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THE High Speed Rail [US] Thread (merged)

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Thu 16 Apr 2009, 23:56:52

Anybody who has read my posts in the past knows that I am 110% in favor of high-speed rail in the US. Why we remain one of the few first-world nations without a world-class rail transportation system is beyond ludicrous, and borders on the asinine - as if we have a 100-year chip on our collective shoulders against railways in general, recalling distant memories of rail monopolies that prohibited the free movement of people and goods within the US.

Anyways, I've done some thesis work tangentially related to high-speed rail. Here is one such map that I devised for the south-central US region (Kansas City to Mexico corridor), indicating a proposed network of high-speed rail lines, with stations spaced ~100 miles apart, on average.

Image

And here is another graphic indicating relative densities (pp/sq mi), and travel times of the automobile vs. the car between cities in the region.

Image
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby Plantagenet » Thu 16 Apr 2009, 23:57:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', 'I')'m for it, so long as it stops at the In-And-Out-Burger.

$8 billion might lay ca. 200 miles of track



Dude has identified the nub of the problem, as usual, --this time the problem is the completely inadequate funding for high speed rail in the Obama budget. And also as usual, Obama is saying some interesting things but doing stupid things.

The main reason I think Obama's 800 billion porkulus bill was so stupid is that only 1% of the stimulus is going to high speed rail---much of the rest is being wasted on pork and earmarks and mob museums and dog runs and other dreck written in by individual congressmen.

Obama has wasted an opportunity to do something to help take the US off oil before peak oil hits hard. How stupid of Obama to waste 800 BILLION DOLLARS and wind up with nothing to show for it.
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby Plantagenet » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 00:15:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('emersonbiggins', 'A')nybody who has read my posts in the past knows that I am 110% in favor of high-speed rail in the US. Why we remain one of the few first-world nations without a world-class rail transportation system is beyond ludicrous, and borders on the asinine - as if we have a 100-year chip on our collective shoulders against railways in general, recalling distant memories of rail monopolies that prohibited the free movement of people and goods within the US.

Anyways, I've done some thesis work tangentially related to high-speed rail. Here is one such map that I devised for the south-central US region (Kansas City to Mexico corridor), indicating a proposed network of high-speed rail lines, with stations spaced ~100 miles apart, on average.


Hi Emerson:

Thanks for the fantastic graphics. Is this part of your Ph.d. thesis?

The pics really help with visualization of the Texas population centers that would be served by high speed rail running north from the Mexican border. I'm sure you know a lot more then I do about the failed private proposal to build high speed between Dallas, San Antonio and Houston-----their original budget was about 6 billion for the project.....probably be 10 times that now, wouldn't you think?
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby mos6507 » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 00:28:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')The pics really help with visualization of the Texas population centers that would be served by high speed rail running north from the Mexican border.


Texas won't benefit from this. They're seceding, remember?
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby mos6507 » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 00:42:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', '
')Yup, pretty sure he is right. Big waste of money to support the elite.


They certainly will have to be the elite. I just checked the Acela and it costs $65 to get from Boston to Providence and back (an Exurb style commute that some people try to do). If this is the pricing we'll have I don't see how any mere mortals would use this for anything but vacation travel as an airlines substitute.

By car it would take longer and you'll fight traffic and road-rage but with only 49 miles between the two cities, you'd burn probably 4-5 gallons max doing it. Gas would have to go over $10-12 a gallon to be more expensive than the Acela. It's like taking the Concorde.
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby Plantagenet » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 00:54:47

Amtrak is a federal bureaucracy. OF COURSE its fares are high.

If you want lower fares, then either lobby your congressman for higher government subsidies or privatize it.
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby bencole » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 01:04:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bencole', '
')The high speed is basically just a convenience for commuters who live far away from their job.


Are you sure about that? The node points on these trains are pretty far apart. Are they even going to make any stops along the way other than the cities marked? (I hope they do, because the one that goes from Boston to Canada passes right through Vermont.)



Yes, I'm pretty sure.

Also I don't believe the Boston - Montreal route will become a reality anytime soon. In Canada the only feasible high speed rail route will likely be the Highway 401 corridor, Windsor to Quebec City via London, Toronto, Ottawa and Montreal, because it contains about half of Canada's population. (but still highly unlikely due to economics).

And in the US, I think the only feasible route will still likely be the Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Baltimore, Washington, D.C. corridor upgraded to something faster. ( a megalopolis with nearly twice Canada's entire population on this route alone).
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 01:26:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('emersonbiggins', 'A')nybody who has read my posts in the past knows that I am 110% in favor of high-speed rail in the US. Why we remain one of the few first-world nations without a world-class rail transportation system is beyond ludicrous, and borders on the asinine - as if we have a 100-year chip on our collective shoulders against railways in general, recalling distant memories of rail monopolies that prohibited the free movement of people and goods within the US.

Anyways, I've done some thesis work tangentially related to high-speed rail. Here is one such map that I devised for the south-central US region (Kansas City to Mexico corridor), indicating a proposed network of high-speed rail lines, with stations spaced ~100 miles apart, on average.


Hi Emerson:

Thanks for the fantastic graphics. Is this part of your Ph.d. thesis?

The pics really help with visualization of the Texas population centers that would be served by high speed rail running north from the Mexican border. I'm sure you know a lot more then I do about the failed private proposal to build high speed between Dallas, San Antonio and Houston-----their original budget was about 6 billion for the project.....probably be 10 times that now, wouldn't you think?


Thanks for the kind words, PA - actually, this work was part of my master's thesis in architecture.

From what I know of the former Texas high-speed rail proposal, Southwest Airlines lobbied hard against funding for the studies (intercity Texas travel was their bread-and-butter in the 90's), and, as it became apparent that the use of eminent domain to condemn property for rights-of-way was not going to be granted for the private consortium pulling funding together for the system, the proposal was shelved indefinitely. Not all that surprising, really, considering that it takes the power of the state to get most infrastructural-scale projects built in the first place, e.g. the interstate system. I do not think that the failure of the proposal is an indictment of its validity, or profitability, but merely a demonstration that private consortiums alone cannot build on the macro-scale that such a system commands.

As for the cost, the number floated around a year ago for a national high-speed rail system was in the neighborhood of $250 billion dollars, which included construction in 10-15 major corridors. I believe the cost of the Texas system (as I envisioned) would be in the $20-30 billion range, though the disparate land parcelization that has occurred since the construction of the interstate highway system may find a new from-the-ground system unworkable.

I think there is some validity in studying the use of existing interstate corridors and medians for acquiring ROW for high-speed rail.
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby Quinny » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 02:08:56

I'm a big fan of rail & public transport, but, why 'high speed'.

Surely the important thing is to have an efficient transportation system for freight. People should rarely be travelling long distance not on a daily basis. IMO a passenger rail system with 100 miles between stops is one that should be used maybe once a year for vacation, not a commuter line! Home working and skills training would be a better way to spend money than encouraging long distance commutes.

If large amounts are being spent on major infrastructure projects, we should be looking at sustainable power generation like tidal barrages or hydro, not schemes that encourage people to travel to work!
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 02:47:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'A')mtrak is a federal bureaucracy. OF COURSE its fares are high.

If you want lower fares, then either lobby your congressman for higher government subsidies or privatize it.


Amtrak fares are high because few people ride the rails. If many people rode the rails, the fares would drops substantially. Has nothing to do with privatization, and besides, where would private capital to build such a thing come from these days anyhow?

That being said, its hard to figure any scenario PPO that would have lots of people riding high speed rail every day to keep the costs within reason. Far as the people end of things go, really what you need more than intercity high speed rail is more intracity light rail so people don't have to drive to work. On the freight end, you mainly just need to upgrade the current rail system, because there is no good reason freight needs to move a 200MPH. You also of course need freight to move, and that is the biggest problem right now for the rail system. There are tons of laid up freight trains sitting idle because they don't have any freight to move.

As mentioned here already, in terms of big infrastructure projects, some form of renewable energy project would be the better choice here for spending the funny money. However, regardless of the choice of projects, I expect they will be undertaken and funded, and then be left unfinished once the charade of endless irredeemable debt financing dissolves. No way will taxpayers ever be able to pay for these projects, and they can only even be started now with freshly minted money that has no backing whatsoever.

This will reemploy a few construction workers currently on Unemployment, but I hardly think the gang of modern Coolies they put together to start laying track and driving spikes is going to make a huge dent in the overall unemployment problem. To me, this whole thing smacks of Popular Science articles from my youth which show the Jetsons vision of the future of gleaming cities connected to bucolic rural Doomsteads by Superconducting Levitating Monorails. Too many people grew up on this stuff, along with Star Trek and Warp Drives and Dilithium Crystals producing endless clean energy in Matter-Antimatter Engines, and they actually still BELIEVE this is the future.

WAKE UP CALL! Even if they laid the track, where is the energy going to come from to drive these trains at 200MPH? We are going to buld a fleet of Nuclear Locomotives to pull the trains? One such locomotive would probably cost about the same as a Nuclear Submarine or Aircraft Carrier. Maybe if they put up a Windmill along every 100 feet of track you could keep the trains moving on Windy days.

This is just all fantasy now, the funny money is fantasy, the dream of an America that looks like a Jetson's Cartoon is a fantasy also. Nobody is getting REAL here. The smart thing to do would be to redesign our current cities to work on less power and redesign our agricultural model to have fewer agribusinesses and more small farms, where more people would have REAL work to do in permaculture farming. Take our GM factories producing cars, and produce more small looms for weaving clothing material from hemp. Produce more Bicycles and HPVs that have two people pulling a small trailer of goods to their local town from the railhead. It is NOT time to get Bigger and Faster. The time has come to get SMALLER AND SLOWER. Big is EVIL. Small is GOOD.

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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 02:48:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Quinny', 'I')'m a big fan of rail & public transport, but, why 'high speed'.

Surely the important thing is to have an efficient transportation system for freight. People should rarely be travelling long distance not on a daily basis. IMO a passenger rail system with 100 miles between stops is one that should be used maybe once a year for vacation, not a commuter line! Home working and skills training would be a better way to spend money than encouraging long distance commutes.

If large amounts are being spent on major infrastructure projects, we should be looking at sustainable power generation like tidal barrages or hydro, not schemes that encourage people to travel to work!


Intercity rail would be used for no more than supplanting the planeloads of passengers (business executives, tourists and the like) currently ferrying between Dallas and Houston (or Austin, etc.) dozens of times a day, and redirecting travel that is now congesting the highways and airspace within a region onto a more sustainable form of transport. That's the intent, not encouraging people to live 100 miles from their work (although you certainly could - an expensive proposition, though).

It would allow a rich interplay of opportunities, currently limited by travel times and congestion, to emerge though. For example, the ability for a Dallas resident to attend Ph.D seminars at UT-Austin two days a week, or attend a concert in a city halfway across the state in two-hours notice (not that this should be encouraged). Also, high-speed rail provides redundancy within our transportation system, which is sorely limited to two modes, with one of the two (airlines) highly susceptible to interminable deterioration in the face of peak oil.
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby Quinny » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 03:16:57

EB I like your style and agree with a lot you say, but on this we will probably have to agree to disagree.

The planloads of passenger currently ferrying between Dallas and Houston dozens of times a day shouldn't be!

They certainly don't need to!

Think Global, act Local.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('emersonbiggins', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Quinny', 'I')'m a big fan of rail & public transport, but, why 'high speed'.

Surely the important thing is to have an efficient transportation system for freight. People should rarely be travelling long distance not on a daily basis. IMO a passenger rail system with 100 miles between stops is one that should be used maybe once a year for vacation, not a commuter line! Home working and skills training would be a better way to spend money than encouraging long distance commutes.

If large amounts are being spent on major infrastructure projects, we should be looking at sustainable power generation like tidal barrages or hydro, not schemes that encourage people to travel to work!


Intercity rail would be used for no more than supplanting the planeloads of passengers (business executives, tourists and the like) currently ferrying between Dallas and Houston (or Austin, etc.) dozens of times a day, and redirecting travel that is now congesting the highways and airspace within a region onto a more sustainable form of transport. That's the intent, not encouraging people to live 100 miles from their work (although you certainly could - an expensive proposition, though).

It would allow a rich interplay of opportunities, currently limited by travel times and congestion, to emerge though. For example, the ability for a Dallas resident to attend Ph.D seminars at UT-Austin two days a week, or attend a concert in a city halfway across the state in two-hours notice (not that this should be encouraged). Also, high-speed rail provides redundancy within our transportation system, which is sorely limited to two modes, with one of the two (airlines) highly susceptible to interminable deterioration in the face of peak oil.
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby bencole » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 04:20:04

A simple and elegant 100 year old solution to the excessive cost and right of way issues ( long straight rails, minimum turn radius of 7 km, etc) of high speed rail infrastructure. A good physics read a too! :)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gyro_monorail
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 07:59:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', '
')Yup, pretty sure he is right. Big waste of money to support the elite.


They certainly will have to be the elite. I just checked the Acela and it costs $65 to get from Boston to Providence and back (an Exurb style commute that some people try to do). If this is the pricing we'll have I don't see how any mere mortals would use this for anything but vacation travel as an airlines substitute.

By car it would take longer and you'll fight traffic and road-rage but with only 49 miles between the two cities, you'd burn probably 4-5 gallons max doing it. Gas would have to go over $10-12 a gallon to be more expensive than the Acela. It's like taking the Concorde.


OK, now run the equation if your figure 4 people are traveling together.
Acela is now $260, car is still under $50 bucks.

Now go and look at what it takes to build a high speed rail line. Completely new right of way from the ground up to get the stability, spacing and gentle radius curves. It would be like building a new interstate only harder. This is one of those ideas that sounds good, and can be made to work in the right area, but I doubt that the US due to the NIMBY factor.

There was a time when rail (inter-urbans) were huge in this country. Common folk used this transport to get around before cars. Thousands of miles in Pennsylvania alone. You could go almost anywhere. I've heard it said that you could ride from (IIRC) Boston to Chicago on connecting lines. Not major railroads, little community to community trollys.

Old story with faulty memory but roughly accurate. About 15 years ago I had a babysitter, hired through an agency, full SS and all that crap. We paid $17/hour through an agency. She got maybe $10. Nice grandmotherly lady. She would come over for 5 hours 3 or 4 times a week. It cost her between $4 and $5 dollars to ride the bus/subway to make the round trip. She spent nearly 3 hours doing it. So, for 5 hours work she got $45 bucks and spent about 8 hours. Just over $4 per hour.

I had a lot of admiration for that lady. That is who we should be helping. Not some Wall Street suit to get in and out of Manhattan, or LA, or Chicago or where ever.
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby dinopello » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 08:04:39

Union Station in DC to Penn Station in NY is $133 on Acela round trip.
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 10:28:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Quinny', 'E')B I like your style and agree with a lot you say, but on this we will probably have to agree to disagree.

The planloads of passenger currently ferrying between Dallas and Houston dozens of times a day shouldn't be!

They certainly don't need to!

Think Global, act Local.


Thanks! - and you could be very right about this. The incessant shifting of people about the world is reminiscent of the quote, "the center cannot hold." It very well may not.
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby Plantagenet » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 10:58:47

The bottom-line here is that Obama IS NOT going to build high speed rail networks in the U.S.

He's going to dribble out a few billion dollars, which will disappear into planning studies and maintainance on the pathetic existing train network.

Obama hasn't allocated enough money to make high speed rail happen-----his rail plan is a sham. Obama himself says his money for rail is a "first step." We've already had the first step.....the crummy Acela line from Boston to DC averaging 80 mph.

Its time for a real high speed train network in the US but Obama isn't going to support it.

Obama will throw a few billion dollars at it to make "true believers" like Mos all giggly, but the actual effect of his plan is to delay the prospect of a national program to build High Speed Rail in the U.S. by another 4-8 years.

Obama's High Speed Rail plan, like his deficit reduction plan, is a farcial lie.
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 11:17:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dinopello', 'U')nion Station in DC to Penn Station in NY is $133 on Acela round trip.


Saturday NY to DC
Train 2117 $133
Train 2159 $199
Train 2121 $199
Train 2163 $221

Sunday DC to NY return
Train 2250 $155
Train 2252 $155

Least possible fare $288, 1 adult, no discounts, 2hour 50 minutes travel time - station to station

According to MS Streets and Trips
225.4 miles
Duration 3 hours, 34 minutes = which is a lie except from 1am to 5am. More likely to be 5 to 6 hours.
At 500 miles x $0.50/mile cost would be $250.


So, if you are going downtown to downtown by yourself then it works and works well.

If you are going someplace else that requires a feeder trip (bus/taxi/drive & park) it likely does not work.
Also if you are traveling with one extra person, that person is free, no extra cost.

So there is your target demographic - the lone business person traveling downtown to downtown. The competition is not the private car but the airline commuter. Competing with the airlines AMTRAK Acela is a hands down winner mostly because you "land" close to your point of interest and avoid all the TSA stuff.
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 11:38:19

I thought some of you guys might like this perspective from an industry insider.

http://www.masstransitmag.com/interacti ... o-nowhere/

High-Speed Rail to Nowhere

Posted by Fred Jandt
Mass Transit magazine editor

As I write this it’s been a few hours since the President announced his high-speed rail vision for the United States. Long enough time for stories to fill up the Internet, but I haven’t had a chance to hear the pundits come out of their holes and bash the plan or put it up on an unreachable pedestal. As my brother is fond of saying, I’m approaching this with cautious optimism. I just hope President Obama knows what he’s getting himself into.

Let me be clear on one point. I live in the Midwest. And because of this — among other reasons — I want a high-speed rail network. I want it desperately. I’ve ridden the trains in other countries. I know how convenient they — not can be — are. I also know that these countries sink a considerable amount of money into them.

Note that last sentence: present tense.

I applaud President Obama for having the vision, wherewithal and passion to make this happen. The investment of $8 billion this year and another $5 billion over the next five years will definitely get a high-speed rail network bristling with activity. And with public-private partnerships, we could see trains running on these lines in less than a decade.

But then what?

We built it. They came. Now who’s going to run those high-speed rail corridors? The $13 billion is a nice down payment to get the system built, but what about the operating costs. Make no mistake; this is a public transportation system. We can call it a national high-speed rail network and make allusions to the Interstate Highway System, but it is still public transit.

And where are our public transit systems these days? Washington, D.C.? Atlanta? Boston? New York? Seattle? San Francisco? San Diego? Chicago? Los Angeles? Dallas? All of these systems and more are facing major operating budget shortfalls in the next year. Most of them are considering (possibly drastic) service cuts and fare increases. The recent stimulus funds have helped a little, but public transit is still choking on its own success.

The creation of the high-speed rail network isn’t the only thing that needs to be planned and funded. Its management and operation needs to be as well — which may just be the most difficult part. Are individual corridors going to fall under the purview of the local public transit authorities? Is it going to the state DOTs? Or are these going to be part of Amtrak? This is the true question that needs to be answered when it comes to a high-speed rail network.

I want high-speed rail. I think it’s a wonderful idea. I think it will not only be good for the environment, but also for the Interstate System, the airline industry and public transportation agencies in particular. But consider me cautiously optimistic until I here just how it’s going to be operated.

Check out Mass Transit’s new Top 40 Under 40 promotion on our Web site. We’re looking to recognize transit’s best and brightest under the age of 40 in an upcoming issue. Click on the link and you can read more about it and nominate yourself or any of your colleagues.

Thanks for reading the MT Position updated every Friday,

Fred
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Re: Billions to High Speed Rail

Unread postby bencole » Fri 17 Apr 2009, 14:50:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '[')The bottom-line here is that Obama IS NOT going to build high speed rail networks in the U.S.

He's going to dribble out a few billion dollars, which will disappear into planning studies and maintainance on the pathetic existing train network.


More than likely.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')bama hasn't allocated enough money to make high speed rail happen


True, not anywhere close to being enough.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '-')----his rail plan is a sham. Obama himself says his money for rail is a "first step." We've already had the first step.....the crummy Acela line from Boston to DC averaging 80 mph.


Which to me makes the Acela train not a true high speed train.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')ts time for a real high speed train network in the US but Obama isn't going to support it.


I think he supports the idea, but at the same time he's probably also realistic and knows that it won't happen anytime soon.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')bama will throw a few billion dollars at it to make "true believers" like Mos all giggly, but the actual effect of his plan is to delay the prospect of a national program to build High Speed Rail in the U.S. by another 4-8 years.

I think he is putting the money out there to see if industry and the public will bite, I honestly don't think he is trying to deliberately delay high speed rail, he realizes that the only way to get it started is to stir up considerable interest. This will have to be a massive effort across the board with cooperation on all levels, I don't think the Federal Gov. can simply mandate it into existance.
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