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PeakOil is You

12 year old schoolkid improves the design of complex 3-D

Discussions of conventional and alternative energy production technologies.

Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby Ludi » Sun 21 Sep 2008, 19:30:06

I'm not sure how our (doomers') opinions of possible solutions affects whether those solutions exist or will exist in reality or not....it's not like we have magical super mind powers to affect reality or anything...

Some of us are quite interested in various technologies and are building electric cars, wind turbines, passive and active solar devices etc. Not all of us are off knapping flints and tanning bearskins...
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby dinopello » Sun 21 Sep 2008, 20:19:35

Well, Ted Kaczynski is a genius and people feared him. But, he was also a doomer. So, the question is confusing. Are you asking if doomers who are at or below average intelligence fear geniuses who are not doomers? I have no idea.
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby Temperedoil » Sun 21 Sep 2008, 20:25:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lorenzo', '
')The question is: do doomers, who think of planetary socio-economic collapse, ever feel threatened by this under-the-radar presence of genius? Or do they just ignore it and repress it?

Because, obviously, it doesn't take that much for an invention to transform, for example, our energy landscape. And thus the entire doomer-framework would collapse. This doomer-narrative is weak; rational people know this. But the question is: do the doomers know?


As a species, we have shown ourselves to be capable of finding new ideas, developing new technologies, new ways of doing what we either need or want to do in order to survive and to better progress the species. We have not, however, shown how we might be able to continue to grow exponentially on a finite world whilst remaining dependent upon finite resources with finite and/or declining supply. We have, on the other hand, shown that we are perfectly capable of consuming ourselves into oblivion - consider Easter Island. All the genii in the world shall not the smallest difference make, if we are so intent upon regarding progress as meaning perpetual growth in population and consumption. Except, of course, on a local, sustainable population basis.
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby StuckInPhilly » Sun 21 Sep 2008, 20:45:48

I don't fear geniuses, I've known a few and because they are few then they can accomplish very little on their own.

What I fear is the lack of understanding that having discovered an improved technology is not even close to having it implemented.

Development and implementation take a lot of people and money.

Science take it's time on these things while the media are filled with morons and announce technological miracles at the drop of hat.

Remember cold fusion?
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby hironegro » Sun 21 Sep 2008, 20:47:52

it would've been nice if you just posted the article.
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby TheDude » Sun 21 Sep 2008, 20:50:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dorlomin', 'S')uch as kids inventing energy sources in there back yard being taken as gospil before its been properly scrutinezed for its energy and economic value.

There's no such word as "obstification". But, you know, it really does seem to have all the right stuff for being a real word, doesn't it?


Are you going to devolve into making pedantic criticisms like that?

None of you cheerleaders for tech seem to have anything to say about my observation on the size of the current FF powered vehicle fleet, or the time it would take to replace it with EVs, never mind accommodate the additional drain on the grid that would entail. Or consider the impact the current financial unwind will have on both IPOs from flashy cutting edge companies and capital for expanding FF infrastructure - or even maintaining it in its current configuration.

This is another reason cornucopians don't give me any assurances - they seem to view the evidence of technology as proof it will be implemented world wide in the next month; like watching the Wright Brothers at Kitty Hawk and grandly pronouncing that hundreds of people will be jamming onto passenger airplanes within a few years. Logistics seems beyond them; who's delusional now?

I don't dismiss the contribution technology can make, either; or jump to conclusions regarding momentous events like hurricanes or fuel shortages. Maybe Craig Venter will save the day with his oil-pooping bacteria, who knows? Although I agree with those that saving this day won't be without consequences of its own.
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby Ludi » Sun 21 Sep 2008, 20:57:35

I tend to leap to worst-case scenarios like the oil-pooping bacteria get loose and stink up the place by pooping oil all over everything, turning everything into oil.

"Fear"? Maybe. "Mistrust"? Usually
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby DomusAlbion » Sun 21 Sep 2008, 21:00:59

Yes, I fear geniuses. and clowns.
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby retiredguy » Sun 21 Sep 2008, 21:01:20

Nicely put, Dude.
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby dinopello » Sun 21 Sep 2008, 21:04:08

That reminds me, Ludi. I have always been a bit worried about "genetic engineering". I am an engineer and work with engineers who are tops in their field. But, they still make mistakes. A mistake that involves a living thing that can reproduce , mutate and interact with other living things that we might depend on for our well being is something to be concerned about AFAIC.
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby ohcomeon » Sun 21 Sep 2008, 21:08:31

Doomers are geniuses...

Why should we fear? They're one of us. It's the ones who don't know any better who scare us...
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby shortonoil » Sun 21 Sep 2008, 21:08:53

lorenzo said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')his doomer-narrative is weak; rational people know this. But the question is: do the doomers know?


We’re so close to the end that it is hardly even worth commenting on.

If one looks at the evidence, by any measure other than the FORCE, and weighs the contemporary positives and negatives, to ask such a question, defies mathematics. It gets to the point that no matter how brain dead most of society is (from drugs, TV, cell phones ...etc.) they will eventually reach a pain level that they will react to. They have reached that point. Even the common man on the street, knows that the wheel fell off.

Every Tom, Dick and Harry. Mechanic, mailman, cashier, retired guy knows the wheels are coming off in bunches (you should get out more). The janitor at the school know. The teachers know. The guy at the coffee shops knows. The girl at the corner store knows.

My lawyer knows. My bartender. My barber knows. The country tax man knows.

You don’t know ........................wow.
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby mos6507 » Sun 21 Sep 2008, 22:40:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dinopello', 'W')ell, Ted Kaczynski is a genius and people feared him.


He totally would have fit in here.
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby ki11ercane » Mon 22 Sep 2008, 00:54:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'Y')ou know what it is?
It's that the peak oil theory and this website distill out a particular kind of mindset as measured against ALL the people who learn of the theory. Those whose imaginations are titillated by notions of impending civilizational collapse are more likely to remain here and submit regular posts which assume the inevitability of Doom.

Those who can immediately see flaws in the Doomer perspective drift off elsewhere or they do not contribute. The Doomers, therefore, tend to reinforce one another's thinking on the matter and then it becomes a group dynamic - an Us vs Them thing where "We" are right and "They" are delusional.
It's called Groupthink. Groupthink has been studied in corporations and government because it stifles innovation and creativity. Don't tell me that the neo-Luddite contempt for science and technology around here is stimulating and creative!

It is just one example of many scenarios that put Doomerism to the lie. But if you post an article like this around here, it's bound to be disparaged in the most off-hand, smirking, juvenile way. It reminds me of a particular cafeteria lunch table I used to sit at in Junior High School years ago.
I think the whole Doomer notion spoils much of the excitement of the peak oil idea. I also notice that the adolescent minds that gravitate to Doom, seem to believe that peer-pressure will bring someone around to their way of thinking. Someone should inform them that peer-pressure doesn't work so well on grown-ups.

Ok, so if Doomers are "groupthinkers," why then do Doomers constantly offer solutions to "others" for staving off horrible future realities like oh let me think FINITE ENERGY SUPPLIES by offering alternative solutions to avoid being doomed? If they re-inforced the Doom Mentality (there is no hope, we all screwed, tuck your head between your legs and bend over) to each other all the time, then they wouldn't be working on ways to either avoid crisis or make it through it. "Making it through" means they hope for "better things" on the other end for either themselves or their future generations of offspring. They hope to "end doom if doom comes." DEFINITELY DOOMERS ARE GROUPTHINKERS! They have to be in order to work together to stave off their own possible demise! They have already agreed "today" things don't look good for the next 5-10 years, and they need to "work now" to either weather crisis or avoid it, and no one has implemented at least one good idea to stave off energy disasters for the future. Everyone who disagrees with Doomers wants to write how idiotic they are and write some detraction or "idea" to disprove their attitudes, then get pissed when they say "buzz off." Why? Because the "talking" never becomes solid action to move things into another direction. At least Doomers discuss prepping, planning, and getting ready for "possible horrible realities." When was the last time Exxon, George Bush, or any major bank got together and said "people, we are in a pickle. We have less oil tomorrow than today. It's going to cost more, and if we don't polarize ourselves as a nation, as a species to come together to fix this problem, we are screwed." Instead on such a possible national stage, greed, corruption, and screwing the taxpayer takes center stage. Ask any of these "Doomers" if they want to see crisis averted, no financial collapse, no energy collapse, food for everyone, hot babies/guys surrounding them, not having to break their backs for the next 30 years prepping, and have a positive stable happy future for their kids and grand kids, all the energy they could want to live and prosper, a majority will say yes. "True Doomers" will either say "no" or "I don't care" because they've already assumed nothing can be done and therefore have the "leave me alone you're full of crap" mentality. Doomers as you speak of are extremely pessimistic about any alternative ideas because lots of talk hasn't offered up any permanent viable alternative to where we're headed. No one can point to a detractor saying "see, here was my idea. I wrote it. It's implemented. Peak Oil averted. Stop being a Doomer!"

It's all nice to talk and write about solving future energy woes. When I see your writings (or any other Peak detractor/debunker - JD) actually living and breathing in the real world actually making a mark to solve or stave off future problems such as Peak Oil, I'll be the first to dis-embark from the Doomer Train.
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby yippleflipple » Mon 22 Sep 2008, 01:03:05

wait a minute... somebody created oil pooping bacteria?
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby yippleflipple » Mon 22 Sep 2008, 01:21:20

nvm... just watched the craig venter video on TED.com.. pretty interesting stuff, so why couldn't CO2 eating, clean fuel pooping synthetic life save us?
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby mos6507 » Mon 22 Sep 2008, 01:51:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yippleflipple', 'n')vm... just watched the craig venter video on TED.com.. pretty interesting stuff, so why couldn't CO2 eating, clean fuel pooping synthetic life save us?


CO2 is just one part of the environmental footprint of humanity. It's all just treating the symptoms and not the cause (population).
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby the48thronin » Mon 22 Sep 2008, 02:48:23

maybe the real question should be are people who fear doomers really geniuses?

or Does being a doomer mean your geniuses are fearful?
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby 3rensho » Mon 22 Sep 2008, 10:35:24

No fear of geniuses. However anyone stupid enough to believe in "the singularity" or "rapture for nerds" as it is often called gets laughed at.
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Re: Do doomers fear geniuses?

Unread postby yippleflipple » Mon 22 Sep 2008, 10:46:08

very well put 48thronin... it seems to me that most people who fear doomers are stuck on false hope and still depend on the construct of civilization.

on the other hand, i must admit that i was a bit of a doomer before i got into PO... I was more on the side of exponential technology and the law of accelerating returns and was prone to fantasies of Matrix-esque scenarios seeing life's inevitable outcome of mechanized forces eating up resources and energy and spreading throughout the galaxy, which I think will still happen, probably just not this time around.

although the singularity does have some appeal to it, i think i might just prefer a return to nature and embrace my inevitable death and return to timeless eternity
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