by Carlhole » Sat 01 Apr 2006, 00:00:31
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'S')o here's my question. If stealing other countries resources is such a good idea, why isn't everybody doing it right now? Britain seems to be strapped for natural gas these days, so why don't they just invade Qatar? Why doesn't the U.S. just invade Mexico and Canada and steal their oil? Why doesn't Germany take over Angola or Sudan? Why doesn't Israel take over Iraq? Why doesn't Japan seize Indonesia? Surely it's more in line with the known facts of human nature to just kill the people and take their resources. That's what people always do.
...Because the world is still awash in oil - that would be one of the characteristics of 'peak', just like during the years leading up to the US peak, America had all the oil it wanted, from its own sources. So economics, rather than military coercion, still rules the day.
Even so, no observer can reasonably deny that petroleum resources will be in increasing scarcity. However, who, in this world, could engage in a resource war whilst the US, with its gargantuan military capabilities, stood idly on the sidelines? No one is going to go around filching bananas while an 800-pound gorilla is squatting nearby. Any acts of military opportunism are reserved exclusively for the province of the strongest - that would be the US, or more accurately according to F. William Engdahl, The Anglo-American Oil Interests.
In the 'peak oil' analysis, these are still early days. It's too early in the game for overt military domination over petroleum resources. And this is why the invasion of Iraq has been couched in terms that are anything BUT oil related.
In the absence of a US military led invasion of Iraq, another power would have ultimately filled that vacuum - probably China would have made a huge economic bid, eventually outbidding and over-powering the Europeans. A Chinese agreement with Saddam, like the Chinese-Iranian agreement last year, would have been completely untenable for the US.
So the time had come to pounce; and the US pounced, for geostrategic and geo-economic reasons - long before it became obvious that the War in Iraq was simply a resource war.
And the US would like it's control over the region to appear less like a standard colonial occupation and more like a strategic alliance between friendly nations. But those mammoth military bases are definitely real and definitely being built to last at least a few decades. The government still insists that the US will not seek a permanent presence in Iraq but many question the government's true intentions. And they should, because the government lies like a rug.
Time will tell.