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The Consumerism Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Worst plunge in consumer spending since 1980

Unread postby heroineworshipper » Wed 26 Nov 2008, 16:22:35

change you can count on
People first, then things, then dollars.
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Re: Worst plunge in consumer spending since 1980

Unread postby TWilliam » Wed 26 Nov 2008, 17:28:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('burn0gas', 'N')ext bubble = soup kitchens?


Indeed. Who sells the cheapest soup base in bulk? Sounds like the next Wall Street hot opportunity... :twisted:
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Re: Worst plunge in consumer spending since 1980

Unread postby mefistofeles » Wed 26 Nov 2008, 20:09:31

Wow 3% it sounds like the end of the world to me. Honestly if this keeps up I think we're going to see inflation rather than deflation.

Its a notable decrease but with less shipping and so many factories closing in China I think sales will be acceptable. In fact we may actually run out of goods at a retail level if this the actual decrease in sales is only 3%.
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Re: Worst plunge in consumer spending since 1980

Unread postby Cog » Wed 26 Nov 2008, 20:20:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mefistofeles', 'W')ow 3% it sounds like the end of the world to me. Honestly if this keeps up I think we're going to see inflation rather than deflation.

Its a notable decrease but with less shipping and so many factories closing in China I think sales will be acceptable. In fact we may actually run out of goods at a retail level if this the actual decrease in sales is only 3%.


I would argue that 3% is rather a significant drop in discretionary spending when we are talking the volumes of sales in the billions. As we go into the Christmas shopping season, many retailers count on large sales to carry them through the year. I fully expect that sales are going to be down even more in November and December from last year.
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Re: Worst plunge in consumer spending since 1980

Unread postby the48thronin » Wed 26 Nov 2008, 21:09:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cog', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mefistofeles', 'W')ow 3% it sounds like the end of the world to me. Honestly if this keeps up I think we're going to see inflation rather than deflation.

Its a notable decrease but with less shipping and so many factories closing in China I think sales will be acceptable. In fact we may actually run out of goods at a retail level if this the actual decrease in sales is only 3%.


I would argue that 3% is rather a significant drop in discretionary spending when we are talking the volumes of sales in the billions. As we go into the Christmas shopping season, many retailers count on large sales to carry them through the year. I fully expect that sales are going to be down even more in November and December from last year.


Just came back from my annual pre thaanksgiving buying spree at the local super center.

Spent 92$ and not one thing in the cart was from anywhere other than "made in U S A.

I had a thought occasioned by my and my wifes frequent label checking and returning to shelf of items "made in China".

Is the 3% a realization of less discretionary spending, or simply a factor in the "If I can do without it, I won't buy it if it was made in China" syndrome.

We noticed several other shoppers checking the labels as much as we were, when I picked out two snap close plastic containers and showed my wife they were made in USA unlike the two marginaly cheaper ones she was frowning and placing back on the shelves, a couple standing watching us mentioned that they also were sure glad to see there was a brand that was worth buying.

just a thought... like detroits cars, maybe the chinese trinket market is full of items people do not want to buy...
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Re: Worst plunge in consumer spending since 1980

Unread postby oxj » Wed 26 Nov 2008, 21:24:17

Yes, I just turned down a Chinese axe purchase to buy an axe made in Mexico. It was better made, less expensive, and used American wood. Had I found an American axe in the store, I would have bought it. I need an axe tonight to cut kindling, so I couldn't wait for one shipped from an internet store.

When one has less to spend, how the money is spent is more significant.
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The last bullet for the dying consumer

Unread postby Armageddon » Fri 05 Dec 2008, 01:00:53

Credit cards ran up - check
house refied to the max - check

What's next ?
In tough times many dip into retirement savings link
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Re: The last bullet for the dying consumer

Unread postby seldom_seen » Fri 05 Dec 2008, 02:01:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')ccessing their retirement funds "should be at the bottom of the list," said Craig Averill, personal retirement solutions executive at Bank of America."They need to be cognizant of what this decision means."

You need to be cognizant of what my middle finger means. "Personal retirement solutions executive," AKA "soon to be unemployed."

One segment of the population this article doesn't cover is the people who have watched their 401k swan dive off a cliff and decided to pull the rip cord and get whatever is left out.

If I had one of these so called "retirement accounts" which is a euphemism for "we have your money, we've lost most of it, and we're going to charge you all sorts of fees if you want what's left." I would have pulled the rip cord a long time ago.

</end rant>
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Re: The last bullet for the dying consumer

Unread postby shortonsense » Fri 05 Dec 2008, 02:29:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Armageddon', 'C')redit cards ran up - check
house refied to the max - check

What's next ?



Maybe we can get more than 5 or 6% of the mortgages in the US into foreclosure? Admittedly, those 5-6% of real estate speculators, incompetent borrowers, and "flip this house" wanna-be's are causing enough trouble as it is, but if 90%+ of all houses stay just jim dandy fine, how are we supposed to really get some decent Doom going, rather than just a run of the mill recession? Particularly when peak oil has slammed into the American economy and gasoline prices with the all force of a few spare North Sea's, 2 Prudhoe's, and a Saudi Arabia being found?
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Re: The last bullet for the dying consumer

Unread postby bratticus » Fri 05 Dec 2008, 09:16:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonsense', 'P')articularly when peak oil has slammed into the American economy and gasoline prices with the all force of a few spare North Sea's, 2 Prudhoe's, and a Saudi Arabia being found?
Huh?

Peak Petroleum Production has slammed into the world economy with the force of Katrina, Rita, Wilma, Gustav and Ike.
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Re: The last bullet for the dying consumer

Unread postby mos6507 » Fri 05 Dec 2008, 11:04:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bratticus', '
')Peak Petroleum Production has slammed into the world economy with the force of Katrina, Rita, Wilma, Gustav and Ike.


If this is peak oil, let's have more of it.

http://www.gasbuddy.com/
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Re: The last bullet for the dying consumer

Unread postby bodigami » Fri 05 Dec 2008, 12:48:42

I think my generation (18 to 28 y.o.) will be either the last one to have pension/retirement savings or the first one to not have them.
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Re: The last bullet for the dying consumer

Unread postby nobodypanic » Fri 05 Dec 2008, 13:27:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Armageddon', ' ')What's next ?

Image
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Re: The last bullet for the dying consumer

Unread postby Gorm » Fri 05 Dec 2008, 15:02:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bodinagamin', 'I') think my generation (18 to 28 y.o.) will be either the last one to have pension/retirement savings or the first one to not have them.


I think they will be gone a lot sooner than that
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Re: The last bullet for the dying consumer

Unread postby shortonsense » Fri 05 Dec 2008, 22:02:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bratticus', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonsense', 'P')articularly when peak oil has slammed into the American economy and gasoline prices with the all force of a few spare North Sea's, 2 Prudhoe's, and a Saudi Arabia being found?
Huh?

Peak Petroleum Production has slammed into the world economy with the force of Katrina, Rita, Wilma, Gustav and Ike.


Hey, I'm paying $1.49/gal so I say bring on more hurricanes, if that is what it takes to keep things going!
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Re: The last bullet for the dying consumer

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Sat 06 Dec 2008, 02:35:11

:cry: Whats next?? The big banks continuing to be as responsible and wise as they have been to date, cut back credit lines on consumer credit cards to all but those with gold plated credit at the same time they raise rates on the balance already owed. This converts the US over night to a Cash as you go basis and consumers respond by cutting back family spending by twenty five percent or more virtually halting all dicretionary spending thus contracting the economy by twelve percent.
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Re: The last bullet for the dying consumer

Unread postby thor » Sat 06 Dec 2008, 04:33:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Gorm', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bodinagamin', 'I') think my generation (18 to 28 y.o.) will be either the last one to have pension/retirement savings or the first one to not have them.


I think they will be gone a lot sooner than that


Yeah, and the sad part is that those who did pay into the system won't see a dime, so it will be legalized theft.... Sorry boys and girls, but all those years of retirement fees have bought you nothing.
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Re: The last bullet for the dying consumer

Unread postby bratticus » Sat 06 Dec 2008, 07:48:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Armageddon', 'W')hat's next ?
The oldest profession?


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CNN Money', 'I')n tough times many dip into retirement savings
What world were you saving for anyway?
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