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Montequest: 9.1% decline?

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Montequest: 9.1% decline?

Unread postby Revi » Mon 16 Feb 2009, 02:08:21

There's nothing the matter with conservation and efficiency. I think that only a fraction of people will do it, but they will be the ones that can live within their income, while the yahoos with their giant pickups end up living in some trailer somewhere freezing in the dark, unable to go anywhere because they can't afford the gas.

The car of the immediate future is the hyundai accent. It's a completely inocuous car which is cheap to operate and can be bought cheaply.

Without credit most people won't be able to do much to their houses, so the only thing they can economize on is transportation. They might have a big pickup now, but when the economy tanks even worse next year they'll send it to the knacker.

This depression is hitting men far worse than women. Men drive the pickups. They will be back to riding shanks mare soon enough.

If they are lucky and smart they'll become insulation contractors and keep the truck for real work.
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Re: Montequest: 9.1% decline?

Unread postby TonyPrep » Mon 16 Feb 2009, 04:05:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yesplease', 'N')ot being able to distinguish between two (or more) choices does not automatically make one of those a default position.
It doesn't matter, YP. Each position (believing in no natural limits or not considering them) results in the same actions. If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck ...
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yesplease', 'F')or one, it's impossible on a finite world, which kinda makes it a moot point
It doesn't make it moot if people believe it is possible or act as though it is.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yesplease', 'I')f you want to believe that a logical contradiction is the default position then that's your choice, but just because you believe in the impossible does not make it possible.
I don't believe in the impossible. Do you believe that every person thinks and acts in a logical manner? I certainly don't, which is why I made the point. We've had this conversation many times, YP and you always, at some point, suggest that I believe in the impossible. It's a poor tactic to argue against a position that is not held.
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Re: Montequest: 9.1% decline?

Unread postby TonyPrep » Mon 16 Feb 2009, 04:07:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Revi', 'W')ithout credit most people won't be able to do much to their houses, so the only thing they can economize on is transportation. They might have a big pickup now, but when the economy tanks even worse next year they'll send it to the knacker.
Without credit, how do they send it to the knacker? Unless it's not replaced or they can unload it onto someone who can still afford to by it.
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Re: Montequest: 9.1% decline?

Unread postby rangerone314 » Tue 17 Feb 2009, 10:50:54

If we were to COMPLETELY ditch the personal automobile concept except as transportation to-and-from clustered distribution centers (ie Walmart, SamsClub/Costco) and mass-transit hubs (electric light rail) we MIGHT be able to survive economically.

If light rail for passengers and electric rail for freight were used, that would sidestep the whole liquid fuel for transporation issue. Celluosic ethanol or biodiesal might be enough if cars were only used for to-and-from transporation. (ie once a week trip to the nearest large centralized grocery store and daily trip to mass-transit hub)
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Re: Montequest: 9.1% decline?

Unread postby zeke » Tue 17 Feb 2009, 11:08:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rangerone314', 'I')f we were to COMPLETELY ditch the personal automobile concept except as transportation to-and-from clustered distribution centers (ie Walmart, SamsClub/Costco) and mass-transit hubs (electric light rail) we MIGHT be able to survive economically.



I'd take it a bit further and say that if we were to COMPLETELY ditch the personal automobile, and restore rail and pump up other forms of mass transit, shift radically away from a "consumer economy," grow up, do without, start acting like we have the biggest brains on the planet, and do whatever's necessary to protect the environment, stop pumpin' out babies and eliminate every lifeway that's not sustainable, including the far-flung, spread out way we have of locating everything, and stop the war-based foreign policy model, we might have a chance of surviving.

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Re: Montequest: 9.1% decline?

Unread postby rangerone314 » Tue 17 Feb 2009, 11:22:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('zeke', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rangerone314', 'I')f we were to COMPLETELY ditch the personal automobile concept except as transportation to-and-from clustered distribution centers (ie Walmart, SamsClub/Costco) and mass-transit hubs (electric light rail) we MIGHT be able to survive economically.



I'd take it a bit further and say that if we were to COMPLETELY ditch the personal automobile, and restore rail and pump up other forms of mass transit, shift radically away from a "consumer economy," grow up, do without, start acting like we have the biggest brains on the planet, and do whatever's necessary to protect the environment, stop pumpin' out babies and eliminate every lifeway that's not sustainable, including the far-flung, spread out way we have of locating everything, and stop the war-based foreign policy model, we might have a chance of surviving.

zeke


"start acting like we have the biggest brains on the planet" seems like a pretty tall order, given the way things have gone with "civilization" the past 6000 years. It is not the fitest that survive but the most adaptable.

If our level of "intelligence" leads us to NOT be adaptable, then we will become extinct, intelligence notwithstanding.
An ideology is by definition not a search for TRUTH-but a search for PROOF that its point of view is right

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Re: Montequest: 9.1% decline?

Unread postby zeke » Tue 17 Feb 2009, 11:46:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rangerone314', ' ')It is not the fitest that survive but the most adaptable.

If our level of "intelligence" leads us to NOT be adaptable, then we will become extinct, intelligence notwithstanding.



your position is that abandoning car-based consumer lifeways in favor of harmony and balance with nature is not adapting?
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Re: Montequest: 9.1% decline?

Unread postby rangerone314 » Tue 17 Feb 2009, 12:02:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('zeke', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rangerone314', ' ')It is not the fitest that survive but the most adaptable.

If our level of "intelligence" leads us to NOT be adaptable, then we will become extinct, intelligence notwithstanding.



your position is that abandoning car-based consumer lifeways in favor of harmony and balance with nature is not adapting?


It would be adapting but I'm not sure it will happen. People now support change: they simply want someone else to do it.

People are mentally and physically lazy: they want a Great Leader figure (Reagan, Bush II, Obama) to wave a magic wand and make it all better for them.

All the "systems" we have and the corporations will too strongly support the status quo for a top-down solution to work, like idea of massive mass transit overhaul.

This leaves solutions at the individual or small group of people level.

The problem with the "people" solution is that people are too much like over-populated goats, and I fear the people who try to adapt by "abandoning car-based consumer lifeways in favor of harmony and balance with nature" will be overrun by all the "goats" who would rather scavage & consume than adapt.

If you want to be more like the Native Americans were, best have more firepower than they had...
An ideology is by definition not a search for TRUTH-but a search for PROOF that its point of view is right

Equals barter and negotiate-people with power just take

You cant defend freedom by eliminating it-unknown

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Re: Montequest: 9.1% decline?

Unread postby zeke » Tue 17 Feb 2009, 12:04:04

*sigh*...yeah...I can't add much to that.


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Re: Montequest: 9.1% decline?

Unread postby rangerone314 » Tue 17 Feb 2009, 12:13:21

I've always wondered about when civilizations like the Maya and the Romans collapse, if there was any realization at the time this was happening, and why, humans being such intelligent animals, they didn't take the measures necessary to stop a collapse.

I come to realise 2 things

1) There are always people who see the writing on the wall... including during the Roman times.

2) That advanced civilizations exist because of established systems, and such systems are usually too inflexible to survive great change, even if smart individuals within them recognize that collapse is inevitable without change.

People in the US are so hung up on supporting our established systems... they will cling to it like a lead life raft and drown doing so.

If I were somehow able to be cryogenically frozen and thawed out in the future, I don't I could explain to future people how we were unable to prevent the collapse of our civilization even though people like me knew it would happen.

We are not more intelligent or adaptable than the Romans, and only arrogance would let us think we are not subject to the same true natural laws...
An ideology is by definition not a search for TRUTH-but a search for PROOF that its point of view is right

Equals barter and negotiate-people with power just take

You cant defend freedom by eliminating it-unknown

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Re: Montequest: 9.1% decline?

Unread postby zeke » Tue 17 Feb 2009, 12:20:52

I think it could be explained partly by the problem with hubris that h. sapiens has...

plus, you cite 6000 years ago...the time often cited as the turning from a cooperative society structure to something more empire/conquest oriented.

those observations don't help much now, as most ppl seem to want to add more wood to those fires...it would be nice to think that a huge failing of civilization would force a behavioral and cultural re-direct, and that maybe nature would weed out the imperialist dominator-competitor genes in favor of something superior.


yeah..


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Re: Montequest: 9.1% decline?

Unread postby rangerone314 » Tue 17 Feb 2009, 12:35:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('zeke', 'I') think it could be explained partly by the problem with hubris that h. sapiens has...

plus, you cite 6000 years ago...the time often cited as the turning from a cooperative society structure to something more empire/conquest oriented.

those observations don't help much now, as most ppl seem to want to add more wood to those fires...it would be nice to think that a huge failing of civilization would force a behavioral and cultural re-direct, and that maybe nature would weed out the imperialist dominator-competitor genes in favor of something superior.


yeah..


z


It is not impossible what you suggest about genetic shift...

We ASSUME that before the advent of man, that there weren't other species with such domninace that they overwhelmed other species and destabalized the whole system.

It is quite possible that has happened before, and a collapse then caused the death of such species, or atleast a genetic shift more favorable towards co-existence.

6,000 years of civilization out of hundreds of thousands of years of our species' existence... and even that is a smidgen on the timeline. We could disappear from the earth and not be much noticed 300 million years from now.
An ideology is by definition not a search for TRUTH-but a search for PROOF that its point of view is right

Equals barter and negotiate-people with power just take

You cant defend freedom by eliminating it-unknown

Our elected reps should wear sponsor patches on their suits so we know who they represent-like Nascar-Roy
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