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Why don't the doomers move?

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 18:08:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ProudFossil', 'I')f you are telling us to prepare to live off the land, to return to a subsistance level, why do you not prepare for such an existance by moving to a locality where such is the norm?

First off, I'm not, and I doubt seriously that anyone else is, telling you what to do. Do what you want. If your assessment is that nothing needs doing, then that's exactly what you should do.

I think that a huge variety of outcomes are possible over various time spans. Those outcomes vary from a moderate economic downturn all the way to a total economic collapse (on the order of what happened to Argentina back in 2000 for example). It's pretty hard for me to imagine a scenario where having a stock of food and the other supplies you need to get by day to day wouldn't make life easier. I also think that social disruption, crime, riots, etc. are a very likely outcome and having weapons and knowing how to use them makes a lot of sense.

I'm not moving to India because: I don't know anyone in India, I don't speak the language, it's not a culture that I have affection for, and this is my home. Furthermore, I think that places like India are going to be hit by this thing harder and faster than places like the US.
"We were standing on the edges
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Now is nothing more than a memory
The way things were before
I lost my way" - OCMS
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby Quinny » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 18:10:23

If I can I will and fully intend to move, I'm fortunate in being able to if I can sell my house. Some can't even afford the fare.

Many people on the forum already have and I'm grateful for the many lessons I've learned from their experiences.

The planning forum is full of good advice. If you don't want to listen, why are you here?
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby Leanan » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 18:15:49

Actually, quite a few doomers have moved out of the country, or are planning to. Mexico and Costa Rica seem to be particularly popular. And Europe - France, the Ukraine, Bulgaria, places like that.

Last I heard, Matt Savinar, the ultimate doomer, is preparing to move somewhere. He won't say where. (Doomers are paranoid, y'know. They won't necessarily tell you if they've moved, or where.) He's assuming that there will be nuclear war, and is looking at fallout maps, along with all the other things you consider for a post-peak hideaway.

Others are moving within the country - particularly to the southeast, and the northwest. With a few in the northeast (especially Vermont and Maine). If you really think the spit is going to hit the fan...you might not want to be a foreigner or outsider where you are. Good reason for even doomers to stay in their own countries, IMO.
"The problems of today will not be solved by the same thinking that produced the problems in the first place." - Albert Einstein
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby ProudFossil » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 18:15:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', 'I') have issues with people who essentially say "Love it or leave it." If only it was that simple.
BTW did you know there's an "exit tax" if you wish to denounce your US citizenship? 30% tax on all assets....ouch >_<
There are 2 nations on this planet that sell "economic citizenship" and there's no capital gains tax. Both are in the Caribbean. Yes I've been doing my research.

I am not saying "Love it or leave it". I am asking why not prepare for the predicted disaster. If my house that I built myself is on fire I am most certainly going to leave it.

As for the exit tax. Why denounce your citizenship? If the society is going to collapse what difference does citizenship make? If the value of your property is going to go to zero, who cares if 30% of it is taken. And if you are going to a subsistance level locality you would not want a surplus of stuff because then you become a target.

And as someone who has spent quite a bit of time throughout the Caribbean, I know of no subsitance level society there except for Haiti. Even Grenada and Dominica are a bit above that. I am talking about sub-Saharan Africa, parts of the Middle East, many of the small Pacific islands which have no infrastructure.
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby Cog » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 18:18:45

I'm a doomer and I'm not leaving suburbia, at least not yet. There are a lot of different scenarios that are possible here and no one on the board knows for sure which one will play out.

But people here do discuss their prepping ideas and get input from others on how to best survive what we believe is coming. There is also the possibility that ProudFossil has not considered. Some of us have made plans that we do not discuss with anyone on any board. So take that into consideration as well.

Fast crash or slow crash. I hear theories on both sides of this continually. I'm not sure which one I believe at present. But if you understand Peak Oil and you understand what has been happening to the economic system of the USA for the past 30 years, a crash of some sort is inevitable. Part of my analysis of the timing of this crash, is to read this forum daily to see what others are saying and planning to do for it.
Last edited by Cog on Sat 20 Sep 2008, 18:19:20, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby AgentR » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 18:19:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Snowrunner', 'T')o say that "in the end it will be fine" doesn't really account for the really really bad times until it gets there.

I don't think I recall using the word "fine". But my point is that any hardships felt here, will be felt in other places just as hard, but without the natural overabundance and built out infrastructure that exists in the US.

Certainly, one should expect significant suffering during any period of existential transition; but being here, beats being in Rawanda.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')rue, but as far as North America is concerned I have a squeeze feeling based on the "me me me" culture that has ruled public thinking for the last 30 or so years.... We now have a generation (at least) that most likely won't think communal.

They can't figure out how to share. Let'em starve. They'll catch on when they get hungry enough.
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby ProudFossil » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 18:19:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cashmere', 'Y')ou're not asking a question, and you know it. You're making a statement.
But you seem to be hesitant to make the statement. Just make the statement. What do you think of the people, like me, who are bashing what America has become? Tell me what you think, else I call you craven.

So my question to you becomes what do you want America to be? Give me an example of a society in the world today or in the past which you would say was ideal. You answer that, truthfully, and I will give you my statement.
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby Ludi » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 18:22:57

I'm a doomer. Why don't I move? I moved here about a decade ago, so I don't feel like moving again, as things are just finally getting sorted out (I'm a slow worker). I like this area, although it is a challenging environment.

People should try to live where they feel comfortable. Some people like the city and should probably live there, others like small towns, others the country, a few like the wilderness. Most people like what is familiar. I spent my youth in this area so it feels familiar to me. My family lives in the region.
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby frankthetank » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 19:02:28

I think what pushed me over the edge was Katrina and New Orleans after she hit. That could be Chicago, Nashville, Phoenix, Las Vegas, etc... I like living in my small town and i'm not moving to Africa. Why would i want to do that? I'd go to a 1000 different places before i'd go to a country where i'm a skinny white guy surrounding by lots and lots on skinny not white guys. Closest thing for me is Canada, so maybe i would run there. They seem like nice people :)

Flushing toilets are overrated, but hot showers...probably couldn't go on without them.
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby Daculling » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 19:15:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ProudFossil', '2'). They do really believe in the massive die-off, chaos, lawlessness, etc., but are too damn lazy or comfortable in their present existance to really do anything about it.

Right. For some. Myself included.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ProudFossil', 'W')hich negates everything they say. Do as I say, not as I do. Don't drive a big car but I can fly in my private jet. Give me a break.

What? Pointing out our failings makes us hypocrites? Because we see and accept our own faults makes us worse than those who go about clueless?
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 19:25:50

I'm seriously considering emigrating for the first time in my life.

I thought I could continue to live in the United States but the events of the past several months have begun to convince me otherwise. I can't leave for another two years but after that, I see ever fewer reasons to stick around this place.

The situation could change for the better and I pray that it does. But everything seems to be getting worse all the time.

I am usually pretty optimistic (especially in comparison to the doomers of this forum) but that's starting to change.

I see the window of opportunity slowing creeping shut. I think if you haven't left the US by 2015...you ain't getting out at all.
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 19:39:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I')'m a doomer. Why don't I move? I moved here about a decade ago, so I don't feel like moving again, as things are just finally getting sorted out (I'm a slow worker). I like this area, although it is a challenging environment.
People should try to live where they feel comfortable. Some people like the city and should probably live there, others like small towns, others the country, a few like the wilderness. Most people like what is familiar. I spent my youth in this area so it feels familiar to me. My family lives in the region.

This is absolutely correct.
Wherever you go, it has to be a place you feel comfortable with in terms of how you see it. The folks who see subsitence farming as an environment in which they might make life work choose that alternative. The folks like myself who like the Wilderness choose this one upon which to make the Last Stand.
For the folks who choose the Cities or the Suburbs, I can only say I see this as a very bad choice.
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby cube » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 19:40:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ProudFossil', '.')..I am not saying "Love it or leave it". I am asking why not prepare for the predicted disaster. ...

I expect to see a massive world wide population reduction to a more sustainable level. (2 billion maybe???)
However that does not mean I expect to be visited by brain eating zombies by tomorrow morning. This will be a slow crash. Perhaps so slow that I will die of old age before I see the final end result of PO.
It's happening so slow that most people don't even see it. For example suppose your economic wealth diminished by 1.5% every year. That hardly sounds like a disaster right? Now multiply this our by 20 years and you've just lost 30% of your standard of living. >_< ouch
A 30% loss in wealthy definitely hurts but that does not necessarily mean Armageddon. If you live in the USA I think you'll be okay.
Your health and safety will be secured but your wealth will diminish drastically.
//
Much of my "preparations" are financial in nature and not for example trying to load up on shot gun shells. I try to make financial investment decisions that take into account PO.
That's how I'm preparing.
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby beamofthewave » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 19:40:17

I for one was in the Peace Corps in a village where the majority of the people lived at the subsistence level and firmly believe the USA is headed that way, unfortunately. The perfect society was when FDR was in charge of the USA and told the corporations what they were going to do and when and how they were going to do it. Truman was Vice Pres and investigated stealing from the government and the government wasnt just some piggy bank for the rich to steal from anytime they wanted. The people of the USA were citizens and not consumers and didnt live to profit the corporations only to be discarded when no more profit could be wrung from them.
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby Ludi » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 19:53:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ReverseEngineer', 'F')or the folks who choose the Cities or the Suburbs, I can only say I see this as a very bad choice.

Most folks are probably more comfortable in those situations and would feel uncomfortable in country or wilderness, or small town. Most jobs are still in the city, and the city is where most aid or poverty relief type efforts are likely to be focused. So for a lot of folks, moving to the country or the wilderness might be an equally bad or worse choice than staying in the city. Most folks don't know how to farm or forage - heck, I live in the country and I'm not so good at it! Putting oneself in the middle of nowhere might be a really bad choice for most people. Though in the long run I also see city and suburb as being bad choices. This is a dilemma I don't see a way out of for most folks. :(
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby idiom » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 20:32:11

I got out. The routine fingerprinting by the Thousands Standing Around got to me in the end.

Lots of Jews chose to remain in Germany after 1933. Why?!? The warning signs are all around you now.
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby Leanan » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 21:09:42

I agree with Greer. The collapse will be slow. So slow that we who are alive now may never see bottom. And the right choice for a fast crash could be the wrong one for a slow collapse.

I think the city or the right suburb could be a good choice for a slow collapse. Rome took 400 years to fall.

Tainter found that as collapse approached, people clustered closer to the cities. Not just Rome, but other collapses as well. The cities were the last vestige of civilization, where the government provided food, etc. And those on isolated farms and villages were vulnerable to attack.

I could see something similar happening in the US. Sure, if there's an overnight crash, you don't want to be in a city. But if it's a slow crash? Do you really want to be at the end of the supply line? The ones who don't have food and electricity and gasoline and medical care while others do?
"The problems of today will not be solved by the same thinking that produced the problems in the first place." - Albert Einstein
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby Cloud9 » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 21:15:18

The hinterlands are the head waters of the supply line. Lose them and you lose the city.
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby Snowrunner » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 21:15:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR', 'I') don't think I recall using the word "fine". But my point is that any hardships felt here, will be felt in other places just as hard, but without the natural overabundance and built out infrastructure that exists in the US.

I would agree that the road we seem to be traveling there is no "safe" place. But I am not sure that the US is any better euqipped than any other place. Infrastructure will only get you so far. The advantages I can see in North America are:
- Lot of Land
- Relativly few people.

In contrast though I see a lot of spoiled people that have grown up on the "me me me" mantra and (especially in the US) a "The strong shall inherit the earth" mentality.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')ertainly, one should expect significant suffering during any period of existential transition; but being here, beats being in Rawanda.

No disagreement.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hey can't figure out how to share. Let'em starve. They'll catch on when they get hungry enough.

My concern is not THEIR well being, my concern is the idea that those people may just completely obliterate anything that has something of value to them. You know, pretty much how we have wasted a lot of other things in our times.
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Re: Why don't the doomers move?

Unread postby Leanan » Sat 20 Sep 2008, 21:32:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cloud9', 'T')he hinterlands are the head waters of the supply line. Lose them and you lose the city.

I don't think so. At least, not immediately.

Newer cities like Phoenix will not do well. But older cities were placed where they are because it makes sense in a low-energy world. They still have low-energy transportation routes like waterways and rail. They have access to water, farmland, and other resources.

I think we'll contract to live along transportation lines. So a suburb might be a good choice - if it's along a rail line or river.
Look at the problem of food deserts. Usually rural areas where the only source of food is the gas station minimart. Most people living in rural areas are not farmers. What are they doing to do when they can no longer buy gas and nachos from the gas station? My guess is they'll move to where they can.
"The problems of today will not be solved by the same thinking that produced the problems in the first place." - Albert Einstein
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