Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

THE 401k Thread (merged)

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

THE 401k Thread (merged)

Unread postby solar1 » Wed 04 May 2005, 16:47:35

Since I am in my late 30s and won't be able to draw from any of these accounts until >2030, should I immediately STOP making investments into these accounts?
Last edited by Ferretlover on Thu 25 Feb 2010, 13:39:47, edited 2 times in total.
Reason: Merged with THE 401k Thread.
User avatar
solar1
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 7
Joined: Wed 04 May 2005, 03:00:00

Unread postby newbie1234 » Wed 04 May 2005, 17:02:08

i would like to know the answer to this as well
User avatar
newbie1234
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 14
Joined: Thu 31 Mar 2005, 04:00:00

Unread postby RonMN » Wed 04 May 2005, 17:18:29

I hate to give financial advice...so i wont tell you what to do with your money...but i'll tell you what i did.

I stopped adding money to my roth IRA...and i lowered my contribution to my 401K (at work) to 1 percent (just so i could stay in the plan). This gives me more money right now & i haven't burned any bridges (i can always change things back the way they used to be).

You need to make your own descisions about your future.
User avatar
RonMN
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2628
Joined: Fri 18 Mar 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Minnesota

Re: stop investing in 401k, Roth IRA????

Unread postby MicroHydro » Wed 04 May 2005, 17:21:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('solar1', 'S')ince I am in my late 30s and won't be able to draw from any of these accounts until >2030, should I immediately STOP making investments into these accounts?


Gold, sliver and platinum bullion can be bought with tax deferred IRA money. Sell the all stocks and bonds with the possible exception of pure play renewable energy stocks:

Evergreen Solar (NASDAQ)
Solarworld (Germany)
Vestas - wind turbines (Denmark)
Gamesa - wind turbines (Spain)

Do not hold on to precious metal mining stocks, as they are adversely affected by high energy costs.

To put your IRA money into bullion contact MONEX.
"The world is changed... I feel it in the water... I feel it in the earth... I smell it in the air... Much that once was, is lost..." - Galadriel
User avatar
MicroHydro
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1242
Joined: Sun 10 Apr 2005, 03:00:00

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Wed 04 May 2005, 17:27:05

Considering the fact that I'm only in highschool, I don't think I'm going to bother with a 401k or Roth IRA. I'm rather bitter about the fact that I'm paying into Social Security knowing that I'm not going to get a damn penny out of it.

I don't see the stock market surviving PO. It's all about growth on Wall Street. Any company that stays flat for years is called a bad investment. A stock that falls year after year is a terrible investment. How is General Motors going to increase it's yearly revenue with a decline in net energy?? It's just not possible. I personally think anyone who won't be able to collect anything till past 2035 should bother with a retirement account.

Instead, pay off debt and buy useful tools. Land is also a nice investment. Physical silver and gold might also be nice (silver more so than gold, how do you buy a chicken with gold?).
"www.peakoil.com is the Myspace of the Apocalypse."
Tyler_JC
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5438
Joined: Sat 25 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Boston, MA

Unread postby MaterialExcess » Wed 04 May 2005, 17:40:29

I'm in my mid thirties and I continue to invest in my 401K and that money is all in stock funds. I think of this as a hedge just in case peak oil doesn't happen, doesn't happen in my lifetime, or doesn't result in a collaspe of the stock market. Preparing for the worst is good, but you should always consider the possibility that the worst might not happen.
User avatar
MaterialExcess
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 110
Joined: Thu 03 Feb 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Nowhere Fast

more thoughts

Unread postby solar1 » Wed 04 May 2005, 17:54:02

tax rates now are probably at the lowest that we will see them. taxes will HAVE to be raised in order to pay off the incredible debt that we have amassed. Couple that with the likelihood that the market is going to move sideways or downward for the next decade or so and maybe it is best to take the tax hit now and invest the money in real estate or gold/silver or solar panels for my house. Another issue is the fact that you cannot get at your money (without a significant penalty) in such accounts until retirement age, which for me, is a LONG way off.
User avatar
solar1
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 7
Joined: Wed 04 May 2005, 03:00:00

Unread postby Ludi » Wed 04 May 2005, 18:38:13

Isn't the penalty on withdrawing IRA funds only 10%, plus income taxes?
Ludi
 

Unread postby cube » Wed 04 May 2005, 19:30:46

I stopped contributing to 401k's because frankly I think there's no real future in them. But that's just my humble opinion. That and frankly I think it's coporate welfare and social engineering/ manipulation.

But getting back to 401k's I have a theory as to why the price of stocks are ridiculously overpriced right now. Basically the baby boomers have finally come to the realization that SS (social security) isn't going to save their rear ends. It used to be people in their 20's who'd joke about SS not being there when they get older. Considering where this country is heading right now if you're in your 40's you can consider yourself in the same boat. And if you're in your 50's cross your fingers and hope the US doesn't try to "liberate" another middle eastern nation. That's one reason why people are "investing" their money.

In theory a corporation should be able to survive without stock. The money generated from selling goods and services should be enough to pay their expenses and make a profit. Stock therefore is very good for having extra money to expand...in theory. Now ask yourself this question, "How many companies would be alive today if everybody stopped buying stock?"

EXACTLY. There is one other type of financial scheme that can only survive if people continue to feed it....a pyramid scheme. But anyways don't take my opinion as the bible truth...everybody needs to choose their own road in life for better or worse.

good luck :-D
cube
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 3909
Joined: Sat 12 Mar 2005, 04:00:00

Unread postby basketballjones » Wed 04 May 2005, 19:44:17

listen to this weeks 'the big picture' on the financial sense newshour.

Jim puplavav has a question via email in which he answers this very question -

http://www.netcastdaily.com/fsnewshour.htm it's the 3rd hour you want to get. Emails are at the end, but it certainly wouldn't hurt to listen to the whole thing since he talks about social security early on too.
User avatar
basketballjones
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 129
Joined: Mon 17 May 2004, 03:00:00
Location: sydney, australia

Say What??

Unread postby van64 » Wed 04 May 2005, 19:50:44

You guys crack me up--totally. Let's examine this like the intelligent people behind us: those who will take your place in the 401-k and Roth IRA contributions line and take advantage of the depressed equity prices that your for-gone purchases are creating.

Since 1802, US stocks have returned an average of 8.5% annually. Year in and year out. Put that in your compound pipe and smoke it. This was 60 years before crude oil was even DISCOVERED and commercialized in PA, folks. Sure, there have been good years and bad years: wars and famine and global pestilence. Gold and silver do not come close to returning what stocks return; neither have bonds or treasuries or any other interest-bearing instrument. Land? Well, it's the closest at about 8% annually.

Let's examine the oil industry itself. The oil and gas industry earned a profit margin of 8.5% in the first quarter of 2005, according to the API. This compares to 9.2% profit margins in all other industries during the same period.

Want more? OK: I know you doomsters are a glutton for punishment so try this: For all of 2004, the oil and gas industry earned 7.0% versus 7.2% on all other industries. The computer industry had the highest profit percentage at 15.6%. The oil industry is just an industry like any other. Period. Alternatives will be found and assimilated in the due course of time; such as when whale oil for lighting lamps was replaced by kerosene was replaced by electricity generated from coal, then nuclear. You get the idea.

If you truly believe in peak oil, put your money where your mouth is and purchase oil and gas equities.
User avatar
van64
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 1
Joined: Wed 04 May 2005, 03:00:00

Unread postby frankthetank » Wed 04 May 2005, 20:13:35

I took my money out. I'm currently just letting my money go into a high yield (3.15apy) MMA. Its not great, but atleast its almost keeping up with inflation :) I'm still investigating other options (GOLD, OIL, etc)...I would like to buy some land, but damn they want a lot around here for it!
User avatar
frankthetank
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 6202
Joined: Thu 16 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Southwest WI

Unread postby arretium » Wed 04 May 2005, 20:24:33

Our savings plans really sucks. We can only invest our 401K in a limited number of mutual funds. All of them suck. All except for one is entirely based on U.S. assets. Hence, if you believe the U.S. market is screwed, not exactly a place you want to put your money in. To make matters worse, no commodities are allowed. There is one international fund, but get this..most of the stocks are European and Japan. And the top stocks held by the international fund? Yup, Honda. Toyota. Phillips. Nokia. Not exactly companies that will fair well post oil when people stop buying autos and cell phones.

We can't even LOWER our percentage invested. We are locked in at the same 5%. In other words, we throw away 5% of our income every month and there ain't a damn thing we can do about it.
User avatar
arretium
Coal
Coal
 
Posts: 452
Joined: Mon 04 Apr 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Seattle, WA

Unread postby RonMN » Wed 04 May 2005, 20:25:42

Tyler...i been paying into soc. security for 20 friggin years and i wont see a penny out of it...don't gimme you're wining!

It sucks...yes! but there are more important things...like how to keep y'rself warm in the winter! :cry:
User avatar
RonMN
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2628
Joined: Fri 18 Mar 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Minnesota

Unread postby DantesPeak » Wed 04 May 2005, 20:36:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I')sn't the penalty on withdrawing IRA funds only 10%, plus income taxes?


Only 10% (if you are less than 59.%) plus federal income taxes and possible state taxes too.

If that doesn't bother you, then also remember once the money is withdrawn and you don't immeadiately invest it in another IRA, you will have to build up your next IRA all over again.
User avatar
DantesPeak
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 6277
Joined: Sat 23 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: New Jersey

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Wed 04 May 2005, 20:48:24

I wasn't really comparing myself to the millions of other people who have put WAY more money in than I have. I was just coming to that realization again that SS is a joke and I'm being lied to by the all powerful, "They".
"www.peakoil.com is the Myspace of the Apocalypse."
Tyler_JC
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5438
Joined: Sat 25 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Boston, MA

Unread postby savethehumans » Wed 04 May 2005, 23:34:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')onsidering the fact that I'm only in high school, I don't think I'm going to bother with a 401k or Roth IRA. I'm rather bitter about the fact that I'm paying into Social Security knowing that I'm not going to get a damn penny out of it.


I'm with Ron, my friend. I (and he) have lived with the knowledge that there would be NO Social Security for us by the time we reached "retirement" age. We've known that since we were, well, YOUR age. (I'm 50 now, so that's a lonnnnng time knowing.) Had nothing to do with PO then, at least in my case: I was a Baby Boomer; lots fewer babies born after our generation; they couldn't afford to pay all of us when WE retired. Pretty simple, really. So's the situation now--never mind population; WE'RE NEVER GONNA BE ABLE TO RETIRE; it will cost too much to live without a job--probably even WITH one! If money is still worth something, that is. . . .

You've got a sharp mind. So many don't (whether in high school, working, or retired!), and they'll be the early victims of what's coming. No, DON'T invest. You're investing in a social/economic setup that isn't gonna last much longer. What's the point? Even the "get as much money as you can" advice isn't solid--money isn't gonna MEAN anything. Gold? Silver? Maybe, for a short while. Land--well, if you can defend it against all those people looking for a place to set up camp.

Spend the money on training and supplies. And on building the basis of a community, if you're lucky enough to find one. Since you post HERE, I believe you're likely to find a community. Keep paying whatever expenses you have to (rent, food, power, etc) until it crashes. Use the rest wisely--in preparation. TSHTF over the next few YEARS (2010 really is a good basis for when the crumbling of society will collapse the cliff edge we're standing on).

So one other thing I'd advice: do little things for yourself and your circle. If it costs a little money, it won't kill you. Go over to the coffeehouse with a friend and have a cappuchino. Pay the $8 to see the movie you've been wanting to see. Buy a GOOD bicycle. That perfect Christmas gift for the 'rents cost $30? You've got $30 in post-expenses money? BUY it!

Too many people think that preparation means you can't spare any money. That is stupid. Keeping your psyche cool is as much a preparation as learning to grow food or basic mechanics. Today's world is full of stress, too. Tomorrow's will be even worse. See to YOURSELF, and yours. Survive to be a part of a glum, scornful community/world, where there's no laughter, no music, no neighborly get-togethers? What FOR?!

How you deal with what's coming BEFORE it gets here pretty much sets the stage for how you deal with it WHEN it gets here (awfully soon)! What kind of person you're gonna be then depends a lot on what kind a person you're gonna be now. And investing your time and money on preparation and on day-to-day living with that sensible head of yours is a big part of what kind of person you are/will be.

OK, enough lecture. Go do something to cheer you up after we've managed to depress you! But don't forget to come back! :)
User avatar
savethehumans
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1468
Joined: Wed 20 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Unread postby Yavicleus » Thu 05 May 2005, 15:04:59

Well, I won't give advice, but I'll tell what I did.

I had about $16,000 in a 401k from my last job and a Roth IRA worth $8,000.

I learned about Peak Oil over a year ago. When I left my previous job back in November, I did not start up a new 401k at my new one because I think that the stock market will crash when our interest based economy finally crumbles.

I then I rolled my 401k into a rollover IRA account. This gives me more control of my money, because the investment choices in my 401k sucked.

My current IRA holdings are in Inflation Indexed Securities. These are basically US Government bonds that pay interest at a rate determined by the inflation rate. Unlike other bonds that have a fixed interest rate, the interest rate on these I bonds will fluctuate with the CPI.

I figure that this is the safest place I can put the money as long as the US government is still around to pay back its bills. When things start to look REALLY bad, that the US might default on its bonds, I will pull it all out, and take the tax hit on the money.

In the meantime, any long term savings that I'm doing involves buying gold & silver bullion.
User avatar
Yavicleus
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 330
Joined: Fri 16 Jul 2004, 03:00:00

Re: Say What??

Unread postby FatherOfTwo » Thu 05 May 2005, 15:29:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('van64', ' ')Alternatives will be found and assimilated in the due course of time;


LOL! :lol: :lol:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('van64', '
')If you truly believe in peak oil, put your money where your mouth is and purchase oil and gas equities.

I already have. 8)
User avatar
FatherOfTwo
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 960
Joined: Thu 11 Nov 2004, 04:00:00
Location: Heart of Canada's Oil Country
Top

Unread postby Leanan » Fri 06 May 2005, 11:14:46

Very interesting and useful thread.

I am still contributing to my Roth IRA and Deferred Comp plan, but I'm not sure if it's the right thing to do. I have not increased my contributions - yet. (Roth IRA goes up to $4,000 a year this year. I have until April 15 next year to decide if I want to put in the extra $1,000.)

I have a feeling the stock market will be a very bad place to be when TSHTF. But I still have one foot in it...just in case, I guess.

I like the idea of putting at least some of my Roth IRA into gold and silver. Right now it's in an index fund.

I really wish there were some certified P.O. financial planners out there. :)
User avatar
Leanan
News Editor
News Editor
 
Posts: 4582
Joined: Thu 20 May 2004, 03:00:00

Next

Return to Economics & Finance

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests

cron