by mcgowanjm » Thu 25 Mar 2010, 10:23:07
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The idea of collapse is not new, indeed its mythic spectre has probably always been a feature of civilisations8. In 1972, the famous Limits to Growth argued that economic growth could not continue indefinitely in a world of finite resources and limited sink capacity for our waste. It deployed simple scenarios and early examples of systems modeling to argue that a continuation of business-as-usual would lead to a limit to global economic growth, and thereafter a long slow decline9. Later, authors were more explicit about collapse. They cited ecological constraints as a cause, but also the interaction between the structural, functional, institutional, and behavioral conditions of society. Among the most important studies are Overshoot by William Catton, and The Collapse of Complex Societies by Joseph Tainter10,11. In recent years the genre has caught the attention of the reading public with the works of Jared Diamond, Richard Heinberg and others12,13,14,15,16. The web-based 'think-tank', The Oil Drum (

MY Edit-And even the OilDrum couldn't take 'We're acting just like Yeast Idea. But they are starting to come around I hear. Like Gail the Actuary alerted me via Carolyn Baker to
Feasta/TippingPoint

has often had lively and informed debates on these issues.17
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')To the public and to the media, anyone who proclaims “the end of the world is nigh” is likely to be seen as deluded or quite mad (that is not what is being claimed here). The dominant social narrative soon re-asserts itself with re-assuring nods towards our collective genius, technology, the shibboleths of our time, or the minor history of our collective wisdom. The intuitive retort that there must be „a solution‟, or facile expressions of the need for „hope‟ represent a failure to understand the imminent material reality of our own predicament.