Wow.....
Did anyone actually READ the materials on TDP?
Thermal inputs....
The process takes any hydrocarbon or CARBOHYDRATE and turns it into gas, kerosene, naptha (gasoline), diesel oil, sterile and clean water, and chemicals, including materials either immediately useable for fertilizer or easily synthesized into fertilizer, metals and industrial carbon.
Note the first out put - gas. The plant burns the gas to produce heat, pressure and electricity. The plant requires external power for about the first hour of operation. After that, it creates its own power and doesn't require external power. While the Carthage plant is said to produce 600 BBL per day, it ACTUALLY produces 720 bbl. The first 120 bbl equivalent of energy is used to run the plant to produce a 600 bbl per day surplus. No external energy source is needed once the plant is up and running. It takes 60 minutes to process a batch.
Feedstocks.
TDP talks about feedstocks - whether turkey guts and bones or sewage or trash or tires or people. Each feedstock has its own mix of gas, liquid fuels, water and chemicals. Each comes in with LONG hydrocarbon chains that are broken down into short chains, called fuel.
The US produces 4,700,000,000 tons of household waste a year. Catalytic Depolymerization would yield 2,000,000,000 bbl, or 25% of our oil useage. Check out the sources, any way you cut it, our waste products would replace all our oil needs based on US consumption. US aggricultural wastes alone would produce 4 billion bbl per year. The two sources would net out 6 billion bbl. IF we went ahead and mandated that all passenger cars, light trucks, medium trucks (FEDEX/FRITOLAY/ALHAMBRA) and shuttle buses were all PHEV's, US oil consumption would drop about 40% to about 4.6 billion bbl per year. That would leave us with at least a 1.4 billion bbl per year surplus.
Caveat: Any plastics or tires used represent fossilized oil. The amount of oil produced by a "waste" tire is much less then the oil initially used to produce it. The same can be said for plastics. On the other hand...... How far this technology can go depends on how widely deployed it is. It can handle industrial waste such as pulp from paper mills. US papermill wastes could be changed from caustic, poisonous and ecologically damaging products to oil, gas and clean water, while providing 2.5% of current US oil consumption. There are figures floating around that deployed world wide would net 60 billion bbl per year. Current world consumption is 30 billion bbl per year. If true, that would take care of any concern about replacing losses from converting plastics/tires to oil and back to tires/plastics.
Global Warming, Air pollution and the Environment: The fuels derived from TDP have had almost all contaminants removed, and have not sat in the ground for millions of years collecting other chemicals. This results in less sulphur emissions and for the diesel almost zero particulates. The NOX problems remain the same - that is a function of efficiency in burning. The CO2 problem dissapears to the degree that we are using carbohydrates for the feedstock. That CO2 is released by burning, then taken up into the food chain, which becomes waste or produces waste and is turned back into oil. Legacy tires and plastic will release fossilized CO2, but as the TDP oil starts being used to make tires and plastic, the C02 ceases to be from fossilized sources. Initially, 60 to 70% of the C02 is "current", and as production ramps up it will top out at 100%. Another immediate impact is that the materials places into landfills will drop by about 95%. For laughs and giggles, we can even revisit old landfills that are releasing methane (20x worse the CO2 as a green house gas) and dig them up for additional feedstock.
Costs and common misunderstandings about Carthage......
The cost... It depends on the feedstock and whether you have to buy it or are paid to collect it. Carthage is a partnership started with I beleive ConAgra. They had a waste product worth nothing. They saw an opportunity to make money by converting the waste into oil. At the time the Carthage plant started, concerns about mad cow disease made turkey offal a favored stock for animal feed. The Carthage plant went from being given feedstock to having to pay to buy the turkey offal. The processing costs, including capitalization, maintenance, staff, etc. comes to about $30.00/bbl. The cost per ton of turkey offal forced the change to $80.00/bbl. IF this plant had used household trash instead, then the plant would be making money at $40.00/bbl, as under todays market pressures they would be paid to take the trash from peoples homes. Obviously, uneconomical while oil is at or below $40/bbl. But wait.. theres more.... The last energy policy bill included TDP for the $42.00/bbl tax credit for "bio fuels". So now, the plant can sell at $38.00/bbl and make a profit.
About the smell....... Sigh... Picture if you will that I buy the land next to your home. And every day, I plunk down 250 tons of turkey offal first thing in the morning. Do you think you might notice a slight odor by 6 in the evening when you come home for dinner? Carthage gets most of its money from tourists. The plant was built 6 blocks from their money making downtown. This was not a case of planning to fail, or being an industrial failure. IT was a case of failing to plan more intelligently.
Frankly, some waste streams for feedstock may push the price to $80.00 per bbl without the tax credit. Other waste streams would let the price potentially coast profitably at or about $40.00/bbl. Depending on the exact mix of feedstock, the price would average out to about $67.00/bbl. This ignores the additional impact of keeping ALL our dollars here at home as opposed to adding hundreds of billions of dollars to our trade deficit, and address issues like global warming or energy independence.
Costs: The biggest weakness in TDP or CDP is capitalization. My best guestimate is that it would take 5.4 trillion dollars to fully deploy the technology. Using a banking strategy, assuming a standard reserve of 20%, that would mean about 1.08 trillion would need to be put together in some sort of banking consortium.
Thanks for the opportunity to vent, feel free to ask questions and pot shots will be dealt with based on whim.....
Sources:
http://peswiki.com/index.php/Directory: ... on_(Oiling)
http://www.changingworldtech.com/index.asp
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermal_depolymerization
http://peswiki.com/index.php/Directory: ... on_Process
Every problem has its solution, and every solution has its problems....