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THE Mexico Thread Pt. 2 (merged)

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Re: Mexico trims exports to US

Unread postby eastbay » Tue 22 Jul 2008, 00:50:40

Ok, so Mexico's selling the USA around 2 mb/week less than it was a year ago. So, how is the USA making up for this 100 million bbls/yr of oil shortfall? Who's selling the USA more by 100 mb/yr? How much longer can it scrounge around the planet replacing oil from depleting foreign oilfields?
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Re: Mexico trims exports to US

Unread postby burtonridr » Tue 22 Jul 2008, 11:47:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('frankthetank', 'R')egime change! Turn those 150,000 soldiers in Iraq into the new Mexico City police force.


Yea, kill two birds with one stone :lol:
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Re: Mexico trims exports to US

Unread postby newman1979 » Fri 01 Aug 2008, 11:51:39

Pemex cuts target to 2.8M barrels a day
Compiled from Herald News Services
Published: Thursday, July 31, 2008
Petroleos Mexicanos, the third-largest oil supplier to the U.S., lowered its crude oil production target for a second time in as many months as its largest field, Cantarell, declined faster than forecast.

Pemex, as the Mexican state-owned oil company is known, expects to produce 2.8 million barrels a day this year, said Vinicio Suro, managing director of planning and evaluation at Pemex's exploration and production unit, on a conference call today with analysts.

Chief executive Jesus Reyes Heroles said on May 29 that Pemex lowered its daily production target for 2008 to 2.9 million barrels from 3.1 million barrels. A four-year decline in output and reserves is putting pressure on Pemex to increase funding to boost exploration
Pemex pumped 2.856 million barrels a day in the first six months of the year, a 9.7 per cent decline from 3.162 million barrels a year ago.
From this release yesterday, It is clear that imports from Mexico will continue to fall faster than anyone thought possible. The scale of this fall can be demonstrated by comparing that the four largest GOM fields in the U.S. only total 1 m/b/d production. In three years Cantarell will have caused the U.S. to lose the equivalent of the three largest GOM fields permanently and one more year to lose the fourth.
Mexico subsidizes gasoline domestically from 350,000 b/d imported from the U.S. These facts weigh on our gasoline markets and oil markets and are not reported or analyzed in the media in general.
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Economist on Mexican Peak Oil

Unread postby dohboi » Fri 01 Aug 2008, 14:08:46

More main stream coverage of Peak.

Mexican Oil

"Since 2005, daily production has dropped more than 300,000 barrels per day, or roughly 10 percent -- and this at a time of historically high global prices. Reserves have been falling since the mid-1980s. This is relevant to U.S. consumers, because Mexico is the second-largest exporter of oil to the United States, behind Canada.

Mexico, which is not a member of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, was the world's sixth-largest oil producer in 2006. But many analysts believe that Mexican production has peaked and will decline in coming years, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration."

Very old news to those on this forum, but part of an increasing number of articles covering aspects of PO in MSM lately.
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Re: Economist on Mexican Peak Oil

Unread postby TheDude » Fri 01 Aug 2008, 14:18:26

Voters have rejected foreign involvement in Mexican oil production. Curiously though the nitrogen injection system at Cantarell was built by 6 companies including US Fluor and Westcoast Energy of Canada. Wonder how they slipped that under the radar?
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Re: Economist on Mexican Peak Oil

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Fri 01 Aug 2008, 14:29:15

Mexico is a prime example of what happens when you stick it to the big evil oil companies.

Mexico doesn't just have a windfall profits tax, they use oil tax money to fund 40% of their federal government.

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Re: Economist on Mexican Peak Oil

Unread postby Twilight » Fri 01 Aug 2008, 14:31:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'M')exico is a prime example of what happens when you stick it to the big evil oil companies.

Mexico doesn't just have a windfall profits tax, they use oil tax money to fund 40% of their federal government.

8O

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Re: Economist on Mexican Peak Oil

Unread postby Cashmere » Fri 01 Aug 2008, 14:46:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Twilight', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'M')exico is a prime example of what happens when you stick it to the big evil oil companies.

Mexico doesn't just have a windfall profits tax, they use oil tax money to fund 40% of their federal government.

8O

Cash cows scream "single point of failure", but maybe that's just me.


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Re: Economist on Mexican Peak Oil

Unread postby Starvid » Fri 01 Aug 2008, 14:52:56

How is that wall of yours going? :wink:
Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
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Re: Economist on Mexican Peak Oil

Unread postby Bas » Fri 01 Aug 2008, 15:18:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'M')exico is a prime example of what happens when you stick it to the big evil oil companies.

Mexico doesn't just have a windfall profits tax, they use oil tax money to fund 40% of their federal government.

8O


SA kicked out the big oil companies, and they seem to be doing a better, more responsible job without them. So to say that Mexico is a prime example of what happens when you throw them out is just one side of the truth and not the whole of it. Also it may benefit Mexico in the long run to not be maxing out production now with the help of the latest tech and more investment, as oil will probably be more valuable in the future. On the other hand I have the impression that also the field management suffers from underinvestment in Mexico which in turn may lead to smaller volume of ultimately recoverable oil. (something the Saudis excell in from what I understand).
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Re: Economist on Mexican Peak Oil

Unread postby Concerned » Fri 01 Aug 2008, 15:27:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'M')exico is a prime example of what happens when you stick it to the big evil oil companies.

Mexico doesn't just have a windfall profits tax, they use oil tax money to fund 40% of their federal government.

8O


So if the US allowed more foreign oil companies to work the lower 48 it would reverse the peak of 70-71?

Or can only American companies working non US oil fields reverse declines?

Should American oil companies head out the to the North Sea? To fix that little "blip" in production?


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Re: Economist on Mexican Peak Oil

Unread postby Pretorian » Fri 01 Aug 2008, 15:41:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', '
')Mexico doesn't just have a windfall profits tax, they use oil tax money to fund 40% of their federal government.
8O


Which means they rape their citizens 40% less than US does its own. Once oil is gone they will rape them more often or reduce number of entitled rapists.
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Re: Economist on Mexican Peak Oil

Unread postby ROCKMAN » Fri 01 Aug 2008, 16:56:11

Bas,

You might want to update the doings of SA oil/gas. With the exception of Brazil, things have gotten pretty bad done there are are getting worse. And the reason Bz doing well is that Petrobras (owned 60% by the Bz gov't) is a public company run on a for-profit basis. That and they fact that they also encourage foreign companies to drill there.

But don’t that change your story. I work in the US oil patch and anything that hinders oil development overseas benefits me.
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Re: Economist on Mexican Peak Oil

Unread postby Starvid » Fri 01 Aug 2008, 18:06:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ROCKMAN', 'B')as,

You might want to update the doings of SA oil/gas. With the exception of Brazil, things have gotten pretty bad done there are are getting worse. And the reason Bz doing well is that Petrobras (owned 60% by the Bz gov't) is a public company run on a for-profit basis. That and they fact that they also encourage foreign companies to drill there.

But don’t that change your story. I work in the US oil patch and anything that hinders oil development overseas benefits me.
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THE Mexico Thread Pt. 2 (merged)

Unread postby timmatoil » Fri 06 Feb 2009, 15:34:35

I was curious about who everyone thinks could benefit from the weak Peso? I was thinking that perhaps foreign miners could greatly benefit from the cheaper labor and potentially cheaper mining companies in Mexico(as acquisitions). Any thoughts?
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Re: THE Mexico Thread (merged)

Unread postby Plantagenet » Fri 06 Feb 2009, 21:17:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('timmatoil', 'I') was curious about who everyone thinks could benefit from the weak Peso? I was thinking that perhaps foreign miners could greatly benefit from the cheaper labor and potentially cheaper mining companies in Mexico(as acquisitions). Any thoughts?


Mexico socialized its oil industry decades ago, taking over all foreign oil properties. I don't think its a friendly or stable place for foreign mining companies to invest and acquire Mexican companies.
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Mexico Reaching Tipping Point

Unread postby deMolay » Wed 25 Feb 2009, 22:10:58

Citizens protesting Government oppression from the drug wars. http://www.time.com/time/world/article/ ... 82,00.html
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Re: Mexico Reaching Tipping Point

Unread postby Blacksmith » Wed 25 Feb 2009, 23:32:29

Government of Canada
TRAVEL REPORT

Canadians travelling to Mexico should exercise a high degree of caution due to occasional demonstrations and protests, and due to high levels of criminal activity, some involving the use of violence.
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Trade War Developing/Mexico Imposes Tariffs on the US

Unread postby deMolay » Tue 17 Mar 2009, 20:36:26

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&sid=axu42OVmfsj0&refer=latin_america Mexico is pissed at the US over trucking ban and has imposed tariffs on 90 items.
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Re: Trade War Developing/Mexico Imposes Tariffs on the US

Unread postby deMolay » Tue 17 Mar 2009, 22:52:39

Mexico Imposes Tariffs on U.S. Amid Trucking Dispute (Update1)
By Mark Drajem

March 17 (Bloomberg) -- Mexico set the stage for the first trade war of President Barack Obama’s administration by slapping import tariffs on $2.4 billion of U.S. goods in retaliation for a ban of its trucks from American roads.

The tariffs, on about 90 items from 40 states, were imposed by Economy Minister Gerardo Ruiz Mateos yesterday after the U.S. suspended a program to allow Mexican 18-wheelers to deliver goods across the border. U.S. Republican lawmakers said Mexico, which didn’t provide details, would impose tariffs on farm goods such as rice, beef, wheat and beans.
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