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should we pay off debts?

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: should we pay off debts?

Unread postby DomusAlbion » Wed 10 Nov 2010, 02:59:11

Being debt free is the path we chose. We now have no debt except for the zero percent loan on the tractor and the small amount on our farm. We'll have them both paid off by mid-2014. It feels much better to not worry about all those debts and the loss of wealth in interest payments to the banksters.

We're almost to our goal of a debt free life. :-D
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"It will be a dark time. But for those who survive, I suspect it will be rather exciting."
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Re: should we pay off debts?

Unread postby americandream » Wed 10 Nov 2010, 03:15:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Guest', 'i') have around £4000 of debts (about $7000 I guess) not including my mortgage
since i feel peak oil will 'arrive' early next year I'm not sure whether I should try and pay them off or save the money

on one hand if i lose my job having debts to pay is an added burden
on the other its possible that mass defaults on debts will occur and in the turmoil debts will be 'frozen' as people refuse or are unable to pay them back. Many will blame the economic system for getting them into debt and the world into a mess over oil! So paying back my debts wouldn't make a lot of sense
If I save as much money as I can (I have no savings) then I can use it anyway I need
This assumes the value of money holds.... gold?

If money devalues and we get inflation and high interest rates those debts will never get repaid
I wonder what happened in the depression and germany in the 20's...

My instinct is to pay back those debts, but who to and why?
If the economy goes pear shaped then there will be no profits to be made
If the system encouraged debt then discredits itself entirely (by collapsing due to greed) then doesn't that in effect let us all off our personal debts?

Martin


It's always advisable to live within your means unless you're using your debts for tax mitigation.
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Re: should we pay off debts?

Unread postby Maddog78 » Wed 10 Nov 2010, 13:14:08

I've been debt free for 6 years now including mortgage.

Many of you may not realise that Vancouver and area RE rebounded strongly from 2008.
Prices of SFH in Van. average a million dollars. That's right. Average!
It's nuts. People buying with 5% down. 5yr. term, 35 yr. amort. mortgages under 3.5%
The party rolls on, although it has slowed a bit this fall. The pumpers say it is a brief rest until it all kicks off again in the spring.

The RE pumpers have been working hard on me. Went in to open a student account with my son and the "helpful" female loan officer encouraged me to get back into debt and buy a rental property.
Not interested in being a landlord right now, thank you very much.

Live within your means I tell people around me. No one listens.
Vancouverites are amazing in their ability to ignore what has happened to their southern neighbours.
"It's different here", is the standard speech.

Until it's not.
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Re: should we pay off debts?

Unread postby pup55 » Wed 10 Nov 2010, 13:42:18

You know, about four years ago, Pops and I were having a conversation about this very issue with some of the other posters. perhaps he remembers it....The general gist of it was; If oilmageddon is going to happen, why would you not go out and max out your credit cards, and then just walk away from the bill? Money worthless, goods better than money, etc. etc. At the time, I made the argument that you had a bit of a moral commitment to pay it down if you signed the paper that said "I agree to comply with the cardholder agreement"....

Well come to find out now that per one of the articles the other day on Savinar's website, that 1 in 12 homes of $1M or higher were considered "strategic forclosures" which is, the asshole homeowners that borrowed the money did just that.... bought a nice house and then walked away..... Evidently it is not at all uncommon for these people to not even walk away, just stay in their homes and wait for the eviction to get through the courts......

It's exactly the same thing. You make a promise to pay and then you do not do it.

But it turns out that the relatively wealthy are actually a bit more willing to do that than are the more modest.... go figure....

So based on that I have to say I am having some revisionist thinking on the matter....the moral hazard, so to speak, is breaking down, starting at the upper levels and working downward. That cant be good.
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Re: should we pay off debts?

Unread postby Pops » Wed 10 Nov 2010, 15:50:44

Crap I typed into this thread on and off all morning then the stinkin site crapped, so here is the abbreviated version...

I used to think morality had something to do with it, but I've decided there is no moral obligation to hold up your end of a crooked deal.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: should we pay off debts?

Unread postby davep » Wed 10 Nov 2010, 16:10:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'C')rap I typed into this thread on and off all morning then the stinkin site crapped, so here is the abbreviated version...

I used to think morality had something to do with it, but I've decided there is no moral obligation to hold up your end of a crooked deal.


But if you have the chance to get out of debt and own your own place, all the better.
What we think, we become.
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Re: should we pay off debts?

Unread postby aldente » Wed 10 Nov 2010, 16:52:45

When the point arrives where you realize that you are no longer able to pay off you debt, you have arrived either personally or as a society "where we all are exactly right now", facing the core of the problem of all discussion here, disregarding the subject matter (or forum subject to dial in more specifically).
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Re: should we pay off debts?

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Wed 10 Nov 2010, 20:33:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'C')rap I typed into this thread on and off all morning then the stinkin site crapped, so here is the abbreviated version...

I used to think morality had something to do with it, but I've decided there is no moral obligation to hold up your end of a crooked deal.


Borrowing with no intention of paying is effectively stealing.
Borrowing whilst in a 'secure' job, to secure 'assets' or inject capital into a business, then finding the job is gone and assets depreciated/ business died is something else.
The bank takes a risk too, when handing over a loan.
Deciding to pay back loans taken in very different circumstances is only a moral question if there is a margin in your income to be able to do so.
if you have to starve your family in order to pay a negative equity loan, morality sides with not paying, but feeding your family.
The smugness of posters who can confidently claim that 'the mortgage is now my only debt and it will be paid in 2 or 4 years' is still an article of faith.
Revaluation will only really begin when the printing of money either stops or goes full hyper. revaluation is inevitable as the sun rising in the east.
For an idea what your house is really worth, measure the distance from a similarly sized and purposed city in China, lok for a similar house for a ballpark figure.
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Re: should we pay off debts?

Unread postby Pops » Wed 10 Nov 2010, 21:38:01

I agree SG, borrowing with no intention to repay is stealing but lending with every intention of taking advantage is stealing too.

My CC company doubled my rate to 15% even though I had been golden and playing by the rules for years - a few months later when I wound up in the hospital and was late on the payment (first time ever) they doubled the rate to 29%. They did it because they could and they needed the money to cover their other bad investments I guess. Is that legal stealing? I think it is.

How about he young couple who bought my house to in CA and who were told that the price was fair by the appraiser and loan broker and by extension Fannie/Freddy or whatever quisinart-quant would be slicing their note up into tiny unrecognizable pieces to be repackaged as AAA bonds. A replacement value appraisal it would have shown it ridiculously overpriced. That house is underwater now by at least half. In reality, they were underwater the day they signed the docs - in a non-peak-oil-world they'd be paying on that house for 10 or 20 years just to get even.

So who legally stole from whom in that case?


I can tell youg, I feel no shame for giving the finger to that CC Co and would like to see everyone do the same and watch all those crooks go teats up. I do feel some guilt for that young couple's current predicament though...


That's my personal opinion by the way, peakoil.com doesn't advocate defaulting on your debts.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: should we pay off debts?

Unread postby Pretorian » Thu 11 Nov 2010, 02:04:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'I') can tell youg, I feel no shame for giving the finger to that CC Co and would like to see everyone do the same and watch all those crooks go teats up. I do feel some guilt for that young couple's current predicament though...


That's my personal opinion by the way, peakoil.com doesn't advocate defaulting on your debts.


I do remember you telling everybody how important it is to pay your debts. You were listing a lot of points there
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Re: should we pay off debts?

Unread postby Maddog78 » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 10:12:25

Who forces people to sign up for those cards?
Who forces people to put more on those cards than they can pay off when the bill comes in at the end of the month?

Cut up your cards.
Don't take loans.

I've had one loan in my life apart from a mortgage.
My first car after I got out of school and I paid it off in 7 months.
Bought every other car, motorcycle, boat, whatever, cash.
If I couldn't pay cash, I didn't buy it. Simple.
Paid off my mortgage in less than 12 years.

Live within your means.
It's an almost unheard of concept nowadays.
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Re: should we pay off debts?

Unread postby efarmer » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 10:28:55

I have worked hard here in the attempt to make people laugh, when I am not on one of my grinding gruesome rant binges. This should not go unrewarded. Ludi provides me with virtual eggs from her chicken coop, but I would suggest that those of you who feel they would like to close the circle of giving, dig deep in their pockets and send me as much money as you find there as a goodwill gesture.

Pops has offered to buy me lunch, which is kind, but since I am busy today I am unable to attend.
So Pops, can I just have the money then?

EF
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Re: should we pay off debts?

Unread postby Maddog78 » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 10:55:50

Here you go.
A virtual cookie for virtual entertainment. :-D

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Re: should we pay off debts?

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 15:11:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Maddog78', 'W')ho forces people to sign up for those cards?
Who forces people to put more on those cards than they can pay off when the bill comes in at the end of the month?

Cut up your cards.
Don't take loans.

I've had one loan in my life apart from a mortgage.
My first car after I got out of school and I paid it off in 7 months.
Bought every other car, motorcycle, boat, whatever, cash.
If I couldn't pay cash, I didn't buy it. Simple.
Paid off my mortgage in less than 12 years.

Live within your means.
It's an almost unheard of concept nowadays.

+1 Maddog, all the way. My depression era parents spirits are cheering you!

What is so sad is that things have gotten SO screwed up in the U.S., that pointing this out is considered "mean" and politically incorrect by those who want to turn the economy into one giant wealth transfer machine to help those who "need it" (i.e. act irresponsibly).

Time to get in the foxhole. Verbal shrapnel likely on the way...
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: should we pay off debts?

Unread postby efarmer » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 15:11:46

That's why I virtually love you Maddog... You have very nice cookies.
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Re:

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 15:17:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Fred', 'G')otta have a place to live and unless you're independently wealthy or your parents are and you're just starting out there's not much way to get a place to live unless you rent other than finance a home unfortunately. Same thing happens when renting as financing a home. Loose your job, loose your place to live.


Fred, that's right. Expecially for young folks who haven't had time to build up meaningful savings. Everyone can try to live frugally and below their means though, as long as they have a decent job.

The young can live in a relatively inexpenswive apartment while they save for their first house. And they can buy a house they can afford for their first one.

Everyone over about 35 should have meaningful savings and be building their savings steadily.

All this stuff you see about well educated folks with GOOD jobs in their 50's and 60's who lose their job and are in serious financial trouble within several months are just ridiculous. What did these people plan to retire on -- prayer?
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: should we pay off debts?

Unread postby Maddog78 » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 18:49:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Outcast_Searcher', '
')+1 Maddog, all the way. My depression era parents spirits are cheering you!

What is so sad is that things have gotten SO screwed up in the U.S., that pointing this out is considered "mean" and politically incorrect by those who want to turn the economy into one giant wealth transfer machine to help those who "need it" (i.e. act irresponsibly).

Time to get in the foxhole. Verbal shrapnel likely on the way...


It was also drilled into me by my depression era grand parents and frugal farmer father and mother.
I know what you mean about it being considered mean to point this out to people.
My neighbour was once complaining about her sky high credit card bills.
I asked her "Did you not buy all those things that are on it?"
Dirty look fired at me.
It was like I slapped her face or something by pointing out the obvious.

I bought a Jeep back in '97. When I brought it home, another neighbour was admiring it and asked me what the payments were. I said one, of 34 thousand. He goes, "No come on I'm serious, what are your payments?" I repeated myself. He got this shocked look on his face like it had never occurred to him that someone would actually pay for a vehicle outright without making payments. He walked away mumbling to himself.
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Re: should we pay off debts?

Unread postby Maddog78 » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 18:50:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('efarmer', 'T')hat's why I virtually love you Maddog... You have very nice cookies.



Heehee, yeah it looks good doesn't it?
I, alas, cannot make cookies that look like that but my wife can. :)
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