by DantesPeak » Sat 07 May 2005, 21:09:08
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smiley', 'M')y parents bought a house about 30 years back. They have done well, the value of the house increased by more than a factor of 10.
When my parents bought it my father was the only one with an income. Me and my GF both have a well paying job. In fact we both earn more than my father is doing now. Yet we couldn't buy my parents house if we wanted to.
The house I live in was build in 1930. Back then it was designed for factory workers. It was typically occupied by families of 6 or 7. One wage earner, wife and children. Now it would be almost impossible to get the house with a single factory job. Let alone to raise a few kids on the remaining salary.
Is that economic growth? To have to work harder and longer, to be better skilled and educated in order to be able to afford the same things as the generations before us.
Perhaps the world does not depend on economic growth.
It is the perception of growth which matters.
Good point. I don't have the statistics to support this handy, but I believe wage income, per person on an inflation adjusted basis, peaked about 1973. This was also roughly the same time that that PO hit continental US and the US went off the gold standard. It is no coincidence these events occurred about the same time.
Other types of 'non-earned' income, such as capital gains (including non-taxable housing gains) and dividends/interest are relatively higher than back then - and have helped the economy in recent years.
In 2005, even by official statistics already, inflation adjusted after-tax disposable income (income from all sources) has leveled out - and we are not even in a recession yet.
The next down turn in the economy will be a true down turn in the standard of living for many. How that standard will be lowered could be a loss of a job, home foreclosure, or just less money to spend after paying the energy bills.
Most of the US growth was "real" in that we extracted vast amounts of energy from the Earth - and more recently the US is now being supported by a trade deficit running more than $800 billion per year. That much money and more enters the US from foreigners as investment, and keeps the standard of living high.
When that money and energy are gone it will seem like an illusion on those looking back to this time.