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Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby Ludi » Wed 03 Feb 2010, 14:41:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Olaf', '
')In our own way, I think we each want to occupy the top seat, or at least have the safest, most comfortable seat. That I see as inherent.



It might be cultural. Lots of other cultures don't/didn't have any "top seat."

Of course having been civilized for thousands of years, for some of us it might be an inherited trait now.
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby Olaf » Wed 03 Feb 2010, 14:51:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')o this is really a case of subjective ethics. Is preserving human life worth it at all costs? Or is attaining the maximum per capita quality of life worth more than the preservation of today's generation?


Explain some more. I think it is clear that in theory, preserving humans as a species at all costs only matters if you and yours are the humans trying to get preserved. I think we can do much to preserve life, just not perhaps 'way of life' as you discuss. There is far too much that will simply be out of our control.

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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby Ludi » Wed 03 Feb 2010, 14:57:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Olaf', ' ') I think we can do much to preserve life, just not perhaps 'way of life' as you discuss.



Not much point in trying to preserve a way of life that is bound to collapse. What exactly "way of life" is being preserved with Green Communism Authoritarianism, anyway?
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby eastbay » Wed 03 Feb 2010, 16:17:59

It's all going to be about the organization of managing the economic collapse.

The growth requirements of capitalism have been demonstrated and discussed endlessly and we know it's anachronistic and doomed to create social chaos and pain for most survivors. So it's plain as day and clear that won't work.

Jumping across the political spectrum, we find green communism, which sounds ok. The problem is there are a zillion or more ideas regarding exactly what the otherwise pleasant sounding term means, additionally, some peoples ideas about this dream system may be adversely colored by emotion. So it will be...uh, to say the least 'somewhat tricky' implementing it. 8O

But we're going to need some system and the one we now have definitely isn't going to be it.
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby Last_Historian » Wed 03 Feb 2010, 16:58:46

LH's Reply of the Day.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'S')o people will determine what should be produced by anyone through opinion polls? That is, I couldn't just make something and try to sell it, I'd have to go through a process of opinion polls? I guess I'm a little confused. That anything not "necessary" (who decides what's "necessary"?) must go through a process of opinion polls? What pays for the polls?


If you need access to limited stocks of resources or pollution credits to make your widget, then yes you'll need to interact with the cybernetic system to do that. If you're selling handmade surfboards or repairing bicycles, that would presumably not be necessary.

Some necessary things to which resources will have to be allocated: The construction of a energy infrastructure on a sustainable basis; Quite possibly, geoengineering projects to prevent runaway climate change; Other traditional institutions such as research, health services, education services, and security forces.

Note that due to the marriage of ever more ubiquitous electronic networks, the merger of online social media with conventional social interactions, and the cybernetic totality promoted by the ecotechnic spirit, opinion polls will be easy to manage and will have negligible marginal costs.

@Ferretlover,
Thank you.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos', 'S')o this is really a case of subjective ethics. Is preserving human life worth it at all costs? Or is attaining the maximum per capita quality of life worth more than the preservation of today's generation?


As far as moral dilemmas go, this one does not seem to be hard. During times of dearth, peasant societies starved to preserve the seed grain. Though the hour is becoming late, our choice is nowhere near as stark; all we have to starve for now is our SUV's, AC's, and a few other consumer products, to avoid the real starvation that may come as soon as 2030 (when resource depletion and climate change may reach critical thresholds).

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'B')ut LH said he himself is not an activist. What good is "believing in" political activism if you aren't going to engage in it yourself? How convincing is someone who promotes political activism without engaging in it himself?


I am not an activist because:
1) My ideas are far from developed. I don't even know if I should call the movement a Collapse Party, an Ecotechnic Party, some other name, or stay away from the Party concept altogether.
2) I have Real Life (TM) commitments, as well as extensive plans for my blog and a book about the global future.
3) Even if I were to increase activism, what exactly should I do? Go to a public square and talk about "ecotechnic dictatorship"? The historical conditions are not in place for the transition. You don't preach abstract ideas to an apathetic people, you preach land, bread, and peace to fired-up people.
4) To an extent what I'm doing, popularizing these ideas, is a form of activism.
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby Ludi » Wed 03 Feb 2010, 17:39:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Last_Historian', 'I')f you need access to limited stocks of resources or pollution credits to make your widget, then yes you'll need to interact with the cybernetic system to do that.
Thank you for your response.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Last_Historian', 'I') am not an activist because: 1) My ideas are far from developed.
True
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Last_Historian', '2')) I have Real Life (TM) commitments, as well as extensive plans for my blog and a book about the global future.
Good you admit your ideas don't have to do with Real Life.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Last_Historian', '3')) Even if I were to increase activism, what exactly should I do?Go to a public square and talk about "ecotechnic dictatorship"? The historical conditions are not in place for the transition. You don't preach abstract ideas to an apathetic people
If you don't know what to do with your own ideas, and admit they are "abstract" maybe they aren't all that useful in the Real World (TM)
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Last_Historian', '4')) To an extent what I'm doing, popularizing these ideas, is a form of activism.Have they proven popular so far?
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby Jotapay » Wed 03 Feb 2010, 18:00:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Olaf', 'J')otapay, I'm interested in your thoughts on how you see humans as inherently 'corrupt' or how you define it in this sense?
I just read the news and history. And I've also seen the monster people have inside them.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jotapay', 'I')'d rather take my chances in Nature, not some invented dystopia that you think people will submit to.
But you won't take your chances in Nature. You'll be taking your chances with the world falling into dystopia by default.


Let me clarify it more. Ever seen the movie "Brazil"? That is what kind of dystopia I'm talking about. Now look out your window. That is the Nature I'm talking about.

Some of you guys don't have faith that Nature will sort this out. Have you seen what the area around Chernobyl looks like today?
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby SeaGypsy » Thu 04 Feb 2010, 03:11:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jotapay', 'I')'d rather take my chances in Nature, not some invented dystopia that you think people will submit to.
But you won't take your chances in Nature. You'll be taking your chances with the world falling into dystopia by default.
What we have here, as has been said countless times, is a dilemma. The measures that people support reflect their personal preference but it is mostly a case of pushing the misery around the room rather than actually preventing it. --snip--
This is a very complicated issue and I'm really disappointed that it's being ignored in this thread in favor of a juvenile slugfest.
Mos, the originator of this thread ignores loads of questions about his work routinely; that is why it has degenerated into a 'slugfest'. He shows no respect to anyone who really questions what he is on about, by at least attempting to answer. He acts like a classic politician in a media scrum, handpicking questions. This is not a media scrum. It is a community of people who are generally seeking answers to these same questions LH has sought to address in his main monologs here. I doubt there is one regular poster here who isn't interested in developing alternative scenarios. I doubt there is one who would prefer to be dictated to in the style and proposition of LH.
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby Last_Historian » Thu 04 Feb 2010, 13:07:47

@Ludi,

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f you don't know what to do with your own ideas, and admit they are "abstract" maybe they aren't all that useful in the Real World (TM)


Number theory was entirely "useless" until the advent of late 20th century cryptography. One can say the same of a great many other theories which were advanced before they found a practical interpretation. So what?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')ave they proven popular so far?


Too limited a sample (my blog, PO.com) to make a worthwhile judgment.

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About SG's continued attacks
I have zero obligation to answer any questions at all, though in practice I do respond to all those which aren't bad-natured ones (e.g. those that are trolling, flaming, or of the "have you stopped beating your wife lately? variety, etc). I especially don't feel the need to respond to risible claims as to how I am "Orlov's dog" and have stolen all my ideas from him. Lol. If that's makes SG feel better about his trolling he can be my guest, but otherwise I will stick to my conditions outlined above and continue to ignore him.
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby Jotapay » Thu 04 Feb 2010, 13:39:30

How can the government solve a problem like societal collapse when they can't seem to do anything well that is even slightly complicated? Why should individuals trust any government when the government has shown that it is only concerned with its own survival?
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby Ludi » Thu 04 Feb 2010, 17:32:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Last_Historian', '
')Number theory was entirely "useless" until the advent of late 20th century cryptography. One can say the same of a great many other theories which were advanced before they found a practical interpretation. So what?



So it seems like (to me) theories about how people should live should have practical application to how people can live, or choose to live.

In my opinion. But I'm not a very abstract or theoretical person myself. :)
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby SeaGypsy » Thu 04 Feb 2010, 20:16:43

I am not a troll by any normal definition of the word. I am quite capable of retraction (as some posters here are very well aware). I appologise to you LH for the over the top vitriol I have at various times spewed forth in your general direction. I will henceforth acknowledge your split from Orlov as a given and continue reading your posts with interest, as many others here are. Forgive me for seeing a red button and pushing it. Thanks.
PS: I do not want to push you or anyone else away from posting on this site. I like to find as wide a variety of points of view and concepts as possible. I also respect those posters who follow normal posting etiquette for any weblog by responding to posts on threads they start, in a non reactionary mature fashion; even if their point is at odds with my own.
I am glad to see you have opened up somewhat to the community of posters here and are taking the position of a thesis in progress. I think this is a healthy approach.
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby Last_Historian » Thu 04 Feb 2010, 20:20:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jotapay', 'H')ow can the government solve a problem like societal collapse when they can't seem to do anything well that is even slightly complicated? Why should individuals trust any government when the government has shown that it is only concerned with its own survival?


That is good and valid questions. The thing is, I am not very confident at all about the ability of any government - even one that really understands Limits to Growth - to solve the problem. However, I have zero confidence in the ability of individuals or small communities to solve the problem at the global level - which is ultimately the level that matters most, because our overshoot crisis is global.

(Oh granted, some can make a good shot at surviving or even prospering during a collapse by practicing permaculture, or sailing off on a boat, or becoming warlords, or whatever, but the fact remains that perhaps the majority of the global population not endowed with enough luck, resources, foresight, etc, will die off due to agricultural collapse and violence).

Or let's put it this way. Probability estimates are IMO.

Business as Usual - we retain the current system of global capitalism and don't do anything about sustainability until the endgame.
80% chance: In the last years before the collapse, things start to fall apart at an accelerating rate and countries turn into authoritarian dictatorship to hold themselves together; but in they end they won't be able to, and there'll be a huge collapse.
20% chance: Technological silver bullet that solves or further postpones these problems.

Limiting of State Power, or Anarchism, etc (which many posters here seem to support, including yourself).
100% chance: Global tragedy of the commons - since individuals or communities get big, short-term benefits from increasing their material throughput, whereas the long-term price will be paid by the whole world, there is absolutely no incentive to live sustainably. End result = collapse.
So I actually prefer BAU to this.

Ecotechnic Dictatorship - Something along the lines I've described; a political system that does not worship coercion or authoritarianism, but possesses a mandate to employ them when absolutely necessary in order to build a sustainable ecotechnological civilization.
75% chance (perhaps?): it is successful in its endeavours, collapse is prevented, and with time changes in social attitudes and new ecotechnic prosperity will enable a graduated relaxing of controls.
25% chance: it will fail anyway; but at the very least, its departure will have left a positive legacy behind to be rediscovered later (stockpiles of knowledge, degradation-proofed books, plant cultures, etc, in a series of hidden repositories around the world).

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'S')o it seems like (to me) theories about how people should live should have practical application to how people can live, or choose to live.


As I've stressed before, I am not forcing anything on anyone. You are free to take it or leave it.

In fact the paradox is that in this thread I've been attacked from two directly opposite directions. From one side, those who believe me to be an aspiring tyrant. From the other side, those who decry me for refraining from activism. It's rather confusing. :|

@SeaGypsy,

OK, truce.

To answer some questions about Orlov. When I (re)read his article on the "Collapse Party Platform", I misinterpreted it to mean that he would support a political party dedicated to mitigating the consequences of a collapse; on further contact, I discovered that his term "Collapse Party" was in fact an oxymoron referring to the impossibility of a collapse party, and that he is one of those who are utterly disillusioned with all large-scale political systems.

He might be correct in that, but I think the attitude is self-defeating for the reasons I explained above for disagreeing with the idea of Limiting of State Power or Anarchism. He is free to sail away in his boat and so are you, but those left behind still have to face the prospect of collapse (and so will he, eventually; piracy will proliferate on the high seas after collapse). And I happen to think that doing the utmost to try preventing collapse is preferably to resigning oneself to its inevitability.

That is my main point of contention with Orlov - he is 100% pessimistic on the ability of the state to solve problems, whereas I am closer to 50% pessimistic.

Finally, it is my opinion you give him an unjustified prominence in the extent to which Orlov's ideas have influenced me. Off the top of my head, people like: Tainter, Catton, the Club of Rome, the cliodynamicians, Deffeyes, Ayres, many of the people at the Old Drum, MJ Greer, the technological singularitarians - have had a bigger impact.
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby davep » Thu 04 Feb 2010, 20:26:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he thing is, I am not very confident at all about any government - even one that really understands Limits to Growth - to solve the problem. However, I have zero confidence in the ability of individuals or small communities to solve the problem at the global level - which is ultimately the level that matters most, because our overshoot crisis is global.


Why would a local community want to solve problems at the global level? Fix your own neighbourhood first. If everybody started doing this, which eventually many will, then the grassroots solutions can be replicated in other communities. There's no need for an overarching heirarchy for this to work.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'L')imiting of State Power, or Anarchism, etc (which many posters here seem to support, including yourself).
100% chance: Global tragedy of the commons; since individuals or communities get big, short-term benefits from increasing their material throughput, whereas the long-term price will be paid by the whole world, there is absolutely no incentive to live sustainably. End result = collapse.


As this Anarchist society would be born out of the ashes of our current one, and in much pain due to lack of resources, I really don't see why there would be no incentive to live sustainably. It's a bit glib, to be honest.

And how would individuals (let alone communities) get big?
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby Ludi » Thu 04 Feb 2010, 20:45:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Last_Historian', '
')As I've stressed before, I am not forcing anything on anyone.



So you don't care if your ideas have any practical application to the way people live, or choose to live, they are purely theoretical and not actually anything you have any interest in seeing applied in real life?
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby SeaGypsy » Thu 04 Feb 2010, 21:07:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Last_Historian', '
')Ecotechnic Dictatorship - Something along the lines I've described; a political system that does not worship coercion or authoritarianism, but possesses a mandate to employ them when absolutely necessary in order to build a sustainable ecotechnological civilization.


This single concept I find very interesting. If you focus on such controls on major industry, whilst retaining personal freedoms, I think you have a chance of getting some real support. Perhaps this is what you were talking about all along? For me this is the 1st post which makes this clear. As Mos, Tanada, Shorty and some others have been suggesting; there are technological solutions for many of the key problems faced by global society. The key problems are: inertia of capital (the fact that those making a profit out of destructive practices are both powerfull and not inclined to give up profiitable business) and political will (the fact the public are being led sheeplike by their slave master corporate owned governments to the slaughter).
Education is key. The media mainstream is perhaps the single biggest problem. The MSM support for BAU and lieing by governnment, along with distain for unsensationalised dry facts about the human condition and trajectory, make a waste of the most powerfull and commonplace educational potential. For this reason I would include MSM for takeover in your Eco Dictatorship.
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby mos6507 » Thu 04 Feb 2010, 21:37:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', '
')Why would a local community want to solve problems at the global level? Fix your own neighbourhood first. If everybody started doing this, which eventually many will, then the grassroots solutions can be replicated in other communities. There's no need for an overarching heirarchy for this to work.


It's polyanna to assume that local transition movements will indeed be replicated everywhere, or even if they did, that they would be able to forestall collapse everywhere it's tried.

What that means is there will be a patchwork quilt of resilient communities and failed communities, some failing because they never bothered trying to be resilient, and others tried and failed for one reason or another.

If that's the case, resilient communities will face the threat of a refugee/zombie problem.
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby Last_Historian » Fri 05 Feb 2010, 03:18:32

@all,

Vote aye or nay for "ecotechnic dictatorship" @ http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2010/02/ ... se-ethics/

@mos,

Excellent point. As I've pointed out, there is really no way to make oneself or one's community anywhere near "collapse-proof". It's probably about 25% preparation and 75% cross your fingers

@SG,

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f you focus on such controls on major industry, whilst retaining personal freedoms, I think you have a chance of getting some real support.


Controls on major industry are a given. Am I correct in thinking that you are here referring to something along the lines of "market socialism", which is practiced in China and Belarus? That is certainly one option that must be considered and analyzed. The immediate problem I see is that "market socialism" doesn't tend to work too well, typically combining the privilege & corruption seen in planned economies, with the inequities seen under capitalism. That said I haven't read on this in any detail so I am not qualified to comment except in the most general terms.

PS. The freedoms I am really big on are social ones. E.g., there will be no problems with regulated buying of narcotics nor laws against homosexuality etc, since they do not infringe on the ecotechnic dictatorship's reason for existence. It will be progressive. The only thing which I might end up severely restricting is gun ownership, even though in RL I am highly supportive of gun freedoms.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he key problems are: inertia of capital (the fact that those making a profit out of destructive practices are both powerfull and not inclined to give up profiitable business) and political will (the fact the public are being led sheeplike by their slave master corporate owned governments to the slaughter).


I don't really blame corporations or politicians. They might not like what they're doing, but they have to do it, or someone will take their place and continue doing the same thing while profiting from it. The real problem is with the system as a whole. If anything, it is the public that is most at fault because it is us who collectively have the power to make change but can't be assed to ("every people deserves the government it gets", etc...)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'E')ducation is key. The media mainstream is perhaps the single biggest problem. The MSM support for BAU and lieing by governnment, along with distain for unsensationalised dry facts about the human condition and trajectory, make a waste of the most powerfull and commonplace educational potential.


Again, I wouldn't say it's directly their fault. The propaganda model (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Propaganda_model) forces the media to act the way it does. To indulge in a bit of fantasy, should I end up being the dictator (and no, I don't want the job), I will give the media the opportunity to fall in line voluntarily. If however they decide on undermining the state with foreign backing, then they can get the Hugo Chavez treatment (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2002_Venez ... Media_role).
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby davep » Fri 05 Feb 2010, 06:10:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', 'I')t's polyanna to assume that local transition movements will indeed be replicated everywhere, or even if they did, that they would be able to forestall collapse everywhere it's tried.
What that means is there will be a patchwork quilt of resilient communities and failed communities, some failing because they never bothered trying to be resilient, and others tried and failed for one reason or another.
If that's the case, resilient communities will face the threat of a refugee/zombie problem.
Over time, the successful techniques will be replicated, but based on local conditions.

I think the zombie horde problem could be partially resolved due to the hugely increased requirement for agricultural workers. It'd be a delicate time for sure, as these people would need to be fed before they become productive. But this would be the case in any collapse scenario unless you're an advocate of butchering all refugees.
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Re: Politics: We need to embrace Green Communism

Postby Ludi » Fri 05 Feb 2010, 09:54:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', ' ')But this would be the case in any collapse scenario unless you're an advocate of butchering all refugees.



Has any other solution to the Zombie Horde problem been offered?
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