59:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rockdoc123', 'I') joined onto Oildrum not much after when I joined here. I posted there from time to time....and like Oily on the Macondo incident. What I learned pretty early on is the people there who like to portray themselves as "experts" actually don't know shite from shinola about what they profess to be experts in. A case in point to my mind was all the accolades heaped on one party for his satellite analysis of activity in Ghawar and his subsequent conclusion from his snapshot tally of rig activity that they were about to go belly up.....he didn't have a clue what was going on, no idea whether he was looking at service rigs, what the planned timing of drilling activity was etc....of course as it turns out he was completely wrong as not too long after that Aramco brought on a bit north of 300 kbpd of production from Haradah III.


I really enjoyed Brian = Joulesburn's pieces, very informative and packed with copious detail, and don't recall him making any firm claims about imminent production declines based on what he was seeing. Others at TOD went much further out on limbs. I'm assuming by "satellite activity" you mean him, of course.

TOD occasionally featured top notch contributions by Jean Laherrère, too.
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And let me tell you something: I dig your work.
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