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ATM Collapse Watch

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Sat 27 Sep 2008, 23:20:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ReverseEngineer', ' ') I just am looking for SOME sign that would tell the recalcitrant who think we can work out of this with a slow die off that it really IS over.


Yes, you are looking.


In life and in love "there is such a thing as trying to hard." warning youtube video

and if you are seen as having cried wolf too many times. The recalcitrant become less and less likely to listen and accept the position that you are attempting to convince them of.
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Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Sat 27 Sep 2008, 23:38:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ReverseEngineer', ' ') I just am looking for SOME sign that would tell the recalcitrant who think we can work out of this with a slow die off that it really IS over.


Yes, you are looking.


In life and in love "there is such a thing as trying to hard." warning youtube video

and if you are seen as having cried wolf too many times. The recalcitrant become less and less likely to listen and accept the position that you are attempting to convince them of.


Hello. I haven't STOPPED "crying WOLF" since I GOT here! This is one LONG cry of wolf, more than 600 posts and running now :-) And where in any of that did I miss it? I picked up the first thread on Gustav, been hammering down on the implications ever since. You wanna explain to me where I got it WRONG so far?

Unfortunately, when people simply do not WANT to believe what is happening right in front of their eyes, crying Wolf does no good. I have given up IRL warming my friends and just go about day to day business as usual. Today I went to a marvelous little conference with some of my students. My fellow teachers and I all talk about our plans as usual, and share our ideas.

Here on Peak Oil, I have not given up. This is not my day to day job, its part of my exploration of the truth to write and discuss with others the nature of life and existence. Been doing this for over 7 years now on a nightly basis. Proabably somewhere in the neighborhood of 15,000 posts now of my own, all of which are quite long as you notice I am sure. Its a series of essays on the nature of life.

I appreciate the existence of the Peak Oil board, because it is here on this board I find many people who see similar things to myself, albeit in different ways with different spins of course depending on their particular experiences through life. I also find others who wis to debate the points because they do not agree. Also fine.

If you fit neither category of one who agrees with me or wishes to debate because you disagree, just put me on Ignore. I am OK with that also. However, answering my arguments by saying I am just "crying wolf" is not a very convincing argument to me at least.

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Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 00:00:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('miskatonic', 'V')isa and Mastercard are not lenders (banks). They are simply the network that the transactions are made over. Their stock is healthy because transactions have not stopped. (or slowed down?)


Yeah, no kidding. I understand all that. Visa and Mastercard make their money off transactions. If there was a question in anyone's mind that all the credit cards in the country might be canceled, or even a major portion of them, then don't you think people might start bailing out of Visa stock? Gonna be kinda hard for them to do much as a company if there's no credit card accounts suddenly.
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Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 00:11:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ReverseEngineer', 'B')ased on the Houston Report we got here in this "crazy" thread, it appears to me at least it ALREADY is TEOTWAWKI.

....

Now of course, 1 million people in and around Houston who cannot get food might not seem like a serious problem to you, but it does to me. Not to mention all those folks a bit outside the hubs off the Colonial who already have no gas, and if gas isn't being delivered to those areas, food isn't either.


How many people exactly have starved to death in Houston?

Sorry dude. A hurricane is not TEOTWAWKI. In the worst case scenario maybe it would be the end of Houston as we know it. It's certainly not the end of the world as we know it. In my little corner of the world, there are a half dozen places within 10 minutes of my house where I could walk in right now at 9:00 at night, hand them my plastic card, and walk out with all the food I can carry.
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Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 00:29:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', '
')How many people exactly have starved to death in Houston?


I have no idea. Nor do I have any idea how many lives were lost in Galveston either. The MSM is curiously vague about such things.

I make my projections based not on the information provided in the MSM news reports, but on the information I get from the field here on Peak Oil. Excellent reporters like Dante and Pup and ShortOnOil provide very detailed reports from their points of view. I just bring together that information and present it in a way that most people will not.

Its right there for you to read and figure it out by yourself. You clearly are quite good with the numbers yourself. You wanna bet against me SmallPox? Feel free, be my guest. Unfortunately, neither of us walks away from this gamble alive.

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Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby SchroedingersCat » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 22:15:04

I used to design data centers for ATM transactions. The ATM network has 1-3 days of cash at any given time. Higher demand will of course drain that at a higher rate.

A bank or a private company funds the initial ATM transaction -- whether it be cash in an ATM machine or covering a debit card payment at a store. They are saying "I think the network will pay us back, but I want a cut for my risk."

The various networks and gateways to other networks send the transactions to the bank that issued the ATM card. They all get a little piece of the action for carrying the traffic.

Finally, the issuing bank receives the transaction. They look at the account holder's balance and say yes or no to the amount. At the end of the next business day they settle with all the other players through the Fed.

If the issuing bank isn't available, the other players might "stand in" for them and get a little more for their risk.

It's a delicate dance based on trust and a certain level of cash requirements. Visa, MC, Cirrus, etc won't be able to help you if the banks behind them lose their ability to honor your ATM or debit card request.
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Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 22:23:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SchroedingersCat', 'I') used to design data centers for ATM transactions. The ATM network has 1-3 days of cash at any given time. Higher demand will of course drain that at a higher rate.


Which brings up the point that the CASH is delivered to all the ATM machines by GAS powered vehicles for the most part, not diesel. Though some food might still get through here, cash out to the ATMs won't in areas that are now bone dry as far as Gas is concerned.

So, just how many people have ANY reserve of Cash on Hand at any time? Heck, most folks I know don't even have much in their bank accounts, they work paycheck to paycheck.

We are on the BRINK of Mass Panic.

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Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Sun 28 Sep 2008, 22:41:26

To answer the OP, I took out $300 from a credit card at a Wells Fargo ATM yesterday. Went for another $200 today and the message was they couldn't process the transaction. I've got 5 grand cash advance credit on that card. Used the same card today to buy 50 bucks groceries. Hard to say what's going on, but there are no doubt complex algorithms working in computers all over the place. Tried to get 4000 from an unused Bank of America credit line of 4500 and they canceled the account because I hadn't used the card for a couple years and it was paid down. That probably was because of the size of the request for access to funds they had granted me in credit. Maybe they have these red flag kinds of things in the programs.
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Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Mon 29 Sep 2008, 00:10:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('OilFinder2', 'M')y checking account is at Washington Mutual, and I went to the ATM today and it went just as normal.

Sorry, no doom today.


You know, OF2, I usually appreciate your contrarian viewpoint on things. WTF were you thinking leaving your money in WaMu? Did you seriously think they weren't going under? Contrarian is one thing, but that's just stupid.
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Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby Falconoffury » Mon 29 Sep 2008, 01:39:29

Wachovia has some time to go. Citigroup is next.
"If humans don't control their numbers, nature will." -Pimentel
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Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby vision-master » Mon 29 Sep 2008, 08:50:52

My Credit Union wanted a electronic copy of my DL the other day. The Teller was "hot" so I got week knees and folded. :razz: Guess it won't make any difference unless the FBI is looking for me, huh?

At least I get free checks now - age 55.
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Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby ubercrap » Mon 29 Sep 2008, 09:56:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Falconoffury', 'W')achovia has some time to go. Citigroup is next.


Bzzzzt....wrong, Wachovia gone- Citi acquired.
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Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby Buggy » Mon 29 Sep 2008, 10:53:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ubercrap', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Falconoffury', 'W')achovia has some time to go. Citigroup is next.


Bzzzzt....wrong, Wachovia gone- Citi acquired.


Gosh. I'm gonna miss their commercials.
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Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby Falconoffury » Mon 29 Sep 2008, 11:47:09

That surprises me. I thought Citigroup had many times more off balance sheet losses than Wachovia.
"If humans don't control their numbers, nature will." -Pimentel
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Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Mon 29 Sep 2008, 11:48:27

Thanks to section 132 of the housing bailout bill, they can keep them off balance sheet.
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Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby the48thronin » Mon 29 Sep 2008, 12:52:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Falconoffury', 'T')hat surprises me. I thought Citigroup had many times more off balance sheet losses than Wachovia.


cynical answer.

The Wachovia execs are bailing BEFORE the bailout to insure their golden retirements, and City is simply assuming they will get even more bail out.
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Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby letitburn84 » Mon 29 Sep 2008, 15:57:50

I've been able to take out an undisclosed amount through my debit card over the last 4 days that no doubt would and should have set off red flags in any computer system that would be checking for such anomalies, if such flags or checks were to exist. Nada.
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Re: ATM Collapse Watch

Unread postby the48thronin » Mon 29 Sep 2008, 17:52:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('letitburn84', 'I')'ve been able to take out an undisclosed amount through my debit card over the last 4 days that no doubt would and should have set off red flags in any computer system that would be checking for such anomalies, if such flags or checks were to exist. Nada.



me too LOL maybe it's time to put it back? NAH! not yet!
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