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SHTF in Your Locality

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby Ludi » Fri 08 Aug 2008, 19:48:07

We are all electric. But we don't use AC except for work.
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Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby Cloud9 » Fri 08 Aug 2008, 21:51:12

Had dinner with a local electrical supplier buddy. During the boom he had 7 people in his office and 20 crews pulling wires on new construction.

The twenty crews are gone and 5 of the 7 in the office are in the field. The business has shrunk back down to family members only.

Central Florida
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Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby JJ » Fri 08 Aug 2008, 21:51:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JJ', '
')My electric bill was 409 dollars, doubling from two months ago, and our local power supplier said they will be raising rates again Oct.1


Holy crap! Our bill last month was $88.00. We're not that far from you, either...


Ludi, I'm being a little melodramatic. The whole bill, bundled, is 409.59

the electric portion is 264.62 the rest is sewage, garbage, water and tax

I freaked because Bing left Mays paid bill laying on the table, and the electric portion is 107.76 but the actual rate hasn't gone up much.
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Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby tex123 » Fri 08 Aug 2008, 22:27:07

Everything's bigger in Texas including the electric bills. Our last bill for 1600 kw was around 240.00. We keep our air at 80 degrees during the day. Many people I know are paying $400-$600 a month to cool thier homes and TXU were so sorry to tell us they are going to have to raise our rates again.
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Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby TT » Fri 08 Aug 2008, 23:11:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('tex123', 'E')verything's bigger in Texas including the electric bills. Our last bill for 1600 kw was around 240.00. We keep our air at 80 degrees during the day. Many people I know are paying $400-$600 a month to cool thier homes and TXU were so sorry to tell us they are going to have to raise our rates again.


Just curious. Is that for a month or a quarter?

We currently pay $0.15c per kwh. Our average usage is 8 to 9 kwh per day and our three monthly bill is about $140. We've been told that our electricity will go up by about 20 percent over the next 12 months so we're putting in a 2.1 kw solar array. We're hoping this will provide enough to cover our daily use.
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Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby vilemerchant » Fri 08 Aug 2008, 23:39:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('tex123', 'E')verything's bigger in Texas including the electric bills. Our last bill for 1600 kw was around 240.00. We keep our air at 80 degrees during the day. Many people I know are paying $400-$600 a month to cool thier homes and TXU were so sorry to tell us they are going to have to raise our rates again.


1600kwh ROFL! Thats about what my household uses in 6 months. Do you really need to be in a temperature controlled climate 24/7?
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Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Sat 09 Aug 2008, 00:47:16

:evil: Oh quit your crying!! There isn't an electric bill anywhere in the USA that isn't a gold plated bargan. If you think not, Try to go off grid and compute the total cost ,Add fuel and the depreciation on the generator or solar panels and throw in the minimum wage for your time, as that is more than you are worth doing somthing so unproductive. See what your cost per KWH is adding it all up. It's OK to set in place a replacement for the grid incase it goes down sure. Use it before the grid goes down? Dumb.
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Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby vilemerchant » Sat 09 Aug 2008, 01:12:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', 'I')t's OK to set in place a replacement for the grid incase it goes down sure. Use it before the grid goes down? Dumb.


I actually agree with this. And as a renter, I can't very well go about decking out the house in solar panels, but what I can do is acquire some reasonably priced portable solar panels/batteries and the other equipment required so that I can run a few lights and appliances in case of grid failure.
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Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby TT » Sat 09 Aug 2008, 01:21:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', ':')evil: Oh quit your crying!!


I don't think people were crying. Just talking I reckon.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', ' ') It's OK to set in place a replacement for the grid incase it goes down sure.


Thank you for your permission.



$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', 'U')se it before the grid goes down? Dumb.



If you've got it, why not use it. Considering the power company pays us $0.60c for every kwh we generate and export to the grid, and we only have to pay $0.15c for every kwh we use, it makes a lot of sense to generate and export it.

Seems downright stupid to have $15,000 worth of solar panels sitting in your shed doing nothing when it could be earning you $180 per month in feed in tarifs. That is $2,160 per year which represents 15% on investment.

Not so dumb, huh?
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Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby Farknight » Sat 09 Aug 2008, 02:43:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('patience', '
')My bill above covers the house AND the shop, with a HUMONGOUS welder (up to 440 amps AC), a bunch of lights in the shop, and AC going. I feel like that is cheap for what we get out of it. There is absolutely no reason for us to go for alternatives on the basis of present cost. But: 1) It ain't gonnas stay that cheap, and 2) The national grid in the US is pretty shaky from what I read. And I'm looking straight down the barrel of retirement age, so income is going down.


I'm all electric at the moment (in AC season) but I have a huge Quadra Fire 5100i wood stove now online for winter. The stove is rated to heat around 3000 square feet and includes a variable speed blower that uses less juice than a ceiling fan in summer. Wood currently is not an issue as I live in a wood lot with a back log of wood to be burnt; I just need to keep splitting for next year's seasoned wood, I have about 2-3 cords already seasoned.

All electric is really quite reasonable WITHOUT either the AC compressors or auxiliary/emergency heating coils operating. I have a large farm house with 3600 sqf and 5 occupants. W/O AC or heat the lighting/appliance charges are very reasonable. I have examined my bills in depth and compared by month. Where I live in Virginia we have what the state climate office calls a "Goldilocks" climate meaning not too cold/not too hot. From most of September through November we use no AC nor heat and ditto for early April though mid-June. July and August the Ac runs at 78 right now. December through March the heat runs at 68 day and 66 night. Typically, we don't use any auxiliary heat in December and in January and February only if we have a really cold snap which may last 1 to 3 days with lows in the lower 20's and very occasionally and in the heart of winter some teens (then the meter spins). Luckily, there are only 1 or 2 such "spells" a winter. Mostly the heart of winter coldest air temps run 40's by day and mid to upper 20's by night. I hope the new stove will have a major impact during the winter.

Other than electric I have no other utility bills such as propane, heating oil or NG. Folks around here that installed gas thought they were getting big bargains but now their fuel costs for heating have sky rocketed as well. The electric pulls up my water and my sewer is a gravity fed septic. The latter point I feel is important for any folks contemplating developing raw rural land.

Make sure the land you purchase "percs", that is, has a county approved drainfield site and reserve site sized for the house you intend to build there. I chose a lot 22 years ago with a pretty small drainfield because the soil is very porous and excellent. Never had any wet spots or problems but I also pump out the tank each fall as well to clear the undigested solids. Most lot developers just find the right soils and could care less where you end up placing your holding tank. Make absolutely sure you install a "gravity fed" tank so that the effluent runs down hill to the lines. Use of a grinder pump to raise effluent to the field is prone to problems and will possibly make your field unusable if TSHTF and your pump fails.
The future ain't what it used to be.

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Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby Quinny » Sat 09 Aug 2008, 05:16:13

I found the information useful and interesting but....
When the original author titled the thread SHTF I wonder whether he ever thought it would lead to discussion were SDHTP (Sh*! doesn't hit the pump!)
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Farknight', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('patience', '
')My bill above covers the house AND the shop, with a HUMONGOUS welder (up to 440 amps AC), a bunch of lights in the shop, and AC going. I feel like that is cheap for what we get out of it. There is absolutely no reason for us to go for alternatives on the basis of present cost. But: 1) It ain't gonnas stay that cheap, and 2) The national grid in the US is pretty shaky from what I read. And I'm looking straight down the barrel of retirement age, so income is going down.
I'm all electric at the moment (in AC season) but I have a huge Quadra Fire 5100i wood stove now online for winter. The stove is rated to heat around 3000 square feet and includes a variable speed blower that uses less juice than a ceiling fan in summer. Wood currently is not an issue as I live in a wood lot with a back log of wood to be burnt; I just need to keep splitting for next year's seasoned wood, I have about 2-3 cords already seasoned. -snip-
Make sure the land you purchase "percs", that is, has a county approved drainfield site and reserve site sized for the house you intend to build there. I chose a lot 22 years ago with a pretty small drainfield because the soil is very porous and excellent. Never had any wet spots or problems but I also pump out the tank each fall as well to clear the undigested solids. Most lot developers just find the right soils and could care less where you end up placing your holding tank. Make absolutely sure you install a "gravity fed" tank so that the effluent runs down hill to the lines. Use of a grinder pump to raise effluent to the field is prone to problems and will possibly make your field unusable if TSHTF and your pump fails.
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Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby killJOY » Sat 09 Aug 2008, 05:39:31

More news from the shithole where I live:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut other dealers are struggling to get raw logs. Southern Maine Firewood, a large dealer in Gorham, had only 100 cords worth recently but orders for 1,000 cords of firewood. "It's just a nightmare right now," owner Jake Dyer said. "You'd think in a state like this that you could get wood."


Soaring oil costs, run on firewood.

I'm an EMT. When we start pulling frozen bodies out of trailers this winter, I'll be sure to let you know.
Peak oil = comet Kohoutek.
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Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby seldom_seen » Sat 09 Aug 2008, 06:03:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')It's just a nightmare right now," owner Jake Dyer said. "You'd think in a state like this that you could get wood."

Another long predicted shituation of our overutilization of industrialization.

The Last Great Rape of Nature. As f'kd up as the environment is now "you ain't seen nothin' yet."

When the balloon goes up for good, every last usable piece of terrestrial biomass is toast.

We can only hope for a humane and swift die off.
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Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby Ludi » Sat 09 Aug 2008, 08:32:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('tex123', 'E')verything's bigger in Texas including the electric bills. Our last bill for 1600 kw was around 240.00. We keep our air at 80 degrees during the day. Many people I know are paying $400-$600 a month to cool thier homes and TXU were so sorry to tell us they are going to have to raise our rates again.


Yikes! How do people afford this? Last month we used 673 kwh. 100 kwh up from usage last year because this year's drought caused us to pump more water from the well.
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Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby tex123 » Sat 09 Aug 2008, 11:18:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')ikes! How do people afford this?

I have often wondered this myself. I think there may be more heat related deaths coming to this area as more people become unable to pay for air conditioning in their homes. I haven't seen any statistics yet but it is probably happening already as utility, transportation, and food costs have all been rising at about the same time.
Personally I would rather walk everywhere and eat spam than to live without any air conditioning in the Texas summer.
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Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby Ludi » Sat 09 Aug 2008, 13:09:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('tex123', 'P')ersonally I would rather walk everywhere and eat spam than to live without any air conditioning in the Texas summer.

And yet people lived here without it. I mostly live without it. We only use AC in the workrooms of our home business.
What are your plans for living in TX in the low-energy future? Or do you plan to move?
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Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby JJ » Sat 09 Aug 2008, 14:42:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('tex123', 'E')verything's bigger in Texas including the electric bills. Our last bill for 1600 kw was around 240.00. We keep our air at 80 degrees during the day. Many people I know are paying $400-$600 a month to cool thier homes and TXU were so sorry to tell us they are going to have to raise our rates again.


Yikes! How do people afford this? Last month we used 673 kwh. 100 kwh up from usage last year because this year's drought caused us to pump more water from the well.


Ludi, you're so lucky (or prudent) to have a well, we are dependant on city water. The electric thing isn't a big deal (yet)because we can live without ac (have, just don't care for it) (the Philippines every day) and there's a lot of fat to cut here...
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Re: SHTF IN YOUR LOCALITY

Unread postby tex123 » Sat 09 Aug 2008, 15:02:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd yet people lived here without it. I mostly live without it. We only use AC in the workrooms of our home business.
What are your plans for living in TX in the low-energy future? Or do you plan to move?

I have no plans to move in the near future, despite the heat and regular summer drought, this locale is better than many areas of the country. As far as high energy bills for air conditioning, when it gets so expensive it is no longer feasible I suppose we'll just suffer and get used to it.
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Re: SHTF in Your Locality

Unread postby tex123 » Sat 11 Oct 2008, 06:51:07

I thought I'd try to bring this thread back to life since we have a crisis of another kind at the moment.

If I didn't follow the market news and this website I wouldn't know anything had transpired except that the price of gas has dropped dramatically. This seems to be the attitude of many of my coworkers. "Draw money out of the bank, pull my 401K out of the market, are you crazy?" Many people think that the reason the gas prices plummeted is that those darn speculators have been stopped from running the price up. Most see Wall Street as completely detached from the real world and not effecting thier lives in any dramatic way. People around here are still going to work, still buying houses, still doing thier Halloween shopping, having parties, etc.. Most wonder what the government fuss is all about when nothing has substantially changed in thier lives.

Sometimes I feel like a nut for paying attention to all this bad news when most others are just riding it out and not worrying about a thing.
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Re: SHTF in Your Locality

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Sat 11 Oct 2008, 08:23:49

:shock: Still pretty calm here in the hills. People are getting their 401K statements and watching their money melt away on the stock market. One friend dosn't give exact numbers but I got the impression he's down over 100k and he is just a retiree.
The management went shopping yesterday and stocked up on food. We are set for the winter or a whole year if need be. I dug the last row and a half of six rows of potatoes. I got over 500lbs from the row and a half. Some wet rot so I need to be careful putting them in storage so as to not put a rotting spud in with the rest and ruin a barrel full.
I went fishing off Cape Cod earlier in the week. Nice weather, no fish. Guys on the boat all say things are slow. Joke of the trip is "You better wake up on Christmas day with a woody or you wont have anything to play with."
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