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H1N1 Swine Flu Thread pt 2

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Re: THE Swine Flu Thread (merged)

Unread postby Sixstrings » Tue 15 Sep 2009, 05:58:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'J')ust to add to local reports, in my town a healthy 27 year old male died in hospital of swine flu.


Just read in today's local paper.. another 27 year old male has died from H1N1. That's three young men dead now, all three were previously healthy with no "underlying conditions."

It's like twilight zone for me, I'm the only one worried about this thing. The standard line is that "swine flu is mild, unless it kills you." I look at at the odds and think, well, 90,000 deaths in a year isn't much out of a population of 300 million. So odds are, swine flu won't take me out. And yet.. drip, drip, drip come the stories of young adults dying from this thing, people who otherwise would not have died. There's no rhyme or reason to it, it's just a new potentially fatal illness we've got to deal with.

Other local happenings.. the hospital is reporting 10% of all ER visits as flu related (1% is normal.. it kicked up to 4% a few months back, and in a week has gone up to 10%).

And, I keep hearing through the grapevine about people in the hospital with H1N1.. a friend's coworker, a kid in my nephew's school.

And yet, nobody except me seems particularly bothered by these events. I know what the odds are and I shouldn't worry (I guess as many people die in car crashes in a year).. it's just unnerving, watching this thing get progressively worse.
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Re: THE Swine Flu Thread (merged)

Unread postby ColossalContrarian » Sat 19 Sep 2009, 20:51:15

Not sure how credible this is -> http://www.fluscam.com/Affidavit.html The Affidavit

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')r. Leonard G. Horowitz, America’s leading consumer health expert, and Sherri Kane, an investigative journalist, have released shocking proof in legal affidavits that leaders of a private global biotechnology “trust” are behind everything you ever heard about pandemic flu, including its origin and alleged prevention via vaccination. Their documents, being sent through attorneys to the FBI today, evidence powerful industrialists operating a crime ring within “Partnership for New York City” are behind the pandemic’s creation, media persuasions, vaccination preparations, and health official promotions seen everywhere from supermarkets to health clinics.


Should be some interesting developments in the next few weeks...
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Re: THE Swine Flu Thread (merged)

Unread postby Sixstrings » Sat 19 Sep 2009, 21:27:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ColossalContrarian', 'N')ot sure how credible this is -> http://www.fluscam.com/Affidavit.html The Affidavit$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')r. Leonard G. Horowitz, America’s leading consumer health expert, and Sherri Kane, an investigative journalist, have released shocking proof in legal affidavits that leaders of a private global biotechnology “trust” are behind everything you ever heard about pandemic flu, including its origin and alleged prevention via vaccination. Their documents, being sent through attorneys to the FBI today, evidence powerful industrialists operating a crime ring within “Partnership for New York City” are behind the pandemic’s creation, media persuasions, vaccination preparations, and health official promotions seen everywhere from supermarkets to health clinics.
Should be some interesting developments in the next few weeks...

No disrespect intended, but I have to say that strikes me as tinfoil. H1N1 is real.. young healthy people in my town have died from it, there's no denying that. But regarding conspiracy.. I just looked at the first post in this thread from 2006:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')5N1 is of no concern, it is a hoax. It is just another tool of fear this administration is using. I'd be more worried about the fact? that H1N1 is being shipped to strategic locations all over the U.S. To be released sometime in the next 2 years, thereby creating a reason for the emperor to proclaim a state of emergency for an indefinite amount of time...
Ok, is it just me or was "Titan" a little too right for comfort with his 2-year in advance prediction? I'm not a tinfoiler, but how does somebody guess right about an H1N1 outbreak 2-3 years before it happens???

EDIT: local update.. after having some friends and family come down with this, and get better without needing to see a doc, I'm not as worried about it now. The deaths we've had locally among young healthy adults are an anomaly.. from what I've been reading, statewide and nationally the biggest risk factor among adults is obesity (I guess because very heavy people have more trouble breathing). So, I'm not too young, I'm not overweight, and I'm healthy (far as I know, knock on wood). Considering those factors, I've decided to not worry so much.
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Swine flu

Unread postby Dawn » Sat 26 Sep 2009, 05:47:58

In regards to the swine flu thread... We are still waiting for test results to come back for 3 of my kids. We all caught the flu soon after school started this year. One of my sons felt better for a few days and then on Wednesday of this week (after his football game) came home not wanting dinner and went to sleep. Woke up at 1 in the morning with a fever of almost 105. I got it down to just below 102, but for two days that's about as low as we could get it. Took him to the hospital on Friday and at first they didn't think he was very ill... Well the machine they were taking his temperature with wasn't working correctly. And he had a fever of almost 103 again. Less than an hour later 104.4. Oh and he started to cough blood. He has pneumonia. I'm just home for a minute to drop my older sons off, a shower and going right back to the hospital.

Whatever is going around this year is very nasty. There are confirmed cases of swine flu in the high school. Sean is in middle school. While we were at the hospital three more kids from the high school arrived at the emergency room too.
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Re: THE Swine Flu Thread (merged)

Unread postby pup55 » Mon 28 Sep 2009, 21:39:10

Prediction: In the next month, this will be the top story on all the news networks, news channels, etc.

Too many places in just the early stages on this, It has an excellent chance to get completely out of hand, and make a lot of school administrators and other public officials look like total idiots in their so-called efforts to control the spread of this mess.
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Re: THE Swine Flu Thread (merged)

Unread postby Cloud9 » Mon 28 Sep 2009, 21:52:45

We have a number of cases in my school. One of our students has died from it. Some kids seem to get it and get over it. Others seem to get a second round of illness. Not at all sure how this is going to play out.
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Re: THE Swine Flu Thread (merged)

Unread postby Dawn » Mon 28 Sep 2009, 22:03:14

Thought I should update this, so people don't worry too much. Sean was discharged on Sunday. So it was a 2 day stay in the hospital. He is doing much better now, but still is tired and coughing some. I was told we caught it early, so that's a good thing. The blood the doctor suspects was from his throat and not his lungs... That's what really scared me not knowing.

He went to the doctor just the day before and they didn't suspect pneumonia either. It was found with x rays in the hospital. The doctor in the hospital didn't think he was very ill at first either. I was told that it couldn't be heard because it was in the lower lobe of the lungs. But, thankfully they did do more tests and found out early. I'm very grateful today for everything I have. I can't even begin to express how fortunate I feel.

pup, I think you may be right. They need to rethink the way many things are run. Best example I can give is... If the boys miss football practice they are punished, if they don't have a doctors excuse. So, many of the boys will go to school sick and tough it out when they shouldn't be in school period.
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Re: THE Swine Flu Thread (merged)

Unread postby pup55 » Tue 29 Sep 2009, 09:14:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'p')up, I think you may be right. They need to rethink the way many things are run. Best example I can give is... If the boys miss football practice they are punished, if they don't have a doctors excuse. So, many of the boys will go to school sick and tough it out when they shouldn't be in school period.


I was looking at the CDC website last night, at the guidance that school administrators are getting on this issue. The CDC suggests "reactive" or "pre-emptive school closings" when the infection rate is so high that the school does not function normally, whatever that is:

http://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/schools/schoolguidance.htm

So you can envision some upset parent, looking at this and saying to the principal: "The CDC guidelines are perfectly clear. Why didn't you close the school, when it was so clear that the kids were being infected".... leaves a lot of opportunity for second guessing.

Add this to the general confusion about whether the kids have H1N1 or just some normal flu. Around our area, they are saying that most of these cases are not H1N1.

They are actually considering some sort of segregation of kids that are having symptoms..... sending them home if they look sick.... lots of area for individual interpretation on this.

The tone of this is quite clear that some fatalities can be expected also.
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Re: THE Swine Flu Thread (merged)

Unread postby Ferretlover » Tue 29 Sep 2009, 13:29:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pup55', 'T')oo many places in just the early stages on this, It has an excellent chance to get completely out of hand, and make a lot of school administrators and other public officials look like total idiots in their so-called efforts to control the spread of this mess.

I agree. Everytime TPTB (at any level) cry wolf and the results of the event does not meet the "worst case scenario," it reduces credibility of the different agencies, and does not bode well for future events.
For instance, how are the actual deaths rates of H1N1 comparing with the death rates of the regular flu?

And, Dawn, I am glad that your son's health is improving. :)
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Re: THE Swine Flu Thread (merged)

Unread postby Ferretlover » Thu 01 Oct 2009, 14:02:23

Looks like someone may have been digging through the Stored Disease Vault:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Vaccines for swine flu being shipped to states By Debbie Robinson, The Joplin Globe:
NEOSHO, Mo. — Shipments of the vaccine for the H1N1 flu, known as swine flu, began rolling out Wednesday to states, with more shipments to be distributed late next month or early December.
The current strain of H1N1 doesn’t appear to be infecting the elderly, she said. “For older people over 65, sometime in the past they have come in contact with it and have some immunity,” Yates said. But, she said, it’s this group of the population that is demanding the vaccine more than the at-risk groups.
The 1957 Asian flu, a strain of H1N1, killed 70,000 people, she said.
The highest death rate with the current strain of H1N1 flu is among children who average 12 years of age, and the average age of those hospitalized is 20.
As of Sept. 20, 3,917 deaths and 318,925 H1N1 cases had been reported worldwide, Yates said.

Joplin Globe
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Re: THE Swine Flu Thread (merged)

Unread postby turner » Fri 02 Oct 2009, 06:01:44

My kid's school has a policy that if a child is away from school with any one symptom of the flu they can't come back without a doctor's certificate. The crazy thing is that the doctor is not actually allowed to test for H1N1!!
Consequently everyone now sends their kids with mild symptoms instead of keeping them home on a precautionary basis. Some of the policies seem to be about appearing to be doing something rather than being based on any logical approach.
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Re: THE Swine Flu Thread (merged)

Unread postby Cloud9 » Fri 02 Oct 2009, 06:26:11

Now you understand the true nature of government. :(
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Re: THE Swine Flu Thread (merged)

Unread postby JJ » Sat 03 Oct 2009, 13:59:15

14 year old woke up sick this morning. 10% of the schools have swine flu; many, many people coming into the grocery store saying they and their families are positive for it. This is going to blow through everybody; there's no effort at containment. (Burnet, Texas)
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Re: THE Swine Flu Thread (merged)

Unread postby eXpat » Sun 04 Oct 2009, 10:38:05

Creating the next generation of flu
Excreted Tamiflu found in rivers
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he premier flu-fighting drug is contaminating rivers downstream of sewage-treatment facilities, researchers in Japan confirm. The source: urinary excretion by people taking oseltamivir phosphate, best known as Tamiflu.

Concerns are now building that birds, which are natural influenza carriers, are being exposed to waterborne residues of Tamiflu’s active form and might develop and spread drug-resistant strains of seasonal and avian flu.

For their new study, Gopal Ghosh and his colleagues at Kyoto University sampled water discharged from three local sewage treatment plants and water at several points along two rivers into which the treated water flowed. Sampling started early in December 2008, as flu season got underway. The researchers sampled again at the height of the seasonal flu’s onslaught in early February and again as infection rates waned.

Tamiflu’s active form, oseltamivir carboxylate or OC, turned up in the treated sewage on every occasion, the researchers report online September 28 in Environmental Health Perspectives. Values were in the low nanograms per liter range during the first and last samplings, and reached a high of almost 300 ng/L at one outflow during the flu’s peak, a week when there were 1,738 recorded flu cases in Kyoto.

River residues showed up during only that second sampling — from low nanogram levels at most sampling points to a high of 190 ng/L in a portion of the Nishitakase River where treated sewage accounts for 90 percent of the flow.

Computer modeling has shown that OC should survive sewage treatment, notes Wolf von Tümpling Jr. of the Helmholtz Center for Environmental Research, a federal institute in Magdeburg, Germany. Ghosh’s team is now the first to confirm this, he says. Von Tümpling’s own data show that once exposed to sunlight, OC will break down, albeit slowly. Concentrations would fall at best by half every three weeks, he says.

If correlations predicted by earlier studies are correct, concentrations measured at some river sites in the new Kyoto study seem “high enough to lead to antiviral resistance in waterfowl,” Ghosh says.

http://www.sciencenews.org/view/generic/id/47971/title/Excreted_Tamiflu_found_in_rivers
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Canadian Study Links Seasonal Flu Shots To Swine Flu

Unread postby deMolay » Wed 07 Oct 2009, 06:36:48

"We Are All Travellers, From The Sweet Grass To The Packing House, From Birth To Death, We Wander Between The Two Eternities". An Old Cowboy.
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Re: Canadian Study Links Seasonal Flu Shots To Swine Flu

Unread postby deMolay » Mon 12 Oct 2009, 19:57:14

"We Are All Travellers, From The Sweet Grass To The Packing House, From Birth To Death, We Wander Between The Two Eternities". An Old Cowboy.
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Re: Canadian Study Links Seasonal Flu Shots To Swine Flu

Unread postby WildRose » Wed 14 Oct 2009, 12:34:33

demolay, I think it's interesting that "younger women" have been documented as being more susceptible to
severe illness from the H1N1 flu. I have a couple of thoughts about it but also a few questions, and I would
need to know the specifics about the women affected before I could try and see any pattern.

The average age of the women who died was 42, and the average age of the women who were admitted to ICU
was 32, according to the article. When I think about women in this age range, there are a few things that I think
may cause them to become more severely ill, depending on how the flu virus works. It could be that they are, on
average, more fitness conscious (eating well, exercising regularly) and that the severe illness is due to cytokine storm,
which causes healthier people to become sicker. Or, conversely, they may be working mothers, fatigued and not able
to fight illness as well. It would be really interesting to examine their cases and see if there are any common denominators.
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Re: THE Swine Flu Thread (merged)

Unread postby mos6507 » Fri 23 Oct 2009, 11:27:59

This extensive article from Wired magazine is worth a read.


Nice quotable:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')In 19th-century England, he explains, Jenner’s smallpox vaccine was known to be effective. But despite the Compulsory Vaccination Act of 1853, many people still refused to take it, and thousands died unnecessarily. “That was the birth of the anti-vaccine movement,” he says, adding that then — as now — those at the forefront “were great at mass marketing. It was a print-oriented society. They were great pamphleteers. And by the 1890s, they had driven immunization rates down to the 20 percent range.”

Immediately, smallpox took off again in England and Wales, killing 1,455 in 1893. Ireland and Scotland, by contrast, “didn’t have any anti-vaccine movement and had very high immunization rates and very little incidence of smallpox disease and death,” he says, taking a breath. “You’d like to think we would learn.”
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Re: THE Swine Flu Thread (merged)

Unread postby JJ » Fri 23 Oct 2009, 11:44:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JJ', '1')4 year old woke up sick this morning. 10% of the schools have swine flu; many, many people coming into the grocery store saying they and their families are positive for it. This is going to blow through everybody; there's no effort at containment. (Burnet, Texas)


wow I got a letter yesterday saying that because my kid missed three days of school, he has violated the attendance regulations and must make the days up. School just started. (He's a straight A student).
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Re: THE Swine Flu Thread (merged)

Unread postby frankthetank » Fri 23 Oct 2009, 12:52:48

JJ-

Did you catch it? I swear i had it back in July. I was very sick for a week and had all the symptoms. Schools should just shut down :) Webcams would work just fine.
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