by MrBill » Fri 02 Nov 2007, 05:42:08
rockdoc123 wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')erhaps you are too young to remember the NEB and how devastating it was for Alberta. The numbers I've seen suggest we will see similar affects, perhaps not immediately but certainly by 4th quarter 08.
The pace of economic development in the Province of Alberta as you know has been frantic and was in all likelyhood unsustainable. Not only that, but many workers in the oil industry are busy spending their paycheques as quick as they can. Nothing but car, truck and RV dealerships from Calgary to Edmonton one after another. There is in short no thought about the future. This is the same pattern of boom and bust as we saw in the 1970s. Anything that is unsustainable by definition must end.
In theory zero taxes would maximize employment and corporate profits. But how realistic is that when your public are demanding schools, roads, hospitals, police, healthcare and pensions? There has to be a fair tax burden, and at 10% Alberta corporate tax is already very low compared to almost anywhere else in the world. There is also no Provincial sales tax. You mentioned Norway. 28% corporate tax and VAT of 23%. The North Sea? The UK has 30% corporate tax and 17.5% VAT versus the Canadian GST of 6%.
If oil and gas companies cannot make money in Alberta then they have a poor business model and deserve to be bought out by competitors. As a taxpayer it is not in my interest to give corporations a free ride. And personal taxes in Canada that rise to 49% at the top marginal tax rate are quite high thank you very much. Oil and gas as well as our coal and forestry industries have to be managed with all stakeholders in mind and not just shareholders. Those resources do not belong to the oil and gas companies. They are Crown assets. They belong to Albertans and Canadians in general.
If Royalties are set too high it will discourage new investment and as you said new job creation. But that does not mean we have to give our finite resources away for free or operate in such a manner that our environment is permanently destroyed in the process of creating new jobs for foreigners and those from outside the Province as the case may be as we are already at full employment and are short on skilled workers in Alberta to meet existing demand. GNP is not everything.
The NEP was nothing like increasing royalties from a very low level by 20%. The NEP forced Alberta to sell oil at below market prices as a means of income transfer to the rest of Canada. Royalties are based on volumes. And of course corporate taxes are based on profitability. No profits, no taxes.
Of course, I know how cyclical oil & gas are, and I am old enough to remember the fallout from the NEP and the subsequent worldwide slump in not only oil & gas prices, but all commodities on which the Alberta economy depends. Those were salad days for Albertans. Not just oilfield workers but also farmers. Economic mismanagement and poor government always have a habit of destroying value and creating unemployment and hardship. Which is why you need sound economic policies and sustainable business models in place while prices are high and times are good. NAV is also not everything!
As for shut-in wells, the last time oil & gas prices were so low I was busy buying Canadian oil & gas funds because my friends in the patch assured me that the costs were already sunk in the ground and they could turn on the taps as soon as the price rose. Since 1998 those funds have performed very well. But I do not work in an oil company, at least not directly, so if you will share the data and analysis with us perhaps we will be better informed as well. Thanks.
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.