Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

THE Karl Denninger Thread (merged)

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Scary read from K. Denninger this morning!

Unread postby crude_intentions » Mon 26 Jan 2009, 21:09:59

I don't think Schiffs wrong about decoupling. Just because it has not happened yet does not mean that it won't happen. I don't have any money to invest but if i did I would probably go with the guy who's been right about 80% of the time.
Reality is merely an illusion, albeit a very persistent one.
- Albert Einstein
User avatar
crude_intentions
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 315
Joined: Mon 03 Jan 2005, 04:00:00
Location: South Carolina

Re: Scary read from K. Denninger this morning!

Unread postby patience » Tue 27 Jan 2009, 08:23:54

Timing is what counts if you want to make a buck. Buy and hold just doesn't seem to be working at present. Of course, those who guessed right in the 30's and bought gold stocks won big later on. But the majority lost their shirts. I'll go with the averages there, and stay the heck OUT of the market for the foreseeable future.

Yeah, everything changes directions, eventually. I don't know if I'll live long enough to see that, though. At least I don't want to bet on it just now. Eventually, I think all that money the FED is issuing to banks will come home to roost in the economy, and that is inflationary.

Other things are afoot at the moment, with other central banks poised to devalue, notably the UK. If/when they do that, and others also, it becomes a race to beggar thy neighbor with devaluations. For a resident of any particular country, the situation could change dramatically, and fast, with regard to the prices of imported goods. I don't see any way to predict the details of that outcome at this point.

At this time, Denninger makes a lot of sense saying to watch the bond markets. Demand for US Treasuries has dropped a bit, and with a huge US deficit looming for 2009, it does not bode well for US financing their deficit. That says interest rates will rise on US T's. Whether they "print" to fight that (by the FED buying T's with fiat or some other trick), and how much, is the key issue that Karl is pointing at now, and I agree.

In order to stay solvent through this, if that is possible, one must be right EVERY time the market changes. At this point, I'm way ahead over the past couple years listening to Karl. That could change in a heartbeat, and lose it all. We are skiiing down the backslope of Peak Oil, and there are a lot of obstacles on the route. It only takes one wipeout to do you in, but we don't have the choice to NOT participate. Scary times, indeed.
Local fix-it guy..
User avatar
patience
Resting in Peace
 
Posts: 3180
Joined: Fri 04 Jan 2008, 04:00:00

OBAMA: Are you LISTENING?

Unread postby AlexdeLarge » Mon 02 Mar 2009, 14:55:03

Dear BHO,

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')ou are certifiably insane; only an insane person does the same thing over and over, which has repeatedly failed, and expects a different result.

I hope you enjoy this Barack, because it's all yours, and every man, woman and child in America needs to understand that it is your refusal to do the right thing that has continued the bleeding in their 401ks (now 201ks and soon 101ks or even 51ks), IRAs, and soon their pension plans will all blow up, bankrupting over 100 of our largest firms and putting 10 million more people out of work.

Congratulations Barack; we are now in a full-on economic and market meltdown over the last week and it is getting MUCH WORSE as a direct and proximate cause of your policies.


http://market-ticker.denninger.net/archives/844-OBAMA-Are-you-LISTENING.html

P.S. Karl did vote for the Golden Child.......looks like he has lost his faith.
Viddy well, little brother. Viddy well.
User avatar
AlexdeLarge
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1806
Joined: Tue 20 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: I have a whole ward

Re: OBAMA: Are you LISTENING?

Unread postby nobodypanic » Mon 02 Mar 2009, 15:13:43

doesn't anyone get it? doesn't karl get it? we can't go back to where things were. everyone bitching and moaning (well most) has essentially the same underlying assumption: that if only we'd do something different, then we could get things back to the way they were! then the 401ks and pensions and stock portfolios could all be saved. hell, even obama by his actions seems to think that as well. although, even if he didn't, i doubt he'd be able to act differently.

it's over.

the only sane thing left to do is to dump the entire stupid paradigm; to cut it loose before it drags us into oblivion.
User avatar
nobodypanic
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1103
Joined: Mon 02 Jun 2008, 03:00:00

Re: OBAMA: Are you LISTENING?

Unread postby Livewire713 » Mon 02 Mar 2009, 16:12:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'C')orrect. --snip--We have to face the implications of limited growth and opportunity. Either death to most or distribution of wealth. That is scientific fact not political agenda. Until the repubs, demos, and the general population figures that out we will continue to dig our graves deeper.
I agree 100% were way past the point of no return. Just pray your in a place that has enough local resources to make it through the turmoil that is to come.
User avatar
Livewire713
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 334
Joined: Fri 30 Sep 2005, 03:00:00

Re: OBAMA: Are you LISTENING?

Unread postby Fishman » Mon 02 Mar 2009, 16:17:49

Pstarr
I was so hoping for a SLOW crash, you know, drop a few plates at a time, not the entire act. This guy seems to be actively trying to crash the system.
So are you saying we send all our illegal immigrants back? Dramaticly cut back on the nanny state? Jamestown rules, work or starve?
I'm ok with population limitation, no father, no kids right?
Obama, the FUBAR presidency gets scraped off the boot
User avatar
Fishman
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2137
Joined: Thu 11 Aug 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Carolina de Norte

Re: OBAMA: Are you LISTENING?

Unread postby Fishman » Mon 02 Mar 2009, 16:21:48

"continue to pour taxpayer money into a black hole "
Rat Hole economics, just amazing.
Obama, the FUBAR presidency gets scraped off the boot
User avatar
Fishman
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2137
Joined: Thu 11 Aug 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Carolina de Norte

Re: OBAMA: Are you LISTENING?

Unread postby Daniel_Plainview » Mon 02 Mar 2009, 20:36:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pstarr', 'C')orrect. The entire paradigm must go.The paradigm that says unlimited growth and opportunity in a finite world is possible. The notion that humans can breed like yeast and not suck dry every other thing on the planet has been disproven. That paradigm does not work anymore.
Oblabla, Pelosi, Geithner, Bernanke, Barney Frank, et. al will NEVER let the paradigm go.
User avatar
Daniel_Plainview
Prognosticator
Prognosticator
 
Posts: 4220
Joined: Tue 06 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: 7035 Hollis ... Near the Observatory ... Just down the way, tucked back in the small woods

Re: OBAMA: Are you LISTENING?

Unread postby AlexdeLarge » Mon 02 Mar 2009, 20:56:10

The DOW since the Stimulous Bill.........

Image

Hey Obama!!! I don't have any change!!!!!!!

http://www.southparkstudios.com/clips/155590/?tag=Change
Viddy well, little brother. Viddy well.
User avatar
AlexdeLarge
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1806
Joined: Tue 20 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: I have a whole ward

Re: OBAMA: Are you LISTENING?

Unread postby gnm » Tue 03 Mar 2009, 00:02:41

So how'd you feel about Bush-boys massive deficits Alex? All for that 700+ bailout were you? I'm not PrObama either. Different sides.. Same coin...

-G
gnm
 

Re: OBAMA: Are you LISTENING?

Unread postby eastbay » Tue 03 Mar 2009, 00:29:04

Handing out vast... unbelievably vast ... sums of money to those who have demonstrably PROVEN that they're failures dealing with money. From failed banks and insurance companies to individuals it's Darwinism in reverse.

Rewarding the weakest and having the strongest pay for it.

It's typical war-freak Obama nuttiness.
Got Dharma?

Everything is Impermanent. Shakyamuni Buddha
User avatar
eastbay
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 7186
Joined: Sat 18 Dec 2004, 04:00:00
Location: One Mile From the Columbia River

Re: OBAMA: Are you LISTENING?

Unread postby jupiters_release » Tue 03 Mar 2009, 00:35:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eastbay', 'H')anding out vast... unbelievably vast ... sums of money to those who have demonstrably PROVEN that they're failures dealing with money. From failed banks and insurance companies to individuals it's Darwinism in reverse. Rewarding the weakest and having the strongest pay for it.
They, whoever they are, aren't the weakest if they have the political power to take the people's money. Darwinism has nothing to do with a 'strong' business system that's destroying the earth.
Do not seek the truth, only cease to cherish opinions.
jupiters_release
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1301
Joined: Mon 10 Oct 2005, 03:00:00

Re: OBAMA: Are you LISTENING?

Unread postby Plantagenet » Tue 03 Mar 2009, 00:47:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AlexdeLarge', 'T')he DOW since the Stimulous Bill.. Hey Obama!!! I don't have any change!!
The market has gone straight down since Obama was elected four months ago. Its fall accelerated when Obama replaced his hope shtick with his new doom-and-gloom shtick.
User avatar
Plantagenet
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 26765
Joined: Mon 09 Apr 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Alaska (its much bigger than Texas).
Top

Re: OBAMA: Are you LISTENING?

Unread postby eastbay » Tue 03 Mar 2009, 00:48:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jupiters_release', '[')b]They, whoever they are, aren't the weakest if they have the political power to take the people's money. Darwinism has nothing to do with a 'strong' business system that's destroying the earth.
I could have been clearer... I thought it was obvious, but maybe not. 'They' defined:
-On one extreme I was referring to AIG, BS, CITI, GM, and the many recipient banks etc... getting rewarded. For being greedy.
-.. and on the other to homeowners who in most cases bought more house than they needed or could afford. Oh I realize there's blame to go around, but buyers of costly homes signed their names driven by greed and misplaced desire for larger and better properties. And they're the ones getting rewarded. For being greedy.
-Rewarded by Obama. Sickening. And expected from someone who tosses himself a 1/4 billion dollar party and believes war is good. America, you all got suckered big by this Chicago thug. We tried to tell ya...
Got Dharma?

Everything is Impermanent. Shakyamuni Buddha
User avatar
eastbay
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 7186
Joined: Sat 18 Dec 2004, 04:00:00
Location: One Mile From the Columbia River
Top

Re: OBAMA: Are you LISTENING?

Unread postby jupiters_release » Tue 03 Mar 2009, 01:57:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eastbay', 'I') could have been clearer... I thought it was obvious, but maybe not. 'They' defined:
-On one extreme I was referring to AIG, BS, CITI, GM, and the many recipient banks etc... getting rewarded. --snip-- And expected from someone who tosses himself a 1/4 billion dollar party and believes war is good. America, you all got suckered big by this Chicago thug. We tried to tell ya...
Obama's not a thug, he doesn't have anything to do with policy, he's only there to take the blame from comments like yours and give people false hope along with all the other politicians. If you can't see reality for what it is after all these years on this forum then not sure why I'm even responding. Don't mind my bad mood please.
Do not seek the truth, only cease to cherish opinions.
jupiters_release
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1301
Joined: Mon 10 Oct 2005, 03:00:00
Top

Re: OBAMA: Are you LISTENING?

Unread postby eastbay » Tue 03 Mar 2009, 12:56:46

I hear ya Jupiter... it's just that I don't get the sense of rewarding those who failed the most. It gets so very annoying to constantly hear what a wonderful thing is soon to be happening with the economy with the actions of the new president.

And in reality it's mostly a matter of implementing decisions made by others. Largely the same others making the decisions for Bush and Clinton.

By 'thug' I was talking about Obama carrying out the decisions. As thugs do.
Got Dharma?

Everything is Impermanent. Shakyamuni Buddha
User avatar
eastbay
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 7186
Joined: Sat 18 Dec 2004, 04:00:00
Location: One Mile From the Columbia River

Re: OBAMA: Are you LISTENING?

Unread postby Ludi » Tue 03 Mar 2009, 13:58:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eastbay', ' ')It gets so very annoying to constantly hear what a wonderful thing is soon to be happening with the economy with the actions of the new president.



I haven't been hearing that at all. But then I don't listen to main stream media - mostly lefty media, who have been saying things will probably get much worse and these stimulus thingies will at best keep it from getting simply horrible.

Is there a lot of talk in the main stream about how wonderful the economy will be soon?
Ludi
 
Top

Re: OBAMA: Are you LISTENING?

Unread postby vision-master » Tue 03 Mar 2009, 14:41:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eastbay', ' ')It gets so very annoying to constantly hear what a wonderful thing is soon to be happening with the economy with the actions of the new president.



I haven't been hearing that at all. But then I don't listen to main stream media - mostly lefty media, who have been saying things will probably get much worse and these stimulus thingies will at best keep it from getting simply horrible.

Is there a lot of talk in the main stream about how wonderful the economy will be soon?


Our Gov just spoke about a deficit around 6 billion. :lol:
vision-master
 
Top

PreviousNext

Return to Economics & Finance

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

cron