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THE Poverty Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby Sixstrings » Mon 18 May 2009, 16:09:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PonyBoy78', 'D')oomerism.. hard to put into words, but I'll try anyway. --snip-- I'm a doomer, but I'm not willing to easily give-up on certain modern conveniences while making my plans and preps. :roll:

And maybe that's the point here.. that historically, tumultuous change is the norm, not the exception. We haven't really had a world-wide tumultuous crisis since WWII. Coinidentally, that war got going just as the Oil Age had ramped up to full steam. Access to Oil is even the reason why Japan went to war in the first place -- they had to grab Indonesia and all its natural resources from the Dutch, which also meant they had to take on the US.

Perhaps us post-WWII first worlders have become complacent, assuming that our predictable ever-growing lifestyle is the norm. But when the Oil Age ends, humanity will be faced with crisis we cannot really predict from where we stand today. I think no amount of rice and beans can really prep someone for that; the most important prepping is psychological.
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby Pretorian » Mon 18 May 2009, 18:14:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'A')ll the talking we do about preps, with stores of rice and beans, and walking to work and giving up this and that luxury.. if the day comes that there really are food shortages, and it's full-on Doom, I just don't think it will be so glamorous as the novel "World Made by Hand." --snip-- And so the paradox here is that while Doomers prep so enthusiastically for a third-world future, the people living in the third world today desperately dream to have all the common luxuries we in the first world enjoy -- thanks to the Age of Oil.

yes, exactly. for some people not being able to buy a coffee from starbucks or order a pizza equals doom and gloom.
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby mos6507 » Mon 18 May 2009, 21:03:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '
')And why should you, anyway? Personally, I don't think I need to practice up on suffering. I'm sure I'll be able to suffer just fine when I have to.


Right, but once you have an ecological mindset, you start to audit all of your consumption and even those who exercise a modest amount of powerdown are still well above 1 earth footprint. Even the Dervaes are above 1 earth. So there is always a residual amount of guilt over enjoying the last glimmer of BAU. Even though I'm not rushing around in a Hummer, whenever I run an errand in my Mazda3 I think about the CO2 I'm outputting--especially the road trip I took a few months ago. Every time I buy something, I think of the embodied energy in its manufacturing. Every time I eat some of the factory farmed food my dad brings home I think about topsoil erosion and pesticides. It's just like the woman in the Nightline piece who is holding the fancy juice bottle and admitting her guilt. Nobody is a saint. We all find it impossible to completley avoid indulging. It's just too convenient.
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 18 May 2009, 21:30:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', ' ')Nobody is a saint.


I agree. But I pretty much stopped feeling guilty about not being a saint. Maybe because I realize I will never be a saint. I don't see much benefit in feeling guilty, personally.

*shrug*
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby jdmartin » Tue 19 May 2009, 00:01:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', ' ')Nobody is a saint.
I agree. But I pretty much stopped feeling guilty about not being a saint. Maybe because I realize I will never be a saint. I don't see much benefit in feeling guilty, personally. *shrug*

Me neither. You do what you can do and that's what you've got. I prefer to be at least semi-prepared, and I look at it like this - if all my getting out of debt, growing my own food, living simple plans turn out to be unnecessary, what have I lost? I'm wealthier, healthier, and wiser. Nothing wrong with that :)
After fueling up their cars, Twyman says they bowed their heads and asked God for cheaper gas.There was no immediate answer, but he says other motorists joined in and the service station owner didn't run them off.
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby VMarcHart » Tue 19 May 2009, 07:27:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'I')f you want to see hunger and doom, go to places like North Korea, the slums of Brazil and India, or most of Africa. I don't think you'll find any sense of adventure in the way the hungry and poor live, their life just is what it is -- hard, painful, and short.
The third world countries, again?!?! How do YOU know how they live? Have YOU been to North Korea, Brazil, India and "most" of Africa?

I'm not diminishing your point that preparing to live the glory of the good ole doom days it's a futile exercise, but please allow me to share with you that you don't need to travel too far to meet the havenots. Try just changing 2 digits in your zip code. Last night's segment of CBS Evening News about children living in the Metra in Chicago was a case.

Poverty is right under our noses, just like peak oil.
On 9/29/08, cube wrote: "The Dow will drop to 4,000 within 2 years". The current tally is 239 bold predictions, 9 right, 96 wrong, 134 open. If you've heard here, it's probably wrong.
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby VMarcHart » Tue 19 May 2009, 08:02:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', 'D')o we really need American Idol? Do we really need Wal Mart stocked with backscratchers shipped in from China? Losing that kind of lifestyle might be therapeutic...
On the JIT thread the other day, a woman was describing how her husband was upset he couldn't find his favorite kind of pickles.

I like that this thread is in the psychology forum; the downhill will mess more with the head than with any other body part.
On 9/29/08, cube wrote: "The Dow will drop to 4,000 within 2 years". The current tally is 239 bold predictions, 9 right, 96 wrong, 134 open. If you've heard here, it's probably wrong.
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby PonyBoy78 » Tue 19 May 2009, 09:54:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', 'I')'ve used this analogy before, but think of peak oil doom as being on an elevator. We're now living in the penthouse. As the elevator goes down, we lose the trappings of luxury. At first, this won't seem so bad. Do we really need American Idol? Do we really need Wal Mart stocked with backscratchers shipped in from China? Losing that kind of lifestyle might be therapeutic, but what most doomers are worried about is the elevator not stopping at some comfortable level of austerity, but continuing to go down, down, down, into an abyss. Some more cornucopian types think it will stop about halfway and all will be well. We won't really know until we get there. Where we stop will validate or deny various carrying capacity models. We'll have to stop arguing over predicting the future and just experience energy descent in realtime. We'll pass various floors one by one and say goodbye to various cornucopian predictions forever. Going down and where she stops, nobody knows is scary, period.


This probably reflects the consumer that I was raised to be, but one of my key measuring sticks is the variety that we see at the grocery store. Three different flavor variations of Coke (Lime/Vanilla/Schnozberry), 50 choices in the salad dressing aisle, every bread you can think of, a gazillion different ice cream flavors to comb over.. we still have a lot of cushion to burn through before we start cutting into bare-bone "necessities."

I haven't come-up with an exact quantifiable standard, but when things go downhill at the grocery store in a major way, my own internal alarm will begin to sound-off.
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby mos6507 » Tue 19 May 2009, 10:36:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '
')I agree. But I pretty much stopped feeling guilty about not being a saint. Maybe because I realize I will never be a saint. I don't see much benefit in feeling guilty, personally.


I think a dose of guilt is therapeutic because too often here I see this pathological scapegoating going on as a coping mechanism. So many of us are desperately trying to externalize the blame for collapse. A lot of us here feeling superior to the "sheeple". But whether you have Mr. Truck Nutz burning 100 gallons of diesel a day and eating steak every night or me burning a gallon a week and a hamburger every couple weeks, we're both pushing humanity closer to the edge and I have to be willing to be accountable for my bit part in the drama. If anything we should be held to a higher standard because we know better. Everyone else isn't even aware of what they do.
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby Ludi » Tue 19 May 2009, 12:26:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '
')
I think a dose of guilt is therapeutic because too often here I see this pathological scapegoating going on as a coping mechanism.



Well good, you can enjoy a dose of guilt on my behalf. I spent most of my life feeling guilty about stuff ("sin" when I was a Christian, being "wrong and bad" later on). I've had it with guilt, personally.
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby jdmartin » Wed 20 May 2009, 15:08:41

I follow MOS's line of thinking. It's easy to point fingers at other people and say "Look at how wasteful they are" when we're really all part of the system. As I've said on here a million times, one man's waste is another man's job. Even the "self-sufficient", like the Amish, depend on all kinds of mechanized, industrialized processi, from the Chinese garment factories that produce their materials, to the people in "the system" that buy all their knicknacks and quilts.

On the other hand, I'm with Ludi: there's really nothing to feel guilty about if you're doing your best. Every one of us that logs on to this board is using resources, same as everyone else (what keeps all these servers running? Mountaintop removal coal, or diminishing natural gas-flavored electricity), and all you can do is the best you can do. Now, if you're pissing away resources on purpose to party like it's 1959, well, maybe you should feel guilty :-D
After fueling up their cars, Twyman says they bowed their heads and asked God for cheaper gas.There was no immediate answer, but he says other motorists joined in and the service station owner didn't run them off.
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby VMarcHart » Wed 20 May 2009, 16:14:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', 'I')t's easy to point fingers at other people and say "Look at how wasteful they are" when we're really all part of the system.
There is a certain level of activity that matches a carrying capacity. When the 2 meet, there is no waste. All this in a simplistic nutshell explanation, of course.

There was a time centuries ago, that it was all honky-dory.
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby jdmartin » Wed 20 May 2009, 22:50:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('VMarcHart', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', 'I')t's easy to point fingers at other people and say "Look at how wasteful they are" when we're really all part of the system.
There is a certain level of activity that matches a carrying capacity. When the 2 meet, there is no waste. All this in a simplistic nutshell explanation, of course.

There was a time centuries ago, that it was all honky-dory.


I get what you're saying but it was never "honky-dory" for everyone, ever. For example here in the US I doubt slaves or native Americans would have found everything "honky-dory". Activity always equals current carrying capacity, how could it be any other way? We can't [yet] hallucinate production into existence, as we're finding out now.
After fueling up their cars, Twyman says they bowed their heads and asked God for cheaper gas.There was no immediate answer, but he says other motorists joined in and the service station owner didn't run them off.
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby VMarcHart » Thu 21 May 2009, 09:24:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', '.')..it was never "honky-dory" for everyone, ever. For example here in the US I doubt slaves or native Americans would have found everything "honky-dory". Activity always equals current carrying capacity, how could it be any other way? We can't [yet] hallucinate production into existence, as we're finding out now.
You need might to refresh on the definition of carrying capacity --"...the population size of the species its environment can sustain in the long term, given the food, habitat, water and other necessities available in that environment."--, because activity doesn't always equal carrying capacity. Sorry.

Centuries ago, before the en masse arrival of Europeans, although I wasn't here, but I'm pretty sure there was enough bison and fresh water for everyone, and I doubt they were any where near drawing from the phantom carrying capacity. So yes, things were "honky-dory" back then, and would've stayed that way for centuries more than under the newly imposed European time-line.
On 9/29/08, cube wrote: "The Dow will drop to 4,000 within 2 years". The current tally is 239 bold predictions, 9 right, 96 wrong, 134 open. If you've heard here, it's probably wrong.
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby Ludi » Thu 21 May 2009, 11:44:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('VMarcHart', ' ')So yes, things were "honky-dory" back then, and would've stayed that way for centuries more than under the newly imposed European time-line.



As a comparison, it took the native Australians about 40,000 years to do a similar amount of damage to their continent as the Europeans did to North America in about 400 years.

So even though native peoples were never "harmless" to their environment, they were a heck of a lot less harmful than Europeans.

Some ways of life are just more damaging than others, it seems. We could, if we wanted to, choose a less damaging way of life. But change is difficult. :(
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby jdmartin » Thu 21 May 2009, 23:32:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('VMarcHart', 'Y')ou need might to refresh on the definition of carrying capacity --"...the population size of the species its environment can sustain in the long term, given the food, habitat, water and other necessities available in that environment."--, because activity doesn't always equal carrying capacity. Sorry.

Centuries ago, before the en masse arrival of Europeans, although I wasn't here, but I'm pretty sure there was enough bison and fresh water for everyone, and I doubt they were any where near drawing from the phantom carrying capacity. So yes, things were "honky-dory" back then, and would've stayed that way for centuries more than under the newly imposed European time-line.


That definition is always changing, both locally and globally. It's impossible to say with any certainty, though most of us suspect as much, that the planet's future carrying capacity for humans won't increase or decrease. If you told scientists 200 years ago that we'd be sustaining 7 billion humans on the planet, they probably would have laughed and said it was impossible. Just as we today say that 10 or 11 billion is impossible.

Aside from that, you're living in a hypothetical world where the bounties are split more evenly. Well, hell, if we did that today we'd probably easily support another couple of billion just as we are. One American probably equals three or four Africans...we could subtract 25% of our food intake, provide it to someone else, and they'd be great.
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby VMarcHart » Fri 22 May 2009, 09:39:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', 'T')hat [carrying capacity] definition is always changing, both locally and globally. It's impossible to say with any certainty, though most of us suspect as much, that the planet's future carrying capacity for humans won't increase or decrease. If you told scientists 200 years ago that we'd be sustaining 7 billion humans on the planet, they probably would have laughed and said it was impossible. Just as we today say that 10 or 11 billion is impossible ... we'd probably easily support another couple of billion just as we are.

One American probably equals three or four Africans...we could subtract 25% of our food intake, provide it to someone else, and they'd be great.
JD, it sounds you're a bit confused with the definitions and terms.

The definition doesn't change. The carrying capacity does, due to weather, technology, etc. Thus, the planet's future carrying capacity will change; it's always changing.

200 years ago, people knew they had exceeded the then carrying capacity, they knew they were using the phantom carrying capacity, and they knew they had more people than they could feed, clothe, etc. (By people, I mean the same proportion of people that know that today; people like you and me.) Then some key inventions, such as the steam machine, increased the carrying capacity. Yes, they would've laughed at me, but the extra 6 billion since aren't being “sustained” or “supported” as you say. We are rather simply living. No different than the extra 2-4-6 extra billion people that will be added to the current population. The planet’s reserves are huge, and can allow for billions to live off it, but that doesn’t change the definition of carrying capacity.

BTW, on a footprint scale, one American equals 5-6 Africans, and on an energy basis, as many as 40.
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby Ludi » Fri 22 May 2009, 15:18:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', ' ')One American probably equals three or four Africans



More like 20 - 30 Africans.

The US uses about 25% of the entire world's resources, with only about 5% of the population.

To just be fair, not even necessarily sustainable, we Americans would have to cut our resource use to 1/5 of what it currently is.
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Re: Is Doomerism just putting a fashionable spin on "poverty"?

Unread postby bodigami » Mon 03 Aug 2009, 22:16:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', ' ')One American probably equals three or four Africans



More like 20 - 30 Africans.

The US uses about 25% of the entire world's resources, with only about 5% of the population.

To just be fair, not even necessarily sustainable, we Americans would have to cut our resource use to 1/5 of what it currently is.


USAmericans are quite a pathetic bunch of ppl; sad samsaraputras... with some few exeptions.
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Criminalizing Poverty For Profit

Unread postby deMolay » Tue 20 Oct 2009, 18:49:03

Depression flattens the tax rolls, and local government hikes fines fess and penalties to continue gorging themselves and their fat paycheques and pensions. If this is true do you agree with it, or should government be cut back like everyone else. http://www.oftwominds.com/blogoct09/cri ... 10-09.html
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