Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby odegaard » Sat 06 Jun 2009, 16:35:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', 'D')oes this mean college grad's will start out at $13.00 hour?

Not if they look like this. :wink:
Image
"They're not too big to fail, they're too big to bail out!" Peter Schiff
odegaard
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 382
Joined: Tue 21 Apr 2009, 00:36:50

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby Sixstrings » Sat 06 Jun 2009, 16:35:54

Huh.. some cute houses there for only 26k!
User avatar
Sixstrings
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 15160
Joined: Tue 08 Jul 2008, 03:00:00

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby jasonraymondson » Sat 06 Jun 2009, 16:38:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'H')uh.. some cute houses there for only 26k!


yea... this is pretty normal, in my hometown of Kahoka, they sometimes run around 18000. Though normally less than that means they require work. It is a good place to retire if you don't mind the winters.
jasonraymondson
Permanently Banned
 
Posts: 2727
Joined: Wed 04 Jul 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Peace Out

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby Sixstrings » Sat 06 Jun 2009, 17:03:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jasonraymondson', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'H')uh.. some cute houses there for only 26k!


yea... this is pretty normal, in my hometown of Kahoka, they sometimes run around 18000. Though normally less than that means they require work. It is a good place to retire if you don't mind the winters.


I live in Florida, so while housing is high, there are other costs we don't have. One would be heating.. I have relatives up north who've racked up unbelievabley high heating bills in the past. And then there's state income tax.. Florida has none, I see Missouri has 5%.

I haven't seen snow since I was maybe four years old (yes I have traveled many places outside the Sunshine State, just never while it was snowing). So anyway, the snow and extreme cold are mysteries to me. My brother lives up north, and I know he's gotten behind on heating bills before.. they shut him off at like 2 grand! (I think he uses nat gas) So that kind of thing is just out of my realm of experience, how it can possibly cost so much to heat a house.
User avatar
Sixstrings
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 15160
Joined: Tue 08 Jul 2008, 03:00:00

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby jasonraymondson » Sat 06 Jun 2009, 17:06:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jasonraymondson', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'H')uh.. some cute houses there for only 26k!


yea... this is pretty normal, in my hometown of Kahoka, they sometimes run around 18000. Though normally less than that means they require work. It is a good place to retire if you don't mind the winters.


I live in Florida, so while housing is high, there are other costs we don't have. One would be heating.. I have relatives up north who've racked up unbelievabley high heating bills in the past. And then there's state income tax.. Florida has none, I see Missouri has 5%.

I haven't seen snow since I was maybe four years old (yes I have traveled many places outside the Sunshine State, just never while it was snowing). So anyway, the snow and extreme cold are mysteries to me. My brother lives up north, and I know he's gotten behind on heating bills before.. they shut him off at like 2 grand! (I think he uses nat gas) So that kind of thing is just out of my realm of experience, how it can possibly cost so much to heat a house.


why does it cost so much to drive a car?
jasonraymondson
Permanently Banned
 
Posts: 2727
Joined: Wed 04 Jul 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Peace Out
Top

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby heroineworshipper » Sat 06 Jun 2009, 17:55:36

Unless you want to switch to cannibalism, you're better off moving to Hong Kong & working on semiconductors.
People first, then things, then dollars.
There will be enslavement, cannibalism, & zombie invasions.
User avatar
heroineworshipper
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 890
Joined: Fri 14 Jul 2006, 03:00:00
Location: Calif*

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Sat 06 Jun 2009, 18:44:27

I spend $150 a year on LP. That is for hot water and to heat the house when we are gone for more than a day.

Last year I spent <$15.00 in gasoline and a second hand chainsaw on heat.... a few years ago their was an initial investment of $2000 for a bigger wood burning stove, $30 for plumbing supplies so I could drain the pipes to the upstairs. If the last five years are indicative I should be able to heat the place on the downfalls on our 10 acres.... two neighbors would let me trade labor for access to their wood lots as well.

Not an option for everyone I know... but one reason for choosing this place is because it gave us this option.

Sometimes your luck chooses you; sometimes you choose your luck.
http://www.thenewfederalistpapers.com
User avatar
wisconsin_cur
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4576
Joined: Thu 10 May 2007, 03:00:00
Location: 45 degrees North. 883 feet above sealevel.

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby americandream » Sat 06 Jun 2009, 19:32:29

How long before these new startups run away to China? Anyone fancy venturing a guess.
americandream
Permanently Banned
 
Posts: 8650
Joined: Mon 18 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Sat 06 Jun 2009, 19:35:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'H')ow long before these new startups run away to China? Anyone fancy venturing a guess.


Depends; of course they will only stay away as long as globalism remains intact.
http://www.thenewfederalistpapers.com
User avatar
wisconsin_cur
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4576
Joined: Thu 10 May 2007, 03:00:00
Location: 45 degrees North. 883 feet above sealevel.
Top

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby americandream » Sat 06 Jun 2009, 19:55:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'H')ow long before these new startups run away to China? Anyone fancy venturing a guess.


Depends; of course they will only stay away as long as globalism remains intact.



Nope. They will use $12 an hour labour for as long as they take to develop this new business. Once its up and running, off we go.
americandream
Permanently Banned
 
Posts: 8650
Joined: Mon 18 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby frankthetank » Sat 06 Jun 2009, 23:41:18

Won't the poor just turn to crime? Start stealing everything they need from people who have the means?

Someday there will be the rich and the ultra poor... no one will be in the middle.
lawns should be outlawed.
User avatar
frankthetank
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 6202
Joined: Thu 16 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Southwest WI

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby Plantagenet » Sun 07 Jun 2009, 00:25:06

Not only will the people in the new "green" jobs earn $12 bucks an hour, they get to see their taxes go to subsidize the $45 bucks an hour paid to the autoworkers at Government Motors. :P
User avatar
Plantagenet
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 26765
Joined: Mon 09 Apr 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Alaska (its much bigger than Texas).

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby MarkJ » Sun 07 Jun 2009, 07:54:40

Some of my tenants left $8 to $9 per hour manufacturing jobs with no overtime, no benefits and frequent layoffs to work for the Wal-Mart distribution center where they started at around $14/$15 per hour and now make around $18 per hour with benefits.

While many wages in their region have stagnated or fallen since the early 90s, rents, housing and property taxes have doubled or tripled, plus the supply of decent affordable workforce housing is much tighter.

This is why so many people working low paying unskilled manufacturing, construction and service industry jobs and/or part time or seasonal jobs live with relatives, friends or room-mates.

Those that can't afford their local cost of living often commute, work two jobs and supplement their low incomes with welfare benefits like public/private subsidized housing, food stamps, WIC, cash assistance, child care, medical care, transportation assistance, vehicle purchase/repair, HEAP, Emergency HEAP, lifeline landline/cellular phone, free cellular phone/minutes, soup kitchens, food-banks and other local/private benefits.
User avatar
MarkJ
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 649
Joined: Tue 25 Mar 2008, 03:00:00

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby Sixstrings » Sun 07 Jun 2009, 08:03:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'H')ow long before these new startups run away to China? Anyone fancy venturing a guess.


Depends; of course they will only stay away as long as globalism remains intact.



Nope. They will use $12 an hour labour for as long as they take to develop this new business. Once its up and running, off we go.


Exactly! It's so obvious, how can people listen to this Green Jobs nonsense without puking? OF COURSE they will outsource the green jobs. So where do we turn after that? Blue, orange and purple jobs? :roll:

Our country is heading straight for the crapper, folks. We're becoming a highly stratified society, wherein there will be two classes -- the haves (those working for the government, in medical field, or professional degree holders) and the have-nots (everyone else).

And to anybody out there who's smug cuz they're working in IT, the globalists will come for your jobs too. And the globalists will eat away at medical as much as they can as well (the day will come when your MRI or x-ray is handled by a tech in India over the Internet).
User avatar
Sixstrings
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 15160
Joined: Tue 08 Jul 2008, 03:00:00
Top

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby patience » Sun 07 Jun 2009, 08:23:00

Sixstrings,

Agree. The few professionals will probably get their lives eroded also, as time goes by. Some years ago, it looked obvious to me that "globalization" meant that all workers compete with all other workes, wherever they are, subject to only the limitations of physical geography. I saw it start in manufacturing a long time ago, and began to strive for a place in agriculture, the only field I could think of that the US has advantages not as subject to global competition.

That was a comfortable step down for me in income, to far less than I made as an engineer, but I did it on my own terms, and I do fine now. Had I stayed where I was, there would be no job. That reality has been a wake up call for the unprepared lately, with more to come. Lots of pain on the way.
Local fix-it guy..
User avatar
patience
Resting in Peace
 
Posts: 3180
Joined: Fri 04 Jan 2008, 04:00:00

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby MarkJ » Sun 07 Jun 2009, 09:08:49

Our nation's largest private employer Wal-Mart is hiring 22,000 workers due to new construction and expansion.

These are the types of jobs that will be available for the future uneducated, unskilled, inexperienced job seekers.
User avatar
MarkJ
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 649
Joined: Tue 25 Mar 2008, 03:00:00

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby deMolay » Sun 07 Jun 2009, 09:45:15

I have to take a contrary view on this one. Yes we will end up with the Gubmint workers the new elite ruling class on top. But as Peak Oil hits its stride, the cost of shipping will end Globalization. And we will see a relocalization of jobs and manufacturing to some extend. The same with farming and food production. China will benefit only by its huge domestic market. China for example will be hard pressed to move iron ore from say Brazil to China. Make a product and then ship it to North America and still make a profit. It will be more profitable for a US company to make a product locally and sell it locally. But I do agree that high paying blue collar jobs will be a thing of the past.
"We Are All Travellers, From The Sweet Grass To The Packing House, From Birth To Death, We Wander Between The Two Eternities". An Old Cowboy.
User avatar
deMolay
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2671
Joined: Sun 04 Sep 2005, 03:00:00

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby Sixstrings » Sun 07 Jun 2009, 09:54:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MarkJ', 'O')ur nation's largest private employer Wal-Mart is hiring 22,000 workers due to new construction and expansion.

These are the types of jobs that will be available for the future uneducated, unskilled, inexperienced job seekers.


Mark, it's no longer a matter of "you're workin for $10 an hour cuz your uneducated and unskilled." It's becoming a matter of being educated and skilled in those FEW fields that globalization has not yet eroded. Or it's a matter of lucking into a goobermint job.

You would be surprised if you knew how many college degree holders are working in call centers for $10-12 per hour.

I've really learned this lesson as I've gotten older. Unless your education and experience are VERY specific -- the "professional" fields, your station in life will always be precarious. I've seen it happen over and over, where well-paid middle managers are thrown for a real loop when they get laid off. They invariable take a cut in pay, or have to start from the bottom again.

Whereas if your field is very specific, as in engineering, medical, accounting, legal, etc., it's much easier to make a lateral move into another position.
User avatar
Sixstrings
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 15160
Joined: Tue 08 Jul 2008, 03:00:00
Top

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby Sixstrings » Sun 07 Jun 2009, 10:03:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('patience', 'S')ixstrings,

Agree. The few professionals will probably get their lives eroded also, as time goes by. Some years ago, it looked obvious to me that "globalization" meant that all workers compete with all other workes, wherever they are, subject to only the limitations of physical geography. I saw it start in manufacturing a long time ago, and began to strive for a place in agriculture, the only field I could think of that the US has advantages not as subject to global competition.

That was a comfortable step down for me in income, to far less than I made as an engineer, but I did it on my own terms, and I do fine now. Had I stayed where I was, there would be no job. That reality has been a wake up call for the unprepared lately, with more to come. Lots of pain on the way.


Another issue here is robots. Robots have already taken countless manufacturing jobs, and I've read that this is going on even in China as well. And while a robot can't do office work, thanks to the Internet those jobs can now be done in India -- a nation with a billion + population of hungry low-wage and adequately educated English speakers.

Back to robots.. before you think I'm going too far on a limb here, the Japanese are working on robots that can do manual labor. In particular, they're very keen on developing nursing robots to care for their aging population. So the writing's on the wall, there goes all the CNA jobs.

With the exponential advance of processing power and robotics, it's not a stretch to imagine robots being able to one day stock those shelves at Wal Mart. And of course, robots don't unionize, they don't need lunch breaks or vacation, they don't get sick, they don't want to be paid, and they don't file sexual harassment lawsuits.
User avatar
Sixstrings
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 15160
Joined: Tue 08 Jul 2008, 03:00:00
Top

Re: The new 'good' job: 12 bucks an hour

Unread postby patience » Sun 07 Jun 2009, 11:14:42

I spent something over 30 years developing what we called "hard automation", and implementing robots into manufacturing functions. Past member of the Society of Manufacturing Engineers, and involved in their Robotics group in Louisville, KY, where Vern Estes of GE at Appliance Park in Louisvlile, was a pioneer in the field. I can state unequivocally that the effect of robots in the workplace has always been to ADD jobs, when they are successfully implemented. The result is greater output, and the need to have more highly trained people look after the robots and automation. If these are poorly applied, the company pays a big cost for the failure and returns to the old ways.

The Japanese are noted for their failures in CNC applications, as they are with the grand promises of robotics. Lots of big hype, short on delivery of results, like the "futuristic" cars that the automakers display each year, but never put in production. CNC machining and robotics provide consistency and higher quality where they are correctly applied, like programming, garbage in-garbage out. Lots of machine shops in the US went belly up trying to use CNC to do one-off jobs best suited to manual methods, and as many went uner trying to compete with CNC in its' best applications of making 5 to 500 pieces of something, before people learned the right ways. Robots are currently best at painting cars, welding mass produced items, and doing dangerous handling tasks, like loading a forging press with red hot steel parts.

The problems with inadequate nursing staffing go far beyond demographics. (Wife is a nursing drop out.) The business model of hospitals and nursing homes, which is basically ROI oriented, is at the root of it, followed by the insurance model, litigation, and many other woes. Robots do what they are programmed to do, by people, who invariably screw it up. (Old saying--To err is human, to really foul things up requires a computer.) Both robotics and computers are means of leveraging human effort. If robotics can be WELL applied to some aspect of medicine, we will like the results, but the simplistic idea of directly replacing a nurse with a robot ignores the basic function of a nurse, which is human judgement, a typically Japanese error. It is fine to scrap a few thousand parts getting a manuacturing line set up and running smoothly, but nursing does not have that margin for error. People get irritated if too many die while trying to get a thing worked out, and medical care is fraught with the problem of unique problems--the antithesis of programmed responses.

The same fears were hyped about computerization taking away jobs, and came out the same way--growth resulted, not job losses. Mexico has banned the import of a lot of heavy equipment out of the same fears, that it would put a lot of peon laborers out of work, and cause disruption. So, they stew in their poverty. The steam engine and factories in England met with the same resistance, because the cottage industry of handcarving wooden pulleys for sailing ship rigging was decimated. Yes, job losses happened for a time, but that was the start of that little thing we call the Industrial Revolution, in hindsight.

The future will require us to adapt, an uncomfortable thing for complacent humans, but necessary. Our jobs will change, and we will, too, like it or not.
Local fix-it guy..
User avatar
patience
Resting in Peace
 
Posts: 3180
Joined: Fri 04 Jan 2008, 04:00:00

PreviousNext

Return to Economics & Finance

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests

cron